Parallel Universes - MIT Kavli Institute

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To appear in Science and Ultimate Reality: From Quantum to Cosmos, honoring John Wheeler’s 90th birthday,J.D. Barrow, P.C.W. Davies, & C.L. Harper eds., Cambridge University Press (2003)Parallel UniversesMax TegmarkDept. of Physics, Univ. of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA 19104; max@physics.upenn.edu(January 23 2003.)Abstract: I survey physics theories involving parallel universes, which form a natural four-levelhierarchy of multiverses allowing progressively greater diversity. Level I: A generic prediction ofinflation is an infinite ergodic universe, which contains Hubble volumes realizing all initial conditions29— including an identical copy of you about 1010 m away. Level II: In chaotic inflation, otherthermalized regions may have different physical constants, dimensionality and particle content. LevelIII: In unitary quantum mechanics, other branches of the wavefunction add nothing qualitativelynew, which is ironic given that this level has historically been the most controversial. Level IV:Other mathematical structures give different fundamental equations of physics. The key question isnot whether parallel universes exist (Level I is the uncontroversial cosmological concordance model),but how many levels there are. I discuss how multiverse models can be falsified and argue that thereis a severe “measure problem” that must be solved to make testable predictions at levels II-IV.Is there another copy of you reading this article, deciding to put it aside without finishing this sentence whileyou are reading on? A person living on a planet calledEarth, with misty mountains, fertile fields and sprawlingcities, in a solar system with eight other planets. Thelife of this person has been identical to yours in everyrespect – until now, that is, when your decision to readon signals that your two lives are diverging.You probably find this idea strange and implausible,and I must confess that this is my gut reaction too. Yetit looks like we will just have to live with it, since thesimplest and most popular cosmological model today predicts that this person actually exists in a Galaxy about291010 meters from here. This does not even assume speculative modern physics, merely that space is infinite andrather uniformly filled with matter as indicated by recentastronomical observations. Your alter ego is simply a prediction of the so-called concordance model of cosmology,which agrees with all current observational evidence andis used as the basis for most calculations and simulationspresented at cosmology conferences. In contrast, alternatives such as a fractal universe, a closed universe anda multiply connected universe have been seriously challenged by observations.The farthest you can observe is the distance that lighthas been able to travel during the 14 billion years sincethe big-bang expansion began. The most distant visibleobjects are now about 4 1026 meters away , and a sphereof this radius defines our observable universe, also calledour Hubble volume, our horizon volume or simply ouruniverse. Likewise, the universe of your above-mentionedtwin is a sphere of the same size centered over there, noneof which we can see or have any causal contact with yet.This is the simplest (but far from the only) example ofparallel universes.By this very definition of “universe”, one might expect the notion that our observable universe is merely asmall part of a larger “multiverse” to be forever in the domain of metaphysics. Yet the epistemological borderlinebetween physics and metaphysics is defined by whethera theory is experimentally testable, not by whether itis weird or involves unobservable entities. Technologypowered experimental breakthroughs have therefore expanded the frontiers of physics to incorporate ever moreabstract (and at the time counterintuitive) concepts suchas a round rotating Earth, an electromagnetic field,time slowdown at high speeds, quantum superpositions,curved space and black holes. As reviewed in this article, it is becoming increasingly clear that multiversemodels grounded in modern physics can in fact be empirically testable, predictive and falsifiable. Indeed, asmany as four distinct types of parallel universes (Figure1) have been discussed in the recent scientific literature,so that the key question is not whether there is a multiverse (since Level I is rather uncontroversial), but ratherhow many levels it has. After emitting the light that is now reaching us, the mostdistant things we can see have receded because of the cosmicexpansion, and are now about about 40 billion light yearsaway.1

' (*), .-#/%(10%2 ! #" % & izonSame laws of physics, different initial conditionsdistributionAssumptions:Evidence:- Microwave background meaurements point to3547658 498 : ;! 7?1@*;BA,; C DFEHGF8 @JIK? : : ; C65L ? : AB8 496 8 478 :M; N?*@*;,ABL ? C DF;1O P@*?*L ; .IKEFEB: QH47;1 R S T TmK VnXF&K Y "o JXF&K "o JXH W 9XF K SXF Y ' (1)B .-#/*(*0%2 p 8 6M6 erent fundamental equations of physicsAssumption: Mathematical existence physical existenceectiveness of math in physicsEvidence:- Answers Wheeler/Hawking question:"why these equations, not others"qr4FC.;1?1 PE,49?tsNL ; ;*6M6- Simplest model S T TUKWV XF&K Y [Z\ ! 9XH]B B % JX, % K W K % ' (*)B .-#/*(*0%2 Same fundamental equations of physics, but perhapsGF8 6M6 erent constants, particles and dimensionalityAssumption: Chaotic inflation occurredEvidence: - Inflation theory explains flat space, scale-invariantfluctuations, solves horizon problem and monopoleproblems and can naturally explain such bubbles- Explains fine-tuned parameters2Level' (*), -#/*(*0%3:2 The Many a lds of Quantum PhysicsSame as level 2Assumption: Physics unitaryEvidence:- Experimental support for unitary physicseven quantum gravity is unitary- Decoherence experimentally verified- Mathematically simplest modelbTG9cFd egfihj@*E,C5Ck;1 NEB47GF; 49@1; .l7DHDF;1 .:5 S: Q7? :

a four-dimensional sphere or a doughnut so that traveling far in one direction could bring you back from theopposite direction. The cosmic microwave backgroundallows sensitive tests of such finite models, but has sofar produced no support for them — flat infinite modelsfit the data fine and strong limits have been placed onboth spatial curvature and multiply connected topologies. In addition, a spatially infinite universe is a genericprediction of the cosmological theory of inflation (Garriga & Vilenkin 2001b). The striking successes of inflation listed below therefore lend further support to theidea that space is after all simple and infinite just as welearned in school.How uniform is the matter distribution on large scales?In an “island universe” model where space is infinite butall the matter is confined to a finite region, almost allmembers of the Level I multiverse would be dead, consisting of nothing but empty space. Such models havebeen popular historically, originally with the island being Earth and the celestial objects visible to the nakedeye, and in the early 20th century with the island beingthe known part of the Milky Way Galaxy. Another nonuniform alternative is a fractal universe, where the matter distribution is self-similar and all coherent structuresin the cosmic galaxy distribution are merely a small partof even larger coherent structures. The island and fractaluniverse models have both been demolished by recent observations as reviewed in Tegmark (2002). Maps of thethree-dimensional galaxy distribution have shown thatthe spectacular large-scale structure observed (galaxygroups, clusters, superclusters, etc.) gives way to dulluniformity on large scales, with no coherent structureslarger than about 1024 m. More quantitatively, imagineplacing a sphere of radius R at various random locations,measuring how much mass M is enclosed each time, andcomputing the variation between the measurements asquantified by their standard deviation M . The relativefluctuations M/M have been measured to be of orderunity on the scale R 3 1023m, and dropping on largerscales. The Sloan Digital Sky Survey has found M/Mas small as 1% on the scale R 1025 m and cosmic microwave background measurements have established thatthe trend towards uniformity continues all the way out tothe edge of our observable universe (R 1027 m), where M/M 10 5 . Barring conspiracy theories where theuniverse is designed to fool us, the observations thusspeak loud and clear: space as we know it continues farbeyond the edge of our observable universe, teeming withgalaxies, stars and planets.I. LEVEL I: REGIONS BEYOND OUR COSMICHORIZONLet us return to your distant twin. If space is infinite and the distribution of matter is sufficiently uniformon large scales, then even the most unlikely events musttake place somewhere. In particular, there are infinitelymany other inhabited planets, including not just one butinfinitely many with people with the same appearance,name and memories as you. Indeed, there are infinitelymany other regions the size of our observable universe,where every possible cosmic history is played out. Thisis the Level I multiverse.A. Evidence for Level I parallel universesAlthough the implications may seem crazy andcounter-intuitive, this spatially infinite cosmologicalmodel is in fact the simplest and most popular one onthe market today. It is part of the cosmological concordance model, which agrees with all current observationalevidence and is used as the basis for most calculationsand simulations presented at cosmology conferences. Incontrast, alternatives such as a fractal universe, a closeduniverse and a multiply connected universe have been seriously challenged by observations. Yet the Level I multiverse idea has been controversial (indeed, an assertionalong these lines was one of the heresies for which the Vatican had Giordano Bruno burned at the stake in 1600† ),so let us review the status of the two assumptions (infinite space and “sufficiently uniform” distribution).How large is space? Observationally, the lower boundhas grown dramatically (Figure 2) with no indication ofan upper bound. We all accept the existence of thingsthat we cannot see but could see if we moved or waited,like ships beyond the horizon. Objects beyond cosmichorizon have similar status, since the observable universegrows by a light-year every year as light from furtheraway has time to reach us‡ . Since we are all taught aboutsimple Euclidean space in school, it can therefore be difficult to imagine how space could not be infinite — forwhat would lie beyond the sign saying “SPACE ENDSHERE — MIND THE GAP”? Yet Einstein’s theory ofgravity allows space to be finite by being differently connected than Euclidean space, say with the topology of†Bruno’s ideas have since been elaborated by, e.g., Brundrit(1979), Garriga & Vilenkin (2001b) and Ellis (2002), all ofwhom have thus far avoided the stake.‡If the cosmic expansion continues to accelerate (currentlyan open question), the observable universe will eventually stopgrowing.B. What are Level I parallel universes like?The physics description of the world is traditionallysplit into two parts: initial conditions and laws of physicsspecifying how the initial conditions evolve. Observers3

are amplified by gravitational clustering to form galaxies,stars, planets and other structures. This means both thatpretty much all imaginable matter configurations occurin some Hubble volume far away, and also that we shouldexpect our own Hubble volume to be a fairly typical one— at least typical among those that contain observers.A crude estimate suggests that the closest identical copy2991of you is about 1010 m away. About 1010 m away,there should be a sphere of radius 100 light-years identicalto the one centered here, so all perceptions that we haveduring the next century will be identical to those of our115counterparts over there. About 1010 m away, thereshould be an entire Hubble volume identical to ours. This raises an interesting philosophical point that willcome back and haunt us in Section V B: if there areindeed many copies of “you” with identical past lives andmemories, you would not be able to compute your ownfuture even if you had complete knowledge of the entirestate of the cosmos! The reason is that there is no wayfor you to determine which of these copies is “you” (theyall feel that they are). Yet their lives will typically beginto differ eventually, so the best you can do is predictprobabilities for what you will experience from now on.This kills the traditional notion of determinism.FIG. 2. Although an infinite universe has always been apossibility, the lower limit on the size of our universe has keptgrowing.living in parallel universes at Level I observe the exactsame laws of physics as we do, but with different initialconditions than those in our Hubble volume. The currently favored theory is that the initial conditions (thedensities and motions of different types of matter earlyon) were created by quantum fluctuations during the inflation epoch (see section 3). This quantum mechanismgenerates initial conditions that are for all practical purposes random, producing density fluctuations describedby what mathematicians call an ergodic random field.§Ergodic means that if you imagine generating an ensemble of universes, each with its own random initial conditions, then the probability distribution of outcomes ina given volume is identical to the distribution that youget by sampling different volumes in a single universe. Inother words, it means that everything that could in principle have happened here did in fact happen somewhereelse.Inflation in fact generates all possible initial conditionswith non-zero probability, the most likely ones being almost uniform with fluctuations at the 10 5 level thatC. How a multiverse theory can be tested andfalsifiedIs a multiverse theory one of metaphysics rather thanphysics? As emphasized by Karl Popper, the distinction between the two is whether the theory is empiricallytestable and falsifiable. Containing unobservable entities does clearly not per se make a theory non-testable.For instance, a theory stating that there are 666 parallel universes, all of which are devoid of oxygen makesthe testable prediction that we should observe no oxygenhere, and is therefore ruled out by observation.As a more serious example, the Level I multiverse This is an extremely conservative estimate, simply counting all possible quantum states that a Hubble volume can havethat are no hotter than 108 K. 10115 is roughly the number ofprotons that the Pauli exclusion principle would allow youto pack into a Hubble volume at this temperature (our ownHubble volume contains only about 1080 protons). Each ofthese 10115 slots can be either occupied or unoccupied, giving115115possibilities, so the expected distance to 1010N 210115the nearest identical Hubble volume is N 1/3 1010Hub10115ble radii 10meters. Your nearest copy is likely to be29much closer than 1010 meters, since the planet formationand evolutionary processes that have tipped the odds in yourfavor are at work everywhere. There are probably at least1020 habitable planets in our own Hubble volume alone.§Strictly speaking, the random field is ergodic if 1) Spaceis infinite, 2) the mass fluctuations M/M approach zero onlarge scales (as measurements suggest), and 3) the densities atany set of points has a multivariate Gaussian probability distribution (as predicted by the most popular inflation models,which can be traced back to the fact that the harmonic oscillator equation governing the inflaton field fluctuations gives aGaussian wavefunction for the ground state). For the technical reader, conditions 2 and 3 can be replaced by the weakerrequirement that correlation functions of all order vanish inthe limit of infinite spatial separation.4

framework is routinely used to rule out theories in modern cosmology, although this is rarely spelled out explicitly. For instance, cosmic microwave background (CMB)observations have recently shown that space has almostno curvature. Hot and cold spots in CMB maps have acharacteristic size that depends on the curvature of space,and the observed spots appear too large to be consistent with the previously popular “open universe” model.However, the average spot size randomly varies slightlyfrom one Hubble volume to another, so it is important tobe statistically rigorous. When cosmologists say that theopen universe model is ruled out at 99.9% confidence,they really mean that if the open universe model weretrue, then fewer than one out of every thousand Hubblevolumes would show CMB spots as large as those we observe — therefore the entire model with all its infinitelymany Hubble volumes is ruled out, even though we haveof course only mapped the CMB in our own particularHubble volume.The lesson to learn from this example is that multiverse theories can be tested and falsified, but only if theypredict what the ensemble of parallel universes is andspecify a probability distribution (or more generally whatmathematicians call a measure) over it. As we will see inSection V B, this measure problem can be quite seriousand is still unsolved for some multiverse theories.A. Evidence for Level II parallel universesBy the 1970’s, the Big Bang model had proved a highlysuccessful explanation of most of the history of our universe. It had explained how a primordial fireball expanded and cooled, synthesized Helium and other lightelements during the first few minutes, became transparent after 400,000 years releasing the cosmic microwavebackground radiation, and gradually got clumpier dueto gravitational clustering, producing galaxies, stars andplanets. Yet disturbing questions remained about whathappened in the very beginning. Did something appearfrom nothing? Where are all the superheavy particlesknown as magnetic monopoles that particle physics predicts should be created early on (the “monopole problem”)? Why is space so big, so old and so flat, whengeneric initial conditions predict curvature to grow overtime and the density to approach either zero or infinityafter of order 10 42 seconds (the “flatness problem”)?What conspiracy caused the CMB temperature to benearly identical in regions of space that have never beenin causal contact (the “horizon problem”)? What mechanism generated the 10 5 level seed fluctuations out ofwhich all structure grew?A process known as inflation can solve all these problems in one fell swoop (see reviews by Guth & Steinhardt 1984 and Linde 1994), and has therefore emergedas the most popular theory of what happened very earlyon. Inflation is a rapid stretching of space, dilutingaway monopoles and other debris, making space flat anduniform like the surface of an expanding balloon, andstretching quantum vacuum fluctuations into macroscopically large density fluctuations that can seed galaxy formation. Since its inception, inflation has passed additional tests: CMB observations have found space to beextremely flat and have measured the seed fluctuationsto have an approximately scale-invariant spectrum without a substantial gravity wave component, all in perfectagreement with inflationary predictions.Inflation is a general phenomenon that occurs in a wideclass of theories of elementary particles. In the popularmodel known as chaotic inflation, inflation ends in someregions of space allowing life as we know it, whereas quantum fluctuations cause other regions of space to inflateeven faster. In essence, one inflating bubble sprouts otherinflationary bubbles, which in turn produce others in anever-ending chain reaction (Figure 1, lower left, withtime increasing upwards). The bubbles where inflationhas ended are the elements of the Level II multiverse.Each such bubble is infinite in size‡‡ , yet there are in-II. LEVEL II: OTHER POST-INFLATIONBUBBLESIf you felt that the Level I multiverse was larg

same laws of physics as we do, but with di erent initial conditions than those in our Hubble volume. The cur-rently favored theory is that the initial conditions (the densities and motions of di erent types of matter early on) were created by quantum uctuations during the in-ation epoch (see section 3). This quantum mechanism

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