SWOT Analysis: It's Time For A Product Recall

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Hill, Terry and Westbrook, RoySWOT analysis: it's time for a product recallHill, Terry and Westbrook, Roy, (1997) "SWOT analysis: it's time for a product recall" from Long RangePlanning 30 (1) pp.46-52, Oxford: Pergamon Staff and students of Anglia Ruskin University are reminded that copyright subsists in this extract and thework from which it was taken. This Digital Copy has been made under the terms of a CLA licence whichallows you to:* access and download a copy;* print out a copy;Please note that this material is for use ONLY by students registered on the course of study asstated in the section below. All other staff and students are only entitled to browse the material andshould not download and/or print out a copy.This Digital Copy and any digital or printed copy supplied to or made by you under the terms of thisLicence are for use in connection with this Course of Study. You may retain such copies after the end ofthe course, but strictly for your own personal use.All copies (including electronic copies) shall include this Copyright Notice and shall be destroyed and/ordeleted if and when required by Anglia Ruskin University.Except as provided for by copyright law, no further copying, storage or distribution (including by e-mail)is permitted without the consent of the copyright holder.The author (which term includes artists and other visual creators) has moral rights in the work and neitherstaff nor students may cause, or permit, the distortion, mutilation or other modification of the work, or anyother derogatory treatment of it, which would be prejudicial to the honour or reputation of the author.This is a digital version of copyright material made under licence from the rightsholder, and its accuracycannot be guaranteed. Please refer to the original published edition.Licensed for use for the course: "Strategic Management Analysis".Digitisation authorised by Sarah PackardISSN: 0024-6301

46SWOT Analysis: It's Time for aProduct RecallTerry Hill and Roy Westbrookand approachesused in the analysis of a company's strategic position.One of the most straightforward is the SWOT analysis,SWOT being an acronym for "strengths, weaknesses,opportunities and threats". The occasions to investigate empirically the use of such a tool are comparatively rare. This article presents the findings ofone such opportunity, being based on the use ofSWOT analyses in 20 UK manufacturing companiesin 1993-1994. The chance to undertake the researchcame out of a UK government initiative called theManufacturing Planning and Implementation (MPI)Scheme, which is explained in the following section.The remainder of the article is in four parts:THERE ARE VARIOUS FRAMEWORKSCl The MPI scheme.Cl SWOT analysis.o MPI SWOT findings The case database;The SWOT process;Content of SWOTs;Subsequent use of SWOT outputs.The attempt to improve the corporate strategydevelopment process has fostered a rangeof approaches which have enjoyed differentlevels of support and popularity over time. One ofthe most popular is the SWOT analysis. Thisarticle reports on an in-depth review of itsuse by consultants who included this as part oftheir approach to understanding a businessfrom a corporate perspective and as part of theDepartment of Trade and Industry'sManufacturing Planning and ImplementationScheme. Of the 50 companies reviewedwithin the scheme, over 20 companies used aSWOT involving 14 consulting companies. Allthe applications showed similarcharacteristics-long lists (over 40 factors onaverage), general (often meaningless)descriptions, a failure to prioritize and noattempt to verify any points. But the mostworrying general characteristic was that no-onesubsequently used the outputs within the laterstages ofthe strategy process. The continued useof the SWOT analysis, therefore, needs to bequestioned. 1997 Published by Elsevier ScienceLtd. All rights reservedThe MPI SchemeOver the last decade the Department of Trade andIndustr y (DTI) has launched a series of initiatives egy. The stated intent was made clear in the initialdesigned to stimulate technological innovation in UK DTI announcement, which required projects to:industry. One of the most recent of these initiatives"en hance advanced manufacturing technology (AMT) activitiesis the MPI scheme. The specific aim of this schemewithin consultancy, industrial, research and training comwas to relate advanced manufacturing technology tomunities in the UK by encouraging small and medium-sizedenterprises to adapt best practi ce in their application of AMT'smarket needs. A total of 140 small- and medium-sizedby strategically planning and implementing AMT's for comenterprises have taken part in this scheme, whichpet itive advantage".came to an end in December 1994.This statement shows the influence of the body ofThe aim of the scheme was to support the development of the client company 's manufacturing strat- research into manufacturing strategy, which hasPergamonPII: 50024-6301(96)00095-7Long Range Planning, Vol. 30, No. 1, pp. 46 to 52, 1997 1997 Published by Elsevier Science LtdPrinted in Great Britain. All rights reserved0024-6301/97 17.00 0.00

47increasingly emphasized the need to prioritize investments in manufacturing according to the needs of acompany's markets.1A major part of each project was to complete astrategic review, the importance of which wasexplicitly emphasized in the guidelines issued toadvisers:"the key to any project is the analysis phase which challenges acompany's assumptions regarding its business, markets, competitors and why products are chosen by customers."However, the scheme guidelines did not indicate theanalytical methods to be used. The choice of methodwas assumed to be the task of the consultants whowere hired under the scheme, and whose selectionwas the responsibility of the firm which then soughtgrant support. Most major consultants which offerservices to manufacturing companies in the UK tookpart. Although some consultancy companies wereclassed as small, over 40% were categorized as beinglarge international firms. Furthermore, in allinstances the consultancy companies were requiredto register with the scheme contractors and, as part ofthe registration procedure, were required to demonstrate that they could deliver the necessary rangeof capabilities to complete the tasks identified in thescheme guidelines. High on this provision was theneed to show that they had the personnel to undertakethe initial corporate strategy developments called forin each project.Research MethodA unique feature ofthe MPI scheme was the inclusionof an analytical co-ordination (AC) role, undertakenby a group of operations management academics(including the present authors), whose task was toanalyse the methods used by consultants workingwith client companies to meet the aims of the scheme.The AC team conducted in-depth reviews of 50 ofthese projects, for which they were permitted fullaccess to all personnel involved and all relevant dataand documentation. The reviews all involved:r:JSeveral site visits for each project over a numberof months.r:JClose comparative analysis of documents andreports relating to a project.0 Structured interviews with company executivesand consulting advisers.r:JAdditional analyses on primary data, includingconsultants' time sheets.SWOT AnalysisIt could be claimed that strategic planning in general,and the SWOT analysis in particular, have their mutual origins in the work of business policy academicsat Harvard Business School and other American business schools from the 1960s onwards. The work ofKenneth Andrews2 '3 has been especially influential inpopularizing the idea that good strategy means ensuring a fit between the external situation a firm faces(threats and opportunities) and its own internal qualities or characteristics (strengths and weaknesses).Manufacturing strategy can be seen as reflecting thisidea of fit in functional termsYThere have, of course, been other subsequentapproaches to strategy formation which urge differentthinking, most importantly the work of Porter.6 · 7 Yetthis SWOT-type analysis of internal and externalassessment and seeking a fit between the two perspectives has remained popular. Modern textbookson strategy still feel obliged to include SWOT, evenif they have reservations about its application.8 Andit seems likely to survive even so eloquent a critic asHenry Mintzberg9 who sees SWOT as underlying allattempts to formalize the strategy making process. Hedubs the ideas of Andrews et al. as "the designschool" because of its "belief that strategy formationis a process of conception" and involves "the useof a few basic ideas to design strategy". Of courseMintzberg is concerned to advance a thesis that strategic planning of this type has failed, and has beensupplanted by a better understanding of how humansthink and create, what managers really do and howorganizations learn. And he quotes much evidence insupport of this view. All the more surprising then thatSWOT, as we shall see, is alive if not exactly well.It is worth noting here that proponents of SWOTand there are still many-do not see it as mere listmaking. A strategy textbook revered enough to be ina 5th edition shows how SWOT lists should beenhanced by weighting and commenting upon thedifferent factors in the list,10 and there are other proponents who prescribe SWOT as a rigorous analyticaltool. 11 But these advocates all maintain a clear distinction between external factors (threats and opportunities) and internal viewpoints (strengths andweaknesses), and on the need for the testing ofassumptions.MPI SWOT FindingsThis section presents the findings of the MPI schemeand is in four parts: the case database; the SWOTprocess; content of SWOTs; subsequent use of SWOToutputs.As a consequence, this task offered a unique researchopportunity, both because of the number of projects The Case Databasewithin a single research theme and also the quality of Of the 50 companies analysed by the AC team, 20used SWOT in whole or in part. No other mode ofaccess to all relevant data.Long Range Planning Vol. 30February 1997

-------------analysis was as popular with the consultants, who are 0 The terms used to describe factors were generaland often vague, e.g. 'value for money', 'pervery well represented in the 2 0 cases-14 differentformance' and so on.consulting companies were involved. The 20 companies also represent various sectors: food, textiles, 0 No analysis or verification of any point was underclothing, pottery and a range of types of engineering.taken.Clearly SWOT is a technique widely used by differentconsulting companies and is felt by them to be of 0 All points were universal, i.e. assumed to applyequally to all products, functions and markets.general applicability.0 After the listswere produced, the consultantsmade their own list, which differed significantlyfrom those of company personnel. But there hadbeen no onsite work by the consultant in theinterim and no explanation of the differencesbetween the lists was offered.The SWOT ProcessIn order to leave the research environment as undisturbed as possible, members of the AC team undertook their first site visit when the analysis phase wascomplete or almost complete. As a result, we werenot present at any occasion when a SWOT analysiswas actually carried out, but we were able to questionboth clients and consultants on the process they wentthrough to complete this task. The evidence is notcomplete-some memories were vague or contradictory. However, we saw that there were broadlythree approaches:1. An individual clientAs the remainder of this section shows, theseelements were typical of the SWOTs undertaken inthe MPI scheme.Content of SWOTsTable 1 summarizes some of the data under this heading. Of the 20 companies, 16 conducted full SWOTanalyses. In the remaining 4 companies only a partialSWOT was done (e.g. only lists of strengths and weaknesses were produced).A method of analysis assumes a certain rigour andprecision. We obtained the actual SWOT analysesproduced and analysed them to investigate the valuethese lists might have as a foundation for developingmanufacturing strategy. We sought answers to thesequestions:company's senior managerundertakes the analysis alone, or a consultant doesit himself after discussion with senior managers.2. Several senior managers of a company wouldundertake individual SWOTs, which are then collated. This collation may or may not then be followed by a meeting in which a communal SWOTis agreed.3. The SWOT is the output from a meeting or meetings of managers, who all contribute to the final 0 How many items were listed as strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats?analysis. The meeting may be facilitated by theconsultant or a client company employee.0 How precise were they?We were quoted examples of each of these variations.The points to make are: that in each case the consultant suggested SWOT analysis (except in one case,where the client carried out one on its own initiative);that the process of producing the SWOT was alsorecommended by the consultant; that in at least oneway the process influenced the content-where several managers undertook individual SWOTs manymore items were listed.An example of this will illustrate some of the process issues. One company in our sample held a SWOTanalysis workshop on a single day. The workshopattendees were divided into four groups, one groupconsisting of senior personnel and directors, the otherthree groups containing a mix of participants. Eachgroup was required to produce a review of the company's perceived 'order winners and qualifiers', 1 anda SWOT analysis. This led to a list of 52 order-winnersand qualifiers and 122 SWOT factors. We need tonote several points about this process and its outputswhich illustrate our concerns about the SWOTapproach as currently used, and which are replicatedin several other of our company examples:SWOT Analysis: It's Time for a Product Recall0How were they weighted or prioritized?0 How were they used subsequently?Table 1 gives a breakdown of the number of factorsidentified as strengths, weaknesses, opportunitiesand threats, and Figure 1 shows the data from Table1(A) as a histogram. This shows that generally quitelong lists were produced, with 10 SWOTS containingover 40 factors each, an average of 10 factors per category. Four SWOTS had over 70 factors identified.Also worthy of note perhaps is the range, from 11total factors to 216. At the upper end (Companies Eand J) the high numbers reflect the fact that largegroups of managers contributed to the list, either jointly in a workshop or providing separate analyses. Thenumber of factors per SWOT category is shown inTable 2. It shows that, on average, companies identified more weaknesses than strengths, but perceivedslightly more opportunities than threats.We have seen that textbooks suggest that the makingof these lists, though important in itself, is only a firststep. There is a need to allocate relative importanceto the individual factors, especially when the lists are

49TABLE 1. Number of factors identified in each SWOTSWOTNumber ofstrengthsCompanyNumber ofNumber ofweaknesses opportunitiesNumber ofthreatsTotal(A) Number of factors identified in each ly 1992July 1993cDEEExternal based oncustomer porateFor 7 individual productsUK marketExport marketDivision ADivision BDivision CDivision DDivision ETotalLess two part SWOTsNet 1243122163115834440234171175175(8) Number of factors indentified in part SWOTs or SWOTs completed by individual managers1Q2RRRRRR3456789101112RRRsGroupManager AManager BManager CManager DManager EManager FManager GManager H59956323744Total75Tvery long. Yet in all but one case, the lists werenot prioritized, grouped (other than under the fourheadings: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities andthreats), weighted or sequenced in any way. The onestructured list had four sub-categories (products;product management; markets; marketing and sales)within each of the four SWOT headings.We also undertook verbal analysis of the SWOToutputs and the main finding is that the items listedare all extremely brief in expression , often only threeor four-word phrases. For example, company N(SWOT 19) used four groups to develop SWOTs andhad 122 items in all (95 net of repetition 925111618461412111249244groups). They listed 38 weaknesses (net), using onaverage 4.3 words to describe each factor. Here andelsewhere, the factors are very general points, e.g.weaknesses such as 'high stocks', 'long lead times','not innovative enough', ' poor quality ' and so on. Alsovery few factors were made more explicit by the use ofnumerical data. Related to this sketchiness are threeother main findings:(J The consultants rarely challenged or sought clarification of the points raised. They merely recordedthe points and listed them under each heading.No independent verification was carried out onany SWOT issue.Long Range Planning Vol. 30February1997

5010(/)Q)9(/) 87cro 67ro1-0s:(/)0054322z0-1011-2021-3031-4041-5051-60 61-7071-8081-90 91-100100 No. of factors in each full SWOT (25 total)FIGURE 1. Distribution of number of factors in SWOT analyses.TABLE 2. Number of factors per SWOT categoryNo. of factors listedNo. of occasionsNo. of 510.80 Where the same point was recorded under two ormore categories (e.g. as both a 'strength' and a'weakness'), no reconciliation was made toexplain the apparent contradiction.Conclusion: Time for a ProductRecallOur principal conclusion has to be that, from the evi0 The distinction between internal (strengths and dence given above, SWOT as deployed in these comweaknesses) and external (threats and oppor- panies was ineffective as a means of analysis or astunities) was not always preserved.part of a corporate strategy review. Indeed, it is argu0 The many general points remained general, i.e. able that this SWOT activity and its outputs do notthey were assumed to apply equally to all products constitute analysis at all, for they do not go beyondor all markets. No process of increasing the pre- description, and description only in the most generalterms. In these circumstances it is not only unsurcision of the SWOTs was undertaken.prising that the outputs were largely not used in subsequentstages of the project, but it can be argued thatSubsequent Use of SWOT OutputsIn only three instances was the SWOT output used in the general lack of further use is consistent with theirsubsequent MPI project work. These three companies apparent intent-to raise a general debate, using genused the SWOT as inputs to a new mission statement, eral terms and without the need to link the analysis toas part of the inputs to an action plan and as input to application. The most positive outcomes were simplya strategy workshop. In the remaining cases the SWOT the familiarization of the consultant with some comwas not used at any time by the company or con- pany issues and/or the initiation of company persultants following its completion. In one company sonnel into a discussion process. This would have(which is not included in this review) a record of the been valuable if the process was followed up, listsSWOT analysis could no longer be found at the time were structured and prioritized, points were valiof our investigation. The consultant explained that it dated or investigated further. But as we have seen,had only been used as a method of initiating in most cases this did not happen. The projectscontinued and some subsequent analyses (especiallydiscussion.Long Range Planning Vol. 30February1997

51customer surveys) were carried out, but hardly everwith reference to the preceding SWOT.Yet consulting time was spent (and fees charged) infacilitating this activity and clients did not directlyquestion its value. SWOT seems to survive, and beaccepted, as merely a way of structuring a list, a pegon which to hang a wide-ranging group discussionabout a company's strategic position. But strategicassessment requires substantial analysis, and SWOTwas not, in these instances, used as a true mode ofanalysis. SWOT survives, we suggest, because it isvery straightforward and requires little preparationon anyone's part-hence its popularity as an early,even the first, activity in a consulting project.The outputs delivered using this approach lackedrelevance and afforded inadequate insights. Theresults were uniformly of little value in terms of corporate strategy development. The question then to beconsidered is, what are the origins of this inadequacy?Was it the fault of the consultants and their clients,or the fault of SWOT itself?The relevance and usefulness of any approach is inpart related to the ability of those involved. Unlesstheir understanding of how an application should bemade, together with the ability to undertake the workin a rigorous and meaningful way, then the outcomeswill be less than adequate. It is reasonable to expectthat the size of the adviser firm and client companyin which an application was made have a bearing onthe adequacy of the outputs which result. Larger firmswould have more professional management andlarger consultancies invest more in the training oftheir personnel. Conversely, if the adviser firms andclient companies were mainly small, then this mayaffect the professional competence of those involvedand the quality of the work undertaken. But we arenot dealing only with small companies advised bysmall consulting firms. The size of company eligiblewithin the scheme could be up to 500 employeesand 27 of the 66 consultancy firms were classed asinternational with fee levels reflecting their size andreputation-typically upwards of 750/day with ahigh of 1200/day. These are well represented in ourdata-indeed the larger consulting companies tendedto undertake more than one MPI project, and showedthe same fondness for SWOT as other firms.It could be argued that there is perhaps no reasonwhy SWOT could not still be valuable-especially ifundertaken with more rigour, challenging of assumptions and subsequent validation and investigation.One example alone will suffice to show what mighthave been done. One of our examples concerned afood company with a dominant customer (X) takingmore than 50% of the company output. On theirSWOT analysis, strengths include "the value of ourcontract with X", while among the weaknesses are"over-reliance on company X". Here, where the samepoint is raised as a strength and a weakness, the con-SWOT Analysis: It's Time for a Product Recalltradiction in itself could have been a spur to analyticalaction. In what circumstances was it a strength andin what circumstances a weakness? What conditionswere needed for over-reliance to do harm, and whatactions to avert that? What was the most plausibletimescale for reduction of this dependence? Or whatactions might increase the closeness to the customerto ensure this factor became a more importantstrength? But these questions were not raised-bothconsultant and client were content with the singlelevel of analysis.In summary, there are other fundamental concernsabout the intrinsic nature of SWOT analysis:D The length of the lists.D No requirement to prioritize or weight the factorsidentified.DUnclear and ambiguous words and phrases.D No resolution of conflicts (as with the examplegiven in the preceding paragraph).D No obligation to verify statements and opinionswith data or analyses.D Single level of analysis is all that is required.DNo logical link with an implementation phase.There is therefore a lack of rigour in SWOT becausethere is no inherent requirement to overcome any ofthese weaknesses.There are also perhaps certain assumptionsembodied in the SWOT approach which lead to theseweaknesses. SWOT was developed in an era of stablemarkets, and there is an argument that today's markets are unsuited to the inherent rationale of theSWOT approach. The dynamic nature of demand andthe increasing proliferation of segments has resultedin markets which are characterized by diversity ratherthan homogeneity, and instability is the predominantcharacteristic.Yet SWOT, like many overviewapproaches used in strategy, aims to solve strategicproblems by reviewing companies as wholes, overlaying corporate diversity with generic solutions.Such arguments are perhaps seductive in their apparent offerings, since the promise of uniformity mayappeal to those with the task of developing strategiesfor businesses with increasingly diverse markets. Infact, such approaches purport to identify a corporatesimilarity which, though desirable, is no longer available. According to this view then, SWOT as currentlydeployed cannot be an effective tool of analysis in the1990s. On balance, we feel our evidence offers somesupport to this conclusion.One criticism that might be levelled at academicsis that we never do any product recalls. Ideas andapproaches which were useful once may continue tohave an influence in the field long after they haveserved their purpose. Outmoded ideas, therefore, may

52hold an unmerited position in the thinking used ineducation, management development, consultancyand in the real world of managing businesses. Notonly does this lead to poor results and bad practicebut may actually inhibit the take-up of newer andbetter approaches. It may be time to relinquish ourfondness for SWOT analysis which seems now tohave passed its sell-by date.References1. T. J. Hill, Manufacturing Strategy: Text and Cases, Macmillan, Basingstoke (1995).2. K. R. Andrews, The Concept of Corporate Strategy, Irwin, Homewood, IL (1971).3. K. R. Andrews, The Concept of Corporate Strategy, 2nd Edition, Irwin, Homewood, IL(1980).4. W. Skinner, Manufacturing-missing link in corporate strategy, Harvard Business Review47 (3), 136-145 (1969).5. W. Skinner, The focused factory, Harvard Business Review 52 (3), 113-121 (1974).6. M. E. Porter, Competitive Strategy: Techniques for Analysing Industry and Competitors,The Free Press, New York (1980).7. M. E. Porter, Competitive Advantage: Creating and Sustaining Superior Performance, TheFree Press, New York (1985).8. C. Bowman, The Essence of Strategic Management, Prentice Hall, Hemel Hempstead(1990).9. H. Minzberg, The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning, Prentice Hall, Hemel Hempstead(1994).Dr Terry Hill is a Pro fessor at London Busi ness School, UK.10. T. L. Wheelen and J.D. Hunger, Strategic Management and Business Policy, 5th Edition,Chap. 6, Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA (1995).11. H. Weirich, The tows matrix-a tool for situational analysis, Long Range Planning, April,60 (1982).Dr Roy Westbrook isAssociate Professor ofOperationsManagementatLondonBusiness School andChairman of the SloanMasters Programme.SWOT Analysis: It's Time for a Product Recall

SWOT analyses in 20 UK manufacturing companies in 1993-1994. The chance to undertake the research came out of a UK government initiative called the Manufacturing Planning and Implementation (MPI) Scheme, which is explained in the following section. The remainder of the article is in four parts: Cl The MPI scheme. Cl

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