Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends 2019 - NBF

Top 10 StrategicTechnology Trends2019 and beyond Arnold C GutmannSenior Executive Partner

Bill Gates“We always overestimate thechange that will occur in thenext 2 years and underestimate the change that willoccur in the next 10.”

Technology is an inextricable Part of our WorldIntelligentDigitalMeshThese are the key trends youcannot afford to ignore!

IntelligentDigitalMesh1Autonomous Things4Digital Twin7Blockchain2Augmented Analytics5Empowered Edge8Smart Spaces3AI-driven Development6Immersive Experience9Privacy and Digital Ethics10Quantum Computing

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1Autonomous Things with varying Levels of CapabilityCoordinationIntelligence Human-Assisted Isolated Dumb and Static Partial Automation Independent Semi-smart and Dynamic Conditional Automation Connected High Automation Collaborative (Swarms) Individually Smart andDynamic Full Autonomy Collectively Smart WithDynamic Hive Interaction

Autonomous Things Swarm Intelligence1

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The Future of Analytics is ‘Augmented Analytics’Machine ledAugmentedAnalyticsBusiness ledVisual-Based DataDiscovery PlatformsIT ledSemantic LayerBased Platforms2

Automated Data Science to assist Business UsersAI Data Preparation: AI Human Assistance: Natural language narrated insightsAuto-generated visualizationsResults embedded in appsAlgorithms detect schemas, profile,catalogue Determine data lineage, metadata andrecommend enrichment CitizenDataScientistsAI Insight Generation: Natural language queryAlgorithms find relevant patternsFeatures and models auto-selectedHypotheses and code auto-generated2

2Finding Unknown Correlations for Crop Yield!!Source: SparkBeyond

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Exploiting AI in the Development Process*(Specific Vendor Services Vary)3

3Applying AI to the Development ProcessBusiness Domain Expertise / AutonomyVirtualSolution Architect &Developer2025 VirtualBusiness AnalystVirtual Data Scientist2022 2018 Virtual Architect2023 Virtual QA TesterVirtual Intern2018 2019 Technical Knowledge Expertise / AutonomyVirtualSoftware Engineer2020

4Digital Twin24% of Enterprisesimplementing IoTprojects are usingDigital TwinsGartner 201814RESTRICTED 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.

Digital Twin: Digital Representations of Real World ObjectsEnterpriseSystemsAsset DataOperational DataContext DataDigital TwinModelOperational DataLocal ModelControlMetadata Monitor,Analytics SimulationCAD ModelsFEA ModelsPhysics Based ModelStatistical ModelsML/AI ModelsOperational HistoryMaintenance HistoryAggregate Fleet Data4

4Digital Twins of .PlacesPeopleProcessesThings

4Beyond Digital Twins of Mechanical ThingsDigital Twin of an Organization (DTO)is a dynamic software model of any organization that relies onoperational and/or other data to understand its state, respond tochanges, improve operations and add value.ModelsMetadataSituationsEvent DataAnalytics

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5Empowered EdgeIsolatedRemoteLocalEnterprise ConnectedCloud ConnectedCloud Architected

5Connecting the Edge with 5G20GBit/s download10GBit/s upload5ms latency1Miodevices/km2Starts in 2019 and matures in 5-6 Years

6Immersive ExperienceBy 202270% of enterprises willbe experimenting withimmersive technologiesfor consumer andenterprise use, and25% will have deployedto production21RESTRICTED 2019 Gartner, Inc. and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Gartner is a registered trademark of Gartner, Inc. or its affiliates.

6Flipping the Interaction ModelHumans learn and adapt to TechnologyHumanSystemTechnology learns and adapts to HumansHumanShifting the ComplexitySystem

6How we perceive the Virtual World is changingTraining & SimulationMarketingSales & DemosDesign VisualizationField ServiceWorkspace

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People Will Demand Multi-experience6

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What does Blockchain offer?As Blockchain evolves to become viable for commercial implementations, it providestrust without a central authority and reduces friction across the business ecosystem7

Gartner Hype Cycle for Blockchain Technologies7The Gartner 2019 CIO Survey indicatesthat 11% of organizations have alreadydeployed Blockchain/distributed ledgertechnology, or plan to deploy it within12 months.In the same survey, 5% of topperformers believe Blockchain will be agame changer for their organization.

7Blockchain Value Propositions ExamplesTradeLens Shippinge-Health RecordDigital GoldPermissionlessMarketplaces

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8Gartner Smart Spaces Maturity temsIntelligentEnvironments Closed Open Internally Open externally Open Not Connected Connected Connected Connected Not Coordinated Integrated Coordinated Coordinated Not Intelligent Not intelligent Semi-Intelligent Intelligent Team Department Organization Ecosystem

8Smart Spaces – Smart Cities60% of the world’spopulation is expectedto live in cities by 2050Tech Republic

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Billions of Endpoints are collecting Information9

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Digital Ethics – discern ‘Right’ from ‘Wrong’ and create Value9Hierarchy of IntentValues: What do I believe myself is the right thing to do?“It may be possible/allowed, but do we want it?”Difference: Is digital ethics part of our value proposition?Can we make a difference?Risk: Is there (reputation) risk, or are we harming others?Compliance: Are we breaking any rules?

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What is Quantum Computing?10Quantum Computing (QC) is a type ofnon-classical computing that is basedon the quantum state of subatomicparticlesQC takes advantage of the strange ability ofsubatomic particles to exist in more than onestate at any time (“superposition”)The state of the particles represents information,expressed in single elements known as Qubits

10The Power of QbitsQuantum Bits (Qbits)A schematic layout of a quantum statein a Bloch sphereEquivalent Classical Bits38101,024201,048,57650 (IBM)1,125,899,906,842,62472 (Google 2.037035976 e90

Quantum Computing – Key Use Cases10QCaaS Quantum Computingas a Service* in order of complexity

DecoherenceErrors10Logical QubitsMillions of Physical QubitsQubit Timeline EstimatesNote: Dates are speculativeQC is a Long-term Trend to be monitored now – not monetized (yet)

The Power of Qbits100 QbitQuantum Computeris more powerful thanany Supercomputer10500 QbitQuantum Computer ismore powerful than allComputers of theWorld together

First commercial Quantum Computer: IBM Q System One

Dilbert on Quantum Computing

What is YOUR view?We would like to know

Gartner predicts Artificial IntelligenceIn 2019, 50% of organizationslack sufficient AI and data literacyskills to achieve business valueBy 2021, 80% ofemerging technologieswill have AI foundationsBy 2020, AI becomes a positivenet job motivator, creating2.3 million jobs while onlyeliminating 1.8 million jobsBy 2022, 40% of customer-facing employeesand government workers will consult dailyan AI virtual support agent for decision orprocess supportBy 2022, AI-driven creation of fake content,will outpace AI's ability to detect it, creatingdigital distrustBy 2022, most people in mature economieswill consume more false information thantrue information

Top 10 StrategicTechnology TrendsTHANK YOUArnold C GutmannSenior Executive Partner

Top 10 Strategic Predictions for 2019 and Beyond

Enterprise Connected Cloud Connected Cloud Architected. Connecting the Edge with 5G 5 . What is Quantum Computing? Quantum Computing (QC) is a type of non-classical computing that is based on the quantum state of subatomic particles . Dilbert on Quantum Computing .