Globalization And Inequality

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Globalization and Inequality

The Globalization of the World EconomySeries Editor: Mark CassonProfessor of EconomicsUniversity of Reading, UK1.   Transforming International OrganizationsWilliam G. Egelhoff2. Strategic AlliancesPaul W. Beamish3. Structural Change, Industrial Locationand CompetitivenessJoanne E. Oxley and Bernard Yeung4. Developing and Newly IndustrializingCountries (Volumes I and II)Chris Milner5. Historical Foundations of GlobalizationJames Foreman-Peck6. Trade and Investment Policy(Volumes I and II)Thomas L. Brewer7. The Globalization of Financial ServicesMervyn K. Lewis8. Foreign Direct Investment andTechnological Change (Volumes I and II)John Cantwell9. The Globalization of Business Firmsfrom Emerging Economies (Volumes Iand II)Henry Wai-chung Yeung10. Globalization and Labour Markets(Volumes I and II)David Greenaway and Douglas R. Nelson11. Financial Market Integration andInternational Capital FlowsGregor Irwin and David Vines12. Governing the Global EnvironmentCarlo Carraro13. SMEs in the Age of GlobalizationDavid B. Audretsch14. Privatization and Globalization: TheChanging Role of the State in BusinessRam Mudambi15. Globalization and the Location of FirmsJohn Cantwell16. Globalization and Economic andFinancial StabilityH. Peter Gray and John R. Dilyard17. Critical Perspectives on GlobalizationMarina Della Giusta, Uma S.Kambhampati and Robert Hunter Wade18. Global Supply Chain Management(Volumes I and II)Masaaki Kotabe and Michael J. Mol19. Globalization and Poverty(Volumes I, II and III)Paul Collier and Jan Willem Gunning20. Globalization and Productivity(Volumes I, II and III)David Greenaway, Holger Görg andRichard Kneller21. Multinational Enterprises and HostEconomies(Volumes I and II)Klaus E. Meyer22. The Globalization of Retailing(Volumes I and II)Neil Coe and Neil Wrigley23. Globalization and the Global FactoryPeter J. Buckley24. Globalization and TransportKenneth Button and Henry Vega25. Globalization and InequalityBranko MilanovicFuture titles will include:Globalization and CultureManfred StegerWherever possible, the articles in these volumes have been reproduced as originally publishedusing facsimile reproduction, inclusive of footnotes and pagination to facilitate ease of reference.For a list of all Edward Elgar published titles visit our website atwww.e-elgar.com

Globalization and InequalityEdited byBranko MilanovicLead EconomistThe World Bank Research Department, Washington, USAand Visiting ProfessorSchool of Public PolicyUniversity of Maryland, USATHE GLOBALIZATION OF THE WORLD ECONOMYAn Elgar Research CollectionCheltenham, UK Northampton, MA, USA

Branco Milanovic 2012. For copyright of individual articles, please refer to the Acknowledgements.All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, ortransmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, orotherwise without the prior permission of the publisher.Published byEdward Elgar Publishing LimitedThe Lypiatts15 Lansdown RoadCheltenhamGlos GL50 2JAUKEdward Elgar Publishing, Inc.William Pratt House9 Dewey CourtNorthamptonMassachusetts 01060USAA catalogue record for this book is available from the British LibraryLibrary of Congress Control Number: 2012935280ISBN 978 1 84980 452 3Printed and bound by MPG Books Group, UK

ContentsAcknowledgementsIntroduction Branko MilanovicPAST GLOBALIZATION(S) AND INEQUALITY1. François Bourguignon and Christian Morrisson (2002), ‘InequalityAmong World Citizens: 1820–1992’, American Economic Review,92 (4), September, 727–442. Peter H. Lindert and Jeffrey G. Williamson (2003), ‘DoesGlobalization Make the World More Unequal?’, and Lant Pritchett,‘Comment’, in Michael D. Bordo, Alan M. Taylor and Jeffrey G.Williamson (eds), Globalization in Historical Perspective, Chapter5, Chicago, IL: University of Chicago Press, 227–71, 271–753. Jeffrey G. Williamson (1997), ‘Globalization and Inequality, Pastand Present’, World Bank Research Observer, 12 (2), August,117–354. Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez (2006), ‘The Evolution of TopIncomes: A Historical and International Perspective’, AmericanEconomic Review, 96 (2), May, 200–205ixxiiiPART INATIONAL INEQUALITIES IN THE CURRENT ERA OFGLOBALIZATION5. Martin Ravallion (2003), ‘Inequality Convergence’, EconomicsLetters, 80 (3), September, 351–566. Giovanni Andrea Cornia, Tony Addison and Sampsa Kiiski (2004),‘Income Distribution Changes and Their Impact in the Post-SecondWorld War Period’, in Inequality, Growth, and Poverty in an Era ofLiberalization and Globalization, Chapter 2, UNU-WIDER andOxford, UK and New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 26–547. Andrea Brandolini and Timothy M. Smeeding (2006), ‘Patterns ofEconomic Inequality in Western Democracies: Some Facts onLevels and Trends’, PS: Political Science and Politics, 39 (1),January, 21–268. Sebastian Leitner and Mario Holzner (2008), ‘Economic Inequalityin Central, East and Southeast Europe’, Intervention: EuropeanJournal of Economics and Economic Policies, 5 (1), 155–889. Leonardo Gasparini, Guillermo Cruces and Leopoldo Tornarolli(2011), ‘Recent Trends in Income Inequality in Latin America’,including comments by Daniel Mejía and Daniel E. Ortega,Economia: Journal of the Latin American and Caribbean EconomicAssociation, 11 (2), Spring, 147–2013217089PART II97103132138172

vi10.11.Globalization and InequalityAngus Deaton and Jean Dreze (2002), ‘Poverty and Inequality inIndia: A Re-Examination’, Economic and Political Weekly, Sept 7th,3729–48Ravi Kanbur and Xiaobo Zhang (2005), ‘Fifty Years of RegionalInequality in China: A Journey Through Central Planning, Reform,and Openness’, Review of Development Economics, 9 (1), February,87–106OPENNESS AND INEQUALITY12. Matthew Higgins and Jeffrey G. Williamson (2002), ‘ExplainingInequality the World Round: Cohort Size, Kuznets Curves, andOpenness’, Southeast Asian Studies, 40 (3), December, 268–30213. Antonio Spilimbergo, Juan Luis Londoño and Miguel Székely(1999), ‘Income Distribution, Factor Endowments, and TradeOpenness’, Journal of Development Economics, 59 (1), June,77–10114. Steve Dowrick and Jane Golley (2004), ‘Trade Openness andGrowth: Who Benefits?’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(1), March, 38–5615. Branko Milanovic (2005), ‘Can We Discern the Effect ofGlobalization on Income Distribution? Evidence from HouseholdSurveys’, World Bank Economic Review, 19 (1), 21–4416. Julien Gourdon, Nicolas Maystre and Jaime de Melo (2008),‘Openness, Inequality and Poverty: Endowments Matter’, Journalof International Trade and Economic Development, 17 (3),September, 343–78227247PART IIIGLOBAL INEQUALITY17. Branko Milanovic (2006), ‘Global Income Inequality: A Review’,World Economics, 7 (1), January–March, 131–5718. Branko Milanovic (2002), ‘True World Income Distribution, 1988and 1993: First Calculation Based on Household Surveys Alone’,Economic Journal, 112 (476), January, 51–9219. Xavier Sala-i-Martin (2006), ‘The World Distribution of Income:Falling Poverty and Convergence, Period’, Quarterly Journal ofEconomics, CXXI (2), May, 351–9720. Bob Sutcliffe (2004), ‘World Inequality and Globalization’, OxfordReview of Economic Policy, 20 (1), March, 15–3721. Anthony B. Atkinson and Andrea Brandolini (2010), ‘On Analyzingthe World Distribution of Income’, World Bank Economic Review,24 (1), 1–3722. Sudhir Anand and Paul Segal (2008), ‘What Do We Know aboutGlobal Income Inequality?’, Journal of Economic Literature, 46 (1),March, 57–94269304329348372PART IV411438480527550587

AcknowledgementsThe editor and publishers wish to thank the authors and the following publishers who havekindly given permission for the use of copyright material.American Economic Association for articles: François Bourguignon and Christian Morrisson(2002), ‘Inequality Among World Citizens: 1820–1992’, American Economic Review, 92 (4),September, 727–44; Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez (2006), ‘The Evolution of TopIncomes: A Historical and International Perspective’, American Economic Review, 96 (2),May, 200–205; Sudhir Anand and Paul Segal (2008), ‘What Do We Know about GlobalIncome Inequality?’, Journal of Economic Literature, 46 (1), March, 57–94.Blackwell Publishing Ltd for articles: Branko Milanovic (2002), ‘True World IncomeDistribution, 1988 and 1993: First Calculation Based on Household Surveys Alone’, EconomicJournal, 112 (476), January, 51–92; Ravi Kanbur and Xiaobo Zhang (2005), ‘Fifty Years ofRegional Inequality in China: A Journey Through Central Planning, Reform, and Openness’,Review of Development Economics, 9 (1), February, 87–106.Brookings Institution Press for article: Leonardo Gasparini, Guillermo Cruces and LeopoldoTornarolli (2011), ‘Recent Trends in Income Inequality in Latin America’, including commentsby Daniel Mejía and Daniel E. Ortega, Economia, 11 (2), Spring, 147–201.Cambridge University Press for article: Andrea Brandolini and Timothy M. Smeeding (2006),‘Patterns of Economic Inequality in Western Democracies: Some Facts on Levels and Trends’,PS: Political Science and Politics, 39 (1), January, 21–26.Center for Southeast Asian Studies for article: Matthew Higgins and Jeffrey G. Williamson(2002), ‘Explaining Inequality the World Round: Cohort Size, Kuznets Curves, and Openness’,Southeast Asian Studies, 40 (3), December, 268–302.Angus Deaton and Jean Dreze for their own work: (2002), ‘Poverty and Inequality in India: ARe-Examination’, Economic and Political Weekly, Sept 7th, 3729–48.Economic and Financial Publishing for article: Branko Milanovic (2006), ‘Global IncomeInequality: A Review’, World Economics, 7 (1), January–March, 131–57.Elsevier Ltd for articles: Antonio Spilimbergo, Juan Luis Londoño and Miguel Székely(1999), ‘Income Distribution, Factor Endowments, and Trade Openness’, Journal ofDevelopment Economics, 59 (1), June, 77–101; Martin Ravallion (2003), ‘InequalityConvergence’, Economics Letters, 80 (3), September, 351–56.

viiiGlobalization and InequalitySebastian Leitner and Mario Holzner for their own work: (2008), ‘Economic Inequality inCentral, East and Southeast Europe’, Intervention: European Journal of Economics andEconomic Policies, 5 (1), 155–88.Oxford University Press for articles: Jeffrey G. Williamson (1997), ‘Globalization andInequality, Past and Present’, World Bank Research Observer, 12 (2), August, 117–35; BobSutcliffe (2004), ‘World Inequality and Globalization’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20(1), March, 15–37; Steve Dowrick and Jane Golley (2004), ‘Trade Openness and Growth:Who Benefits?’, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, 20 (1), March, 38–56; Branko Milanovic(2005), ‘Can We Discern the Effect of Globalization on Income Distribution? Evidence fromHousehold Budget Surveys’, World Bank Economic Review, 19 (1), 21–44; Xavier Sala-iMartin (2006), ‘The World Distribution of Income: Falling Poverty and Convergence,Period’, Quarterly Journal of Economics, CXXI (2), May, 351–97; Anthony B. Atkinson andAndrea Brandolini (2010), ‘On Analyzing the World Distribution of Income’, World BankEconomic Review, 24 (1), 1–37.Taylor & Francis Ltd (http://www.informaworld.com) for article: Julien Gourdon, NicolasMaystre and Jaime de Melo (2008), ‘Openness, Inequality and Poverty: Endowments Matter’,Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, 17 (3), September, 343–78.University of Chicago Press for excerpt: Peter H. Lindert and Jeffrey G. Williamson (2003),‘Does Globalization Make the World More Unequal?’, and Lant Pritchett, ‘Comment’, inMichael D. Bordo, Alan M. Taylor and Jeffrey G. Williamson (eds), Globalization in HistoricalPerspective, Chapter 5, 227–71, 271–75.UNU-WIDER for excerpt: Giovanni Andrea Cornia, Tony Addison and Sampsa Kiiski (2004),‘Income Distribution Changes and Their Impact in the Post-Second World War Period’, inInequality, Growth, and Poverty in an Era of Liberalization and Globalization, Chapter 2,26–54.Every effort has been made to trace all the copyright holders but if any have been inadvertentlyoverlooked the publishers will be pleased to make the necessary arrangement at the firstopportunity.In addition the publishers wish to thank the Library of Indiana University at Bloomington,USA and the Library of the University of Warwick, UK, for their assistance in obtaining thesearticles.

IntroductionBranko MilanovicThere are at the beginning of the second decade of the 21st century hardly two more politicallycharged economic terms than ‘globalization’ and ‘inequality’. It was, of course, not alwayslike that. If we go back into the past, some 30 or 100 years ago, other issues and other termscommanded the attention of the economists: development and growth in the 1960s; groundrent, exploitation and capital in the 1910s.Both ‘globalization’ and ‘inequality’ are useful ‘shorthands’ for the processes or issues thatwe ‘recognize when we see them’ although we might have a hard time defining them rigorously.Both terms are far from being scientifically clear and unambiguous. Globalization which, toan economist, means free circulation of capital, labor, technology and goods across nationalborders was different in the period 1870–1914 (often referred to as Globalization I) from theone we are experiencing today (Globalization II). The first globalization involved muchgreater (relative to the then-existing population) movement of labor. Financial integration ofthe world was much more modest however, and international trade as a share of global outputwas substantially lower. It is thus not surprising that the effect on inequality of one globalizationmay differ from the effect of the other.The term ‘inequality’ alone without any attributes is even more ambiguous. To take thesimplest example: do, under economic or income inequality, we mean inequality betweenindividuals within the same nation, or inequality between property-owning classes andworkers within the same nation, or inequality between average incomes between differentnations? In the first case, we speak of inequality between people, in the second, betweenclasses, and in the third, of income gaps between nations. At different points in time, it is oneor the other type of inequality which matters more empirically and which seizes the attentionof economists, politicians and commentators. And when, finally, we put together these severaltypes of inequalities (between people in the same country, and between countries in the world),we get a topic whose importance has increased recently – driven by the process of globalizationitself and better availability of data – namely ‘global inequality’: inequality between allcitizens of the world regardless of the nation where they live.A Short SynopsisThe selection of writings included in this book will address most of the issues linked withglobalization and income inequality. The writings on these two topics, and on the intersectionof them, are so vast that any selection necessarily involves a lot of personal judgment andweighing of pros and cons for the inclusion of each piece. All articles included here areessentially empirical. In some cases, they combine theory, either implicitly or explicitly, withempirics – but there are no ‘theory only’ articles. Reasons are twofold: for some issues

xGlobalization and Inequalitydiscussed here, there is no ‘pure’ theory, as opposed to empirical research; and in other cases,‘pure theory’ has become discredited (particularly after the onset of the Great Recession) dueto its detachment from real life and rather extravagant assumptions – things that at times likenit to metaphysics rather than to what a social science like economics should be. I have dividedthe readings into four groups which, in my opinion, best encapsulate the complexity of therelationship between globalization and income inequality.Readings in Part I focus on the past: Globalization I and changes in within-national andglobal inequality in the 19th and the first half of the 20th century. In Part II, we move to thecontemporary period which may be of greater interest to the majority of readers. The readingsthere review and analyze remarkable changes in within-national inequalities that have occurredacross globe, in developed Western economies, as well as in China and Russia, India and LatinAmerica. The articles span the period that can be broadly associated with the unchallengeddominance of neoliberal policies, from the ascent to power of Margaret Thatcher, DengXiaoping and Ronald Reagan in respectively Great Britain, China and the United States, to theglobal financial crisis. That period of some 30 years witnessed the rise and the decline of theneoliberal view of the world, and of the economic policies associated with it which in turn hada tremendous impact on economic inequalities. In Part III, we look at an issue, particularlygermane to that period, which attracted a lot of attention: how did greater openness, reflectedin increased international trade, direct foreign investments and outsourcing, affect inequalitywithin nations—those that received more foreign investments, traded more or werebeneficiaries of outsourcing and those that did not? Finally, Part IV ‘wraps up’ the issue ofglobalization and inequality by looking at its most general manifestation: global inequality,that is, economic inequality between (what some authors in a hopeful anticipation of the timesto come), call ‘global citizens’.Past Globalizations(s) and InequalityThe opening article in this volume, Chapter 1 by François Bourguignon and ChristianMorrisson ‘Inequality Among World Citizens, 1820–1990’, is a seminal article that estimatedglobal inequality over the long-run of history. Bourguignon and Morrisson construct estimatesof global inequality at approximately 20-year intervals starting with the early stages of theIndustrial Revolution. The major building block for their estimates is the series of real GDPper capita estimates made and published by Angus Maddison throughout the 1990s. WithoutMaddison’s quantification of the economic level of development for most countries of theworld, an exercise like Bourguignon and Morrisson’s would have been impossible. To thisbuilding block, Bourguignon and Morrisson add their own estimates of income inequalities in33 regions of the world over the entire period of 170 years (1820–1990). Because historicalincome distribution statistics existed, or could be estimated, for only relatively few countries,data for these few countries ‘stand’ as estimates of income distributions for other, vaguely‘similar’, countries. Although Bourguignon and Morrisson have built on very fragilefoundations regarding mean incomes, and even more so regarding income distributions, theirmain conclusions have remained unchallenged. They are two: (1) global inequality has beenon the rise since around the Industrial Revolution and until mid-20th century, and (2) thecomposition of global inequality has changed from being dominated by inequality within

Globalization and Inequalityxinations to being dominated by inequality between nations. In other words, (populationweighted) income gaps between nations are much more important today than in the past.These two conclusions shape very much our view of the past, influence our projections of thefuture, and were, as other papers in this volume will show, hugely influential.Peter Lindert and Jeffrey Williamson in ‘Does Globalization Make the World MoreUnequal?’ (Chapter 2) and Jeffrey Williamson in ‘Globalization and Inequality: Past andPresent’ (Chapter 3) underline the dissimilarities between the two globalizations. One of themajor differences between Globalizations I and II was a much greater mobility of labor frompoor to rich countries in the past. Lindert and Williamson examine the effects of labor mobilitybetween Europe and the United States (in the golden era of almost free Atlantic migration atthe end of the 19th century) on income distributions within the nations, and income gapsbe

David Greenaway and Douglas R. Nelson 11. Financial Market Integration and International Capital Flows Gregor Irwin and David Vines 12. Governing the Global Environment Carlo Carraro 13. SMEs in the Age of Globalization David B. Audretsch 14. Privatization and Globalization: T

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