Public Utility Commission Of Texas

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Public Utility Commissionof TexasAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation,Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 FinalNovember 5, 2013Project Number 40891

Public Utility Commission ofTexasAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation,Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 FinalNovember 5, 2013Project Number 40891www.tetratech.comiiAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

TABLE OF CONTENTS1. Executive Summary . 1-11.11.21.31.4Methodology OverviewKey findings1.2.1 Evaluated savings1.2.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsRecommendations1.3.1 Program tracking1.3.2 Program documentation1.3.3 Savings 161-172. Introduction . 2-12.1Report Organization2-23. Evaluation Approach . 3-13.13.23.33.43.5Understanding Portfolios3.1.1 Meetings3.1.2 Utility staff interviews3.1.3 Program documentation and tracking data reviewCreating the EM&V DatabaseImplementing Impact Evaluations3.3.1 Tracking system and desk reviews3.3.2 Uncertainty rankingCost Effectiveness TestingReporting3-13-13-23-23-23-23-33-43-53-64. Impact Evaluation Results—American Electric Power Texas CentralCompany. 4-14.14.24.3Key Findings4.1.1 Evaluated savings4.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial4.2.1 Commercial standard offer4.2.2 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential4.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program4.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program4.3.3 Residential market transformation4.3.4 Targeted Low-Income Energy Efficiency Program4-14-14-34-44-44-64-74-74-84-94-10iiiAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

4.44.5Detailed Findings—Load Management4.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer ProgramDetailed Findings—Pilots4.5.1 A/C Distributor Pilot Market Transformation Program (Residential)4.5.2 CoolSaver A/C Tune-Up Market Transformation Program(Nonresidential)4.5.3 CoolSaver A/C Tune-Up Market Transformation Program (Residential)4.5.4 SMART Source Solar PV Market Transformation Program(Nonresidential)4.5.5 SMART Source Solar PV Market Transformation Program (Residential)4-124-124-124-124-134-144-154-165. Impact Evaluation Results—American Electric Power Texas NorthCompany. 5-15.15.25.35.45.5Key findings5.1.1 Evaluated savings5.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial5.2.1 Commercial standard offer5.2.2 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential5.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program5.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program5.3.3 Targeted Low-Income Energy Efficiency ProgramDetailed Findings—Load Management5.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer ProgramDetailed Findings—Pilots5.5.1 A/C Distributor Pilot Market Transformation Program (Residential)5.5.2 SMART Source Solar PV Market Transformation Program(Nonresidential)5.5.3 SMART Source Solar PV Market Transformation Program 15-115-115-125-136. Impact Evaluation Results—CenterPoint Energy Houston Electric, LLC . 6-16.16.26.3Key Findings6.1.1 Evaluated savings6.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial6.2.1 Commercial standard offer6.2.2 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential6.3.1 Residential and Small Commercial Standard Offer Program6.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program6-16-16-36-46-46-56-66-66-7ivAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

6.46.56.3.3 Residential market transformation6.3.4 Low-income market transformationDetailed Findings—Load Management6.4.1 Large Commercial Load Management Standard Offer ProgramDetailed Findings—Pilots6.5.1 Advanced Lighting Commercial Program6.5.2 Advanced Lighting Residential Program6-96-126-146-146-146-146-157. Impact Evaluation Results—El Paso Electric Company . 7-17.17.27.37.47.5Key Findings7.1.1 Evaluated savings7.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial7.2.1 Commercial Standard Offer Program7.2.2 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential7.3.1 Residential market transformation7.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Solutions Market Transformation ProgramDetailed Findings—Load Management7.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer ProgramDetailed Findings—Pilots7.5.1 PV/Solar Pilot Market Transformation Program (Nonresidential)7.5.2 PV/Solar Pilot Market Transformation Program (Residential)7.5.3 Rebate Pilot Market Transformation 7-127-138. Impact Evaluation Results—Entergy Texas, Inc. . 8-18.18.28.38.4Key Findings8.1.1 Evaluated savings8.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial8.2.1 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential8.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program8.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program8.3.3 ENERGY STAR Homes Market Transformation Program8.3.4 Home Performance with ENERGY STAR Market TransformationProgramDetailed Findings—Load Management8.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer Program8-18-18-38-38-38-48-48-58-68-78-88-89. Impact Evaluation Results—Oncor . 9-1vAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

9.19.29.39.4Key Findings9.1.1 Evaluated savings9.1.2 Cost-effectiveness resultsDetailed Findings—Commercial9.2.1 Commercial standard offer9.2.2 Commercial market transformationDetailed Findings—Residential9.3.1 Residential standard offer9.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program9.3.3 Targeted Weatherization LI Standard Offer Program9.3.4 Residential market transformationDetailed Findings—Load Management9.4.1 Commercial Load Management Standard Offer . Impact Evaluation Results—Southwestern Electric Power Company . 10-110.1 Key Findings10.1.1 Evaluated savings10.1.2 Cost-effectiveness results10.2 Detailed Findings—Commercial10.2.1 Commercial standard offer10.2.2 Commercial Solutions Market Transformation Program10.2.3 SCORE Market Transformation Program10.3 Detailed Findings—Residential10.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program10.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program10.3.3 Home avers10.4 Detailed Findings—Load Management10.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer Program10.5 Detailed Findings—Pilots10.5.1 CoolSaver A/C Tune-Up Market Transformation Program10.5.2 Small Business Direct Install Pilot Market Transformation Program10.5.3 SMART Source Solar PV Market Transformation 810-910-910-1010-1010-1110-1111. Impact Evaluation Results—Texas New Mexico Power Company . 11-111.1 Key Findings11.1.1 Evaluated savings11.1.2 Cost-effectiveness results11.2 Detailed Findings—Commercial11.2.1 Large Commercial Standard Offer Program11.2.2 Commercial market transformation11.3 Detailed viAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

11.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program11.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program11.3.3 ENERGY STAR New Homes Market Transformation11.3.4 Low Income Weatherization11.4 Detailed Findings—Load Management11.4.1 Load Management11-511-611-711-811-911-912. Impact Evaluation Results—Southwestern Public Service Company. 12-112.1 Key findings12.1.1 Evaluated savings12.1.2 Cost-effectiveness results12.2 Detailed Findings—Commercial12.2.1 Commercial standard offer12.3 Detailed Findings—Residential12.3.1 Residential Standard Offer Program12.3.2 Hard-to-Reach Standard Offer Program12.3.3 Low-Income Weatherization12.4 Detailed Findings—Load Management12.4.1 Load Management Standard Offer 813. Recommendations . 13-113.1 Program Tracking13.1.1 Background—program tracking requests and reconciliation13.1.2 Key findings and recommendations13.2 Program Documentation13.2.1 Background—program documentation requests13.2.2 Key findings and recommendations13.3 Savings Calculations13.4 IX A:Data Management Process . A-1APPENDIX B:Desk Review Template . B-1APPENDIX C:Detailed Sampling and Methodology . C-1C.1C.2C.3C.4C.5C.6C.7Commercial Standard Offer ProgramsCommercial Market Transformation ProgramsResidential Standard Offer ProgramsResidential Market Transformation ProgramsLow-income/Hard-to-Reach ProgramsLoad Management ProgramsPV/Solar ProgramsC-1C-2C-4C-5C-6C-7C-8viiAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

APPENDIX D:Cost-effectiveness Calculations . D-1D.1 ApproachD.1.1 Savings-to-Investment RatioAPPENDIX E:D-1D-3QA/QC Protocols . E-1List of TablesTable 1-1. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings—Total Portfolio . 1-4Table 1-2. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings—Total Portfolio . 1-5Table 1-3. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings—CommercialSector . 1-5Table 1-4. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings—Commercial Sector. 1-6Table 1-5. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings—Residential Sector. 1-7Table 1-6. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings—Residential Sector. 1-7Table 1-7. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings—Load Management. 1-8Table 1-8. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings—Load Management. 1-9Table 1-9. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings—Pilots . 1-9Table 1-10. Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings—Pilots . 1-10Table 1-11. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Total Portfolio . 1-11Table 1-12. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Commercial Sector. 1-11Table 1-13. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Residential Sector . 1-12Table 1-14. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Low-income Sector . 1-13Table 1-15. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Load Management Sector . 1-13Table 1-16. Program Year 2012 Cost-effectiveness Results—Pilot Sector . 1-14Table 3-1. Cost-effectiveness Model Inputs and Sources . 3-5Table 4-1. AEP TCC Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 4-1viiiAnnual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report—Program Year 2012 Final.November 5, 2013

Table 4-2. AEP TCC Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 4-2Table 4-3. AEP TCC Cost-effectiveness Results . 4-3Table 5-1. AEP TNC Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 5-1Table 5-2. AEP TNC Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 5-2Table 5-3. AEP TNC Cost-effectiveness Results . 5-3Table 6-1. CenterPoint Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 6-1Table 6-2. CenterPoint Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 6-2Table 6-3. CenterPoint Cost-effectiveness Results . 6-3Table 7-1. El Paso Electric Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 7-1Table 7-2. El Paso Electric Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 7-2Table 7-3. El Paso Electric Cost-effectiveness Results . 7-3Table 8-1. Entergy Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 8-1Table 8-2. Entergy Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 8-2Table 8-3. Entergy Cost-effectiveness Results. 8-3Table 9-1. Oncor Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Demand Savings . 9-1Table 9-2. Oncor Program Year 2012 Claimed and Evaluated Energy Savings . 9

Program Year 2012 Final November 5, 2013 Project Number 40891 . ii Annual Statewide Portfolio Evaluation, Measurement, and Verification Report .

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