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Development of CostEffective SensingSystems and Analytics(CeSSA) to MonitorRoadway Conditionsand Mobility SafetyJanuary 2021A Research Report from the Pacific SouthwestRegion University Transportation CenterChun-Hsing Ho, Northern Arizona UniversityDada Zhang, Northern Arizona UniversityJaiwei Gao, Northern Arizona UniversityMarco Gerosa, Northern Arizona UniversityBertrand Cambou, Northern Arizona University

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyTECHNICAL REPORT DOCUMENTATION PAGE1. Report No.2. Government Accession No.PSR-19-12N/A4. Title and SubtitleDevelopment of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) to MonitorRoadway Conditions and Mobility Safety7. Author(s)Chun-Hsing Ho https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6690-4403Dada ZhangJaiwei GaoMarco GerosaBertrand Cambou9. Performing Organization Name and AddressMETRANS Transportation ConsortiumUniversity of Southern California650 Childs Way, RGL 216Los Angeles, CA 90089-06263. Recipient’s Catalog No.N/A5. Report DateJanuary 20216. Performing Organization CodeN/A8. Performing Organization Report No.PSR-19-1210. Work Unit No.N/A11. Contract or Grant No.USDOT Grant 69A355174710912. Sponsoring Agency Name and Address13. Type of Report and Period CoveredU.S. Department of TransportationFinal report (Jan. 2020 – Jan. 2021)Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology14. Sponsoring Agency Code1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE, Washington, DC 20590USDOT OST-R15. Supplementary NotesProject webpage: . AbstractThe project presents a pavement sensing system along with a list of promising computing models that can be used to predictpavement conditions using a vehicle-based sensing technology. The project started with data acquisition obtained from theprevious field data collection followed by a series of data computing using machine learning methods to determine a promisingcomputing algorithm. Subsequently, statistical analyses were performed to evaluate the effect of sensor placements/locationswithin a vehicle on the accuracy of pavement condition assessments. Based on analysis results, random forest algorithm is thebest fitting machine learning algorithm than other three algorithms (Linear Regression, Support Vector Machine, and NeuralNetwork) for the pavement condition assessment. It is also found that the pavement temperature significantly influences thenumber of significant points (pavement distress) provided the fact that the number of significant points decrease during coldweather condition while the number of significant points increase as the pavement temperature is getting warmer. The TimeSeries analysis indicates the number of the significant points will increase quickly in the following two years, which indicate thatthe pavements will be deteriorated if the maintenance and rehabilitation will not be scheduled.17. Key Words18. Distribution StatementPavement conditions, sensor technology, machine learning, roadNo restrictions.maintenance19. Security Classif. (of this report)20. Security Classif. (of this page)21. No. of Pages22. PriceUnclassifiedUnclassified48N/AForm DOT F 1700.7 (8-72)Reproduction of completed page authorized2

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyTable of ContentsAbstract . 5Executive Summary . 6Introduction . 8Chapter 1 Data Acquisition . 10Introduction to pavement sensing system . 10Chapter 2 Development of Computing Algorithms . 13Establishing a Database . 13Hierarchical Clustering . 13Resampling Method . 15Classifier Construction . 15Cross-validation . 17Analysis and comparison of computing models- Classifier Performance . 18Analysis and comparison of computing models- Classifier Evaluation . 18Chapter 3 Distribution Fitting and ANOVA Tests to Analyze Pavement Sensing Patterns forCondition Assessments . 20Introduction . 20Literature Review . 20Methodology. 21Data Analysis . 22Results and Discussion . 27Chapter 4 Using Multiple Sensors to Detect Pavement Deterioration Through Frequentist andBayesian Methods . 37Introduction . 37Pavement Detection Test . 37Data Analysis . 38Results . 40Chapter 5 Conclusion and Future Recommendation . 42Recommendation for future work . 42Reference . 44Data Management Plan . 483

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyAbout the Pacific Southwest Region University TransportationCenterThe Pacific Southwest Region University Transportation Center (UTC) is the Region 9 UniversityTransportation Center funded under the US Department of Transportation’s UniversityTransportation Centers Program. Established in 2016, the Pacific Southwest Region UTC (PSR) isled by the University of Southern California and includes seven partners: Long Beach StateUniversity; University of California, Davis; University of California, Irvine; University ofCalifornia, Los Angeles; University of Hawaii; Northern Arizona University; Pima CommunityCollege.The Pacific Southwest Region UTC conducts an integrated, multidisciplinary program ofresearch, education and technology transfer aimed at improving the mobility of people andgoods throughout the region. Our program is organized around four themes: 1) technology toaddress transportation problems and improve mobility; 2) improving mobility for vulnerablepopulations; 3) Improving resilience and protecting the environment; and 4) managing mobilityin high growth areas.U.S. Department of Transportation (USDOT) DisclaimerThe contents of this report reflect the views of the authors, who are responsible for the factsand the accuracy of the information presented herein. This document is disseminated in theinterest of information exchange. The report is funded, partially or entirely, by a grant from theU.S. Department of Transportation’s University Transportation Centers Program. However, theU.S. Government assumes no liability for the contents or use thereof.DisclosurePrincipal Investigator, Co-Principal Investigators, others, conducted this research titled,“Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) to Monitor RoadwayConditions and Mobility Safety” at Department of Civil Engineering, Construction Management,and Environmental Engineering, School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems,Northern Arizona University. The research took place from 01/06/2020 to 01/05/2021 and wasfunded by a grant from the US Department of Transportation in the amount of 91,538. Theresearch was conducted as part of the Pacific Southwest Region University TransportationCenter research program.AcknowledgementsThe authors would like to express their gratitude to Dr. Yongqi Li, Manager, PavementManagement Section at Arizona Department of Transportation for his opinions and advice onthe data collection and results.4

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyAbstractThe project presents a pavement sensing system along with a list of promising computingmodels that can be used to predict pavement conditions using a vehicle-based sensingtechnology. The project started with data acquisition obtained from the previous field datacollection followed by a series of data computing using machine learning methods to determinea promising computing algorithm. Subsequently, statistical analyses were performed toevaluate the effect of sensor placements/locations within a vehicle on the accuracy ofpavement condition assessments. Based on analysis results, random forest algorithm is the bestfitting machine learning algorithm than other three algorithms (Linear Regression, SupportVector Machine, and Neural Network) for the pavement condition assessment. It is also foundthat the pavement temperature significantly influences the number of significant points(pavement distress) provided the fact that the number of significant points decrease duringcold weather condition while the number of significant points increase as the pavementtemperature is getting warmer. The Time-Series analysis indicates the number of the significantpoints will increase quickly in the following two years, which indicate that the pavements willbe deteriorated if the maintenance and rehabilitation will not be scheduled.5

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyDevelopment of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems andAnalytics (CeSSA) to Monitor Roadway Conditions andMobility SafetyExecutive SummaryPavement condition surveys normally involve data acquisition, interpretation, anddocumentation. Automated pavement condition survey is considered one of most commonlyused methods for pavement condition assessments. However, as of today, the automatedpavement condition surveys have not yet been well adopted by highway agencies as a promisingsystem due to the fact that a well-established dynamic vibration and sensor models that canaccurately capture the signatures of pavement surface condition have not been proposed andwidely adopted by transportation authorities due to its costly expenses on the equipment andsoftware that an agency has to invest at front. In recognition of the immediate need, the projectis presented to develop cost effective sensing technology and advances knowledge in the fieldby creating computing algorithms using pavement vibration responses as inputs to analyze andfilter raw data to (1) determine promising computing models for prediction of pavementdistresses and (2) evaluate the promising/optimum placements/locations of sensor loggerswithin a vehicle, and (3) provide an affordable method that will benefit state, city, countygovernments, as well as local communities who have an immediate need but with limitedbudgets to evaluate the road quality and prioritize repair needs.Due to the pandemic, the implementation of the research was modified to best reflect therecommendations provided by local health organizations (Coconino Health Department,Northern Arizona University Health Services). All scheduled field trips for data collections in thesummer of 2020 were cancelled. However, we were able to acquire vibration data collectedbetween 2017-2018 on the I-10 corridors in Phoenix as input for computing purposes. The reportstarted with introduction of pavement sensing setup and field data collecting activities (Chapter1). After data were retrieved, all data were analyzed against their validity to be used for conditionassessments using the time series function as cluster analysis to exclude data that was notstatically relevant (Chapter 2). Four computing algorithms were used including random forest(RF), linear regression (LR), support vector machine (SVM), and neural network (NN). Among thefour computing methods, the RF is considered the best fitting machine learning algorithm thanother three algorithms.Subsequently, we performed a series of statistical analyses including ANOVA, probabilityprobability (P-P) Plot, quantile-quantile (Q-Q) Plot, and Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)plot to help improve the fitting process (Chapters 3-4). The objectives of these analyses are toevaluate the effect of sensor placements and speed of a vehicle on the accuracy of pavementdistress identifications (good, fair, and poor) and determine threshold to identify a level of6

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility Safetypavement distress. The results indicate that the thresholds vary based on statistical analysis.The threshold obtained from the sensor inside the vehicle (M5) exhibited lower values than theother four sensors. This is due to the placement of M5 being inside the vehicle as comparedwith four sensors being placed on top of control arm. Thus, it is recommended all five sensorsshould be used simultaneously to be accurately predict pavement conditions. Additionally, thepavement temperature significantly influences the number of significant points (pavementdistress) provided the fact that the number of significant points decrease during cold weathercondition while the number of significant points increase as the pavement temperature isgetting warmer. We also used The Time-Series analysis to fit the model for predicting thenumber of significant points for the next two years. The analysis result showed that thepredicted number of the significant points will increase from the forecast plot in the followingtwo years, which means that the pavements will be deteriorated if the maintenance andrehabilitation will not be scheduled.The cost-effective sensing systems and analytics (CeSSA) presented in the report indicate thatthe CeSSA is cable of capturing pavement vibration patterns and determining a level ofpavement distress.7

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyIntroductionPavement condition surveys normally involve data acquisition, interpretation, anddocumentation. These activities characterize surface condition, such as surface cracking,deformation, and other surface defects for both flexible and rigid pavements. Currently, thereare three key major pavement distress detecting techniques: 1) manual inspection, 2) imagingprocess detection, and 3) vibration-based detection. In 2008, Erikson et al. (1) and Mohan et al.(2) further expand the vibration mode to mobile sensing system and GPS in smartphones todetect and report the surface conditions of roads. This system uses the inherent mobility of avehicle to gather data from vibration and GPS sensors, and then process the data to assess roadsurface conditions. To build a complete automated imaging system, highway agencies have tocommit to a significant amount of up-front investment, in addition to equipment upgradeexpenses afterward. Another pavement detection system is performed through themeasurement of vibration data using accelerometers attached on a vehicle (3-5). As of today,the automated pavement condition surveys have not yet been well adopted by highwayagencies as a promising system due to the fact that a well-established dynamic vibration andsensor models that can accurately capture the signatures of pavement surface condition havenot been proposed and widely adopted by transportation authorities. Thus, there is a need tofurther advance the development of pavement sensing technology and methodology.Sensor technology has been used by highway agencies in pavement condition surveys. Currentmethods of automated sensing detection system in support of pavement condition monitoringare limited and outdated, particularly with respect to predictive accuracy, reliable dynamicrange in vibration, and calibration control synthesis to achieve promising performance-basedresults. This project supports fundamental research to the vibration modeling of pavementconditions impacted by varying vehicle parameters and signature extraction based onintelligent sensing algorithms to estimate real-time pavement conditions in support of rapiddecision-making. When traveling on highways, a vehicle equipped with sensors on board shouldintegrate dynamic vibration effect associated with sensors taking into account for a wholesystem that consists of (i) a vibration model with 3 dimensional components in x, y, and zdirections along with varying vehicle speeds and weights that collect vibration responses basedon road roughness condition generated by an exogenous dynamical contact between tires ofthe vehicle and the road surface, and (ii) a multi-domain signal processing model thateffectively transfers dynamic vibration data in time, spectral and time-frequency domains andextract signatures of pavement condition after adaptive filtering and machine-learning process.At present, such integrated dynamic vibration and sensor systems have not yet established as aresult of lacking reliable theory support and actual practice. It should be noted that due to thepandemic, all filed data collection scheduled for the summer of 2020 was cancelled. Thus, allvibration data used for the project was from previous field work collected on the I-10 corridorsin Phoenix between 2017 to 2018.The project advances knowledge in the field by creating computing algorithms using pavementvibration responses as inputs to analyze and filter raw data to (1) determine promisingcomputing models for prediction of pavement distresses and (2) evaluate the8

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility Safetypromising/optimum placements/locations of sensor loggers within a vehicle, and (3) provide anaffordable method that will benefit state, city, county governments, as well as localcommunities who have an immediate need but with limited budgets to evaluate the roadquality and prioritize repair needs.9

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyChapter 1 Data AcquisitionThis chapter explains how vibration data was collected through vehicle-based sensing systemdeveloped by the research team.Introduction to pavement sensing systemA sensor logger consisting of ADXL 335 triple-axis accelerometers, Arduino MKR1000 computerboards, GPS, and a battery was designed (Figure 1.1) for field data collection. The sensorscommunicate three-dimensional vibration data to a laptop via a WiFi router. A 2016 HondaAccord was used through the entire experiment because it was newly purchased by theNorthern Arizona University (NAU), so all mechanical system still remained in an excellentcondition. Furthermore, using the same vehicle for all road testing could keep the suspensionand the body mass of the vehicle in a constant way so that the effect of the damping systemand body mass of a vehicle on the data collection can be neglected. After reviewing the vehicle,it is determined that all sensor loggers will be placed on top of the control arms. The decision isbased on the fact that the control arms are responsible for connecting a vehicles suspension toits frame and provide a flat surface to mount sensors. The configuration of sensor loggers isbelieved to make the vibration data collected from road testing more direct, reliable andaccurate than the ones obtained by a smartphone.Figure 1.1. Components of sensor loggerRoad testingA year-round road test on I-10 corridors in Phoenix, Arizona was conducted between February2017 to February 2018 to monitor the resilience of pavement conditions. Prior to travelling,vehicle-based accelerometers were mounted to the vehicle (Figure 1.2), one on each wheel’scontrol arm (M1-M4), one inside cab of the vehicle (M5), and a sixth iPhone sensor mountedinside the cab of the vehicle. The iPhone sensor was used to compare the accuracy of vibrationdata with the vehicle based sensors. The conceptual framework of the system is shown inFigure 1.2. Accelerometers located by each wheel transmits data wirelessly through a WiFirouter to an on-board laptop where all data will be staved and stored in the computer. GPS is10

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility Safetylinked to each accelerometer for data to be georeferenced. Smartphone data is transmittedseparately from the accelerometer sensors so allowing the team to compare their effectivenesson road conditions and monitor the resilience of pavement roughness.Figure 1.2. Layout of sensor placementsTwo road testing sections on Interstate 10 corridors were chosen in Phoenix, Arizona (Figure1.3). The two sites on Interstate 10 were also chosen based on heavy traffic volume, differingpavement roughness, and relatively straight passages. The first corridor (Section 1), 27thAvenue through 51st Avenue, and the second section, Baseline Road through ChandlerBoulevard. In 2016, the average annual daily traffic (AADT) including both directions wereapproximately 186,000 for the Baseline Ave. – Chandler Blvd. section and 230,000 for the 27thAve. – 51st Ave. section.The 1st and 2nd right lanes were surveyed going east and west bound directions for a total offour times per study corridor. The target testing speed was 95-kph (60-mph) as to remainwithin a safe speed while testing. Because traffic congestion was an issue in these areas, testswere mostly conducted around midnight to avoid traffic distraction. During data collecting, apavement temperature was measured by an infrared thermometer and recorded for each roadtest section. The testing period covered four seasons to ensure a year-round pavementtemperatures ranging from 4 - 66 (40 - 150 ) were recorded.After completion of each road testing, vibration data was extracted from the laptop foranalysis. The data output is in acceleration of gravity in the x, y, and z-directions, and GPSinformation. The z-direction corresponds to the vertical motion of the wheel caused by a bumpor change in slope of the road, the x-direction corresponds to the vehicle accelerating andbraking, and the y-direction corresponds to the vehicle turning left or right. However, when acar passes over rough pavement the sensor on the wheel’s control arm can shake in alldirections, not just in the z-direction.11

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyFigure 1.3. Testing sections on the I-10 corridors in Phoenix, AZ12

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyChapter 2 Development of Computing AlgorithmsThe focus of this chapter is on how an advanced machine learning algorithm was developed topredict road conditions. Our work comprised five parts: establishing a database, hierarchicalclustering, investigation of a resampling method, classifier construction, and cross-validation.Establishing a DatabaseThe machine learning algorithm requires training from a validated database. We built thisdatabase based on vibration data collected from March of 2017 through February of 2018 inthe I-10 corridors in the Phoenix region as mentioned in Chapter 1. Three accelerator values (xaxis, y-axis, and z-axis) for each accelerator sensor and two values (latitude and longitude) forGPS were collected from each trip. All vibration signatures were analyzed accordingly using thealgorithms to be discussed later in the following sections. Based on results, the degrees ofpavement conditions (good, fair, and poor) were determined as indicated by Ho et al. (6).Hierarchical ClusteringTo exclude the influence of high correlation time series on the model results, we conducted acluster analysis using the time series function for 15 features. According to Afyouni et al. (7), ifthe time series contains autocorrelation, the standard error of the sample correlationcoefficient will be biased. Thus, we calculated the autocorrelation coefficient (ACF) for eachfeature before applying the hierarchical clustering analysis. Table 2.1 indicates that the ACF ofeach time series is close to zero, which means that the features are not interdependent.The hierarchical clustering analysis is an unsupervised machine learning method where it canautomatically generate clusters according to the dataset characteristics and it does not need topre-define the number of clusters. Figure 2.1 shows the results of the hierarchical clusteringanalysis that indicates that there are some clusters’ correlation coefficients greater than 0.7.Thus, the result states that only one of these time series with a high coefficient is needed torepresent the data characteristics in these clusters (8). Therefore, we exclude some duplicatedfeatures, including Z1, Z2, Z3, X4, and Y4 from the original dataset. Table 2.2 shows the changeafter the hierarchical clustering analysis is performed.13

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyTable 2.1. The Autocorrelation Coefficient of FeaturesVariable lation 0.04190.0408Figure 2.1: Hierarchical Clustering AnalysisTable 2.2: Chosen Time SeriesThe Original DatasetAfter Hierarchical ClusteringThe Input FeaturesX1 Y1 Z1 X2 Y2 Z2 X3 Y3 Z3 X4 Y4 Z4 X5 Y5 Z5X1 Y1 X2 Y2 X3 Y3 Z4 X5 Y5 Z514

Development of Cost-Effective Sensing Systems and Analytics (CeSSA) toMonitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility SafetyResampling MethodWe calculated the number of data points for each class in the dataset and the result are inTable 2.3. As we can see, the dataset is significantly unbalanced. If the predictive model used anunbalanced dataset, the accuracy would be an impropriate measure because the model will bebiased towards the majority class (9). To overcome this problem, we used the resamplingmethod as an unsupervised machine learning method to pre-process the dataset. Theresampling method is a way to increase or decrease data points of a class according to thepattern of the dataset. There are three kinds of resampling methods, including theoversampling method, the undersampling method, and the combination method (10). Tocompare the performance of the three different resampling methods, the dataset was split in70% for training and 30% for testing and a neural network model was used to perform thecomputations. In the combination method, we doubled the number of poor-type data pointsand half-cut the number of good-type data points. The results as shown in Table 2.4 wereobtained using the Python libraries scikit-learn (0.23.1) and imbalanced-learn (0.7.0).Table 2.3. Summary of the original datasetNum.Poor6Fair95Good4834Total4935Table 2.4. The Performance of the Resampling 1.0060.671.0024170.630.46According to the results in Table 2.4, the combination method could achieve the bestperformance. However, if we focus on the precision and recall scores, the oversamplingmethod has the highest score. Thus, both scores are close to one in the oversampling method,which means there is a concern on over-fitting. As for the undersampling method, it directlydecreases the sample number of each class into six. As we cannot train the model based on lessdata points, we selected the combination method for the subsequent computations.Classifier ConstructionTo select the most suitable machine learning method for the determination of pavementconditions, we implemented four c

Monitor Roadway Conditions and Mobility Safety 4 About the Pacific Southwest Region University Transportation Center The Pacific Southwest Region University Transportation Center (UTC) is the Region 9 University Transportation enter funded under the US Department of Transportation’s University Transportation Centers Program.

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