MEADFA Conference January 2018

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Air passenger trendsforMiddle East and AfricaMEADFA ConferenceJanuary 2018

KNOWTOMORROW’STRAVELLERSKNOW WHAT’SHAPPENINGRIGHT NOWCASH IN, SEIZE THEOPPORTUNITYZERO INON WHAT REALLYMATTERS30.238.64780.12517.234.787Travellers monitored each dayDaily flights monitoredBooking transactions a day

#1 Middle East & Africa air travel trend in 2017

International arrivals in Middle East and Africa consolidated recovery in 2017International arrivals to the Middle East and Africa in 2017Europe 11.6%Int’l Arrivals inMiddle East & AfricaTheAmericas 14.1%International arrivals from January 1st toDecember 31st 2017 vs. same period in 2016.Asia Pacific 19.0%Only considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights.Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers.4 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved. 10.5%YoY %Var.Geographic categories follow UNWTOdefinitions.

Africa: inbound growth welcomed by both traditional and rising destinationsInternational arrivals in top destination countries in Africa in 2017, YoY %Var.Tunisia 29%; 5%Morocco 17%; 9%Senegal 14%; 2%Egypt 16%; 13%Ethiopia 13%; 2%Uganda 21%; 2%Tanzania 12%; 4%Namibia 7%; 2%Seychelles 17%; 2%South Africa 13%; 20%5International arrivals from January 1st toDecember 31st 2017 vs. same period in 2016.Only considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights.Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.Africa including Egypt.

Middle East: robust arrival growth for all, except QatarInternational arrivals in top destination countries in Middle East in 2017, YoY %VarLebanon 10%Kuwaitv 22%Bahrain 1%Jordan 12%Qatar-0.2%U.A.E. 8%Saudi Arabia 10%6International arrivals from January 1st toDecember 31st 2017 vs. same period in 2016.Oman 21%Only considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights.Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.Geographic categories follow UNWTOdefinitions.

Super connectors: Dubai and Istanbul grew during crisis in DohaInternational traffic through Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Doha and Istanbul, before and after the Qatar diplomatic crisis in n 2017Be before Qatar diplomatic crisis7International arrivals from January 1st to December 31st2017 vs. same period in 2016.ABU DHABIISTANBULSince Qatar diplomatic crisisOnly considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights.Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.Qatar diplomatic Crisis happened onJune 5, 2017.

Busiest hours at Dubai airport during 2017: early mornings saw most departuresPax VolumeDistribution of dwelling time in Dubai201720168 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.

Busiest hours at Dubai airport during 2017: early mornings saw BRIC departuresDistribution of dwelling time by key nationalities in 2AMPax VolumeChinaKuwait2016Dwelling time: the moment the pax ispresent at the airport. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights rom Jan 1st to Dec 31st 2017 vs. sameperiod in 12AMX axises in all charts represent thevolume of pax presented at Dubaiairport at the given o'clock during 2017.

#2 Forward looking Q1 2018 performance10 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.

Forward looking Q1 2018: inbound Middle East & Africa see positive trendInternational arrivals in Middle East & Africa by origin region and two rising countries Q1 2018EUROPE 13%Spain 28%Turkey 19%THE AMERICAS 16%Argentina 34%Canada 17%Int’l Arrivals inAfrica &Middle EastAsia Pacific 4%India 19%Australia 22%International arrivals on the book from Jan 1st to Mar 31st 2018 withbookings issued as of 18th Jan 2018 vs. same period previous year.Only considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights in thedestinations. Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers11 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.On the book Q1 2018 11.2%Geographic categories followUNWTO definitions.

Shifting dynamics on super-connectorsHub airports in terms of TRANSFER PASSENGERS from selected origin markets Q1 2018Dubai -0.5%Doha -0.1%Abu Dhabi-14%USA-20%UK-8%Russia -29%China - 15%India - 32%UKUSAGermany-6%-20%-20%Transfer passenger volumecomparison40% (Dubai)25% (Doha)Istanbul 21%20% (Istanbul)15% (Abu Dhabi)UK 30%USA 52%Germany 35%IndiaChinaRussia 17% 5% 70%International arrivals on the book from Jan 1st to Mar 31st 2018 withbookings issued as of 18th Jan 2018 vs. same period previous year.Only considered transfer passengers via these airports.Bubble size matches the passenger volume on the book.12 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.Geographic categories followUNWTO definitions.

Special focus: Chinese arrivals in Dubai Sep 2017 to Mar 2018YoY variations of monthly arrivals from China to DubaiBeforeForward lookingAs of 18th Jan: 13%Chinese to Dubai has a very short lead time 4%F.I.T.TRAVELLERS30.5 daysGROUPTRAVELLERS21.1 days70%53%30%30%Forward looking Q1 2018 China to hineseNew Yearjanv.-18févr.-18mars-18International arrivals on the book from Jan 1st to Mar 31st 2018 withbookings issued as of 18th Jan 2018 vs. same period previous year.As of Jan 18th 4%As of Jan 24th 6%March 2018 turns positive,with group bookings from UrumqiOnly considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights in thedestinations. Excluded one way trips, day trips and transfers13 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.Geographic categories followUNWTO definitions.

Special focus: outbound China for Chinese New Year 2018 (Cont.)Top 15 busy airports for departures from overseas back to China during Chinese New Year 2018Stay and flying homeBangkokTaipeiHong KongOsakaPhuketSingaporeTokyo NaritaTokyo HanedaDenpasar BaliLos AngelesSydneySapporoDubaiMacauKuala Lumpur 25.2%Transfer on the way ,1%18,6%40,5%33,8%17,2%24,7%Int’l departures from 25th Jan to 28th Feb 2018 vs. 6thJan to 9th Feb 2017 with bookings as of 24th Jan 2018.14Hong KongBangkok-13,1%MoscowDubai-2,0%Kuala karta-14,2%Doha-9,4%Macau -21,2%ChicagoAddis AbabaOnly considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights, transfers,or make day trips at the destinations and the visitor nextstop is back in China. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved. uded South Korea asa destination and hub.

Special focus: outbound China for Chinese New Year 2018Daily departures from China & departures from overseas back to China during Chinese New Year 2018Valentine’s Day2018 winterbreak startsDepart to go home:2018CNYPeak dayheading home2018CNYOnly considered visitors staying 1 to 21 nights, transfers,or make day trips at the destinations and the visitor nextstop is back in China. Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights 0-Feb17-Feb9-Feb16-Feb8-Feb15-Feb7-Feb5-Feb4-Feb-1 G1 G2GOLDENG3 G4 WEEKG5 G6 G7 1 2 3 4 5 6 an-827-Jan-21 -20 -19 -18 -17 -16 -15 -14 -13 -12 -11 -10 -926-Jan6-FebValley dayheading homeInt’l departures from 25th Jan to 28th Feb 2018 vs. 6thJan to 9th Feb 2017 with bookings as of 15th Jan 2018.152017CNYLeave home to travel:25-JanDaily departures on the Book during CNY PeriodSaturdayExcluded South Korea asa destination and hub.

Outlook 2018 for Middle East and Africa:the knowns and unknowns ? UAE China visa waiver Saudi offers tourist e-visas Russia Egypt flights resume FIFA World Cup in Russia Rwanda visa waiver for all nationalities Qatar crisis continues US impact on the regional affairs ?16 Forward Data SL, 2018. All Rights Reserved.

Beijing12%Shanghai27%Hangzhou14%THANK YOU!Olivier JagerCEOOlivier.jager@forwardkeys.comCheck out the latest fresh analysis at www.forwardkeys.com

Chicago Addis Ababa 17,8% 33,7% 32,1% 2,2% 22,1% 18,6% 40,5% 33,8% 17,2% Bangkok Taipei Hong Kong Osaka Phuket Singapore Tokyo Narita Tokyo Haneda Denpasar Bali Los Angeles Sydney Sapporo Dubai Macau Kuala Lumpur Top 15 busy airports for departures from overseas back to China during Chinese

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