Demand Forecast Communication To Industry

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The Nation’s Combat Logistics Support AgencyEstablished 1961Demand ForecastCommunication toIndustryDecember 2020WARFIGHTER ALWAYS

Forecast Environment DLA supports the national defense strategy of rebuilding militaryreadiness and reforming the Department’s business practices forgreater performance and affordability via;– Focused investments that increase material availability/readiness, supporthigh inventory turns and generate cash for investing in priority needs; while– continuing to reduce stock levels– continuing DLA’s drive to increase efficiency and cost consciousness Continued focus on cash management while increasing readiness– Continuing pursuit of CARES Act funding COVID Uncertainty– Impact to Military Service operations & requirement demands– Continued or potential increased support to Nation’s pandemic response(HHS, Nursing homes, Rapid Testing, Vaccine Distribution (if approved))Briefer: Mr. ScottWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS2

Business OpportunityDLA Contract Obligations ( Billions) 50.00 45.46 43.19 45.00 38.00 41.61 36.23 40.00 35.00 44.18 33.93 35.72 34.95 30.00 32.28 36.16 30.91FY18-20Average 44B 30.24 25.00 20.00 15.00 10.00 5.00 - 2008FY20 Overall Contract Obligations - 41B 3rd consecutive year over 40BFY20 Small business spend - 15B Exceeded goal 8th consecutive yearFY20 AbilityOne spend - 402M; #3 Agency in Federal Government by spendContinue balancing readiness and cash management & efficiency2009Briefer: Mr. Beebe201020112012201320142015WARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS201620172018201920203

Demand ProjectionBottom Line Up Front Review of past sales trends indicate– Decrease in the Hardware supply chains COVID-19 impacts Industrial Hardware items moved to Aviation and Land– Slight increase in the Troop Support supply chains Input from Services at the 2020 Service ReadinessDemand Planning Summit – FY21 demand anticipated to be in line with FY19 FY21 demand projected to be – 7.8% higher than FY20 for Hardware– 7.8% higher than FY20 for Energy– 1.8% higher than FY20 for Troop SupportBriefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYSBy Military Service:Army: 3.6%Navy Air: 1.8%Navy Sea:- 4.5%Air Force: 5.4%Marines:- 3.5%4

Sales Trends by Supply ChainHardwareFY17FY18FY19FY20FY17FY18FY19- 5% fromFY20- 22% fromFY19FY19 3.41B 3.74B 3.74BFY17FY18FY19 3.54BFY20 .46BFY17 .45BFY18 .40BFY19- 7% from 1.52B 1.68B 1.57BFY20-3% fromFY19FY19 1.41B .31B 1.27B 1.42B 1.47B 1.42BHardware Sales s down 6% from FY19Briefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS5

Sales Trends by Supply ChainTroop SupportFY17FY18FY19FY20FY17FY18FY19FY20 5% 5%from FY19from FY19 1.51B 1.57B 1.68B 1.77B 3.20B 4.40B 5.62B 5.89B*FY17FY18FY19FY20FY17FY18FY19FY20- 2% from 2%FY19 6.70B 6.79B 7.32B 7.15Bfrom FY19 2.51B 2.98B 2.59B 2.65BTroop Support Demand s up 1% from FY19FY20 COVID Sales – C&T: 85M, C&E: 395M, Medical: 88M, Subsistence: 95MBriefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS6

Projected Future DemandHardwareChange in Demand sService-Shared Data NDAA WeaponsFocus and COVID-19Recovery FY21 7.8%FY21: 487M7.8% inincreasein demandFY21Two Years25.7% IncreaseDemandCapturedexpectedOver theinNextAnticipate increased orders to industry beginning March/April ‘21Briefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS7

Projected Future DemandTroop SupportClothing & TextilesConstruction & EquipmentFY21: 6% 107MFY21: -6.5%- 381MMedicalSubsistenceFY21: 8.5% 611MAnticipated DemandProjected IncreaseFY21: -1%- 31MProjected DecreaseActual DemandOverall 1.8% increase in demand expected in FY21C&T: 6%, C&E: -6.5%, Medical: 8.5%, Subsistence: -1%Briefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS8

Projected Future DemandEnergyNET SALES OF PETROLEUM(MILLIONS U.S. 5610 820192020Petroleum Sales returning to FY19 levels for FY21Briefer: Maj. Gen. DayWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS9

Service AcquisitionMedicalServices, 2M TransportationServices, 15MService Contracts Spend ( tionServices, 592MFY17FY18FY19EquipmentRelatedServices, 214MLogisticsManagementServices, 165MFacilitiesRelatedServices, 311MResearch andDevelopment, 100MKnowledgeBased Services, 355MFY20FY20 Service ContractPortfolio SpendAnticipate a continued decline in spendBriefer: Ms. BanksWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS10

MSC Demand ForecastCommunication to Industry MSCs will provide opportunity forecast via Industry Association event and/orother method MSC Communication plan– Aviation – Virtual Supplier Conference, DoD sponsored Industry Conferences, SmallBusiness Training – Knowledge, and Opportunity Webinars; Supplier Relationship Managerengagements with Strategic Supplier Alliances– Land & Maritime – Supplier Conference, DoD sponsored Industry Conferences, SmallBusiness Training – Knowledge, and Opportunity Webinars; Supplier Relationship Managerengagements with Strategic Supplier Alliances– Troop Support – Presented at Joint Advanced Planning Brief for Industry and separate webpostings– Energy – Separate web posting and Quarterly Newsletters to Suppliers– Distribution – Virtual Industry Day (tentative, Jun 9, 2021), Jan 2021 Business OpportunitiesForecast posting– Disposition Services – Separate web postings and advance notice of forecasts for bothprocurements and public sales opportunities– Service Contracting – J6 Enterprise Technology Services (JETS) Industry Day, posting atDLA Industry Engagement website Opportunities will be posted EngagementPlan/DemandForecastBriefer: Mr. BeebeWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS11

What Now? Look for updated information on the below website and via DLASocial Media postings– https://www.dla.mil/HQ/Acquisition/ Learn how to business with DLA– https://www.dla.mil/SmallBusiness/ Learn about DLA’s Industry Engagement Program– rise-Industry/ Learn more about the DLA Supplier Satisfaction Survey!– agementPlan/DemandForecastBriefer: Mr. BeebeWARFIGHTER ALWAYSWARFIGHTERALWAYS12

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Dec 17, 2020 · MSC Demand Forecast Communication to Industry MSCs will provide opportunity forecast via Industry Association event and/or other method MSC Communication plan – Aviation – Virtual Supplier Conference, DoD sponsored Industry Conferences, Small Business Training – Knowledge, and Opportunity Webinars; Supplier Relationship Manager

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