Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center For Politics Race Poll

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Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsReuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollReuters/Ipsos poll conducted in conjunction with the University of Virginia Center for Politics9.11.2017These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted August 21 – September 5, 2017 on behalf of Thomson Reuters andthe University of Virginia Center for Politics. For the survey, a sample of roughly 5,360 adults age 18 from thecontinental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The sample included 2,255 Democrats, 1,915Republicans and 689 Independents.Q1. Which comes closest to your opinion?TotalConfederate monuments should be removed from all publicspaces (i.e. parks, public squares, court houses)Confederate monuments should remain in all public spaces (i.e.parks, public squares, court houses)Don’t know26%57%17%Q2. And when did you start to believe that.Confederate monuments should be removed from all public spaces?I’ve always felt this wayI’ve felt this way a long timeIn 2015, after South Carolina removed the Confederate flag fromits statehouseIn April of this year, after New Orleans decided to remove amonumentVery recently, after protests erupted in Charlottesville over theplanned removal of a Robert E. Lee statueOtherDon’t knowTotal28%30%15%3%18%3%3%Confederate monuments should remain in all public spaces?I’ve always felt this wayI’ve felt this way a long timeIn 2015, after South Carolina removed the Confederate flag fromits statehouseIn April of this year, after New Orleans decided to remove amonumentVery recently, after protests erupted in Charlottesville over theplanned removal of a Robert E. Lee statueOtherDon’t knowTotal57%14%5%4%11%5%5%

Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsQ3. Please indicate the extent to which you agree or disagree with the following statement.'Political correctness'threatens our liberty asAmericans to speak ourminds.America must protect andpreserve its WhiteEuropean heritage.Marriage should only beallowed between peopleof the same race.People of different racesshould be free to livewherever they choose.All races are equal.White people are currentlyunder attack in thiscountry.All races should be treatedequally.America must protect andpreserve its multi-culturalheritage.Racial minorities arecurrently under attack inthis country.StronglyagreeSomewhatagreeNeitheragree pport(Net)Oppose(Net)6%33%32%8%39%Q4. Do you support or oppose the following group or movement.?AntifaBlack Lives MatterThe alt-rightWhite nationalismNeo port %52%3%4%18%6%59%10%8%65%2%2%10%4%73%9%4%77%

Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsQ5. Do you personally have.?Antifaanyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or %4%96%3%97%87%13%Black Lives Matteranyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or movementWhite nationalismanyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or movement

Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsThe alt-rightanyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or 2%98%2%98%91%9%Far-left protestersanyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or movementNeo Nazismanyone in your immediate family who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your extended family who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone among your close friends who is an activesupporter of the group or movementanyone among your acquaintances who is anactive supporter of the group or movementanyone in your neighborhood who is an activesupporter of the group or movementno one among your social connections who is anactive supporter of the group or movement

Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsMethodologyThese are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted August 21 – September 5, 2017 on behalf of Thomson Reuters andthe University of Virginia Center for Politics. For the survey, a sample of roughly 5,360 adults age 18 from thecontinental U.S., Alaska and Hawaii was interviewed online in English. The sample included 2,255 Democrats, 1,915Republicans and 689 Independents.The sample for this study was randomly drawn from Ipsos’s online panel (see link below for more info on “AccessPanels and Recruitment”), partner online panel sources, and “river” sampling (see link below for more info on theIpsos “Ampario Overview” sample method) and does not rely on a population frame in the traditional sense. Ipsosuses fixed sample targets, unique to each study, in drawing sample. After a sample has been obtained from theIpsos panel, Ipsos calibrates respondent characteristics to be representative of the U.S. Population using standardprocedures such as raking-ratio adjustments. The source of these population targets is U.S. Census 2013 AmericanCommunity Survey data. The sample drawn for this study reflects fixed sample targets on demographics. Post-hocweights were made to the population characteristics on gender, age, race/ethnicity, region, and education.Statistical margins of error are not applicable to online polls. All sample surveys and polls may be subject to othersources of error, including, but not limited to coverage error and measurement error. Where figures do not sum to100, this is due to the effects of rounding. The precision of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval.In this case, the poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 1.5 percentage points for all respondents. Ipsoscalculates a design effect (DEFF) for each study based on the variation of the weights, following the formula of Kish(1965). This study had a credibility interval adjusted for design effect of the following (n 5,360, DEFF 1.5, adjustedConfidence Interval 3.0).The poll has a credibility interval of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points for Democrats, plus or minus 2.6percentage points for Republicans and plus or minus 4.3 percentage points for Independents.For more information about conducting research intended for public release or Ipsos’ online polling methodology,please visit our Public Opinion Polling and Communication page where you can download our brochure, see ourpublic release protocol, or contact us.

Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race PollPrepared by Ipsos Public AffairsHow to Calculate Bayesian Credibility IntervalsThe calculation of credibility intervals assumes that Y has a binomial distribution conditioned on the parameter θ\,i.e., Y θ Bin(n,θ), where n is the size of our sample. In this setting, Y counts the number of “yes”, or “1”, observedin the sample, so that the sample mean (y ̅) is a natural estimate of the true population proportion θ. This model isoften called the likelihood function, and it is a standard concept in both the Bayesian and the Classical framework.The Bayesian 1 statistics combines both the prior distribution and the likelihood function to create a posteriordistribution. The posterior distribution represents our opinion about which are the plausible values for θ adjustedafter observing the sample data. In reality, the posterior distribution is one’s knowledge base updated using thelatest survey information. For the prior and likelihood functions specified here, the posterior distribution is also abeta distribution (π(θ/y) β(y a,n-y b)), but with updated hyper-parameters.Our credibility interval for θ is based on this posterior distribution. As mentioned above, these intervals representour belief about which are the most plausible values for θ given our updated knowledge base. There are differentways to calculate these intervals based on π(θ/y). Since we want only one measure of precision for all variables inthe survey, analogous to what is done within the Classical framework, we will compute the largest possiblecredibility interval for any observed sample. The worst case occurs when we assume that a 1 and b 1 and y n/2.Using a simple approximation of the posterior by the normal distribution, the 95% credibility interval is given by,approximately:For this poll, the Bayesian Credibility Interval was adjusted using standard weighting design effect 1 L 1.3 toaccount for complex weighting2Examples of credibility intervals for different base sizes are below. Ipsos does not publish data for base sizes(sample sizes) below 100.Sample size2,0001,5001,000750500350200100Credibility intervals2.52.93.54.15.06.07.911.2

Sep 11, 2017 · Reuters/Ipsos/UVA Center for Politics Race Poll Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted in conjunction with the University of Virginia Center for Politics 9.11.2017 These are findings from an Ipsos poll conducted August 21 – September 5, 2017 on behalf of Thomson Reuters and the Uni

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