University Of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll Texas Statewide .

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University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyField Dates: September 25 to October 4, 2020N 1200 Registered VotersMargin of error: /- 2.83% (3.8% adjusted for weighting) unless otherwise noted1Interest and EngagementQ1. Are you registered to vote in the state of Texas?Q1PercentYes, registered100Q2. Generally speaking, would you say that you are extremely interested in politics and public affairs, somewhatinterested, not very interested, or not at all interested?Q2PercentExtremely interested54Somewhat interested37Not very interested6Not at all interested4Don't know0Q3. There are many elections in the state of Texas. Furthermore, many people intend to vote in a given election, butsometimes personal and professional circumstances keep them from the polls. Thinking back over the past two orthree years, would you say that you voted in all elections, almost all, about half, one or two, or none at all?Q3PercentEvery election45Almost every election31About half7One or two7None7Don't know21In calculating the margin of error (MOE) for the survey, we provide two calculations, one that compensates for therelative standard deviation of the weights and one that does not. Without taking the variance of the weights intoaccount, the margin of error for the full sample is 2.83%. To compensate for the additional uncertainty fromweighting, we apply a multiplier derived from the coefficient of variation of the weights: sqrt(1 CV 2), whereCV sd(weights)/mean(weights). For this weight sensitive calculation, the MOE for the full sample is 3.8%.October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll1

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ3A. On a 0-10 scale, please rate how likely you are to vote in the upcoming November elections: 10 means youare absolutely certain to vote, 0 means you will definitely NOT vote, and 5 means you may or may not vote.Q3A scalePercent0 - Definitely will NOT vote010203041516072839710 - Absolutely certain to vote83Don't know2Q3B. How enthusiastic would you say you are about voting in the 2020 election?Q3BPercentExtremely enthusiastic55Very enthusiastic16Somewhat enthusiastic14Not too enthusiastic7Not at all enthusiastic5Don't know/No opinion2October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll2

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyMost Important ProblemQ4. What would you say is the most important problem facing this country today? l corruption/leadership14The economy10Moral decline9Health care7Unemployment/jobs4The media4Race relations4Environment3Partisan gridlock3Abortion2Immigration2Police brutality/police militarization2National security/terrorism2Income inequality2Voting system2Federal spending/national debt2Crime2Gun control/gun violence1Border security1North Korea1Education1Taxes1Energy0Social welfare gn trade0Gas prices0Opioid/prescription drug abuse0Oil prices0Gay marriage0Middle East instability0October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll3

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ5. What would you say is the most important problem facing the State of Texas migration8Border security8Political corruption/leadership7Unemployment/jobs6The economy6Health care6Moral decline5Education4Environment3Taxes3Gun control/gun violence2Redistricting2Race relations2The media2State budget cuts1State government spending1Social welfare programs1Transportation/roads/traffic1Voting system1Abortion1Oil prices1Police brutality/police militarization1Hurricane recovery1Housing1Homelessness1Electoral fraud1Crime1Property rights0Opioid/prescription drug abuse0Insurance rates0Gay marriage0Gas prices0Energy0Utility rates0Water supply0October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll4

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyRetrospective AssessmentsQ6. How would you rate the job Donald Trump is doing as president? Would you say that you.POTUSApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 2020331645410June 2020321456421Apr. 2020361356391Feb. 2020331256422Oct. 2019321546421June 2019341845391Feb. 2019341555401Oct. 2018361255401June 2018291876381Feb. 2018301677391Oct. 2017271858421June 2017251867441Feb. 2017321484403October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll5

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ7. How would you rate the job the U.S. Congress is doing? Would you say that you.CONGRESSApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 20205151723373June 20204151626363Apr. 20206171824323Feb. 20205131619424Oct. 20197141823354June 20194141921393Feb. 20194141826353Oct. 20184221619382June 20183151821384Feb. 20182171622393Oct. 20172101524453June 20172131524434Feb. 20175212018325Oct. 2016281827414June 2016281624455Feb. 20162101724434Oct. 2015281725463June 20152132126362Feb. 20153171924343Oct. 20142121330412June 2014381524483Feb. 2014381523492Oct. 2013261221563June 20132101623462Feb. 20133111223483Oct. 20121101826433May 2012191623483Feb. 20121101426472Oct. 2011291026512May 20111151927353Feb. 20111171926324Oct. 20092121122494June 20092182222360Mar. 20094222215370October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll6

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ8A. How would you rate the job Greg Abbott is doing as Governor? Would you say that you.GOVERNORApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 202020271216242June 202029201013263Apr. 20203125914184Feb. 202030181110247Oct. 20193022159196June 201929221311205Feb. 201933181211215Oct. 20183616129235June 201827201312245Feb. 20182818188235Oct. 201727211411225June 20172718129294Feb. 20172718179245Oct. 201621211710238June 201620221910218Feb. 20161823249206Oct. 201520222110197June 20152224198207Q8A2. Do you approve or disapprove of how Greg Abbott has handled the response to the tNeither approve on'tknowOct. 202017271020261June 20202722712293Apr. 20203125913165October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll7

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ8B. How would you rate the job Dan Patrick is doing as Lieutenant Governor? Would you say that r approve on'tknowOct. 202018191363112June 202022171263211Apr. 202020201372911Feb. 202021181372812Oct. 201922171592314June 201922191862511Feb. 201924181662510Oct. 201827171452611June 201818181882612Feb. 201819172182510Oct. 201716201972413June 201715191882811Feb. 201716162482314Oct. 201612192092218June 201612192482215Feb. 20168193072016Oct. 201510192891716June 201513192881615Q8C. How would you rate the job Dennis Bonnen is doing as Speaker of the Texas House of Representatives?Would you say that you.SPEAKERApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 20207162381630June 202061725101626Apr. 20205152891528Feb. 20205142681928Oct. 20196142881727June 201971827111225Feb. 20198183161028Feb. 20188192991519Oct. 201741929111620June 201752025121721Feb. 20177163191422Oct. 20165163091426June 201641530101426Feb. 20164163571325Oct. 20154163281425October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll8

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide Survey[RANDOMIZE Q9A-Q9B]Q9A. How would you rate the job Ted Cruz is doing as U.S. Senator? Would you say that you.SENCRUZApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 2020311586364June 2020301699334Apr. 2020291697326Feb. 2020291378367Oct. 2019281889307June 20192720108314Feb. 2019311597344Oct. 2018341385373June 20182118138337Feb. 20182218129327Oct. 201719191312315June 20172117129356Feb. 201720181410299Oct. 201616191311347June 201618171312319Feb. 201618191510326Oct. 20152717119289Q9B. How would you rate the job John Cornyn is doing as U.S. Senator? Would you say that you.SENCORNYNApprovestronglyApprovesomewhatNeither approve on'tknowOct. 2020182112112810June 2020152113132711Apr. 2020152313102613Feb. 202016201393012Oct. 2019152016102415June 2019142317112312Feb. 2019152118132211Oct. 201817221592513June 201881921142413Feb. 2018101923152310Oct. 201772118152712June 201791918142712Feb. 2017111922122214Oct. 201682022142215June 201671724142117Feb. 201672026141815Oct. 201572022161816October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll9

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ10. Thinking about the country, do you think that things are headed in the right direction, or do you think that thingsare headed off on the wrong track?USDIRRight direction Wrong track Don't knowOct. 202029629June 202030629Apr. 202039529Feb. 2020404911Oct. 201937549June 2019405010Feb. 201939539Oct. 201842499June 2018414711Feb. 2018395011Oct. 2017296110June 2017345412Feb. 2017394912Oct. 2016226711June 2016187012Feb. 2016226612Oct. 2015226810June 2015236414Feb. 2015265915Oct. 2014256510June 2014236513Feb. 2014256312Oct. 2013206911June 2013286011Feb. 201329629Oct. 2012315811May 2012256114Feb. 2012286111Oct. 2011147511May 2011246314Feb. 2011265915Oct. 2010256411May 2010266211Feb. 2010315613Oct. 2009325910October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll10

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ11. Compared to a year ago, would you say that the national economy is a lot better off, somewhat better off, aboutthe same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?USECONA lot better off Somewhat better off About the same Somewhat worse off A lot worse off Don't knowOct. 2020891329382June 20206111029413Apr. 202010111119454Feb. 20202622251683Oct. 20192421241686June 20192621231883Feb. 20192722231593Oct. 20183219261274June 20182625231484Feb. 20182528261362Oct. 20171825331663June 20171428301873Feb. 20171228361194Oct. 20168202925154June 20166202923175Feb. 20168222725153Oct. 20157252823143June 20157243321133Feb. 201511253318113Oct. 20146253023142June 20147242625162Feb. 20145242823172Oct. 20135202525241June 20137283118151Oct. 20127252519231May 20124242920194Feb. 20124253019202Oct. 20112122528312May 20112202524253Feb. 20113243024172Oct. 20103192023332May 20105232415321Feb. 20103251923291Oct. 20095191623361Mar. 2009241333480Oct. 2008131034520October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll11

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ12. Thinking about the State of Texas, do you think that things are headed in the right direction, or do you thinkthat things are headed off on the wrong track?TXDIRRight direction Wrong track Don't knowOct. 2020414415June 2020414713Apr. 2020434315Feb. 2020483716Oct. 2019473517June 2019493417Feb. 2019493516Oct. 2018503516June 2018463716Feb. 2018483615Oct. 2017434016June 2017434017Feb. 2017463618Oct. 2016424017June 2016413822Feb. 2016423721Oct. 2015453619June 2015503218Feb. 2015503020Oct. 2014483518June 2014493317Feb. 2014453520Oct. 2013423919June 2013503218Feb. 2013453916Oct. 2012433423May 2012384221Feb. 2012433819Oct. 2011394317May 2011364618Feb. 2011414118Oct. 2010453718May 2010453817Feb. 2010433720Oct. 2009383923October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll12

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ13. Compared to a year ago, would you say that you and your family are economically a lot better off, somewhatbetter off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?FAMECONA lot better off Somewhat better off About the same Somewhat worse off A lot worse off Don't knowOct. 20209144420112June 20206184320112Apr. 20209193421143Feb. 20201526381363Oct. 20191525381353June 20191525371453Feb. 20191228391362Oct. 20181227391363June 20181027421462Feb. 20181127421351Oct. 2017922471651June 2017520521551Feb. 2017621501671Oct. 2016522441982June 2016518442093Feb. 2016520451992Oct. 2015518452371June 2015521481772Feb. 2015621442172Oct. 2014522422371June 2014621422182Feb. 2014520432291Oct. 20135174123122June 2013619442371Oct. 20126174323111May 20124154819132Feb. 20124164523111Oct. 20113134027151May 20112164025162Feb. 20113174524111Oct. 20103163827142May 20104164125131Feb. 20103144029121Oct. 20093143927161Mar. 20093144227140Oct. 20084163829140October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll13

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ14. Compared to a year ago, would you say that the Texas economy is a lot better off, somewhat better off, aboutthe same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?TXECONA lot better off Somewhat better off About the same Somewhat worse off A lot worse off Don't knowOct. 20205102434224June 20205112136216Apr. 20207151926286Feb. 20202023361146Oct. 20191725351338June 20191627351256Feb. 20191728351055Oct. 20182029311045June 20181330341247Feb. 20181330381333Oct. 2017827411635June 2017628391746Feb. 2017622491156Oct. 2016322451955June 2016422411968Feb. 2016422412354Oct. 2015425412055June 2015528441444Feb. 2015626471434Oct. 2014932401243Oct. 2012421511653Q15. Is Texas’s increasing racial and ethnic diversity a cause for optimism or a cause for concern?A cause for optimism A cause for concern Don’t know/No opinionOct. 2020442828June 2020483121Feb. 2020492824Oct. 2019443224June 2019443323Q15A. Of the three branches of the federal government, which one do you trust the most?The President, theexecutive branchThe U.S. Congress, thelegislative branchThe U.S. Supreme Court, thejudicial branchDon't know/NoopinionOct. 202029132731Feb. 202027123030Feb. 201933142825Oct. 20182982935Oct. 20172753632June 20172663830Feb. 20172873630June 201617142841Oct. 201518182440Oct. 201228103427October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll14

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyPolitical Figures and Elections[Results for Q16 through Q20B are presented among Likely Voters. Likely Voters are defined as those whoselected 9 or 10 on Q3A and (if they are over the age of 20) stated that they vote in "Every" or "Almostevery" election on Q3. Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought enough about the election to have anopinion on Q17 and Q19 were asked a follow-up question: “If you had to make a choice, who would youchoose?” Responses to this item were folded into those who initially indicated a preference and reportedbelow in items Q17 and Q19.]N 908, MOE is /- 3.25%, MOE is /- 4.16% if adjusted for weighting, unless otherwise noted.Q16. Thinking ahead to the upcoming election, do you intend to vote in person on Election Day, vote in-personearly, or vote by mail?Q16PercentVote in person on Election Day26Vote in person early60Vote by mail13Do not intend to vote0Don't know1Q17. If the 2020 general election for U.S. president were held today, would you vote for[RANDOMIZE ORDER “theRepublican ticket of Donald Trump and Mike Pence”, “the Democratic ticket of Joe Biden and KamalaHarris”, “the Libertarian ticket of Jo Jorgensen and Jeremy “Spike” Cohen”, “the Green ticket of HowieHawkins and Angela Walker”] the Republican ticket of Donald Trump and Mike Pence, the Democratic ticket ofJoe Biden and Kamala Harris, the Libertarian ticket of Jo Jorgensen and Jeremy “Spike” Cohen, the Green ticket ofHowie Hawkins and Angela Walker, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-4]Q17FPercentDonald Trump and Mike Pence50Joe Biden and Kamala Harris45Jo Jorgensen and Jeremy "Spike" Cohen2Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker2Someone else1Q17B. How likely are you to change your mind before you vote?VerylikelyQ17BSomewhatlikelyNot verylikelyNot at alllikelyDon'tknowPercent439821Donald Trump and Mike Pence429851Joe Biden and Kamala Harris418880October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll15

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ17C. [ASK IF Q17 Q17A 1] You said that in a general election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden that youwould vote for Donald Trump. Which of the following better describes your vote choice:N 456, MOE is /- 4.59%, MOE is /- 5.31% if adjusted for weighting.Q17CPercentI want Donald Trump to be elected president 81I don't want Joe Biden to be electedpresident19Q17D. [ASK IF Q17 Q17A 2] You said that in a general election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden that youwould vote for Joe Biden. Which of the following better describes your vote choice:N 408, MOE is /- 4.85%, MOE is /- 6.74% if adjusted for weighting.Q17DPercentI want Joe Biden to be elected president55I don't want Donald Trump to be electedpresident45October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll16

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ18. What one issue is the most important to your vote in the 2020 presidential Election? [OPEN-ENDED]Q18 codedPercentThe economy11Removing Trump from Office8COVID-19/Coronavirus6Health care6Socialism and/or Communism6Corruption5Social disorder/Political violence/Law tion3Immigration/Border Security3Returning Trump to Office3Racism/Race Relations3Size and Scope of Government2The courts3Maintaining/Saving our Democracy3Keeping Democrats out of power2Election integrity2Social Security0The environment1Climate change1Competence1Education0Keeping Biden from office1Unity1Return to normalcy1Foreign Policy1Electing Joe Biden President0Social security0Taxes0Gender equality0Gun rights0Income inequality0Other8Don’t know/Unsure11October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll17

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide SurveyQ19. If the 2020 general election for U.S. senate were held today, would you vote for[RANDOMIZE ORDER “theRepublican John Cornyn”, “the Democrat Mary “MJ” Hegar”, “the Libertarian Kerry Douglas McKennon”]the Republican John Cornyn, the Democrat Mary “MJ” Hegar, the Libertarian Kerry Douglas McKennon, or haven’tyou thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-3]Q19FPercentJohn Cornyn50Mary "MJ" Hegar42Someone else5Kerry Douglas McKennon3Q20A. If the 2020 election for the U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for[RANDOMIZE“the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate,or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]N 905, MOE is /- 3.26%, MOE is /- 4.17% if adjusted for weighting.Q20APercentThe Republican candidate51The Democratic candidate44Haven't thought about it enough to have anopinion5Q20B. If the 2020 election for Texas Legislature in your district were held today, would you vote for[RANDOMIZE“the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate,or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]N 896, MOE is /- 3.27%, MOE is /- 4.19% if adjusted for weighting.Q20BPercentThe Republican candidate51The Democratic candidate43Haven't thought about it enough to have anopinion6October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll18

University of Texas / Texas Tribune PollTexas Statewide Survey[RANDOMIZE Q21A-Q21B]Q21A. Regardless of how you intend to vote in the 2020 election, do you feel like the Democratic Party is welcomingto people like you?Yes No Don't know/No opinionOct. 202043 47 11Oct. 201943 46 11Oct. 201843 49 9Oct. 201741 45 14Oct. 201639 49 13Q21B. Regardless of how you intend to vote in the 2020 election, do you feel like the Republican Party is welcomingto people like you?Yes No Don't know/No opinionOct. 202047 44 9Oct. 201947 42 12Oct. 201847 44 8Oct. 201741 44 15Oct. 201632 53 15Q22. Do you favor or oppose giving all Texans the opportunity to vote by mail

Border security 1 North Korea 1 Education 1 Taxes 1 Energy 0 Social welfare programs 0 Russia 0 Housing 0 Afghanistan/Pakistan 0 Foreign trade 0 Gas prices 0 Opioid/prescription drug abuse 0 Oil prices 0 Gay marriage 0 Middle East instability 0 October 2020, University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll 3 University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll Texas .

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