UNITED NATIONS SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOALS

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UNITED NATIONS SUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENT GOALSPathways to Success – A Systematic Framework for Aligning InvestmentCiti GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsJune 2018Citi is one of the world’s largest financial institutions, operating in all major established and emerging markets. Across these world markets, our employees conductan ongoing multi-disciplinary conversation – accessing information, analyzing data, developing insights, and formulating advice. As our premier thought leadershipproduct, Citi GPS is designed to help our readers navigate the global economy’s most demanding challenges and to anticipate future themes and trends in a fast-changing andinterconnected world. Citi GPS accesses the best elements of our global conversation and harvests the thought leadership of a wide range of senior professionalsacross our firm. This is not a research report and does not constitute advice on investments or a solicitations to buy or sell any financial instruments.For more information on Citi GPS, please visit our website at www.citi.com/citigps.

Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsJune 2018Jason ChannellHead of Social & Responsible Investment Research 44-20-7986-8661 jason.channell@citi.comElizabeth CurmiGlobal Thematic Analyst 44-20-7986-6818 elizabeth.curmi@citi.comZoe WhittonHead of Australian ESG Research 61-2-8225-4811 zoe.whitton@citi.comEdward McKinnonAustralian ESG Research 61-2-8225-4898 edward.mckinnon@citi.comTina M FordhamChief Global Political Analyst 44-20-7986-9860 tina.fordham@citi.comContributorsRupert RinkCatherine Leigh CunninghamYing Qin

June 2018Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsUNITED NATIONS SUSTAINABLEDEVELOPMENT GOALSPathways to Success – A Systematic Framework forAligning InvestmentsAlthough there is much in the world to be proud of, we still face enormous societal,environmental, and economic challenges. Even in this day and age, more than 2 billionpeople — a quarter of all humankind — lack access to even the most basic elements oflife that most of us take for granted, such as clean water, sanitation, and energy, while800 million people — more than one in ten of us — remain undernourished. At its mostextreme, the picture is infinitely worse; 700 million people, again, almost one in ten ofus, still live below the poverty line on less than 1.90 per day, a sum that many of usspend on a coffee without a second thought. More than 40% of children younger thanage 14 (800 million) still lack access to a 'complete' education, and are denied theopportunity to reach their full potential. Beyond the obvious impact on their own lives,what benefits might almost a billion extra well-educated people bring to the world?The 17 United Nations Sustainable Development Goals aim to tackle the challenges,issues, and injustices facing the world by 2030, but the goals themselves are complex.They are arguably all inextricably linked, with numerous feedback loops, not all of thempositive. Trillions of dollars of capital wants to invest sustainably but struggles totranslate an investment philosophy, which desires alignment with the SDGs, into apractical investment strategy given that complexity.This report tries, as far as possible, to simplify the SDGs — to examine thoseinterlinkages, to determine the driving forces and resulting benefits, and therebydetermine a set of critical paths — our so-called 'pathways to success' — which canlead quickly and most effectively to the achievement of the goals. It allows us to identifywho is best placed to do what, from the public sector to the private sector to theinvestment community, and what their route in might be. We examine the goalsindividually, attempting to lay out both the incremental financial cost/opportunity ofachieving the goal, and the human benefit that might be gained by solving it. In a worldof scarce resources, it also provides an indication of which paths might achieve thebroadest human benefit for the least financial cost though this does not mean these arethe most important — it is not by accident that all roads on our 'pathways to success'lead to the eradication of poverty.We identify incremental physical investment needs or opportunities in water, energy,and the circular economy alone of 1.5 trillion per year, while social investment areas ofeducation, health, and hunger add up to an annual incremental opportunity of 800billion. To be sure, these are enormous sums, but much smaller than the sums ofcapital looking to invest sustainably and tiny in relation to the human benefits that couldbe achieved. We also examine the innovative financial instruments and frameworksneeded to allow that capital to flow to aid in the achievement of the goals.The SDGs represent the challenge of our generation but a challenge which we shouldembrace, as the benefits for those suffering most, as well as to the whole globalcommunity, would be immeasurable if we were to succeed. By identifying the lowesthanging fruit, the feedback loops, the critical paths, the scale of the opportunity in bothhuman and financial terms, and who might do what, we hopefully break the sometimesdaunting SDGs down into a roadmap — a framework which allows all elements ofsociety, from policymakers, to corporates and the financial community, to set out inpartnership down a pathway to a better, fairer, wealthier, more inclusive, cleaner, andmore sustainable world that we can be truly proud to leave for our children. 2018 Citigroup3

A Framework for investingin the UN SDGsThe first step to building a framework for investing in the SDGs is to group them togetherby primary area of focus, then try to break down whether it is a ‘cause’ or an ‘effect’.CAUSEEFFECTClimate ActionAffordable andClean EnergyClean Waterand icalLife on LandSustainableCities andCommunitiesResponsibleConsumptionand ProductionLife Below WaterEconomicEconomicIndustry, Innovation and InfrastructureDecent Work and Economic GrowthSocialSocialGood Health and Well-beingZero HungerQuality EducationNo PovertyPeaceful and Inclusive SocietiesReduced InequalitiesGender EqualityNext, we identify the linkages and interaction between the different SDGsSDG1SDG2SDG3SDG4SDG5SDG6SDG7SDG8SDG9SDG10 SDG11SDG12SDG13SDG14 SDG15 1SDG12SDG13SDG14SDG15SDG16Environmental/Physical 2018 cStrongModerateNegativeNegative or postive

Combining the two, we can derive a series of ‘critical pathways’ for SDGsInvestmentopportunities Recycling Waste minimization Waste management Energy from waste R enewable energy Energy efficiency Energy storage Water treatment Sanitation Desalination Distributionnetworks Transportation Telecommunication Research andDevelopment Private education O n-line learning Educationalinfrastructure Educational media Pharmaceuticals Biotech e-doctors Agriculturaltechnology FertilizersSource: Citi Research, United Nations

Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions6June 2018ContentsIntroduction to the SDGs7What Are the SDGs?7Section 1: Examining the UN SustainableDevelopment GoalsHow Do Investors Use the SDGs?Pathways to SuccessImpact and OpportunityMaking it HappenSummary and Conclusions 2018 Citigroup101115253543Section 2: The 17 UN SDGs47SDG 1: No PovertySDG 2: Zero HungerSDG 3: Good Health and Well-BeingSDG 4: Quality EducationSDG 5: Gender EqualitySDG 6: Clean Water and SanitationSDG 7: Affordable and Clean EnergySDG 8: Decent Work and Economic GrowthSDG 9: Industry, Innovation, and InfrastructureSDG 10: Reduced InequalitiesSDG 11: Sustainable Cities and CommunitiesSDG 12: Responsible Consumption and ProductionSDG 13: Climate Action48535964687580859195102108114SDG 14: Life Below WaterSDG 15: Life on LandSDG 16: Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions119124129

June 2018Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsIntroduction to the SDGsWhat Are the SDGs?The UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) were put in place in 2015 to takeup the baton from where the UN’s Eight Millennium Development Goals (MDG's) leftoff, and to finish what they did not achieve. The SDGs consist of 17 goals which aimto address, by 2030, the biggest challenges facing society, the planet, andhumankind — or as the UN puts it, 'People, Planet, Prosperity':Figure 1. The UN SDGs People: 'We are determined to end poverty and hunger, in all their forms anddimensions, and to ensure that all human beings can fulfil their potential in dignityand equality and in a healthy environment.' Planet: 'We are determined to protect the planet from degradation, includingthrough sustainable consumption and production, sustainably managing itsnatural resources, and taking urgent action on climate change, so that it cansupport the needs of the present and future generations.' Prosperity: 'We are determined to ensure that all human beings can enjoySource: United Nationsprosperous and fulfilling lives and that economic, social, and technologicalprogress occurs in harmony with nature.'The UN Sustainable Development website also goes on to highlight Peace andPartnership, the latter being key to achieving the goals, and noting that without theformer, there will be little sustainable development — and we note, vice versa.Figure 2. The UN's 17 Sustainable Development GoalsSource: United Nations 2018 Citigroup7

Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions8June 2018Beneath these 17 goals are 169 specific targets, which attempt to break down the17 goals with the UN also specifying which indicators it believes are the correctones to assess progress towards each individual goal or target.The eradication of poverty and inclusivity arestrong threads running through the SDGsAt the heart of the goals is the eradication of poverty, which if successful, could helpto tackle so many of the other challenges facing the world; this concept ofinterlinkage between the goals is a recurring focus of this report. Inclusivity is also astrong thread running through the goals — not only in the obvious headline SDGs ofInequality and Gender Equality, but within most goals there is specific reference toensuring access or inclusivity for disadvantaged or at-risk groups.The goals cover an enormous breadth ofareas and subjects with 17 goals brokendown into 169 targets and even moreindicatorsThe goals themselves cover an enormous breadth of areas and subjects, from thephysical and environmental, to social and human, to economic, policy andgovernance. Moreover, when one starts to delve down into the 169 targets, and theeven more numerous indicators which lie beneath each of them, the sheer scopeand scale of the project can seem overwhelming. This is a recurring theme whichwe encounter with corporates, and in particular investors – how do they align theirbusiness practices with the SDGs, both to aid in the achievement of the goals, butalso potentially to benefit financially from business areas which, if tackled, will growdramatically? Most importantly, where to start?The complexity though does not end there. While each of the 17 goals may seemrelatively self-evident at first glance, when one starts to work through the goals itbecomes quickly apparent that they are not individual and discrete goals; forexample, how can one claim to have eradicated poverty, without succeeding ineliminating hunger, providing energy, water, and sanitation to all, and without'solving' decent work and economic growth? How can one tackle climate changewithout succeeding at Affordable and Clean Energy, Sustainable Cities andCommunities, Industry and Infrastructure, Life on Land and Life below Water, andvia Responsible Consumption and Production? These are just a few examples ofthe numerous interlinkages which pervade the goals.The interlinkages between goals areinherently positive but significant negativefeedback loops existMoreover, not all of these interlinkages are inherently positive; significant negativefeedback loops exist. Climate Action for example is 'easy' to tackle if we spend 9trillion, but its interaction with Affordable and Clean Energy is obvious — we candecarbonize very quickly, but at an enormous (headline) cost — and the provision ofuniversal access to energy is also readily achievable, but will push the cost of theenergy up considerably, making it inherently less affordable (if at all). And this is notjust at a human level — if energy costs to industry rise significantly, what will this doto Decent Work and Economic Growth, as rising company costs leave less forinvestment? Industry, Innovation, and Infrastructure would also likely suffer similarlyfrom greater cost constraints within corporates. These are not highlighted as the keynegative feedback loops – just as examples that not only are all of the goalsinextricably linked, but that many of these linkages are negative, rather than beingone big virtuous circle.Different groups use the SDGs for differentpurposesDifferent groups use the SDGs for different purposes. Some entities use the SDGsto help society and address enormous social issues, while others identify investmenttrends and likely growing demand for products and services. While some will be atthe charitable/not-for-profit end of the spectrum, others will be unashamedly seekinggrowth and profit while most may be somewhere in between. The same is true forthe investment community — at the so-called 'impact' end of the spectrum, someinvestors may be more concerned with societal returns than financial ones, whilethe other end of the spectrum is unashamedly 'following the money'. 2018 Citigroup

June 2018Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsThe purpose of this report is to try to simplifythe SDGs to determine a set of critical pathswhich can lead quickly and most effectivelyto their achievementBut that is not to sound negative, and not for a moment to suggest that we shouldn’ttry to achieve the goals, or indeed that we can't succeed at many of the goals by2030. The purpose of this report is to try, as far as possible, to simplify the SDGs —to break them down into similar groups, to examine those interlinkages, todetermine the drivers and results, and thereby to determine a set of critical pathswhich can lead quickly and most effectively to their achievement. It allows us toidentify who is best placed to do what, from the public sector to the private sector tothe investment community, and it attempts to lay out both the cost of achieving thegoal from an incremental perspective, and the human benefit that might be achieved bysolving it. This then allows us to look at what our most pressing challenges are,where the biggest financial opportunities are, and perhaps most importantly, wherewe can achieve the greatest human benefit for the least financial cost.We are acutely aware that some will disagree vehemently with this approach, at ourseeming to 'prioritize' some goals over others (we absolutely are not), or to implythat some are 'bigger' than others — or even that they can be separated at all. Weactively welcome that debate and feedback. The goals are used by such a diverserange of groups, and for such wildly differing purposes, that to produce a frameworkapplicable to all, and which works for all is nigh on impossible. We are simply drivenby recurring feedback from investors who are trying to align their investmentprocesses with the SDGs, who want to invest sustainably, but are baffled by theenormity of the task, their breadth and reach, and are unsure of how to think aboutthe SDGs collectively, the scale of the opportunities, and where they should start.We hopefully can breakdown the sometimesdaunting SDGs into a roadmap for allelements of societyBy identifying the lowest hanging fruit, the feedback loops, the critical paths, thescale of the opportunity in both human and financial terms, and who should do whatin what order, we can hopefully break the sometimes daunting SDGs down into aroadmap for all elements of society, which can help us build a better, fairer,wealthier, more inclusive, cleaner, and more sustainable world both for thisgeneration, and for our children.How to Use this Report:Section 1 of the report examines what the UN Sustainable Development Goals areas a concept, what they are used for, how they are used, and by whom. We thenexamine the interactions between the goals, both positive and negative. We breakthe goals down into three groups focusing on the physical/environmental, social,and economic, and then further break the goals down into what we see as 'drivers',and those which are more the 'results' of other goals. Finally in Section 1, we usethis analysis to derive so-called 'pathways for success', which highlight entry pointsinto investing in the SDGs, which goals those investment areas can drive, andwhich SDGs those in turn drive. Each of the goals has both a financial and a humannumber associated with it, which are derived in Section 2. The 'human' numberreflects the current number of people currently affected by the goal, or the lives ofwhom would be improved by its achievement. The 'financial' number is designed tohighlight either the cost of achieving the goal, the avoided liability of achieving it, orin some cases the financial benefit of achieving the goal.Section 2 of the report contains a four-page section on each individual SDG,describing what the SDG is, why it is an SDG (i.e., what is the problem it is trying toaddress), what the UN sub-targets and indicators are, what our chosen metrics areto derive the financial and human figures described above, what those figures areand how we get to them, and finally an examination of where geographically thegreatest opportunities lie. 2018 Citigroup9

Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & Solutions10Section 1: Examining theUN SustainableDevelopment Goals 2018 CitigroupJune 2018

June 2018Citi GPS: Global Perspectives & SolutionsHow Do Investors Use the SDGs?While hopefully also useful to governments, development agencies, and supranational organizations, the main focus of this report is on the private sector, inparticular the corporate and investment communities (especially the latter), as tohow they can best align their business and investment processes, not only to helpaid the achievement of the goals, but also to potentially benefit from aligning withthe trillions of dollars which will need to be mobilized to achieve them — therebyoffering scope for both a societal as well as a financial return — for the benefit of allstakeholders.Differing Investment PhilosophiesThe SDGs are a uniform project, outliningthe system-wide achievements needed inorder to reach suitable levels of well-beinggloballyFor the purposes of development, the SDGs are a uniform project, outlining thesystem-wide achievements needed in order to reach suitable levels of well-beingglobally. While this provides a framework for targeting development activity andfunding for development agencies, funders, and other stakeholders, for investorsthe SDGs are unlikely to be a uniform project. Investors will use and interact withthe SDGs in very different ways depending on their motivations, philosophies, andmandates therefore understanding the different approaches to ESG (Environmental,Social, Governance) investing is a critical starting point. In the table below, we breakthis down into five different approaches to ESG or sustainable investing.Figure 3. Differing Approaches to ESG InvestingESG Communication The use of ESG themes and information primarily as a reporting tool onalignment of current activityTactical ESG The use of ESG information, trends and themes to generate investmentadvantages and performanceImpact Investing The use of investment to achieve social or environmental outcomes in the realworldUniversal Ownership The practice whereby large investors span the whole market, and can invest toachieve or avoid certain outcomes, and exert influ

The UN Sustainable Development website also goes on to highlight Peace and Partnership, the latter being key to achieving the goals, and noting that without the former, there will be little sustainable development — and we note, vice versa. Figure 2. The UN's 17 Sustainable Development Goals Source: United Nations . Figure 1. The UN SDGs

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