Monthly Statistics Of Building Materials And Components
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and ComponentsCommentary, September 2020Coverage: UK and Great BritainGeographical Area: Country, region and county07 October 2020National StatisticsHeadline Results There was a 7.6% decrease in brick deliveries in August 2020 compared to August2019, according to the seasonally adjusted figures. The month-on-month change showsa 5.6% increase in August 2020. There was a 1.6% decrease in concrete block deliveries in August 2020 compared toAugust 2019, according to the seasonally adjusted figures. The month-on-monthchange shows a 2.5% increase in August 2020.The Office of National Statistics (ONS) will replace the following price indices for constructionmaterials in November 2020; Sand & Gravel excluding/including levy, Crushed rockexcluding/including levy, and Bituminous materials. Discussions with ONS to identifyreplacement indices to be published in this bulletin in December 2020 are ongoing.Chart 1: Seasonally Adjusted Deliveries of Bricks, GBNumber of bricksResponsible statistician: Frances PottierEmail: materialstats@beis.gov.ukMedia enquiries: 020 7215 1000 Public enquiries: 44 (0)207 215 1953Next publication: 04 November 2020
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020ContentsIntroduction 3Seasonal Adjustment Review 3Summary of Results 4Material Price Indices 4Cement and Clinker 5Sand & Gravel 6Concrete 7Bricks 8Blocks 9Imports and Exports of Construction Materials 10Economic Background 12COVID-19 Intelligence 12Construction Output 12Gross Domestic Product Estimate 13Gross Domestic Product Forecast 13Construction Output Forecasts 13Manufacturing 14Accompanying tables 15Technical information 16Definitions 17Further information 18Future updates to these statistics 18Related statistics 18Revisions policy 18Uses of these statistics 18User engagement 19National Statistics designation 19Contact 202
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020IntroductionThis commentary accompanies the latest Monthly Statistics of Building Materials andComponents bulletin, published on the BEIS building materials web page on 7th October 2020.It provides an overview of recent trends in the data presented in the bulletin.The bulletin presents the latest detailed information on selected building materials andcomponents. It covers the following building materials statistics: Construction material price indices (monthly, UK) Sand and gravel sales (quarterly, GB*) Slate production, deliveries and stocks (quarterly, GB) Cement and clinker production, deliveries and stocks (annual, GB) Bricks production, deliveries and stocks (monthly, GB*) Concrete building blocks production, deliveries and stocks (monthly, GB*) Concrete roofing tiles production, deliveries and stocks (quarterly, GB) Ready-mixed concrete deliveries (quarterly, UK) Values of overseas imports and exports trades for selected materials and componentsfor use in construction (quarterly, UK) Value of EU and Non-EU Trade for selected materials and components for use inconstruction (annual, UK)Note: * Regional figures availableThese statistics support analysis of the construction materials market and business planning.They are regularly reported in the construction press and are used for a variety of purposes,including policy development and evaluation concerning the construction products industry, aswell as monitoring market trends. Further detail is available in this document under Uses of thesestatistics.Seasonal Adjustment ReviewSeasonally adjusted series for deliveries of bricks, concrete blocks, ready-mixed concrete andsales of sand & gravel are published in this bulletin. The purpose of correcting the reported seriesis to allow for seasonal factors such as winter weather (including the reduction in hours ofdaylight, and frost and rain) and other seasonal events such as Christmas and Easter. Thus,seasonally adjusted figures show the underlying trend more clearly. Further information can befound in this document under Technical Information.3
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Summary of ResultsMaterial Price IndicesChart 2: Construction Material Price Indices, UKIndex, 2010 100Source: Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components, Table 1Year-on-year change (August 2019 to August 2020)New HousingOther New WorkRepair & MaintenanceAll Work-0.1%0.6%-0.8%0.5%Month-on-month change (July 2020 to August 2020)New HousingOther New WorkRepair & MaintenanceAll Work 0.5%0.0%0.5%0.0%Looking at the longer-term change, the material price index of ‘All Work’ increased by0.5% in August 2020 compared to the same month the previous year.4
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Table 1: Construction materials experiencingthe greatest price increases and decreases inthe 12 months to August 2020, UKConstruction Materials% change on ayear earlierGreatest price increasesPipes and fittings (flexible)Insulating materials (thermal or acoustic)Taps and Valves for sanitaryware5.84.23.3Greatest price decreasesConcrete reinforcing barsMetal sanitarywareImported sawn or planed wood-9.1-6.5-2.6The aggregated constructionmaterial price index hides largerprice movements for some specificproducts and materials. The threelargest increases and decreasesare presented here.Source: Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components,Table 2Cement and ClinkerChart 3: Production of Cement and Clinker, GBPercentage change over previous year (%)Cement production fellby 1.3% to 9.1 milliontonnes in 2019,compared to theprevious year. This fall incement productionfollows a fall of 1.7% to9.2 million tonnes in2018. Pre-recessionproduction peaked in2007 at 11.9 milliontonnes.Production of Clinkerrose by 1.2% to 7.8million tonnes in 2019,compared to theprevious year. This risein clinker productionfollows a fall of 1.1% to7.7 million tonnes in2018. Pre-recessionproduction stood at 10.2million tonnes in 2007.5
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Sand & GravelChart 4: Seasonally Adjusted Sales of Sand & Gravel, GBWeight of sand & gravel Sales of sand & gravel decreased by 36.5% in Quarter 2 2020 compared to Quarter 12020, according to the seasonally adjusted data.This followed a decrease of 4.2% in Quarter 1 2020.Comparing Quarter 2 2020 to the same quarter in the previous year, sales havedecreased by 40.8%.Seasonally adjusted sales of sand & gravel have consistently remained below levelstypically seen before the recession of 2008 to 2009 and have dropped recently due tothe Covid-19 pandemic.From Quarter 1 2019, sand and gravel data reported in this publication includesrecycled material.6
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020ConcreteChart 5: Seasonally Adjusted Sales of Ready-Mixed Concrete, GBVolume of concrete Ready-mixed concrete sales decreased by 30.5% in Quarter 2 2020 compared toQuarter 1 2020, according to the seasonally adjusted data.This followed a 9.4% decrease in Quarter 1 2020.Sales in Quarter 2 2020 decreased by 39.4% compared to the same quarter in theprevious year, following a 14.3% decrease in Quarter 1 2020, on the same basis.After the 2008 to 2009 recession, seasonally adjusted sales of ready-mixed concretehad been recovering steadily since Q2 2012, until the recent drop due to the Covid-19pandemic.7
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020BricksChart 6: Seasonally Adjusted Deliveries of Bricks, GBNumber of bricks There was a 7.6% decrease in brick deliveries in August 2020 compared to August2019, according to the seasonally adjusted figures.This followed an 11.6% decrease in July 2020, on the same basis.The month-on-month change shows a 5.6% increase in August 2020.This followed a 32.5% increase in July 2020, on the same basis.Deliveries of bricks declined during the recession of 2008 to 2009. They have recoveredslowly since 2013, until the recent drop due to the Covid-19 pandemic.8
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020BlocksChart 7: Seasonally Adjusted Deliveries of Concrete Blocks, GBArea of concrete blocks There was a 1.6% decrease in concrete block deliveries in August 2020 compared toAugust 2019, according to the seasonally adjusted figures.This followed a 2.1% decrease in July 2020, on the same basis.The month-on-month change shows a 2.5% decrease in August 2020.This followed a 17.6% increase in July 2020, on the same basis.Concrete block deliveries declined during the recession of 2008 to 2009. The generaltrend has been one of growth since 2013, until the recent drop due to the Covid-19pandemic.9
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Imports and Exports of Construction MaterialsChart 8: Exports and Imports of Construction Materials, UK.Value in pounds sterling Imports of construction materials decreased by 997 million in Q2 2020 compared tothe previous quarter, a decrease of 25.3%. Exports of construction materials decreased by 324 million in Q2 2020 compared tothe previous quarter, a decrease of 18.0%. As a result, between Q1 2020 and Q2 2020, the quarterly trade deficit narrowed by 673 million to 1,469 million, a decrease of 31.4%. Over the period from Quarter 1 1984 to Quarter 2 2020, construction materials importshave increased, on average (per quarter), by 2.1%. Over the same period, exportsincreased by an average of 1.2% per quarter. The trade deficit was historically at its smallest throughout the 1990s, with a mean of 309 million over this period. This trade deficit was 24% of the value of imports. As ofQuarter 2 2020, the trade deficit is 1,469 million, 55% of the value of imports.10
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Table 2: Top-5 Exported and Imported Construction Materials in 2019Top-5 ExportedMaterials millionTop-5 ImportedMaterials millionElectrical Wires879Electrical Wires1,936Paints & Varnishes752Lamps & Fittings983Plugs & Sockets476Sawn Wood 6mm thick 799Air ConditioningEquipment403Air ConditioningEquipment666Lamps & Fittings385Central Heating Boilers622The top five exportedmaterials in 2019accounted for 37% oftotal constructionmaterial exports.The top five importedconstruction materials in2019 accounted for 28%of total constructionmaterial imports.Source: Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components, Table 14Table 3: UK Trade of Construction Materials with EU andNon-EU Countries, 2019All Building Materials & Components million (% of total trade in 6641%3,36744%Source: Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components, Table 15Table 4: Top 5 UK Export and Import Markets forConstruction Materials in 2019Top-5 ExportMarketsRepublic of IrelandGermanyUSAFranceNetherlands million1,219763705646571Top-5 ImportMarketsChinaGermanyItalySpainNetherlands million3,1902,4121,003932857Source: HMRC Overseas Trade StatisticsThe ‘Rotterdam Effect’ (also known as the ‘Antwerp Effect’) mayaffect trade figures. This is explained in detail by HM Revenue &Customs.Compared to prerecession levels in2007, the share of totalUK constructionmaterial exports goingto the EU has declinedfrom 70% to 56%.The top five export marketscomprised 51% of totalconstruction materialsexports in 2019. TheRepublic of Ireland remainsthe largest market, despitehaving shrunk from a prerecession peak of 27% oftotal exports in 2007, to16% in 2019.The top 5 import marketscomprised 46% of totalconstruction materialsimports in 2019. 18% of allimports are from China.11
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Economic BackgroundCOVID-19 IntelligenceThe Office for National Statistics published further information from their fortnightly BusinessImpact of Coronavirus Survey (BICS) on 24th September, relating to 24th August to 6thSeptember:Key points: 1.9% of construction firms said they had permanently ceased trading, compared with an allindustry average of 2.8%.9.6% of construction firms said they had paused trading compared with an all industryaverage of 13.2%.3.7% of construction firms still trading said their turnover had decreased by more than 50%.A further 12.2% said turnover had decreased by between 20% and 50%, and 24.1% said ithad decreased by up to 20%.Construction OutputThe most recent provisional construction output figures for July 2020 were published by theOffice for National Statistics on 11th September 2020.Key points: Monthly construction output grew by 17.6% in July 2020, following the record monthlygrowth of 23.5% in June 2020; the level of construction output in July 2020 was 11.6%below the February 2020 level.Construction output fell by 10.6% in the three months to July 2020, compared with theprevious three-month period; this was driven by falls in both new work (9.7%) and repairand maintenance (12.4%).The decrease in new work (9.7%) in the three months to July 2020 was because of falls inevery new work sector, apart from infrastructure, which grew by 6.0%; the largest negativecontributor was private new housing, which fell by 17.0%.The decrease in repair and maintenance (12.4%) in the three months to July 2020 wasbecause of falls in all repair and maintenance sectors; the largest contributor was privatehousing repair and maintenance, which fell by 17.9%.Bank of England Summary of Business ConditionsThe Bank of England published its most recent update to the Agents’ Summary of BusinessConditions on 17th September 2020, covering intelligence gathered between mid-July and lateAugust 2020.Key points: Contacts reported strong demand in public sector work, in part supported by a governmentscheme to fund infrastructure projects, which resulted in some projects being brought12
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020 forward. Housebuilding activity was also reported to have picked up, though mostly tocomplete projects, rather than start new ones. While housing market activity had recentlypicked up, contacts were uncertain about how long that upturn would be sustained, and sowere cautious about the outlook for housebuilding.Smaller builders said there had been an increase in home maintenance and improvementwork, as households reassessed their living and working space during lockdown. Bycontrast, demand for office-related work was muted as companies considered the return toonsite working and their need for office space in future.Many contacts said that they were operating at near full capacity in order to catch up ontime lost during the pandemic and complete projects. They reported taking a variety ofmeasures to maintain operating capacity while observing social distancing requirements,such as extending site working hours and providing personal protective equipment.Nonetheless, turnover this year was still likely to be lower compared with a year ago.Gross Domestic Product EstimateThe Office for National Statistics published their estimate of gross domestic product for July2020 on 11th September 2020.Key points: GDP fell by 7.6% in the three months to July 2020 and was 11.7% lower than the prepandemic levels seen in February 2020. The services sector remained 12.6% lower than inFebruary, the production sector remained 7.0% lower and the construction sector 11.6%lower.GDP grew by 6.6% in July 2020 compared to June 2020, following 8.7% growth in June.Services grew by 6.1% in June, production by 5.2%, and construction by 17.6%.Gross Domestic Product ForecastThe latest monthly Consensus Economics forecast survey (which uses an average of privatesector forecasts) results were published in September 2020.Key points: The mean GDP forecast for 2020 is a fall of 10.1%, down from a fall of 9.9% in the previousmonth’s survey.The mean GDP forecast for 2021 is 6.5% growth, up from 6.4% growth in the previousmonth’s survey.The Office for Budget Responsibility on 14th July updated a previously published scenarioassessing potential impact of the coronavirus on the economy and public finances: GDP will fall by 12.4% in 2020 in the central scenario, by 10.6% in the upside scenario andby 14.3% in the downside scenario.Construction Output ForecastsIn June 2020, Experian published their Summer 2020 forecasts for the construction sector.13
Monthly Statistics of Building Materials and Components – September 2020Key points: Output is expected to fall by 24.4% in 2020, due to the impact of Covid-19. It will then growby 13.9% in 2021 and 8.6% in 2022 to around the level seen in 2016.The worst hit sectors are private and public new housing, which are expected to fall by 35%and 38% respectively in 2020. However, both are expected to recover by 25% in 2021 and10% in 2022. Private commercial new work is forecast to fall by 30% in 2020, with growth of14% in 2021 and 8% in 2022 only taking the sector back to 2013 levels, due in particular todeclines in the retail sector. Private industrial new work is forecast to fall by 16% in 2020,but growth of 13% in 2021 and 5% in 2022 sees the sector returning to 2019 levels.Infrastructure new construction is forecast to fall by 14% in 2020, before recovering withgrowth of 7% in 2021 and 15% in 2022. The strongest driver of growth through the periodfrom 2019 to 2022 is the HS2 project in the rail sector. Public non-housing new work isexpected to fall by 19% in 2020, followed by growth of 1% and 6% in 2021 and 2022respectively, still below the 2019 level.The Construction Products Association have published scenarios for construction as part oftheir analysis of the market impact in August 2020. Despite activity on site returning slightly quicker than initially expected post-lockdown, theCPA Summer Scenarios still anticipates construction output in 2020 to fall by 20.6%, with theworst affected sectors including private housing (-33%) and commercial (-29%).Construction output is anticipated to rise by 18.0% overall in 2021, however this is comparedwith a low base of activity in 2020 and will still be 6.4% lower than pre-coronavirus levels. Thedelivery of major infrastructure projects will be crucial to growth in 2021, with activity on siteless affected by social distancing and major projects like HS2 driving significant growth forthe sector.ManufacturingThe latest Index of Production data for Ju
Material Price Indices . Chart 2: Construction Material Price Indices, UK . Index, 2010 100 . Year-on-year change (August 2019 to August 2020) New Housing -0.1% Other New Work 0.6% Repair & Maintenance -0.8% All Work 0.5% . Month-on-month change (July 2020 to August 2020) New Housing 0.5% Other New Work 0.0%
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