PitNews Magazine May 2007
RESULT FROM RELIANCE ON THIS DATA OR THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HEREIN.THE OPINIONS EXPRESSED HEREIN ARE NOT NECESARILY THOSE OF PITNEWS.COM, ITS EMPLOYEESOR AFFILIATES.DISCLOSURE OF RISK:THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL; THEREFORE, ONLY GENUINE RISK FUNDSSHOULD BE USED. SPECULATIVE VEHICLES SUCH AS FUTURES, OPTIONS, AND FOREX MAY NOT BESUITABLE INVESTMENTS FOR ALL INDIVIDUALS, AND INDIVIDUALS SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDERTHEIR FINANCIAL CONDITION IN DECIDING WHETHER TO TRADE. OPTION TRADERS SHOULD BE AWARETHAT THE EXERCISE OF A LONG OPTION WOULD RESULT IN A FUTURES POSITION.SEASONAL DISCLAIMER:SEASONAL TENDENCIES ARE A COMPOSITE OF SOME OF THE MOST CONSISTENT COMMODITY FUTURES SEASONALS THAT HAVE OCCURRED IN THE PAST 15 YEARS. THERE ARE USUALLY UNDERLYING, FUNDAMENTAL CIRCUMSTANCES THAT OCCUR ANNUALLY THAT TEND TO CAUSE THE FUTURESMARKETS TO REACT IN SIMILAR DIRECTIONAL MANNER DURING A CERTAIN CALENDAR YEAR. EVENIF A SEASONAL TENDENCY OCCURS IN THE FUTURE, IT MAY NOT RESULT IN A PROFITABLE TRANSACTION AS FEES AND THE TIMING OF THE ENTRY AND LIQUIDATION MAY IMPACT ON THE RESULTS. NOREPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT HAS IN THE PAST, OR WILL IN THE FUTURE,ACHIEVE PROFITS USING THESE RECOMMENDATIONS. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THATPRICE PATTERNS WILL RECUR IN THE FUTURE.HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE:RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL, OR IS LIKELY TO, ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEENHYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BYANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCERESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION,HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADINGRECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING.FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM, IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES, ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECTACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS, INGENERAL, OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PRO GRAM WHICH CANNOT BEFULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALLOF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.PitNews.com Magazine May 2007Disclaimer: The risk of loss in trading futures, options, stocks, and forex can be substantial. See Page 5 for more information.
By: Lan TurnerEditor in ChiefPitNews.com MagazineThe Wall is PitNews.com’s trading forum, found on the web at: http://thewall.pitnews.com or from the tablink on the front page of PitNews.com. Each month, we highlight a chart submitted by one of our users.This month’s PitNews.com Off The Wall series brings us achart and commentary written and posted on our Wall Forum byTrader Gerard. Trader Gerard is an active trader, and participantto The Wall forum. Stop by and see what other interesting chartsand commentary trader Gerard has posted on The Wall. Hereare some of his comments regarding his July 2007 Cocoa chart.Friday gave us an Undecided inside Day (DOJI) remainingwithin near-term congestion. Prices closed below both the 20-DMAand short-term upward trend line. Price movement shows a littlenear-term bullish power. When this movement has concluded lookfor the Bears to continue. Price Bias is weakly Bearish; thereforetrade as a downtrend. If you are already in this market then tightenyour stops.Option strategies recommended: If you wish to trade conservatively then use either of these two strategies; Purchase a Put or usea Put Back-Spread, recommend using in a contract with usuallymore than 3 months until expiration. If you wish to trade very conservatively then use the Bear Vertical Spread strategy, recommendusing in any contract month that you wish. If you wish to trade very
Commodity Trader’s Almanac View And Review By: Scott Barrie M ay is an exciting month for futures traders. In the grain markets, the spring planting effort is in full swing and trade attention begins turning to the weather – usually resulting in in
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