The Future Of Civil Engineering In A Transforming World

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The Future of Civil Engineering ina Transforming WorldEvan VlachosSociology & Civil EngineeringColorado State UniversityFort Collins, CO USA 80523email: evlachos@engr.colostate.edu

The Future of Civil Engineeringin a Transforming World1.0 THE TRANSFORMING ENVIRONMENT2.0 TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS3.0 PREPARING THE CIVIL ENGINEERS OF THE 21ST CENTURY4.0 SHIFTING PARADIGMS IN THEORY & PRACTICE5.0 SPECULATING ABOUT THE FUTURE

THE GATHERING STORM FOUR BILLION MORE PEOPLE ON THE WAY THE WELLS ARE RUNNING DRY INFRASTRUCTURE FAILS TO KEEP UP WASTE JUST KEEPS PILLING UP TRANSPORTATION DEMANDS TAKE OFF

Premises of Foresight1. Trend is not destiny

Premises of Foresight1. Trend is not destiny2. Those who live by the crystal ball are boundto eat groundglass

Premises of Foresight1. Trend is not destiny2. Those who live by the crystal ball are boundto eat groundglass3. It is better to be approximately rightrather than precisely wrong

INTERLOCKING CRISES CLIMATIC SHIFTS MEGARUPTURES METABOLISM SOCIO-POLITICAL CONTEXT TRANSBOUNDARY DEPENDENCIES FAST PACE OF TECHNOLOGICALDEVELOPMENT

THE CHARACTERISTICS OF A POST-INDUSTRIALSOCIETY1. From goods to servicestertiary economy2. Emphasis on knowledgeeducation, expertise3. More social planningnew planning techniques4. Growing Technocracyskills and education

THE TELEMATIC SOCIETY DIMINUTION DIGITALIZATION COMPUTERIZATION INSTANTIZATION GLOBALIZATION[OF COMMUNICATION] CUSTOMIZATION AUTOMATION ROBOTIZATION

COMPLEXIFICATIONINTERDEPENDENCEVULNERABILITYRISK MANAGEMENT

TYPES OF ENGINEERSPRACTICINGPASTENTEPRENEURIALSYSTEMS ENGINEERFUTURERISK MANAGER

CHALLENGES IN CIVIL ENGINEERINGA. WHO WOULD BE RECRUITED AND MAINTAINED?B. WHAT SHOULD BE TAUGHT?C. WHAT WILL BE THE ENGINEERING PRACTICE?

Influence Diagram

Summary of Engineering Role ChangesCurrent and PastEmerging

Archetypal WorldviewsWorldviewAntecedentsConventional WorldsSmithMarketPolicy ReformBarbarizationBreakdownFortress WorldGreat TransitionsEco-communalismNew SustainabilityParadigmMuddling ThroughKeynesBundtlandPhilosophyMarket optimism;hidden & enlightenedhandPolicy stewardshipExistential gloom;population/resourcecatastropheHobbesSocial Chaos;nasty nature of manMorris & social Pastoral romance;human goodness;utopiansevil of industrialismGhandhiSustainability asMillprogressive globalsocial evolutionYour brother-inNo grand philosophieslaw (probablyMalthusSource: Great Transition [SEI, 2002]MottoDon’t worry, be happyGrowth, environment,equity through bettertechnology & managementThe end is comingOrder through strongleadersSmall is beautifulHuman solidarity, newvalues, the art of livingQue sera, sera

The Politics of TransformationBuilding Data / DSSExpanding Knowledge / JudgementCreating Institutions / Capacity BuildingMobilize ResourcesArticulate Values

The 3 R’sRethinkingnew paradigmsReorganizingorganizational mobilizationRetoolingnew skills and resources

The Future of Civil Engineering in a Transforming World 1.0 THE TRANSFORMING ENVIRONMENT 2.0 TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENTS 3.0 PREPARING THE CIVIL ENGINEERS OF THE 21ST CENTURY 4.0 SHIFTING PARADIGMS IN THEORY & PRACTICE 5.0 SPECULATING ABOUT THE FUTURE

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