Drivers Of Homelessness - Wa
Drivers ofHomelessnessAugust 2018
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Community Services and Housing Division OrganizationCommunity EconomicOpportunitiesHousing AssistanceTedd Kelleher360.725.2930James Helling360.725.4144Community Services andHousing DivisionAssistant DirectorDiane Klontz360.725.4142Office of Crime VictimAdvocacy and Public SafetyRick Torrance360.725.2905Housing FinanceCorina Grigoras360.725.4134
Connie ShumateFiscal Ops MgrWMS Band 2#0523James HellingMD, CEOWMS Band 2 #1198Diane KlontzAssistant DirectorEMS Band 3, #0216VacantBudget Analyst 4#0798Naomi RamosBudget Analyst 4#0522Vicki ThomteBudget Analyst 4#0972Tami ClarkBudget Analyst 4#1310Tedd KelleherSenior MD, HAUWMS Band 2 #0505Susan KempfCom Spec 3#1171VacantAdmin Asst 3#0511Kim JusticeED Office ofHomeless Youth#E1262Lori SalzerAdmin Asst 3#0536Molly OnkkaCom Spec 5#0979Karen DunnCom Spec 5#0965Chanita JacksonCom Spec 3#1260Kathryn StayrookAdmin Asst 2#0799Jordan DejaCom Spec 2#1209Arrie HansonCom Spec 3#0977Sherrilyn ReedCom Spec 2#0918Robb IyallCom Spec 1#1095Joyce BeebeCom Spec 3#0980Robert WikstromCom Spec 2#1250Cynthia SandersonCom Spec 3#1003Bob AngelineCom Spec 2#1141Jennifer CarawayCom Spec 2#P461Dannette SummersCom Spec 1#1258Tracy GunterCom Spec 3#1218Karl HoffmanCom Spec 3#1132Monica BhavnaniCom Spec 1#0402Regina McDougallCom Spec 3#1317Cole KetchersideCom Spec 3#1292My-Le TangCom Spec 2#1268Cecil DanielsCom Spec 5#0552Kathy KinardHomeless HousingGrants Ops Mgr WMS Band 2#1221Joe BrownCom Spec 2#0518Julie MontgomeryCom Spec 3#0548David HoadleyCom Spec 2#0519Kathryn DodgeCom Spec 3#1215Lisa LipseyCom Spec 1#1052Megan KendigCom Spec 3#5191Nathan PeppinCom Spec 5#0049Sarah HarrisonCom Spec 3#0672Brigid HendersonCom Spec 3#1007Jessica SimonCom Spec 3 P/T#1022Zoe MyersCom Spec 2#1219Nancy OgdenCom Spec 1#1100Emily BurgessMgmnt Analyst 5#1293VacantMgmnt Analyst 5#5198NCary RetlinBHSH ManagerWMS Band 2#0984Nick YuvaCom Spec 4#1306Jeff SpringCom Spec 3#1045Nick MondauData Systems MgrWMS Band 2#1222Talia ScottCom Spec 5#1043Jayme KhooMgmnt Analyst 2#1289Maylee StevensonCom Spec 2#1181Jennifer GarrettCom Spec 2#1214Alicia OsborneCom Spec 1#1229Matt Mazur-HartCom Spec 3#1144Mark PorterCom Spec 2#1186Ian Kinder-PyleCom Spec 2#1213Sarah CogginsAdmin Asst 4#1187ChristopherPoulosED StatewideReentry Council#E1263Emily GrossmanLead PolicyAlignment Advisor#0632Leslie WolffMgmnt Analyst 5#1185Peter TassoniDisabilitiesWorkgroupWMS Band 2#1278Graham ParringtonMgmnt Analyst 4#1176Chris GagnonCom Spec 3#1283Dina PerryAdmin Asst 2#0994Michelle BradleyAdmin Asst 2#1282Corina GrigorasMD, HFUWMS Band 2 #0914Ann CampbellCom Spec 5#0736Susan ButzCom Spec 3#0629Sean HarringtonCom Spec 3#0630Michael CadyCom Spec 3#0583Sarah AlwayCom Spec 3#1016Paris RogersCom Spec 3#1319Michelle ReillyCom Spec 3#1053Darcy EggemanCom Spec 5#1097Lisa SanchezCom Spec 3#1286Carol GjerstadCom Spec 2#1134Keith YatesCom Spec 2#1151Katrina MatsonCom Spec 1#1228Brian FullertonCom Spec 1#1311Nona WhiteMgmnt Analyst 5#1083Mary BaldwinCom Spec 2#1089Jessica GarrettCom Spec 1#0935Jennifer LaneAdmin Asst 3#0809VacantOffice Asst 3#0808Jason DavidsonPortfolio ManagerWMS Band 2#1072Tanya MercierCom Spec 5#1297Pam DenhamCom Spec 3#0667Leilani HesserCom Spec 3#0622James PorterCom Spec 2#0475Deborah OrnellasCom Spec 2#1233TyeRae GuinedCom Spec 5#1014Sarah DunnCom Spec 3#0922VacantCom Spec 3#0737Diane AddisonMartinCom Spec 3#1040Scott SchumacherCom Spec 3#1302NCommunity Services and Housing DivisionAdministrationCommunity Economic Opportunities Unit (CEO)Housing Assistance Unit (HAU)Housing Finance Unit (HFU)Office of Crime Victims Advocacy/Public Safety(OCVA)Developmental Disabilities Council (DDC)Rick TorranceMD, OCVA / PublicSafetyWMS Band 2, #0515Bill JohnstonCom Spec 4#0587VacantCom Spec 3#1312Megan BaskettCom Spec 2#1244Pearl Gipson CollierCom Spec 5#1061Anita GranboisCom Spec 3#0759Jodi HoneysettCom Spec 3#0962Cheryl RaschCom Spec 2#0934Ashley StoreyCom Spec 2#1273Maria ShattuckCom Spec 1#1269Amy ThomeCom Spec 1#1270Kelly TracyAdmin Asst 3#1004Tara WolfeCom Spec 5#0716Sherina JamesCom Spec 3#0732Alissa HawksCom Spec 3#1318Derek CockleCom Spec 2#1005Ed Holen, DDCExec DirectorEMS Band 2 #1200Aziz AladinBudget Analyst 4#1201Philip RasmussenOffice Asst 1#1202Donna PatrickCom Spec 3#1203Brian DahlCom Spec 3#1206Linda WestCom Spec 1#1208Emily RogersCom Spec 1#1205AundreahaMartinezCom Spec 1#1207VacantCom Spec 2#1274Jen FriedlanderCom Spec 2#1275Nicky GleasonCom Spec 5#1137Stephanie PrattCom Spec 3#0850Susanne GuinnCom Spec 3#1081Mary SoderquistCom Spec 3# P445VacantCom Spec 2#0811VacantCom Spec 2#1320Kaletra WelchCom Spec 2#1276August 2018
Increased Rents in WashingtonSource: one bedroom http://www.zillow.com/home-values/
Rents in King CountySource: one bedroom http://www.zillow.com/home-values/
Rents in Whatcom CountySource: one bedroom http://www.zillow.com/home-values/
Rents in Spokane CountySource: one bedroom http://www.zillow.com/home-values/
Rents in Lower Cost Areas Served by Sound TransitSource: one bedroom http://www.zillow.com/home-values/
As Rents Grow, Homelessness Increases 860120110WA median rent 2006 820 800100 780 76090 74080 720 70070WA unsheltered per 100,000 population 840 680 66060201020112012Median rent 2006 20132014201520162017Per capita unsheltered homelessnessSources:Rent: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey one-year estimates for Washington State, B25058, inflation adjusted using Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-UHomelessness: WA point in time count, adjusted by : U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey one-year population estimate for Washington State1 - Journal of Urban Affairs, New Perspectives on Community-Level Determinants of Homelessness, 20122 - Dynamics of homelessness in urban America, arXiv:1707.09380
Homelessness Per Capita RateWA 5th highest per capita rate - WA: 0.29%, US: 0.17%People per 100,000 population experiencing homelessness40021,112 people3508,591 living unsheltered3007,834 in householdswithout children250200150757 people in householdswith children10050200720082009WA Unsheltered20102011WA Sheltered20122013201420152016US TOTAL homeless per 100,0002017
Rents vs. Homelessness - WA is Average 1,400Median contract rent, Census Bureau ACS 2016 1year estimateHawaii 1,300California 1,200 1,100MarylandNew JerseyAlaskaColorado 1,000 900New idaNew HampshireDelawareOregonNevada 800 700 600 5000.05%Utah Rhode anIdahoNorth CarolinaLouisianaMontanaSouth ouriSouth DakotaOklahomaAlabamaKentuckyArkansasWest rcent of population experiencing homelessness, HUD AHAR 20170.50%
Rents Are Increasing While Income Growth LagsMedianrent 22%25.00%% change inflation adjusted 20.00%15.00%Lowest quartilerent 17%Middleincomes 201420152016-5.00%-10.00%Low incomes (bottom 20%of households) 3%-15.00%Data sources: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey one-year estimates for Washington State, B25058 , B25057, B19081;inflation adjusted using the Bureau of Labor Statistics CPI-U.
Rents Compared to Minimum Wage and DisabilityIncome Growth60%Rent 49%50%40%Minumumwage30%20%Disabilityincome 16Supplemental Security Income (SSI)Minumum wageRent lower qunitile unitsRent lower qunitile units projection20172018Rent data sources: U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey one-year estimates for Washington State, B25057
WA Economy is Above Average and ImprovingSince 2012:Ranked #1 in GDP growth – two years in arow Per capita GDP ranked #10More people working Percent of population employed increasing - ranked #25Earned incomes increasing Median income ranked #9, median income growth ranked #2 Lowest quintile income rank #8, lowest quintile income growthranked #4
WA Employment Rate is Above AveragePercent of people 011WA201220132014USSource: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment status of the civilian noninstitutional population, percent of population employed20152016
In WA More Prime-Age People are WorkingPrime Age Employment - Ages %WAUSASource: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment status of the civilian noninstitutional population, percent of ages 25-54 employed
Washington Ranked #25 in Employed -3435-4445-5455-64Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment status of the civilian non-institutional in states, percent of population employed19.065 8.377.0NY78.32017 PERCENTAGE OF POPULATION EMPLOYED BY AGE GROUP
What’s the Maximum Level of Achievable Employment?Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment status of the civilian noninstitutional population, percent of ages 25-54 employed
WA Ratio of People with Disabilities Receiving SSI BelowNational AverageRatio: Supplemental Security Income recipients vs. Population0.035California, 0.034California, 0.0330.0300.025United States,0.024United States,0.026Texas, 0.024Texas, 0.0220.020Pierce County , 0.023Washington,0.021Pierce County , 0.021Washington,0.019King County , 0.018King County , 0.0170.015Snohomish County , 0.016Snohomish County , 0.0140.0102006Source: https://www.ssa.gov/policy/docs/statcomps/ssi sc/2016
WA Families are Above Average and ImprovingSince 2012:Family stability increasing Divorce, domestic violence, and teenage pregnancydeclining Percentage of children in married couple householdsincreasing - WA ranked #5 Percentage of married couple households increasing –WA ranked #8
More WA Children Living in Married-Couple .0%Divorce rate60.0%2006200720082009201020112012Sources: Children in married-couple households from Census Bureau ACS Table B09005;2013201420152016
A National Crisis – Opioid Deaths
Alcohol and Drug Dependence: A Mixed PictureSince 2012:WA ranks 18th in substanceuse disorder 21. Alcohol use disorder declined,ranked 29th 22. Overall illicit drug dependence maybe stable, ranked 11th 1, 23. Ranked 13th in pain reliever usedisorder, and 12th in heroin use 2Opioid-related overdose deaths380060040020002012201320142015All opioid related deathsPrescription opioid overdose deathsHeroin overdose deathsSynthetic opioid overdose deaths4. Opioids continue to be a crisis, WAranks 32nd in prevalence of drugoverdose deaths 4Sources:1 - SAMHSA, Center for Behavioral Health Statistics and Quality, National, Survey on Drug Use and Health, Table 106, Washington State, 2010-11report compared to 2014 report2 – Rank derived from 2015-2016 National Survey on Drug Use and Health: Model-Based Prevalence Estimates 50 States; trend derived fromNational Survey on Drug Use and Health: Comparison of 2008-2009 and 2014-2015 Population Percentages 50 States3 – DOH: 6-083-SummaryOpioidOverdoseData.pdf4 - CDC: htm2016
Since 2005: Population 19%, Housing units 14%Deficit of new housing units necessary to maintain 2005 ratio of people to housing units in WAHousing unit deficit: 118,377500,000450,000Cumulative new housing ,00050,000200620072008200920102011Actual additional units since 200520122013Deficit of unitsSource: American Community Survey 1-Year ervices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid ACS 14 1YR DP04&prodType ices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid ACS 16 1YR B25001&prodType ices/jsf/pages/productview.xhtml?pid ACS 16 1YR S0101&prodType table201420152016
2018-01Below historic average building permits being issued WA through June 2018WA Ratio of housing permits to population : Federal Reserve FRED
National Comparison of Growth in Population vs. Housing UnitsLarge metropolitan areas with 10% population growth, housing unit growth minuspopulation growthAtlanta, 7.7%2005-Houston, -3.6%Phoenix-Mesa2016Scottsdate , -4.2%Dallas-Fort WorthArlington , -4.7%Miami-Dade County ,-6.5%Seattle-TacomaBellevue, -7.1%San Francisco, -10.4%Denver CountyAurora , -12.8%Source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates
WA ranked #50 - Rental Vacancy Lowest in the US20102012201420152016United %5.9%3.3%3.5%3.6%7.0%5.9%3.3%4.0%3.2%7.7%Clark CountyClallam CountyKing CountyPierce CountySpokane CountyYakima CountyWhatcom CountySeattleSan 7%A 7% vacancyrate is consideredthe balanced, orWashington 5.8% 5.3% 4.2% 3.3% 3.2% “natural” rate 2Sources: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates, Table DP041 – U.S. Census Bureau Quarterly Vacancy and Homeownership rates by State2 - /files/w07-7.pdf
Vacancy Rates and Rent Increases are Inversely RelatedRelationship between vacancies and rents - WA6.5%6.0%6.0%Vacancy 07 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016Source: American Community Survey 1-Year Estimates, two year running averageAnnual rent change5.0%
Interventions to change behaviorwork less than half of the time20%Try the intervention to improve efficiency, but focus on the majority ofpeople for which the intervention does nothingSource: 89/
An intervention can be“effective,” pay for itselfin reduced public costs,be the right thing to doto improve or save lives,AND
NOT significantly improve income and relatedhousing stabilityDRAFT: Comparison of strategies to increase incomeAnnualincome % increasechange in income Strategy 3744.5% Welfare to work 3,212 152.1% Supported employment for people with severe mental illness 2941.5% Early childhood education for low income students (WSIPP data) 770.3% Treatment for substance use disorder (contingency management) 530.2% Treatment of major depression 00.0% Providing low income students the same quality of teachers that high income students have 00.0% Charter schools 4806.0% Job training and incentives for low income people in subsidized housing (Jobs-Plus) 00.0% Marriage education for low income, married couples 3,18611% Earned income tax credit 3,47731% Moving a low income family to a high income area; impact on earnings of moved child in mid-20s1 Page 137 of this study: https://www.mdrc.org/sites/default/files/full 391.pdf shows the most successful welfare to work program in the study (in Portland) increased annual income from 8,361 to 8,735People with severe mental illness provided Supported employment increased average annual weeks worked from 4.8 to 12.1. Under an 11/hour minimum wage, it would translate to an increase from 2,112 annual income to a 5,3242 annual income. Page 285: pported%20employment.pdfWSIPP earnings increase estimate of 13,521 (page 22) divided by working years, from baseline of non-high school graduate wage of 20,000/year http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/ReportFile/1547/Wsipp Early-Childhood-Education-for3 enefit-Cost-Analysis Full-Report.pdf ppBenefitCostTechnicalDocumentation.pdfThis analysis shows a particularly effective drug treatment intervention increases earned incomes by 2,331 over fifty years (about 77 in annual earnings assuming 30 years of working post treatment):4 http://www.wsipp.wa.gov/BenefitCost/Program/2975 Treatment for major depression increased earnings by 1,603 (about 53 in annual earnings assuming 30 years of work post treatment). ere are small differences in the effectiveness of teachers of high- and low-income students, on average. The average teacher of a low-income student is just below the 50th percentile of effectiveness based on value-added, while theaverage teacher of a high-income student is at the 51st percentile. Providing low-income students with equally effective teachers would not substantively reduce the achievement gap."6 https://ies.ed.gov/ncee/projects/evaluation/tq distribution.asp7 Charter schools are no more effective than regular schools https://ies.ed.gov/ncee/pubs/20104029/8 Pages ES-5-6: https://www.mdrc.org/sites/default/files/full 485.pdf9 "SHM did not lead more couples to stay together." hm2013 30 month impact reportrev2.pdf10 asics-the-earned-income-tax-credit11 Moving a low income family to a higher income neighborhood increase child income by 31% (from 11,270 in mid 20s, to 14,747 ( 3,477): http://www.nber.org/papers/w21156.pdf1234567891011
WA Homeless System Performance ReportsCounty Report Card provides information by county onsystem-wide performance measures, including exits topermanent housing, returns to homelessness, length of timehomeless, and cost per exit to permanent housing.Year to Year Comparison table provides information bycounty on system-wide performance measures for each year.It also includes contextual information such as PIT Countresults and rental vacancy rates. The interactive table allowsyou to see trends over time.
Tedd KelleherManaging ww.commerce.wa.gov
Tedd Kelleher 360.725.2930 Housing Finance _ Corina Grigoras 360.725.4134. Diane Klontz Assistant Director EMS Band 3 , # 0216 Connie Shumate Fiscal Ops Mgr WMS Band 2 . Ann Campbell Com Spec 5 # 0736 Susan Butz Com Spec 3 # 0629 Sarah Dunn Com Spec 3 # 0922 Sean Harrington Com Spec 3 # 0630 Michael Cady Com Spec 3 # 0583 Sarah Alway
history of homelessness; it is about the future. The developments we have identified as being particularly relevant to the future of homelessness are developments in central government (the RSI, RSU, Homelessness Directorate including the B&B unit) and legislation and regulation which impact particularly on local government (Homelessness
DON’T COUNT ON IT: How the HUD Point-in-Time Count Underestimates the Homelessness Crisis in America 2 National Law Center on Homelessness & Poverty ABOUT THE NATIONAL LAW CENTER ON HOMELESSNESS & POVERTY The National Law Center on Homelessness & Poverty is the only national leg
The Plan to End Homelessness Community Consultation contributed to setting the high-level priorities of the community's Multi-year Plan to End Homelessness (see page 46). The Plan to End Homelessness is a living document that will be reviewed as needed to ensure it continues to meet the needs of the community.
Understanding homelessness Homelessness is a much less understood term across the globe has pointed out that at different periods of time; different concepts have been used to3 understand homeless population have been dominant viewpoint which sees homelessness as individual problem or structural problem. Has engaged himself in an ambitious task to
women are either powerless to react or that any actions that they take have no effect. REVIEW Women's Homelessness: European Evidence Review . comparatively little research overall on family homelessness, compared to the very large amount of research on lone adult men and in some EU Member states, family homelessness has been increasing. .
Amazon Web Services Homelessness and Technology Page 8 Figure 1: Connecting Disparate Data Sources A Homeless Management Information System (HMIS) is an information technology system used to collect client-level data and data on the provision of housing and services to homeless individuals and families and persons at risk of homelessness. You
3.1 Prevalence of mental ill health 9 3.2 Mental health service need 9 3.3 Mental health service provision gap 10 3.4 Housing system and homelessness 10 3.5 Entries into homelessness 11 3.6 Mental health and housing system capacity 12. 4 Links between housing and mental health 13 5 Housing for people with lived experience of mental ill health 16
7 Greenberg and Rosenheck, “Mental health correlates of past homelessness in the National Comorbidity Study Replication”, Journal Health Care Poor Underserved 21 (2010):1234–49. 8 Greenberg and Rosenheck, “Jail incarceration, homelessness, and mental health: a national study”, Psychiatric Services 59 (2008):170–77.
