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0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73FOOD ANDAGRIBUSINESSin 2030a roadmapMarcos Fava Neves(coordinator)Allan W. GrayFlavio Runkhe ValerioLeticia Franco MartinezJonny Mateus RodriguesRafael Bordonal KalakiVitor Nardini MarquesVinícius CambaúvaWageningen AcademicP u b l i s h e r s

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Food andagribusinessin 2030:a roadmapMarcos Fava Neves (coordinator)Allan W. GrayFlavio Runkhe ValerioLeticia Franco MartinezJonny Mateus RodriguesRafael Bordonal KalakiVitor Nardini MarquesVinícius CambaúvaWageningen AcademicP u b l i s h e r s

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Buy a print copy of this book at:www.WageningenAcademic.com/roadmapEAN: 9789086863549e-EAN: 9789086869077ISBN: 978-90-8686-354-9e-ISBN: 978-90-8686-907-7DOI: 10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7First published, 2020 Wageningen Academic PublishersThe Netherlands, 2020This work is subject to copyright. All rightsare reserved, whether the whole or part ofthe material is concerned. Nothing from thispublication may be translated, reproduced,stored in a computerised system or publishedin any form or in any manner, includingelectronic, mechanical, reprographicor photographic, without prior writtenpermission from the publisher,Wageningen Academic Publishers,P.O. Box 220, 6700 AE Wageningen,The geningenAcademic.comThe individual contributions in this publicationand any liabilities arising from them remain theresponsibility of the authors.The publisher is not responsible for possibledamages, which could be a result of contentderived from this publication.

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Table of contentsAbout the authors9CoordinatorAuthorsInstitutional support91012Foreword13CHAPTER 1Creating a strategic plan for a food chain:the ChainPlan method (framework)151.1 Introduction1.2 Literature review1.3 Methodology used1.4 ChainPlan: a method for strategic planning and management offood and agribusiness chains1.5 Overcoming the difficulties in implementing the ChainPlan1.6 Managerial implications1.7 Limitations of the research and the methodCHAPTER 2The new macro-environment for food, agribusiness andbiofuels chains2.1 Introduction2.2 Socio/cultural environment – consumer movements2.3 Economic and natural environments2.4 Political/legal (regulatory) environment2.5 Technology environment16172223323334353637383940Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 5

Table of k/10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73CHAPTER 3The participants of the food chains:characteristics and trends3.1 Introduction3.2 Input suppliers3.3 Distributors (dealers)3.4 Farmers3.5 Cooperatives3.6 Trading companies3.7 Food industry3.8 Biofuel industry3.9 Retail3.10 Food service3.11 Consumer3.12 Associations3.13 Final message and managerial implicationsCHAPTER 420 trends in food and beverage marketing4.1 Introduction4.2 Literature review4.3 Methodology4.4 Key findings4.5 Implications4.6 Final considerations and managerial implicationsCHAPTER 5Building sustainability in a food chain5.1 Introduction5.2 Literature review5.3 Methods5.4 Results and discussion5.5 Final considerations and managerial implications6Food and agribusiness in 2030: a 37475798084

Table of contents 0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73CHAPTER 6Where food consumers will be in the future?6.1 Introduction6.2 Topics6.3 Final considerations and managerial implicationsCHAPTER 7The role of cooperatives in the new world7.1 Introduction7.2 Strengths and main competencies of cooperatives7.3 Weaknesses and areas for improvement7.4 Opportunities for cooperatives7.5 Cooperative threats7.6 Actions for future7.7 Cooperatives and sustainability7.8 Final considerations and managerial R 8The world after Covid-19109References113Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 7

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0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73About the authorsCoordinatorMarcos Fava Neves is an international expert on global food,agribusiness and bioenergy strategies and a part-time professorof planning and strategy at the School of Business (FEARP) ofthe University of São Paulo (USP) and FGV Business School,both in Brazil. Neves is also International Visiting Professor atPurdue University (Indiana, since 2013), University of BuenosAires (Argentina, since 2006) and University of Pretoria(South Africa, since 2020). He graduated as an agronomicengineer from ESALQ/University of São Paulo – Piracicabain 1991, and has specialised in strategic-planning processesfor companies and food chains and is a board member ofmore than 10 public and private organisations. He createdMarkestrat think-tank with other partners, employingaround 60 people and implementing international projects,studies and research for more than 300 agri-food businessorganisations and is a shareholder of 4 start-ups. Neves haspublished more than 100 articles in international journals and has beenauthor and editor of 70 books by 10 different publishers in 10 countries.He gave more than 1,300 lectures and presentations in 25 countries and is a‘Fellow’ of the IFAMA (International Food and Agribusiness ManagementAssociation), a title received in Minneapolis in 2015. Very active on socialmedia, his platforms at LinkedIn and Instagram have thousands of followers.Finally, in 2018 he created the www.doutoragro.com knowledge platform.favaneves@gmail.com / www.doutoragro.comFood and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 9

About the oi/book/10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Allan W. Gray serves as executive director of the Center for Foodand Agricultural Business and director of the MS-MBA in Food andAgribusiness Management. He joined the agricultural economicsfaculty at Purdue University in August 1998. Allan currently holdsthe position of Land O’Lakes Chair in Food and Agribusiness.As director, Allan provides strategic direction for the centre andMS-MBA in Food and Agribusiness Management, a dual-degree,online programme offered in partnership by Purdue and IndianaUniversity. He works with food and agribusiness managers in thecentre’s professional development seminars and workshops, whilealso continuing to teach strategic agribusiness management in theundergraduate, Master’s and MS-MBA programmes.Allan’s research interests are agribusiness management, strategic planning,decision-making in uncertain environments and simulation. He also workson the Large Commercial Producer Survey, conducted every five years bythe centre, which explores the attitudes and buying behaviours of largecommercial producers. In addition, Allan has researched the managementimplications of real-options thinking, the risks and returns to alternativevertical business relationships and the human capital constraints ofagribusinesses.He has won numerous awards, including the American AgriculturalEconomics Association’s (AAEA) Distinguished Extension/OutreachProgram Award, the Purdue University Dean’s Team Award and the UnitedStates Distance Learning Association’s Excellence in Distance TeachingAward. In 2012, he received the inaugural Early Career Leadership Awardfrom the National Association of Agricultural Economics Administrators, asubsection of AAEA.gray@purdue.eduFlavio Ruhnke Valerio is a PhD student, and graduated in BusinessAdministration at the School of Business (FEA-RP) of the Universityof São Paulo (USP). He is currently an associate consultant atMarkestrat. He has experience in the administration area, with theemphasis on marketing and strategy, acting mainly on the followingthemes: strategic planning, relationship marketing, sustainability inproduction chains and market intelligence. Valerio is the author ofseveral articles published in national and international journals andcongresses, and has also collaborated on the development of morethan 10 books on Brazilian agribusiness production chains.fvalerio@markestrat.com.br10Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73About the authors Leticia Franco Martinez has conducted research in strategicmarketing with the emphasis on sustainability and agribusiness.She graduated in 2016, completed a Master’s degree in 2020 andis pursuing a Doctorate in Business Administration at the Schoolof Business (FEA-RP) of the University of São Paulo. In 2015, sheattended a semester of Management at the University of Coimbra,Portugal. She is a professor on the Integrated Entrepreneurial TrainingProgramme (PICE) at the Entrepreneurs Center and in EnactusONGariar Project at FEA-RP. Tutor in Fundace’s MBA and DidacticPedagogical Assistant at Centro Universitário Barão de Mauá. Authorof Tripé Sustentável on Instagram, content on strategic managementbased on the 3Ps of y Mateus Rodrigues is a bachelor of Applied BusinessMathematics, with a Master’s and PhD in Business Administrationfrom the University of São Paulo. He was a visiting scholar at theDarden School of Business (University of Virginia), guest professorof the postgraduate courses at Fundação Getúlio Vargas andUniversity of São Paulo. For over 10 years, he has been working onconsulting projects and partnerships with multinational companiesand universities, focusing on market intelligence, data processing andmodelling. Rodrigues is also co-author and reviewer of articles innational and international journals and congresses, and has expertisein data management and promoting the connection betweenscientific analysis and data analysis technologies with R, Python, SASand STATA programming, and increasing the performance of newproducts and services.jonnymateus@usp.brRafael Bordonal Kalaki graduated in Agronomic Engineeringfrom São Paulo State University (UNESP) in 2010. He also hasa Master’s and PhD in Business Administration from FEA-RP/USP. He was a researcher at Markestrat – Center for Research andProjects in Marketing and Strategy. He has experience in the area ofagronomy, with the emphasis on agribusiness, working mainly withstrategic planning, market access, business strategy, mapping andquantification of agro-industrial systems, analysis of attractiveness andsocio-environmental certifications. He is currently a superintendentat Socicana (Guariba cane suppliers association) and member of theBonsucro Members Council.rbkalaki@gmail.comFood and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 11

About the /10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Vitor Nardini Marques is an associated consultant at MarkestratGroup with experience in projects concerning strategic planning,go-to-market, market intelligence, and business and start-updevelopment in the agribusiness sector. He is a graduate in AgronomicEngineering from the ‘Luiz de Queiroz’ College of Agriculture(ESALQ-USP), specialising in areas of economics and administrationand a student in the Master’s programme in Business Administrationat the School of Economics, Business Administration and Accountingat Ribeirão Preto (FEA-RP USP).nmarquesvitor@gmail.comVinicius Cambaúva graduated in Agronomic Engineering from theCollege of Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences (FCAV) of the SãoPaulo State University (UNESP). In 2019 he participated in ‘MASTInternational’, a study and exchange programme at the Universityof Minnesota, in the United States. He is currently a student in thepostgraduate programme in Business Administration at FEA-RP/USP, and a consultant at Markestrat Group. He has experience inthe agribusiness area, having worked mainly with market accessprojects, strategic planning, market intelligence and new stitutional support12Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73ForewordPlanning is an exercise of understanding how the changes happening todaywill shape the future of business and, if well applied, can certainly bringbenefits to every organization. However, this process is extremely complexbecause of all the variables included and just a few can excel on this activity.For us at Chiquita, a global company with geographic diversification, theuncertainties are even higher and planning becomes essential in order toreduce commercial and operational risks. It is important to highlight that ourcompany does not create value for society just trying to avoid risk, but ratherbeing prepared to take the risk of investing in new markets or business andplanning is a key-component of our ability to identify these opportunities.As a multinational company, we relied on a structured planning to developour holistic approach to the value chain and we implemented a vision basedon sustainable change: helping regions in which it invests, while providingall subsidiaries with sufficient independence to be part of the local economy.Local integration is based on the recognition that multinational enterpriseshave the potential to go beyond their businesses, helping the economy andlife of the local community while considering the environment.Chiquita’s strategic vision and execution was a cornerstone for being todaythe most recognized banana brand and a company that craves the best notonly for our shareholders, but all the stakeholders involved. We strive forthe safety and well-being of our employees and for the sustainability andefficiency of the farms that supply the best fruits quality to all our consumersworldwide.Biodiversity, women’s empowerment and child rights are consideredextremely important topics in Chiquita. We are committed to protectingand restoring forests and vital ecosystems. Good agricultural practices arealso used to minimize the impact of operations on biodiversity, for example,integrating precision agriculture with pest management. The companydefends women’s rights and seek to eliminate wage disparities, with zerotolerance for violence, discrimination and sexual harassment.We are currently living a crisis that has united the whole world more thanever. Socio-environmental responsibility of the agribusiness companies isextremely important for this moment. We commend the authors for the richFood and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 13

k/10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73content, this book contributes to a more responsible management of thebusiness with a view of the whole. It helps managers to rethink their actionsand seek more knowledge through strategic planning of the business.We at Chiquita believe that it is vital for continuing to provide our customerswith the best quality products and services, from end to end of the bananaproduction chain. We want to work with the spirit of doing well, respectingthe environment and everyone involved in our network. As leaders of theindustry, we are concerned with sustainability and welfare.Chiquita is participating in the project of this booksince the company believes that the tools providedin its chapters will enhance the capacity of food andagribusiness companies to face the challenges adto be prepared not only to understand, but to buildthe future.Chiquita14Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73CHAPTER 1Creating a strategic plan for afood chain: the ChainPlan method(framework)AbstractThe growing global demand for food, resulting from factors such as populationgrowth, economic development, income distribution and urbanisation,has persisted over the last ten years. However, many agribusiness chainswere not prepared for this continued growth. With the aim or organisingthese chains and implementing a strategic planning and managementprocess, the ChainPlan method was created in the early 2000s.Since then,several food and agribusiness chains in different countries have applied theupdated and improved version of this method. The ChainPlan frameworkis composed of a twelve-stage process. First, it involves understanding thecompany history and mapping its network; in the second and third steps,the external and internal environment are analysed for setting appropriategoals in the fourth stage. In step 5, the macro strategies for the chain aredesigned, and from steps 6 to 10 analysis and decisions regarding products,communication, distribution, human resources and governance should betaken. During stage 11 the projects identified in the preliminary steps areprioritised and budgeting action needs to be address; and the twelfth stepdeals with the implementation and management of the plan. The methodcan identify opportunities for collective actions to improve the industrysituation, enhance integration and efficiency in the supply chain, and identifyopportunities for joint activities, thus providing the vision of an applied netchain while also leading to more sustainability-oriented results.Keywords: planning, agribusiness, food chain, method, chain planText originally published in Review of Business Management– RBGN as Neves, M., Kalaki, R., Rodrigues, J. & Gray, A.(2019). Food and agribusiness chains strategic planningand management: the ChainPlan method (framework).Review of Business Management 21: cos Fava Neves (coordinator) et al. – Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmapDOI 10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 1, FoodWageningenAcademic Publishersand agribusinessin 2030:2020a roadmap 15

Chapter 1Creating a strategic plan for a food chain1.1 /book/10.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73The growing global demand for food resulting from factors such aspopulation growth, the economic development of populous nations, incomedistribution, and urbanisation has persisted over the last ten years. Importantchanges have taken place in the agribusiness sector to drive efficiency in thevarious global food networks. On the other hand, the dramatic rise in theglobal demand for biofuels continues to increase the pressure on grain andsugar production, agricultural land use, and other agribusiness functions.Consequently, many agribusiness chains are not prepared for this continuedgrowth. To face these changes in the international business environmentand increase opportunities for food and biofuels agribusiness chains, carefulsystematic strategic planning is essential (Neves, 2005).Neves (2008) developed a preliminary method for strategic planning andmanagement of food and agribusiness chains based on demands for projectsstarting in the early 2000s. From 2008 to 2018 (10 years), several food andagribusiness chains in different countries applied this method and in so doingprovided distinct contributions thus creating the need for improvementsand an update. This article describes the improved food and agribusinesschains strategic planning and management method (ChainPlan), based onseveral empirical applications, the most recent literature on agribusinesschains, and practical contributions provided by the private sector.There is an absence in the current literature of a common theoreticalframework with regard to value chains. This makes it impossible forgeneralisations to be made based on the different analyses and, thus, doesnot allow for comparisons between models (Clay & Feeney, 2019). TheChainPlan method seeks to help fill this gap by generating a replicable modelthat can be used to compare the most diverse value chains, allowing fora better understanding of the indicators needed to measure and evaluatecompetitiveness and performance in agribusiness chains.The article continues in the second section with the literature review thatcontributed to ChainPlan; the third section outlines the methodologyused to build the ChainPlan method, and the fourth section presents theChainPlan sequence of steps used to build a strategic plan. Finally, themanagerial implications are presented.16Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

Creating a strategic plan for a food chain Chapter 20/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.731.2 Literature review1.2.1 Agribusiness systems, chains, clusters, and networksIn the agribusiness context, numerous theories from the literaturecontribute to the analysis of food chains: Agribusiness Systems, Clusters,Networks, Supply Chains, Inter-organisational Relationships and Netchains,Transaction Cost Economics, Institutions, Collective Actions, and others.Davis and Goldberg (1957) started the studies in agribusiness, developingthe concept (business that involves agriculture) and the theory of theCommodity System Approach (CSA). In the eighties, Morvan (1985) andothers advanced Davis and Goldberg’s (1957) concepts and developed thetheory of Filière Agroalimentaire.An Agribusiness System is a macro analysis of a food product flow fromsuppliers (of inputs such as seeds, chemicals, and others), farmers, agroindustry, and distribution towards final consumers, comprising the followingkey elements for its descriptive analysis: agents, relationships betweenthem, sectors, supporting organisations, and the institutional environment(Batalha, 2009; Zylbersztajn & Neves, 2000).While the network comprises vertical, lateral, and horizontal relationshipsbetween independent entities, the production system emphasises verticalrelationships. Ménard (2002, p. 4) explains that ‘a network is a hybrid formof governance, and what is called an agribusiness system is a special case of anetwork.’ However, Omta et al. (2001, p. 2) state that ‘networks are seen as thetotal number of agents within an industry and/or between related industries,which can potentially work jointly to add value to customers.’ Therefore, thetheoretical model of the company’s network does not consider pure selfinterest as the determinant of behaviour; network theory emphasises thenormative and social structures in which exchanges are embedded (Watsonet al., 2015).The analysis of a network in which a focal firm operates is important inrapidly changing business environments that demand flexible, associativenetworks of functionally specialised firms, fused by cooperative relationshipsthat provide access to unique knowledge and resources (Wang et al., 2013).Network theory provides an excellent framework to understand howchanges in one part of the channel ecosystem affect other parts, such as thepropagation of inter-firm behaviours from one channel relationship to anadjacent one (Watson et al., 2015).Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap 17

Chapter 1Creating a strategic plan for a food 0.3920/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Lazzarini et al. (2001) integrate network and system concepts in an approachcalled netchains. The integration of these concepts enables organisationalinterdependencies within the network, different mechanisms of coordination(management plans, standardisation of process, and adjustments) andsources of value (operation and production optimisation, transaction costreduction, diversity, and co-specialisation of knowledge). Within a companynetwork, the way the industry relates to its producers and distributionchannels gives rise to the concept of a strictly coordinated agribusinesssubsystem that was proposed by Zylbersztajn & Farina (1999). A subsystemmust offer a product that meets the final consumer’s expectations. Thus, itis essential to manage the transactions between the links of the subsystem.In addition, producers can develop horizontal alliances to increase theirbargaining power and explore gains from collective action, which in asubsystem become an important aspect of coordination (Zylbersztajn &Farina, 1999).The way organisations gain and use their power and balance asymmetricaldependence determines channel structures and performance (Antia et al.,2013). As social exchange theory suggests, power refers to the ability toinfluence channel partners to take actions they would not take otherwise(Draganska et al., 2010). Power does not necessarily induce conflict; it isthe nature and sources of power that can aggravate the negative effects ofconflict on channel performance by increasing perceived unfairness (Samahaet al., 2011).In essence, the idea of company networks involves a level of analyses centredon one company that forms its network of distributors, suppliers, and others.Agribusiness systems and chains refer to the groups of companies that actin certain business flows. A coffee company builds its own network, and allthese networks together make the coffee agribusiness system or coffee chain.The ChainPlan method described here focuses on the chain (or system) levelfor a certain region’s poultry chain, coffee chain, orange juice chain, etc.1.2.2 Transaction cost economics and contractsTransaction cost economics (TCE) and contract theory literature contributeto the construction of the ChainPlan method. Coase (1937) states that acompany is a nexus of contracts. Williamson (1985) also claims a companyhas a governance (management) mechanism that ranges from arm’s lengthtransaction markets (pricing systems) to full vertical integration. Whenmarket failures create excessive costs, companies will choose verticalintegration over market transactions to source or sell (Rindfleisch & Heide,1997). With vertical integration, the organisation owns various elementsin the value chain. Different theoretical perspectives indicate distinctadvantages of this strategy, but typically the benefit hinges on lowering the18Food and agribusiness in 2030: a roadmap

0/978-90-8686-907-7 - Monday, November 02, 2020 1:08:16 AM - IP Address:189.5.211.73Creating a strategic plan for a food chain Chapter 1costs associated with channel exchanges (Watson et al., 2015). According toTCE, a vertically integrated firm may reduce costs incurred by bottlenecks inproduction, and increase efficiencies particularly in the presence of a marketfailure (Arya & Mittendorf, 2011).Hill (1990) states that by considering economic transactions in a widercontext it is possible to observe that the invisible hand of the market favoursactors whose behaviours tend towards cooperation rather than opportunism.Heide et al. (2007) proposed examining the effects of monitoring on interfirm relationships, and whether opportunism increases or decreases whenusing monitoring as a mechanism of control. Likewise, the punishmentof one member in a distribution network can reduce opportunism byintermediaries who observe that punishment to be both a deterrent and atrust-building process (Wang et al., 2013).TCE recognises uncertainty as exogenous disturbances affecting transactions(Zylbersztajn, 1996). According to Farina et al. (1997), uncertainty createsunforeseen circumstances that cannot be covered by contracts betweenparties.For Lusch & Brown (1996) and McNeil (1974), contracts are mechanismsthat regulate transactions and are used to reduce risks and uncertainties inexchange processes. Within this view, contractual arrangements can solvesome coordination problems but can also create others.In agribusiness systems, coordination between input suppliers, producers,and industry is part of a vertical coordination of production, which canbe improved with the design of contractual arrangements that minimisetransaction and production costs between agents from inputs to the finalconsumer. Similarly, if there are joint action gains between agents of the samelink, there may be better horizontal coordination of production, allowing theformation of associations and cooperatives to develop these actions.For Zylbersztajn & Farina (1999), incentive mechanisms are instruments thatcombine the self-interest of members with the goals of the organisation:by pursuing their own goals no matter what they are, the member ends uphelping the organisation to achieve its own.Chaddad & Rodriguez-Alcalá (2010) attempted to analyse interorganisational relationships in agri-food systems from a TCE perspectiveand their efficiency relative to alternative f

Agribusiness Management. He joined the agricultural economics faculty at Purdue University in August 1998. Allan currently holds the position of Land O’Lakes Chair in Food and Agribusiness. As director, Allan pr

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