Advancements In Aircraft Technology - InterVISTAS

strategictransportation& tourismsolutionsAdvancements in AircraftTechnologyPresented by Rob BeynonInterVISTAS Consulting GroupIAAE Canada Conference, Victoria, BC, June 6th 2012

Aviation Trends

Global Air Passenger TrafficSource: International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO)and International Air Transport Association (IATA).2

Average Annual Forecast Growth Rate ofPassenger TrafficSource: Boeing Current Market Outlook 2011-20303

Boeing & Airbus Projected Aircraft DeliveriesSource: Airbus and Boeing websites, The Airline Monitor Jan/Feb 2012.4

New Aircraft Forecast Deliveries (Long-Term)300A350B7872502001501005002012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030Source: Airline Monitor – Commercial Aircraft Monitor, Jan-Feb. 20125

Aircraft Design

Jan-08Nov-07Sep-07Jul-07May-07Mar-07 Jan-07U.S. per barrelFuel EfficiencyCrude Oil Spot PricesJanuary 2007 to March 2012Oil prices continue to rise 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 207

Composite Construction Composite aircraft designs allows for lighter aircraftand less restrictions on design Boeing 787 constructed with composites allows forlarger windows A350 XWB will be over 50% composites8

Fuel Efficiency Rising fuel costs leading to redesign of aircraft,retooling of engines A320Neo, B737 MAXNeed for greater efficiency and longer range9

Increasing attention to in-cabin experience Lower cabin pressure greater comfort Transparent rooflines, mood lighting, ergonomicsrelated to changing demographic of passengersincluding more women passengers Winglets alsoreduce in-cabinnoiseSource: Airbus10

Turbo props and business aircraft The growing orders for Q400 signals improvementsfor short-haul routes from new turboproptechnologies and in-cabin noise cancellationBombardier projects strong biz aircraft growth to2030Source: Bombardier11

In 2010 the busiest traffic regions and pairsremain in Western Europe Source: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing12

but the growth can be found in Turkey andthe UkraineSource: EUROCONTROL – Business Aviation in Europe 2010 Briefing13

Fight Deck Enhancements Corporate and commercial aircraft benefit Information concentrated in smaller areas Allows for flight crew ease of controlVision Flight Deck is industry’s first to featuresynthetic vision imagery on HUD’sExisting TechnologyAdvanced Technology14

Enhancements to Small Aircraft Float planes are benefiting from technologicaladvancements Improved cockpit designs and navigational instrumentsallows for IFR navigation15

Engine Technology

Engine Technology Engines are quieter,lighter andmore fuel efficient(i.e. GEnx) Continual testing of bio fuels in search of alternatefuels (Lufthansa trans Atlantic flights)17

Engine Technology High Efficiency Engines Twin ETOPS of 330 min for B777 aircraft & eventually theB787 Airbus studying 350min ETOPS for A350 XWB Longer flights to reach more points non-stopShadedareasrepresentflightrestrictions18

Impacts of Long RangeAircraft

Airport Impacts of Long Range Aircraft Some airports may be bypassed Airports now focused on connectivity New aircraft create new non-stop markets UA IAH – AKL / JL NRT – BOS / ET ADD – YYZ*(*Currently served with B777 with stop in FCO until B787 introduced on route)20

Ultra Long-Haul Flights US gateways rank high in ultra long haul sectors Longest is SIN – EWR at 10,000nm, 18h55min flying timeGulf carriers looking to create one-stop globalnetwork through geographic advantage on longdistance routes Though most flights are within 3000 – 4000nm Long hauls are focused on Americas and AustraliaAsia is aviation’s busiest region but few ultra longhaul services except to US21

Central Asia as the Centre of the World22

US Gateways with Long Haul Flights Examples of destinations over 6,000nm fromEast and West CoastsBetween9,000nm New YorkSingaporeLos Angeles8,000nm 7,000nm 6,000nm BombayAbu DhabiDelhiDubaiShanghaiTokyoBangkokHong tanbulTel AvivTaipei23

Persian Gulf Airports with Long Haul Flights Examples of destinations over 6,000nm fromPersian GulfBetweenDohaDubai9,000nm 8,000nm 7,000nm 6,000nm HoustonMelbourneNew YorkSao PaoloWashingtonHoustonAtlantaTorontoLos AngelesSydneySan Francisco Washington24

Future Sectors in Long Haul Market Better links between Oceana and India Northern Asia to points in Africa and South America Long haul aircraft may enable more effective tradeflows North Asia – Latin American market isunderserviced Currently need to connect via Europe or North AmericaAdvancements in aircraft will shrink markets further25

Air Traffic Control

Air Traffic Control FAA’s NextGEN Program Europe’s EUROCONTROL SESAR Improving technology creating: Better utilization of space Sequencing tools improve airport capacity Direct routings (cost and time savings) Improved situational awareness (safety)ADS-B will support Airborne Traffic SituationalAwareness Provides in-cockpit position information on other aircraft27

FAA’s NextGENSource: FAA28

FAA’s NextGENNew WAASCoverage Clears theWay for New Accessto AirportsThe FAA haspublished more than3000 Wide AreaAugmentation Systemor WAAS approachesin the US.Source: FAA29

Future of Transport

Future of Aviation31

Future of AviationDragon is a free-flying, reusable spacecraftdeveloped by SpaceX under NASA'sCommercial Orbital Transportation Services(COTS) program.The Dragon spacecraft is madeup of a pressurized capsule andunpressurized trunk used fortransport of cargo and/or crewmembers.Source: SpaceX32

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Ultra Long-Haul Flights US gateways rank high in ultra long haul sectors Longest is SIN – EWR at 10,000nm, 18h55min flying time Gulf carriers looking to create one-stop global network through geographic advantage on long-distance routes Though most flights are within 3000 – 4000nm Long hauls are focused on Americas and Australia