Impact Of Conditions Of Contract For Construction (FIDIC .

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اﻟﺠﺎﻣﻌﺔ اﻹﺳﻼﻣﯿﺔ – ﻏﺰة Islamic University of Gaza ﻋﻤﺎدة اﻟﺪراﺳﺎت اﻟﻌﻠﯿﺎ Deanery of Graduate Studies ﻛﻠﯿﺔ اﻟﮭﻨﺪﺳﺔ Faculty of Engineering ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ اﻟﻤﺎﺟﺴﺘﯿﺮ ﻓﻲ إدارة اﻟﺘﺸﯿﯿﺪ Construction Management MasterProgramImpact of Conditions of Contract for Construction (FIDIC 99)on the Gaza Strip Contractor’s Cost EstimationPrepared byZakaria M. AljaroshaSupervised byDr. Kamalain K. ShaathA Thesis Submitted in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for theDegree of Master of Science in Construction Management2008

DedicationI dedicate this work, with sincere gratitude, to my parents whoemotionally supported me and I am equally appreciative of thesupport to my wife and daughters, Eman and Reem who silentlyendured the many hours I spent away from them to completethis work.Zakaria Mohammad AljaroshaSeptember 2008I

AcknowledgmentIt has been an honor and a privilege to me to work under thesupervision of Dr. Kamalain K. Sha'ath. I wish to express mydeepestand continuous sincere gratitude to him for ncouragement as his advices and recommendations werestrongly valuable for the success completion of this thesis.I would like also to thank the IUG construction managementprogram lecturers: Prof. Dr. Adnan Enshassi and Prof. Dr. RifatRustom for their valuable efforts and their role in launching theMSc program in the field of construction management at theIslamic University of Gaza.Special thanks are extended to Engr. Raed Maliha for hisvaluable information and help in the software formulation.I would like to express my appreciation to the GPGC shiftsupervisor Engr. Hassan Abu Owada for his support.Finally, I would like to thank all people who helped me incompleting this work.Zakaria Mohammad AljaroshaSeptember 2008II

AbstractConstruction contract general condition clauses have a major influence on the likelihoodand degree of project success. In Palestine, conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC99) has been ratified by the Palestinian cabinet in October 2006 to represent thePalestinian unified conditions of contract for construction.This research aims at analyzing the conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99),extract associated responsibilities and risks and to develop a computer based system tohelp the Palestinian contractors in better estimation of the cost impact of conditions ofcontract for construction (FIDIC 99) when pricing a bid. The system should, in principle,estimate the cost impact of FIDIC 99 through estimation of responsibility and risk factorscosts implied from FIDIC 99 clauses.Conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) clauses were analyzed in order toextract associated responsibility and risk factors. A field survey, by a means ofquestionnaire, was conducted to investigate the local practice of estimation of costimplications of conditions of contract and to prioritize those responsibility and riskfactors. The field survey reveals a significant weakness in estimating and managingresponsibilities and risks, where the local contractors do not use formalized techniquesfor estimation of cost implications of these responsibilities and risks when pricing a bid.For this purpose, the researcher develops a system to help the Palestinian contractors inestimating the cost impact of adopting FIDIC 99 when pricing a bid. FIDIC 99 CostImpact Estimating System (FCIES) calculates this cost impact by utilizing Visual BasicApplications (VBA) on Microsoft (MS) Excel. FCIES sums up total values ofresponsibility and risk factors. The responsibility factors values are introduced directly,while FCIES deals with risk factors by using Monte Carlo simulation. The researcherhopes that contractors can bid more safely and in a practical way. It decreases thepossibility of having a loss and increases the possibility of having a reasonable profit.FCIES evaluators are generally satisfied with its performance. FCIES could play animportant role in cost estimation process under the conditions of contract for construction(FIDIC 99).The researcher recommends providing more time and effort in the front-end of a projectand utilizing an experienced staff to estimate and manage liabilities and risks. Theresearcher invites the local contractors to use FCIES in order to get more accurate costestimation. It is also recommended to offer training courses regarding conditions ofcontract for construction FIDIC 99.III

ﻣﻠﺨﺺ اﻟﺒﺤﺚ اﻟﺸﺮوط اﻟﻌﺎﻣﺔ ﻟﻌﻘﻮد اﻟﺘﺸﯿﯿﺪ ﺗﺆﺛﺮ ﺑﺪرﺟﺔ ﻛﺒﯿﺮة ﻋﻠﻰ اﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﯿﺔ اﻟﻔﻮز ﺑﺎﻟﻤﺸﺮوع و اﻟﻨﺠﺎح ﻓﯿﮫ . ﻓﻲ أﻛﺘﻮﺑﺮ 2006 اﻋﺘﻤﺪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ اﻟﻮزراء اﻟﻔﻠﺴﻄﯿﻨﻲ ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ 99 ﻟﯿﻜﻮن ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﺔ اﻟﻔﻠﺴﻄﯿﻨﻲ اﻟﻤﻮﺣﺪ . ﺗﮭﺪف ھﺬه اﻟﺪراﺳﺔ إﻟﻰ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺑﻨﻮد ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ 99 و اﺳﺘﺨﻼص ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺔ و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮة اﻟﻤﺘﺮﺗﺒﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﻤﻘﺎول ﺑﻨﺎءً ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﺘﺰاﻣﮫ ﺑﺸﺮوط ھﺬا اﻟﻌﻘﺪ و ﺗﻢ ﺗﻄﻮﯾﺮ ﻧﻈﺎم ﺧﺎص ﻟﻤﺴﺎﻋﺪة اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ اﻟﻔﻠﺴﻄﯿﻨﯿﯿﻦ ﻓﻲ ﺗﺤﺴﯿﻦ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﺮاﺗﮭﻢ ﻟﻠﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻟﻌﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ 99 ﻋﻨﺪ ﺗﺴﻌﯿﺮ اﻟﻌﻄﺎء . ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﻓﻲ اﻷﺳﺎس ﯾﻘﻮم ﺑﺘﻘﺪﯾﺮ ھﺬا اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼل ﺗﻘﺪﯾﺮ ﺗﻜﺎﻟﯿﻒ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺔ و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮة اﻟﻤﺴﺘﺨﻠﺼﺔ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ .99 ﺗﻢ ﺗﺤﻠﯿﻞ ﺑﻨﻮد ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ 99 ﻻﺳﺘﺨﻼص ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺔ و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮة ﺣﯿﺚ ﻋﺮﺿﺖ ھﺬه اﻟﻌﻮاﻣﻞ ﻋﻠﻰ اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺤﻠﯿﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺧﻼل اﺳﺘﺒﯿﺎن ﺻﻤﻢ ﻟﺒﺤﺚ اﻟﻄﺮق اﻟﻤﺘﺒﻌﺔ ﻣﺤﻠﯿﺎً ﻟﺘﻘﺪﯾﺮ اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻟﺸﺮوط ﻋﻘﻮد اﻟﺘﺸﯿﯿﺪ و ﻟﺘﺮﺗﯿﺐ ھﺬه اﻟﻌﻮاﻣﻞ ﺣﺴﺐ اﻷھﻤﯿﺔ . أﻇﮭﺮ اﻟﺒﺤﺚ اﻟﻤﯿﺪاﻧﻲ ﺿﻌﻔﺎً واﺿﺤﺎَ ﻟﺪى اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ اﻟﻤﺤﻠﯿﯿﻦ ﻓﻲ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺔ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﺮ و إدارة اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺎت و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ ﺣﯿﺚ ﯾﻔﺘﻘﺮون ﻷﺳﺎﻟﯿﺐ و أدوات ﻋﻠﻤﯿﺔ ﻟﺘﻘﺪﯾﺮ اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻟﺘﻠﻚ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺎت و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺗﺴﻌﯿﺮ اﻟﻌﻄﺎء . ﻧﻈﺎم ﺗﻘﺪﯾﺮ اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻟﻌﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ (FCIES) 99 ﺗﻢ ﺗﺼﻤﯿﻤﮫ ﻟﻤﺴﺎﻋﺪة اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ اﻟﻔﻠﺴﻄﯿﻨﯿﯿﻦ ﻟﺘﻘﺪﯾﺮ اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﻻﻟﺘﺰاﻣﮭﻢ ﺑﮭﺬا اﻟﻌﻘﺪ ﻋﻨﺪ ﺗﺴﻌﯿﺮ اﻟﻌﻄﺎء ، و ﯾﻘﻮم ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﺑﺤﺴﺎب اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮ اﻟﻤﺎﻟﻲ ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪام ﺗﻄﺒﯿﻘﺎت اﻟﺒﯿﺴﻚ اﻟﻤﺮﺋﯿﺔ ﻓﻲ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺞ اﻻﻛﺴﻞ . ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﯾﻘﻮم ﺑﺠﻤﻊ اﻟﺘﺄﺛﯿﺮات اﻟﻤﺎﻟﯿﺔ ﻟﻜﻞ ﻣﻦ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺔ و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮة . ﻓﺎﻟﺒﻨﺴﺒﺔ ﻟﻌﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺔ ﯾﺘﻢ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﺮھﺎ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﺒﺎﺷﺮ ﺑﯿﻨﻤﺎ ﯾﺘﻌﺎﻣﻞ اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﻣﻊ ﻋﻮاﻣﻞ اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮة ﺑﺎﺳﺘﺨﺪام ﻧﻈﺎم ﻣﻮﻧﺘﻲ ﻛﺎرﻟﻮ ﻟﻠﻤﺤﺎﻛﺎة . ﯾﺄﻣﻞ اﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ أن ﯾﻤﻜﻦ ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ ﻣﻦ ﺗﻘﺪﯾﻢ أﺳﻌﺎر ﻋﻠﻰ درﺟﺔ ﻋﺎﻟﯿﺔ ﻣﻦ اﻷﻣﺎن و ﺑﻄﺮﯾﻘﺔ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺔ ، ﻛﻤﺎ ﯾﺄﻣﻞ اﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ أن ﯾﻘﻮم ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﺑﺘﻘﻠﯿﻞ اﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﯿﺔ اﻟﺨﺴﺎرة و زﯾﺎدة اﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﯿﺔ اﻟﺮﺑﺢ . ﻋﻨﺪ ﻋﺮض ھﺬا اﻟﻨﻈﺎم ﻟﻠﺘﻘﯿﯿﻢ ، أﺑﺪى ﻣﻌﻈﻢ اﻟﻤﻘﯿﻤﻮن ﻋﻦ رﺿﺎھﻢ ﺑﺸﻜﻞ ﻋﺎم ﻋﻦ أداﺋﮫ وأﺷﺎروا إﻟﻰ أﻧﮫ ﯾﻤﻜﻦ أن ﯾﻠﻌﺐ دوراً ﺣﯿﻮﯾﺎً و ﻣﮭﻤﺎً ﻓﻲ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺔ ﺗﺴﻌﯿﺮ اﻟﻌﻄﺎءات اﻟﻤﺒﻨﯿﺔ ﻋﻠﻰ أﺳﺎس ﺷﺮوط ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ .99 ﯾﻮﺻﻲ اﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺒﺬل ﻣﺰﯾﺪ ﻣﻦ اﻟﻮﻗﺖ و اﻟﺠﮭﺪ ﻓﻲ ﺑﺪاﯾﺔ اﻟﻤﺸﺮوع و ﺗﻮﻇﯿﻒ ﻓﺮﯾﻖ ذو ﺧﺒﺮة ﻟﺘﻘﯿﯿﻢ اﻟﻤﺴﺌﻮﻟﯿﺎت و اﻟﻤﺨﺎﻃﺮ ، و ﯾﺪﻋﻮ اﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ اﻟﻤﻘﺎوﻟﯿﻦ ﻻﺳﺘﺨﺪام FCIES ﺑﮭﺪف ﺗﺤﺴﯿﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﯿﺔ ﺗﺴﻌﯿﺮ اﻟﻌﻄﺎءات . ﻛﻤﺎ ﯾﻮﺻﻲ اﻟﺒﺎﺣﺚ ﺑﺘﻮﻓﯿﺮ ﺑﺮاﻣﺞ ﺗﺪرﯾﺒﯿﺔ ﺧﺎﺻﺔ ﺑﺸﺮوط ﻋﻘﺪ اﻟﻔﯿﺪﯾﻚ .99 IV

Table of ContentsDedication IAcknowledgment . IIAbstract . IIITable of Contents . . . VList of Abbreviations . . XIList of Tables . XIIList of Figures . XIVChapter 1: Introduction . 11.1General . . 11.2Statement of the Problem . . . 11.3Scope . . 21.4Aim . . 21.5Objectives . . 21.6Outline Methodology 21.7Thesis Organization . . 3Chapter 2: Literature Review . 52.1Introduction . . 52.2Construction Contracts . . 52.2.1Contractual Problems . . 62.3Project Risk Management . . 72.3.1Definition of Risk . . 72.3.2Managing Risk . . . 72.3.3Risk and Contingency . . 92.3.4Risk Classification . 10V

2.3.4.1 Construction Related Risks . . . 102.3.4.2 Contractual and Legal Risks . . 102.3.4.3 Financial and Economic Risks . . 112.3.4.4 Physical Risks . . 112.3.4.5 Performance Related Risks . . 123.3.4.6 Political and Social Risks . 122.3.5Monte Carlo Simulation . . 122.3.5.1 Integrated Risk Management System for International ContractionProjects (IRMS) 152.3.5.2 Project Risk Analysis Program (PRA) . . 172.4Response Management Process . . 192.4.1Risk Avoidance . 202.4.2Risk Mitigation . 202.4.3Risk Retention . . 202.4.4Risk Transfer . 212.5Markup . . 222.6Responsibilities and Liabilities . . . 222.7Risk Allocation in Contracts . . . 232.7.1Risk Allocation by Negotiation . 232.7.2Risk Allocation by Standard Conditions of Contract . 242.7.3Risk Allocation by Contract Clauses . . . 242.7.4Contract Wording . . 252.8Standard Forms of Contract . . . 252.9Federation Internationale Des Ingenieurs-Conseils (FIDIC) . 262.9.1FIDIC Advantages . . . . 272.9.2FIDIC Disadvantages . 282.9.3FIDIC 99 . . 292.9.3.1 The Red Book . . 292.9.3.2 The Yellow Book . 292.9.3.3 The Silver Book . . 292.9.3.4 The Green Book (Short Form of Contract) 30VI

2.9.4FIDIC and Risk . 312.10Contract General Conditions Used in the Palestinian Territories . 31Chapter 3: Research Methodology . 343.1Introduction . . . 343.2Research Strategy . . . 343.3Questionnaire Development . 363.4Pilot Study . . . 363.5Questionnaire Design . 363.6Research Population . 373.7Survey Samples . . . 373.8Limitation of the Research 373.9Relative Importance Index 383.10Developing and Evaluation of the Computerized System 38Chapter 4: Review of Conditions of Contract for Construction (FIDIC 99) . . 404.1Introduction . . 404.2Risk Clauses 404.2.1Conditions of Contract for Construction (FIDIC 99) Surveyfor Risk Factors . . 404.2.2Risk Factors Classifications . 564.2.3Consequences . . 624.3Responsibility Clauses . . 634.3.1Categories of Responsibility Factors . 654.4Conclusions . . 68VII

Chapter 5: Results Analysis and Discussions . 695.1Introduction . . 695.2Questionnaire part 1: Contractor Organization Profile . 695.2.1Position of the Respondent . 695.2.2Experience of the Organization in Construction Industry . 695.2.3Type of Executed Project . 705.2.4Number of Projects Executed in the Last 5 Years . . 705.2.5Work Monetary Volume in the Last 5 Years . 715.3Questionnaire part 2: Contracting General Information . . 715.3.1Using a Formalized Technique for Estimating Cost Contingencies . 725.3.2Use of Computer Tools to Deal with Unforeseen Liabilities and Risks . 725.3.3Use of Special Tools to Calculate the Cost Impact of AdoptingConditions of Contract for Construction FIDIC 99 . . . 725.3.4Standard Contract that have been used by the Respondent’s Companies . 725.3.5Number of Projects in which FIDIC 99 have been used as StandardConditions of Contract . . . 735.3.6Usual Responses for the Unforeseen Liabilities and Risks . . 745.3.7Use of Mitigation Actions to Mitigate Risks and Responsibilities . . 755.3.8The Advantages of FIDIC 99 765.3.9The Disadvantages of FIDIC 99 . . 775.4The Third Part: Risks and Responsibilities factors . 785.4.1Responsibility Factors . 785.4.2Risk Factors . 825.4.2.1 First Approach: Prioritization by Probability of Occurrence . . 885.4.2.2 Second Approach: Prioritization by Cost Impact . . . 90Chapter 6: FIDIC 99 Cost Impact Estimating System (FCIES) . 936.1Introduction . . 936.2FCIES Concept . . 936.3FCIES Description 94VIII

6.3.1FCIES Overview . 946.3.2FCIES Illustration . . 976.3.2.1 First Tab (Main Menu) . 976.3.2.2 Second Tab (Project Settings) . 986.3.2.3 Third Tab (Responsibilities) . . 996.3.2.4 Fourth Tab (Risk Data Entry) . 1006.3.2.5 Fifth Tab (Mitigation Actions) . 1036.3.2.6 Sixth Tab (Risks Relationships) . 1046.3.2.7 Seventh Tab (Simulation) 1066.3.2.8 Eighth Tab (Results) 1076.4FCIES Implementation 1086.5FCIES Testing . . 1176.5.1Model Verification . 1176.5.1.1 Antibugging . 1176.5.1.2 Deterministic models . 1186.5.1.3 Continuity testing . 1196.5.1.4 Degeneracy testing . 1196.5.2Model validation . 1206.5.2.1 Expert intuition . 1206.6FCIE Evaluation 1206.6.1FCIES Performance . . 1206.6.2Evaluators Comments and Suggestions . . 121Chapter 7: Conclusions and Recommendations 1247.1Introduction . . . 1247.2Conclusions . 1247.3Recommendations . 1267.4Recommendations for Further Studies . . 127IX

References 128Annex 1 Extracted risk factors with their consequences 135Annex 2 The questionnaire 141Annex 3 The questionnaire (English Version) . 156Annex 4 FCIES Evaluation Questionnaire . 173Annex 5 FCIES Evaluation Questionnaire (English Version) . 176X

List of Abbreviations DollarsADBAsian Development BankBOQBill of QuantitiesDABDispute Adjudication BoardEPCEngineer Procure ConstructEUEuropean UnionFCIESFIDIC 99 Cost Impact Estimating SystemFIDICFederation Internationale Des Ingenieurs-ConseilsGCCGeneral Conditions of ContractGUIGraphical User InterfaceHrHourIDEIntegrated Development EnvironmentIRMSIntegrated Risk Management SystemMSMicrosoftNo.NumberPCTDPalestinian Central Tendering DepartmentPCUPalestinian Contractor's UnionPECDARPalestinian Economic Council for Development and ReconstructionPNAPalestinian National AuthorityRIIRelative Importance IndexRNRandom NumberSMDMSupport the Municipal Development and ManagementSTCsStandard Terms and ConditionsUDFUser Defined FunctionUNUnited NationsUNDPUnited Nations Development ProgramUNRWAUnited Nations Relief and Works AgencyUSAUnited States of AmericaUSAIDUnited States Agency for International DevelopmentVBAVisual Basic ApplicationsWBWorld BankXI

List of TablesTable 4.1: Conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) risk clausesand their extracted risk factors . . 54Table 4.2: Categories of risks (Panthi, 2007) . . . 57Table 4.3: Construction related risk clauses . . 58Table 4.4: Performance related risk clauses . . 59Table 4.5: Contractual and legal risk clauses . . 60Table 4.6: Physical risk clauses . 61Table 4.7: Political and social risk clauses . . 61Table 4.8: Risk consequences classifications according to Maqousi 2007 . . 63Table 4.9: Conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) clauseswhich have deterministic cost impact on contractor . 63Table 4.10: The items that should be provided by the contractor accordingto FIDIC 99 . . 66Table 4.11: The items that should be performed by the contractor accordingto FIDIC 99 . . 67Table 5.1: Position of respondents . . 69Table 5.2: Experience of the organization in construction industry . . . 70Table 5.3: Types of executed projects . . . 70Table 5.4: Number of projects executed in the last 5 years . 71Table 5.5: Work monetary volume in the last 5 years . . 71Table 5.6: Standard contracts that have been used 73Table 5.7: Number of projects executed under FIDIC 99 . . 74Table 5.8: Responses for the unforeseen liabilities and risks . . 74Table 5.9: The used mitigation actions . . 75Table 5.10: The advantages of the conditions of contract forconstruction (FIDIC 99) . . 77Table 5.11: The disadvantages of conditions of contract forconstruction (FIDIC 99) . 78Table 5.12: Responsibility factors ranking . . . 80XII

Table 5.13: Risk factors ranking . 83Table 5.14: Prioritization by probability of occurrence . . 89Table 5.15: Prioritization by cost impact . . . 91Table 6.1: FCIES performance as expressed by evaluators . . 122XIII

List of FiguresFigure 2.1: Risk cycle phase (Usta, 2005) . 8Figure 2.2: Typical uncertainty profile (Sha'ath, 1993) . 13Figure 2.3: Uncertainty profile value interpolations (Sha'ath, 1993) . . 14Figure 2.4: Risk carding process sheet (Arikan, 2005) . 16Figure 2.5: Results of simulation in form of cumulative graph (Arikan, 2005) . . 17Figure 2.6: The data entry screen of the Risk Analysis Program . 18Figure 2.7: A typical "S" curve of overall cost distribution of Risk AnalysisProgram . . 18Figure 3.1: Methodology flow chart . 35Figure 4.1: Extracted risk factors consequences . 62Figure 6.1: FCIES System . . 96Figure 6.2: Introductory screen . . 97Figure 6.3: Main menu tab . . 98Figure 6.4: Project settings tab . 98Figure 6.5: Responsibility factors tab . 99Figure 6.6: Responsibility factors by categories . 100Figure 6.7: Risk entries by priority form . 101Figure 6.8: Risk entries by categories . 102Figure 6.9: Risk entries by consequences . . 103Figure 6.10: Mitigation actions entries . . 104Figure 6.11: Dependency relationships tree . . 105Figure 6.12: Risk dependency relationships . . 106Figure 6.13: Simulation form . . 107Figure 6.14: Results form . . 108Figure 6.15: Project settings . . 109Figure 6.16: Responsibility factors data entry . . 109Figure 6.17: Risk factors data entry . 110Figure 6.18: Risk factors data entry by consequences . . 111Figure 6.19: New mitigation actions entry . 112XIV

Figure 6.20: Mitigation actions entries . . . 113Figure 6.21: Mitigation actions entries with a previously used mitigation action . 114Figure 6.22: Dependency relationships . 115Figure 6.23: Result of simulation . . 116Figure 6.24: Final results . 117Figure 6.25: Random number generation test . . 118Figure 6.26: Continuity test . 119XV

Chapter oneIntroduction1.1 GeneralThe construction sector has a strategic role in developed and developing countries.According to Enshassi et al (2007), the construction industry employs more than 16percent of Palestinian workforce. The sector is the largest industrial employer inPalestine. The construction industry accounts for 17 percent of the value added to thegross national product. Cost estimation is a fundamental part of the construction practiceas it represents the compilation and analysis of many items that influence, and contributeto, the total cost of project.Conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) was ratified by the Palestinian cabinetin October, 2006 to be the Palestinian unified conditions of contract for construction. TheGeneral Conditions of Contract (GCC), which are the core of the standard form, consistof twenty chapters that deal with the obligations, rights, responsibilities and risksallocations on the parties concerning contract price/payment, quality and schedule, andthe procedures for claim and dispute resolutions (Zhang et al, 2006).Since the conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) has been the officiallyadopted conditions of contract, the contractors should consider the obligations andresponsibilities included in pricing projects. Good knowledge about explicit and implicitrisks and responsibilities is required for better estimation and management of theseliabilities and risks.1.2 Statement of the ProblemFIDIC 99 was recently adopted as a Palestinian unified conditions of contract forconstruction works. Local contractors do not have formalized systems which can dealwith contractor’s responsibilities and risks under the contract conditions. It is necessaryto study and analyze FIDIC 99 and develop a practical system to help the contractor toestimate those responsibilities and risks in order to provide a suitable bid price.1

1.3 ScopeThe researcher focuses on contractors of the Gaza Strip who has a valid registration fromthe Palestinian Contractors Union (PCU). The limitations considered are:1- Local contractors with a valid registration from the Palestinian Contractor Union(PCU). This limitation includes only the first and second classes contractors.2- The conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) analysis is limited to thegeneral conditions regardless of particular conditions.1.4 AimThe aim of this research is to analyze the conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC99), extract associated responsibilities and risks and to develop a practical system to helpthe Palestinian contractors to better estimate the cost impact of FIDIC 99 in terms ofresponsibilities and risks.1.5 Objectives1- To study and analyze the conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) in termsof responsibilities and risks.2- To investigate the practice of local contractors in estimating the cost implications ofcondition of contracts in the Gaza Strip and to prioritize the responsibility and riskfactors implied from the conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99).3- To develop a practical system to help the local contractors in estimating the costimpact of adopting conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99).4- To computerize the proposed system.5- To evaluate the proposed system.1.6 Methodology OutlineFirst stage: literature ReviewLiterature and previous researches were reviewed to collect data regarding toconstruction contracts and their cost implications on contractors, risk management andrisk management tools, standard contracts, FIDIC contracts and forms of contracts usedin Palestinian territories.2

Second Stage: Analysis of Conditions of Contract for Construction (FIDIC 99)The conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) was analyzed in order to extractthe responsibility and risk factors from the clauses. Responsibility factors are thosefactors whose cost implication is more or less deterministic, where risk factors are thosefactors whose cost implication is rather probabilistic.Third Stage: Field SurveyThe field survey was conducted to investigate the local practice regarding to estimationof cost implications of conditions of contract. It was necessary to prioritize responsibilityand risk factors implied from conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99), and torevise these factors by local contractors. A structured questionnaire was employed forthis purpose. This questionnaire was distributed by direct contact to contractors in theGaza Strip. Statistical analysis was carried out for the questionnaire using MS Excel.Discussions were made to obtain the results.Fourth stage: System Development and EvaluationA system for estimating the cost implications of the conditions of contract forconstruction (FIDIC 99) was developed. It was computerized utilizing the VBA facilitieswith MS Excel. Verification and validation tests were carried out to ensure that thesystem works properly and performs what it is intended to do. The system was alsoevaluated by experienced local contractors.1.7 Thesis OrganizationChapter (1) IntroductionThis chapter gives a general idea for this research along with research statement ofproblem, scope, goal, objectives, outlined methodology and thesis structure.Chapter (2) Literature ReviewThis chapter presents a literature review of past research studies in estimating costimplication of conditions of contract and related fields.3

Chapter (3) Analysis of Conditions of Contract for Construction (FIDIC 99)This chapter analyzes conditions of contract for construction (FIDIC 99) clause by clausein order to extract and categorize responsibility and risk factors included in this standard.Chapter (4) Research MethodologyThis chapter presents the methodology adopted in this research including the surveyquestionnaire design and method of analysis.Chapter (5) Results Analysis and DiscussionsThis chapter presents the results of the field survey and covers the analysis anddiscussions of these results.Chapter (6) FIDIC 99 Cost Impact Estimating System (FCIES) DevelopmentIn this chapter, the developed system (FCIES) is described in details. The discussionincludes concepts, description, implementation and evaluation.Chapter (7) Conclusions and RecommendationsThis chapter describes the final conclusions and recommendations of this study. It alsoincludes the recommendations for further studies.4

Chapter TwoLiterature Review2.1 IntroductionThis chapter reviews the relevant literature regarding the subject of conditions of contract forconstruction (FIDIC 99) cost implications on the contractor project estimation. The chapterprovides a broad review of topics related to construction contracts, contractor's responsibilitiesunder the contract, risk management, risk management tools, risk allocation in contracts,standard forms of contract, FIDIC and forms of contract used in the Palestinian territories.2.2 Construction ContractsThe most brilliant design remains just that, a design, unless turned into reality by buildingoperations. Those operations generally require a formal agreement which sets out who does whatfor how much, how it should be done and allocates the risk. The transition from a successfuldesign to a successful building requires the selection of a contract which reflects the aspirationsof the parties and meets the demands of the project (Tate, 2003).According to Samuels (1996), a contract is a voluntary agreement between two parties. Thepurpose of a contract is to set out the rights and liabilities of the parties. Owen (2003) definesthose two parties as: An owner who is referred to as the employer, who has decided that he needs the projectand who will pay for the project. The Employer will need to establish his requirements,decide who will prepare the detailed design and check that the construction meets hisrequirements, and A Contractor who will prepare all or any part of the design as required by the employerand who will actually construct the works.O’Reilly (1996) states that construction contracts are the written agreements signed by thecontracting parties (mainly an employer and a contractor), which bind them, definingrelationships and obligations.A construction contract sets forth the intentions and procedures to be employed in any buildingeffort. Ideally, it should be easily understandable, mutually agreed upon document that providesthe answer to every project contingency. More realistically, these intentions and procedures often5

represent the owner's interests to which the business-hungry contractor agree, with the hope thatenough ambiguity resides in the document to permit multiple interpretations (Samuels, 1996).2.2.1 Contractual ProblemsThe construction industry suffers from low margins and contractors have difficulties makingprojects fully profitable. One of the reasons is that contractors are not always properlycompensated for all the variations and additional work that occur during a project (Andersson etal, 2002). The modern construction industry is characterized by multi-party projects withextensive chains of sub-contracting which means that the person who is paying for the work israrely in direct contract with the person undertaking the work. In such a situation theopportunities for misunderstandings and mismatched perceptions are rife. Contractualrelationships in construction are widely held to be the major cause of inefficiency and ofcustomer dissatisfaction with the industry (Hughes, 2006).In Palestine, the local construction industry is still facing several contractual problems such asdelays, litigation, and additional costs which are the consequences of disputes (Mortaja, 2007).Some of the pitfalls in trying to manage projects effectively and maximize project

contract for construction (FIDIC 99) when pricing a bid. The system should, in principle, estimate the cost impact of FIDIC 99 through estimation of responsibility and risk factors costs implied from FIDIC 99 clauses. Conditions of contract for construction (

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