Effects Of Female Education On Economic Growth: A Cross .

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ISSN 1303-0485 eISSN 2148-7561DOI 10.12738/estp.2015.2.2351Received 24 December 2014Copyright 2015 EDAM http://www.estp.com.trAccepted 11 February 2015Educational Sciences: Theory & Practice 2015 April 15(2) 349-357OnlineFirst 10 April 2015Effects of Female Education on Economic Growth:A Cross Country Empirical StudyaHakan OztuncFatih UniversitybZar Chi OoFatih UniversitycZehra Vildan SerinFatih UniversityAbstractThis study examines the extent to which women’s education affects long-term economic growth in theAsia Pacific region. It focuses on the time period between 1990 and 2010, using data collected in randomlyselected Asia Pacific countries: Bangladesh, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar,Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. In addition, it emphasizes the impact of female education on economicgrowth as measured by GDP, literacy, fertility, and the female labor force. Using panel regression analysis, itis found that the fertility rate, female labor force participation rate and female primary school enrollment aresignificant factors for annual per capita income growth.Keywords: Female education Economic growth Asia Pacific region Fertility rate Female labor forceparticipation rate Panel data Random effects modelaCorresponding authorAssist. Prof. Hakan Oztunc (PhD), Department of Economics, Fatih University, Buyukcekmece, Istanbul34500 TurkeyResearch areas: Applied econometrics, evaluation research methodology, educational policiesEmail: hoztunc@fatih.edu.trbZar Chi Oo, Department of Economics, Fatih University, Buyukcekmece, Istanbul 34500 TurkeyEmail: montazster@gmail.comcProf. Zehra Vildan Serin (PhD), Department of Economics, Fatih University, Buyukcekmece, Istanbul 34500TurkeyEmail: vserin@fatih.edu.tr

Educational Sciences: Theory & PracticeMore than half of the world’s population lives inthe Asia Pacific region. Many of them face extremepoverty, as close to half of them earn less than adollar per day. This region has a high primary schoolenrollment ratio and literacy rates, despite the lackof gender equality in education. In addition, it isdifficult to find labor participation rates for bothwomen and men. With regard to education, thegender gap is very strong in the Asia Pacific region,particularly at the secondary or high school level.For example, courses such as nutrition, nursing,and teacher training are dominated by girls whileboys would select engineering, law, agriculture,and technology courses. In the Philippines, forexample, more than 90 percent of female studentsare enrolled in female-dominated courses.Poverty is analyzed through many factors includingper capita income, distribution of assets andincome, quality of government, its policies, andinstitutions related to education, health and otheraspects of human development. The poor living inrural and urban areas face different issues. Whilethe rural poor have limited access to educationand health care, the urban poor depend on cashfor survival as they are unable to grow their ownfood unlike their rural counterparts. It is alsodifficult for the urban poor to find good jobs dueto the lack of higher education. This study exploresthe relationship between women’s education andeconomic growth in the Asia Pacific region, whichfaces major problems in the level of economicdevelopment, school enrollment as well as genderdiscrimination in enrollment (Asia-Pacific Forumfor Environment and Development [APFED],2000). The Asia Pacific region is divided into fivesub regions: South Asia, Southeast Asia, NortheastAsia, Central Asia, and the Pacific. From these subregions, several countries have been selected foranalysis in this study. These include Bangladesh,Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia, Lao PDR,Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Thailand, andVietnam. Myanmar is the poorest among thesecountries as well as in the Southeast Asian subregion: 20% of Myanmar’s citizens are below thenational poverty line. Compared to other countriesin the Asia Pacific region, Myanmar also has thehighest infant mortality rate, and more than 20%of children from poor families do not attend school.Literature ReviewThere are two very basic reasons for examininga link between education and economic growth.First, at a general level, living standards have risen350tremendously. Education is now necessary forpeople to benefit from scientific advancement aswell as to contribute to it. Second, at a more specificlevel, a wide range of econometric studies indicatesthat the income levels that individuals can commanddepend on their level of education. If people whoare educated earn more than those who are not,shouldn’t the same be true of countries? The levelof output per hour worked in a country, if not therate of change of output per hour worked, ought todepend on the population’s educational attainment.If spending on education delivers returns of somesort, in much the same way as spending on fixedcapital does, then it is sensible to talk of investingin human capital as the counterpart to investingin fixed capital. Hence, the process of educationcan be analyzed as an investment decision. Theeffect of formal and informal education on farmers’efficiency and income levels has long been analyzedin economics literature. Hussain and Byerlee (1995)highlighted that returns for schooling in agriculturemay be as high as for urban wage earners. Lockheed,Jamison, and Lau (1980) indicated a positive effectof education on output, and though the resultswere mixed, they noted that a significant positiverelationship was more likely to be found in areaswhere farmers are modernizing. Phillips (1994)found that the average increase in output was dueto an additional four years of schooling, whileAppleton and Balihuta (1996) indicated thateducation was not found to be significant. Mirotchie(1994) investigated technical efficiency in cerealcrop production in Ethiopia using aggregate datafor the 1980–86 period. He reported that primaryschooling tends to increase productivity, whilesecondary schooling has no effect. Weale (1992)found positive and significant returns for additionalyears of formal schooling in terms of increasedoutput of cereal crops. Serin, Bayyurt, and Civan(2009) discovered a positive link between educationand farmers’ incomes in Turkey.There are also studies on the role of gender equalityand women’s empowerment in reducing povertyand stimulating economic growth. Morrison, Raju,& Sinha (2007) proved that the impact of women’srights and decision-making power in familieshelped reduce poverty and improve productivityat per person and family levels. In addition, theyshowed the relationship between gender equalityand poverty reduction and economic growth at themacro level. Özpolat and Yıldırım (2009) investigatedthe relationship between the education of womenand economic growth by analyzing the economicdimension of women’s education. She expressed that it

Oztunc, Chi Oo, Serin / Effects of Female Education on Economic Growth: A Cross Country Empirical Studyhas been long concluded that education of women hasa positive effect on economic growth in all societiesespecially in developing countries, and called for moreattention on women’s education. She also explainedthat the net returns on education and training ofwomen are greater than that for men. Schultz (1961)who was the first economist, studied the difference inworker productivity by gender, based on their workexperience and schooling. Becker and Thomes (1994)also indicated that different wages among workerswas in line with the difference in their education level,training, and work experience. Bourguignon andMorrison (2002) examined how higher educationlevels lead to lower fertility rates by affecting percapita income growth and decreasing mortality rateper child. Barro (1991) revealed that more educatedhouseholds are likely to have higher productivity thanmore children; this shows that education and fertilityrate have a negative effect on each other. Barro (1991)also said that the economic growth rate is related tochanges in human capital and schooling years. Badenand Green (1994) however argued that women’seducation is not the main factor for improved childhealth and welfare and reduced fertility, and that it ismore effective to spend directly on child health andfamily planning to reduce fertility and child mortalityinstead of investing in educating women. Dollar andGatti (1999) also studied the relationship betweengender inequality in education and economic growth.They explained the positive relationship betweenthe education of women and economic growth byusing a five-year growth interval and by controllingfor possible endogeneity among education andeconomic growth with the help of instrumentalvariable estimation. Klasen and Lamanna (2008)also investigated the impact of gender inequality ineducation and employment on economic growth indeveloping countries through a 41-year period (1960–2000). He revealed that gender inequality in educationand employment can reduce economic growth, andalso stated that reducing gender inequality would leadto economic development because the education ofwomen has a huge impact on fertility and the creationof human capital for the next generation.Dollar and Gatti (1999) found a negative link betweenthe gender gap in education and economic growth, incontrast to Barro’s (1999) view that there is a positiverelationship between the two. This prompted Klasen(2008) to avoid using the same methods as the previousresearchers, to discover why they found differingrelationships between gender gap in educationand economic growth. Klasen (2008) showed veryclose links between gender inequality in labor forceparticipation and employment, and also found thatdecreasing marginal returns on education meansthat the education of women is limited to the lowerlevel. An increase in male education levels when themarginal return on the education of women is higherthan that for males, will affect economic performance.Many theorists believe that one of the most effectiveways to reduce the fertility rate per woman and thechild mortality rate—which will positively impacteconomic growth—is by promoting the educationof women as this would lead to education for thenext generation. Bloom and Williamson (1998)also examined education and economic growth byfocusing on “demographic gift”; how falling fertilityrates lead to a favorable demographic constellationafter 20 years. They also found that a woman’sincreased employment earnings provide her withgreater bargaining power within her household. Anincrease in women’s earnings also leads to greatersavings and economic growth. Bloom and Williamson(1998) came to this conclusion by using the shortterm growth model, unlike the other researchers whoused the long-term growth model. Therefore, Bloomand Williamson’s (1998) conclusions may differ fromthose of other researchers.Human Capital Theory expounds the view thateducation leads to higher skills among workersfor better productivity, and that the rate of returnon education investment surpasses that of otherinvestments. Human capital theorists use variousmethods to corroborate these views. First, theyexamine employee wages by comparing workers’education levels. Using the “normal” assumptionsof competitive labor and goods markets, humancapital theorists conclude that education levelsnot only help workers acquire skills for betterproductivity, but also encourage them to improvetheir abilities and attain greater earning power.Correspondence Theory also provides numerousimplications for poverty reduction policies as itis an effective anti-poverty strategy that should beincluded in education and skills training especiallyamong poor households. Studying data from ruralChina, Brown (2006) concluded that the educationof mothers—compared to that of fathers—has ahigher effect on the investment on education fortheir children. Using household survey data fromBrazil and Ghana, Thomas (1994) also found thatthe education of daughters is largely affected by theeducation of mothers, while the education of fathershas a significant effect on the education of sons.Controversially, Quisumbing and Maluccio (2003)had opposite results with their study in Ethiopia,which found that the assets brought to the marriageby the mother are more than those brought by the351

Educational Sciences: Theory & Practicefather the educational outcome of the daughters islower compared with the sons. They also conducteda similar investigation in Indonesia, and foundthat the assets of the mother have a positiveand significant effect on sons’ education, but nosignificant effect on daughter’s education, while amore educated father positively effects the educationof daughters. Kızılgöl (2012) also explored theimpact of gender inequality in education on povertyin Turkey. This paper indicated that educated, maleheaded households in urban areas have a lowerprobability of poverty compared to uneducatedfemale-headed households in rural areas. Moreover,Kızılgöl (2012) noted that increasing female-maleratio for literacy, for education of 10 years andabove as well as for earnings would lead to a higherprobability of poverty eradication.Using time series models with the help of economicvariables, Ince (2011) also studied how women’seducation is important for Turkey’s development.She noted that education is a significant factor forsocial and economic progress, especially in Turkey,as it can increase the welfare of its society. She alsoconcluded that education can be used as a predictorof human capital. Oxaal (1997) also considered therole of women’s education in reducing poverty, notingthat females from developing countries have lessopportunity for schooling than males. She also foundthat poverty forces children, especially girls, frompoor families to receive less opportunity for schooling.The opportunity cost of sending girls to school isvery great for poor households as the labor of girls isused to replace that of their mothers, for example inproviding childcare for their younger siblings.A panel data set has multiple observations on thesame econometric units. With panel data, eachelement has two subscripts; the group identifieri, and the within-group index denoted by t ineconometrics, which usually refers to time. Themost general linear representation of panel data is:yit kk 1 xkit βkit εit, i 1,2, , N, t 1,2, ,T (1)where N is the number of individuals, T is thenumber of periods.One set of data estimators allow heterogeneityacross panel units (and possibly across time) butconfines that heterogeneity to the intercept terms ofrelationship. There are fixed-effects and RE modelswhich impose restrictions on the above model ofthereby allowing only a constant to differ over i.In particular, it restricts the slope coefficients to beconstant over both units and time, and allows for anintercept coefficient that varies by unit or time. Fora given observation, an intercept varying over unitsresults in the following structure:yit xkit βkit ztδ ui εit(2)where is a 1xk vector of variables that vary overindividual and time, is the kx1 vector of coefficientson , is a 1xp vector of time-invariant variables thatvary over individuals, is the px1 vector of coefficientson , is the individual-level effect and is the disturbanceterm. The is either correlated or uncorrelated withregressors in and. If the is uncorrelated with theregressors, this is known as random effects (RE).RE estimators use the assumptions that the isuncorrelated with the regressors to identify the andcoefficients (Maddala, 2006).As our interest is in the impact of women’s educationon economic growth for Asia Pacific countries, theaforementioned literature has helped to inform theselection of unique explanatory variables for ourempirical study.To implement RE formulation of (2), it is assumedthat both and are non-zero processes, uncorrelatedwith the regressors; they are each homoskedastic inthat there is no correlation over individuals or time.For the T observations belonging to the unit of thepanel, one can assume the composite error processas follows:A Panel-Data Model: Random Effects Modelvit ui εitFor this study, the random effects (RE) model wasused to analyze the data set included in the paneldata processes. The RE model, also known as thevariance components model, considers the paneldata structure between dependent and independentvariables (Balestra & Nerlova, 1966; Baltagi, 2005;Hsiao, 2003). Using panel data for estimationensures control for missing and unobservedvariables and for the relationship identification ofcountry–specific effects (Arellano & Bond, 1991;Matyas & Sevestre, 1996).This is known as the error components model withconditional variance352cov(vit, vis) σu2 σε2 fort s(3)(4)and conditional covariance within a unit ofcov(vit, vis) σu2 for t s(5)cov(vit, vis) 0 for all t, s if i j(6)As the errors are correlated, generalized least squares(GLS) has to be used to obtain efficient estimates(Maddala, 1971). It can be written as follows:

Oztunc, Chi Oo, Serin / Effects of Female Education on Economic Growth: A Cross Country Empirical StudyβGLS θ σε2Tσu2 σε2(7)Thus the ordinary least squares (OLS) and fixedeffects model estimators are special cases of the GLSestimator with and , respectively. According to (7), if Tis large or is large relative to will be very close to zero,and the GLS estimator is very close to the fixed-effectsmodel estimator. In actual practice, it is not knownand needs to be estimated based on preliminaryestimates. Several methods have been suggested inthe literature (Fuller & Battase, 1973; Hauthakker,Verleger, & Shechan, 1974; Nerlove, 1971).Breusch and Pagan (1980) have developed alagrange multiplier (LM) test for , which maycompute the RE estimation. It is possible to estimatethe parameters of the RE model with full maximumlikelihood. The application of maximum likelihoodestimation continues to assume that the regressorsand are uncorrelated, adding the assumption thatthe distributions and are normal. The estimator willproduce a likelihood ratio test of corresponding tothe Breusch-Pagan test available for GLS estimator.Hausman test is usually applied to test for fixedversus RE models. If the regressors are correlatedwith the fixed-effects estimator is consistent but theRE estimator is not. If the regressors are uncorrelatedwith, the fixed-effects estimator is still consistent,albeit insufficient, whereas the RE estimator isconsistent and efficient. There are two scenarios inthe Hausman test: (1) If both fixed effects and REmodels generate consistent point estimates of theslope parameters, they will not differ meaningfully.(2) If the orthogonality assumption is violated, theinconsistent RE estimates will significantly differfrom their fixed effects counterparts (Baum, 2006;Hausman & Taylor, 1981). The Hausman test usesas a -statistic with degrees of freedom k where k isdimensionality of and estimators.MethodA panel regression is used based on theoretical andempirical literature that explores the link betweenfemale education and economic growth. A balancedpanel of 231 observations from 11 randomlyselected Asia Pacific countries over the 1990–2010period (21 years) is used in this study. The sampleof the countries represents all major regions in theAsia Pacific area, which reflects the characteristicsof female education on economic growth. Specialattention is given here to theoretical and empiricalliterature on how education as human capital affectsliving standards and economic growth as a societyin Bangladesh, Cambodia, China, India, Indonesia,Lao PDR, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines,Thailand, and Vietnam, where female education hasan impact on female labor force participation rates.A panel regression is used based on the studiesdone in the literature. There are fixed andrandom effects in a panel regression; however weuse and determine

Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam. In addition, it emphasizes the impact of female education on economic growth as measured by GDP, literacy, fertility, and the female labor force. Using panel regression analysis, it is found that the fertility rate, female labor force participation rate and female primary school enrollment are

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