Decoding The Hidden Market Rhythm - WhenToTrade
Decoding theHidden Market RhythmPart 2: Metonic Cyclesby Lars von ThienenA dynamic approach to identify and tradecycles that influence financial marketswww.whentotrade.com
Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm – Second EditionA dynamic approach to identify and trade cycles that influence financial marketsPart 2: Metonic Cycles (Release 2014)All Rights Reserved. Copyright 2010-2014 Lars von Thienen / www.whentotrade.comAll materials of this book, including, without limitation, text, software, scripts,illustrations and video are copyrighted intellectual property.Everything presented in this book is considered licensed to you for your personal, noncommercial home use only. You're not allowed to redistribute or sell the material orconvert it to any other form that people can use. You may not copy, reproduce,republish, upload, post, transmit or distribute this material in any way or for any otherpurpose unless you get the written permission from the author first.This book is designed to help readers obtain trading education. It discusses ways to tradethe markets using cycle analysis in the decision process. There are no warranties implied.This book makes no guarantee that that you will make money trading any market.The past performance of any shown trading system or methodology is not necessarilyindicative of future results. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certaininherent limitations. Unlike an actual performance record, simulated results do notrepresent actual trading. Also, since the trades have not actually been executed, theresults may have under- or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain marketfactors, such as lack of liquidity.Trading involves the risk of loss. Please consider carefully which trading instruments areappropriate to your financial situation. The risk of loss in trading can be substantial.However, the ability to assess risk is vital to a trader's survival. Conversely, without riskthere is no profit either.www.whentotrade.com
This book stands in contradiction toa quote from the world’s bestselling finance book.“The past history of stock prices cannot be used to predict thefuture in any meaningful way. Technical strategies areusually amusing but of no real value. A simple policy ofbuying and holding will be at least as good as any technicalprocedure.”Professor Burton MalkielProponent of the efficient market hypothesis“A Random Walk Down Wall Street”2011, 10th Edition, page 161
Forward: Second Edition – Part 2: Metonic CyclesThis second edition of “Decoding The Hidden Market Rhythm”comes in three parts with extended content. Part 1 is about“Dynamic Cycles”, Part 2 about “Metonic Cycles” and Part 3about “Genetic Algorithm & Cycles”.The concepts presented can be replicated using the StandaloneWTT Charting Module or the Wave59 Cycles Plug-In.The original cycles tools were applied prior to the first release in2010 and they remain the same in this second release. Additionalexamples have been added for explanatory and demonstrationpurposes. The additional content can also be reviewed in thevideo library (“Academy”) on the WhenToTrade Website.After the initial release in 2010, the standalone WTT ChartingModule was introduced in 2012 and it marked a significantmilestone. It enabled the implementation of cycle analysissupplementary tools. A new genetic algorithm was implementedas a precursor to the next dimension of cyclic analysis. Researcherscan now advance cycle research and push the boundaries.New tools, such as the Genetic Algorithm, is already availablewithin the WTT Charting Module for our community. Thesecond part “Metonic Cycles” introduces a non-linear predictivecycles model.Lars von Thienen, February 2014www.whentotrade.com
ContentsSection I - Preface and Basic Assumptions . 111. Natural Forces . 131.1 Mental warm-up session: W.D. Gann . 141.2 Basic assumptions Part A: Emotions drive markets . 171.3 Basic assumptions Part B: Natural forces drive emotions . 19Section II – Cycles within Cycles . 252. Decoding the Hidden Master Rhythm of the Universe. 272.1 Earth, Moon, and Sun alignment on 26 June 2010 – Observation date . 312.2 Earth, Moon, and Sun alignment – One tropical month before theobservation date. 332.3 Earth, Moon, and Sun alignment – One synodic month before theobservation date. 352.4 Earth, Moon, and Sun alignment – One lunar year before the observationdate . 372.5 Earth, Moon, and Sun alignment – 19 years before the observation date . 392.6 The Master Rhythm – The Universal Harmonic Energy Lock . 433. Building the superposition wave that drives financial markets . 493.1 Market decomposition and cyclic market cloning . 503.2 Example: How to build the superposition wave for the year 2008 . 553.3 Building the superposition wave for 2008 . 644. Decoding future market turns eight years ahead of time . 694.1 Swing trading the superposition wave . 715. Swing trading the Harmonic Energy Cycles – 1995 - 2010 . 755.1 Automated trading system. 865.2 Adding position sizing according to market risk . 875.3 Swing trading system with market risk-adjusted position size . 895.4 Hypothetical investment comparison . 91
5.5 Robustness test. 925.6 System analysis of the Harmonic Energy Cycles model – 1980 – 2010 / 30years . 955.7 Performance Figures – Overall Summary Chart . 1015.8 Summary . 1016. Cycles Model: “Out-of-Sample” Results and Special Findings. 1036.1 Performance figures 2011-2014 . 1036.2 Deep Dive review and special findings for 2007 and 2012 . 1067. Function to compile a list with all entry/exit signals . 1138. Years with a similar energy alignment . 114Section III – Recurring Daily Sentiment Patterns. 1159. Dow Time Travel – “There is nothing new under the Sun” . 1179.1 Introduction and Technical Analysis Concept. 1189.2 Trading Hypothesis of Recurring Sentiment Patterns . 1199.3 Technical Indicator and Trading System Construction . 1239.4 Mechanical Trading System Performance Review & Equity Curve . 1289.5 Annual Metonic System Profit vs. Annual Dow Index Profit . 1329.6 Statistical Test & System Validation . 1339.7 Review: 2013 out-of-sample results . 1439.8 Summary and Conclusion . 1459.9 Electronic Supplement - Download Link . 1479.10 Addendum . 14810. EasyLanguage Code “Dow Time Travel” . 15710.1 EasyLanguage Code for the Metonic Sentiment Index Indicator . 15810.2 EasyLanguage Code for the Metonic Trading Strategy . 16010.3 EasyLanguage Code for the ZLEMA Function . 16311. How-To Guide: Build a 8-year ahead looking signal list with Excel. 165
Section IV – The Beauty of Cyclic Time. 18312. Non-Linear Predictive Indicators . 18512.1 Linear time vs. cyclical time . 18612.2 Combination of linear and cyclic time to build predictive indicators . 18812.3 Pseude code on how to transform indicators from linear to cyclic time . 19112.4 How to read predictive non-linear indicator forecast plots . 19112.5 Build trading systems with cyclic-time based indicators. 19412.6 Function to build non-linear indicator plots . 204Summary and closing notes. 205Section V – Special: Geomagnetic disturbances and the Stock Market . 20713. Decoding and Trading Geomagnetic Ap/Cp Index Data . 209Addendum . 21114. Cycles Toolbox and Charting Platform . 21215. Harmonic Energy Cycles - Detailed annual trade reviews 1995-2010 . 21416. Manual calculation sheet for the superposition wave 2008. 23117. Bibliography . 235
Decoding the Hidden Market Rhythm – Second Edition A dynamic approach to identify and trade cycles that influenc
May 02, 2018 · D. Program Evaluation ͟The organization has provided a description of the framework for how each program will be evaluated. The framework should include all the elements below: ͟The evaluation methods are cost-effective for the organization ͟Quantitative and qualitative data is being collected (at Basics tier, data collection must have begun)
Silat is a combative art of self-defense and survival rooted from Matay archipelago. It was traced at thé early of Langkasuka Kingdom (2nd century CE) till thé reign of Melaka (Malaysia) Sultanate era (13th century). Silat has now evolved to become part of social culture and tradition with thé appearance of a fine physical and spiritual .
On an exceptional basis, Member States may request UNESCO to provide thé candidates with access to thé platform so they can complète thé form by themselves. Thèse requests must be addressed to esd rize unesco. or by 15 A ril 2021 UNESCO will provide thé nomineewith accessto thé platform via their émail address.
̶The leading indicator of employee engagement is based on the quality of the relationship between employee and supervisor Empower your managers! ̶Help them understand the impact on the organization ̶Share important changes, plan options, tasks, and deadlines ̶Provide key messages and talking points ̶Prepare them to answer employee questions
Dr. Sunita Bharatwal** Dr. Pawan Garga*** Abstract Customer satisfaction is derived from thè functionalities and values, a product or Service can provide. The current study aims to segregate thè dimensions of ordine Service quality and gather insights on its impact on web shopping. The trends of purchases have
Chính Văn.- Còn đức Thế tôn thì tuệ giác cực kỳ trong sạch 8: hiện hành bất nhị 9, đạt đến vô tướng 10, đứng vào chỗ đứng của các đức Thế tôn 11, thể hiện tính bình đẳng của các Ngài, đến chỗ không còn chướng ngại 12, giáo pháp không thể khuynh đảo, tâm thức không bị cản trở, cái được
Rhythm Patterns introduced in the Technical Exercises in Repertoire Book 1 are found frequently in the Rhythm Exercises. Rhythm patterns help students develop the ability to read music in groups rather than note by note. When tapping and counting the Rhythm Exercises, students can say the animal names for each Rhythm Pattern. The Rhythm .
3. the inevitability of child directed speech 62 matthew saxton 4. universal grammar approaches to language acquisition 87 maria teresa guasti 5. second language acquisition 109 susan gass part 2. windows on language acquisition 6. language and the many faces of emotion 143 judy s. reilly 9780230_500303_01_prexx.indd v 4/15/2009 8:43:26 PM. vi language acquisition 7. complements enable .
