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POLICY SUMMARY 15What do we knowabout the strengths andweakness of differentpolicy mechanismsto influence healthbehaviour in thepopulation?David McDaid, Adam Oliver,Sherry Merkur

Keywords:BURDEN OF ILLNESS World Health Organization 2014 (acting as thehost organization for, and secretariat of, the EuropeanObservatory on Health Systems and Policies)CHRONIC DISEASECOST EFFECTIVENESSDELIVERY OF HEALTH CARE,INTEGRATEDHEALTH CARE ECONOMICSAND ORGANIZATIONSHEALTH POLICYAddress requests about publications of the WHORegional Office for Europe to:PublicationsWHO Regional Office for EuropeUN City, Marmorvej 51,DK-2100 Copenhagen Ø, DenmarkAlternatively, complete an online request form fordocumentation, health information, or for permissionto quote or translate, on the Regional Office web site(http://www.euro.who.int/pubrequest).All rights reserved. The Regional Office for Europe ofthe World Health Organization welcomes requests forpermission to reproduce or translate its publications,in part or in full.The designations employed and the presentationof the material in this publication do not imply theexpression of any opinion whatsoever on the partof the World Health Organization concerning thelegal status of any country, territory, city or area orof its authorities, or concerning the delimitation ofits frontiers or boundaries.This policy summaryis one of a new seriesto meet the needsof policy-makers andhealth system managers.The aim is to developkey messages to supportevidence-informedpolicy-making and theeditors will continueto strengthen theseries by working withauthors to improve theconsideration givento policy options andimplementation.The mention of specific companies or of certainmanufacturers’ products does not imply that theyare endorsed or recommended by the World HealthOrganization in preference to others of a similarnature that are not mentioned. Errors and omissionsexcepted, the names of proprietary products aredistinguished by initial capital letters.All reasonable precautions have been taken by theWorld Health Organization to verify the informationcontained in this publication. However, the publishedmaterial is being distributed without warranty ofany kind, either express or implied. The responsibilityfor the interpretation and use of the material lieswith the reader. In no event shall the World HealthOrganization be liable for damages arising from itsuse. The views expressed by authors, editors, or expertgroups do not necessarily represent the decisions orthe stated policy of the World Health Organization.

POLICY SUMMARY 15What do we know about thestrengths and weakness ofdifferent policy mechanismsto influence health behaviourin the population?David McDaid, Adam Oliver, Sherry Merkur

What do we know about the strengthsand weakness of different policymechanisms to influence healthbehaviour in the population?ContentsPagePrelimsv1Background12Focus of the policy summary33What factors influence why people do ordo not change their behaviour?4WHO Regional Officefor Europe and EuropeanObservatory on HealthSystems and PoliciesWhat mechanisms have been used to helpinfluence health behaviours?7EditorGovin Permanand45What do we know about the effectivenessand cost effectiveness of these mechanisms? 136How can the evidence base, includingdifferent modes of implementation,be strengthened?23Conclusions and summary of key themes277References29AuthorsDavid McDaid is Senior Research Fellow in HealthPolicy and Health Economics, European Observatoryon Health Systems and Policies and Personal SocialServices Research Unit (PSSRU), LSE Health and SocialCare, London School of Economics and PoliticalScience, United Kingdom of Great Britain andNorthern Ireland.EditorsEditorial BoardJosep FiguerasHans KlugeJohn LavisDavid McDaidElias MossialosManaging EditorsJonathan NorthCaroline WhiteThe authors and editorsare grateful to the reviewerswho commented on thispublication and contributedtheir expertise.Adam Oliver is Reader, Department of Social Policy,London School of Economics and Political Science,United Kingdom of Great Britain and NorthernIreland.Sherry Merkur is Research Fellow and Health PolicyAnalyst, European Observatory on Health Systemsand Policies and LSE Health, London School ofEconomics and Political Science, United Kingdomof Great Britain and Northern Ireland.No: 15ISSN 2077-1584

Policy mechanisms to influence health behaviorList of abbreviationsACEAssessing the Cost Effectiveness of prevention programmesDALYdisability-adjusted life-yearEUEuropean UnionGDPgross domestic productGPgeneral practitionerNICENational Institute for Health and Care Excellence (previouslyNational Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence)UKUnited Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern IrelandUSAUnited States of AmericaUS United States dollarWWWWalking for Wellbeing in the Westv

Policy summaryList of figures and boxesFiguresFigure 1Mechanisms used to influence health behavioursFigure 2Example of a framework for action for behaviour change to promotephysical activityBoxesviBox 1Two approaches to influencing food-purchasing patterns ofsupermarket customersBox 2Dissemination of information on traffic injuries in NorwayBox 3Assessing the economic case for scaling up a community pedometerwalking programme in ScotlandBox 4Evaluation: using commitment contracts to encourage extendedweight lossBox 5Health-promoting children’s television programme and subsequentfood product branding in IcelandBox 6Modelling the cost effectiveness of interventions to promote physicalactivity in AustraliaBox 7Questions to consider when planning to implement an interventionfor behaviour changeBox 8Example of issues to be considered in the design and implementationof a behaviour-change intervention: framing a commitment contractBox 9The benefits of partnership working: the Change4Life campaign

Policy mechanisms to influence health behaviorExecutive summaryMany health problems are potentially avoidable and governments have longhad powerful tools at their disposal to influence population health and changeindividual behaviours, directed both ‘upstream’ at some of the underlyingcauses of poor health, as well as at ‘downstream’ challenges when poorhealth behaviours are already manifest. But how effective are these differentactions? This policy summary briefly maps out what is known about some ofthe different potential mechanisms that can be used to influence behaviourchange to promote better health, including some innovative approaches thatare arising from disciplines such as behavioural economics and psychology.There is a robust evidence base supporting the use of taxation to reduceconsumption of harmful products such as alcohol and tobacco, but thisapproach has been used much less frequently to influence consumption offoods and sugary soft drinks, with mixed success. Legislation can also be ahighly effective tool to influence health behaviours and it has often been mostsuccessful when preceded by other actions to raise awareness of the healthimpacts of a poor health behaviour, for example, not wearing a seatbelt. Othereffective measures can include income-redistribution policies or measures toimprove access to education and lifelong learning. Passive information andhealth-education campaigns may only have modest impacts on behaviour, butmass media campaigns can be targeted at whole populations at relatively lowcost per head of the population, meaning that even modest levels of behaviourchange may be cost effective.Combinations of several of these interventions can be even more effective andoften highly cost effective, but they will not work for everyone. Individuals donot always respond and may be resistant to changing their behaviours, evenin the face of significant financial costs. For instance, many in society will beresistant to any change in entrenched behaviours; they may be more influencedby peer pressure and addiction. Many people also have difficulties in weighingup the gains in participating in an unhealthy activity today, such as smoking,with the increased risks to health in years to come. A poor appreciation ofrisk is one reason why some individuals are highly optimistic about theirchances of avoiding any future harm to their health. There may also be socialor environmental factors that make it hard to adopt healthier behaviours.Countering obesity may only require modest changes to physical activity anddietary habits, but these changes are still difficult for many people to adhereto, particularly for those living in an obesogenic environment with less-activejobs and easy access to high-energy-density foods and sugary drinks. Thesechallenges have been used to argue for a greater focus on techniques developedusing behavioural psychology and economics. Can our choices be influenced insubtle ways that ultimately help society achieve more of its health policy goals?vii

Policy summaryBehavioural economics seeks to explain why individuals may make decisions thatdo not conform to rational economic theories related, for instance, to risk andprice. Policy interventions informed by behavioural economics can be ‘softer’than stricter forms of policy, but they should be perceived as tools to complementregulation, by moving society incrementally in a direction that might benefit all,and only as a substitute for regulation when additional enforced measures areperceived by the public as an expression of government overstepping the mark.To date, however, the evidence base for actions that take their cue frombehavioural economics and psychology is weak. Commitment contracts,with or without financial incentives, have not had a long-term impact on healthobjectives such as weight loss. However, where the time frame for impact to beachieved is short, the chance of behaviour change is greater – for example, thebenefit of providing incentives to encourage smoking cessation to women duringpregnancy. Changes to the environment, to make healthy lifestyle choices moreconvenient, may have more long-term success, but no long-term evidence isavailable. Other behavioural interventions, for instance, changing default decisionssuch as having to opt out rather than opt in to organ donation, or reframinginformation with visual and other cues to address issues of cognitive bias, arealso promising, with effective applications observed outside the health sector.Behavioural economics is clearly not a universal panacea, but by using the insightsfrom human psychology that are embedded in the approach, it appears possibleto design interventions that – in some circumstances – are relatively well equippedto motivate people to behave in ways that are better for themselves, and forsociety at large. In the current financial climate, many potential policy proposalsmay also have the added advantage of being very low cost. It is, though, importantto understand what mechanisms are acceptable to the public; they may objectto the principle of rewarding individuals simply for doing the right thing, or beuncomfortable with the idea of automatic organ donation, preferring insteadto rely on family consent. It is therefore important to build evaluation in to anyimplementation process, particularly given that actions may have more impact onsome population groups than others; issues of equity also need to be considered.Finally, it should be stressed that, while the science of behaviour changehas been in development for some time, the actual application of theoriesand findings to public health policy is still developing. The key tools remainmeasures such as taxation, legislation and provision of health information. Theevidence base on what works to influence behaviour, and in what context, isstill in development, with many unanswered questions on how best to designnew innovative interventions that can complement, and in some instancesaugment, these well-established mechanisms. Despite there being plenty ofpolicy ideas informed by behavioural economics floating around, more ideasare needed in a health context, and far more evidence is required on their likelyeffectiveness and cost effectiveness.viii

Policy mechanisms to influence health behaviorKey messages Traditionally, public health policy has relied on a combination of tools,most frequently health-education and -information campaigns, taxationpolicies to influence decisions related to health behaviour, and legislationto prohibit unhealthy activities. While these approaches are effective and have led to many public healthimprovements, they are blunt instruments; individuals do not alwaysrespond to these tools and may even be resistant to changing theirbehaviours in the face of significant financial benefits. Rational persuasioncan have relatively little impact on entrenched habits, particularly if theyinvolve strong peer pressures or even addiction. In some cases, expansion in the use of strict approaches that limit choice,such as new legislation, can be unpopular with a public that may see someactions as an unnecessary encroachment into matters of personal choice. A better understanding of factors that influence behaviour change mayhelp in designing public health strategies that reach segments of thepopulation that have been impervious to existing public health strategies. There is a growing body of knowledge on mechanisms that directlyseek to influence health behaviours, recognizing that individual choiceand decision-making is influenced by many different factors. Many ofthese approaches have evolved out of research focused on behaviouraleconomics and psychology. However, while a lot is known about long-standing public health actions,such as the role of taxation, legislation and health-information campaigns,the evidence base on what works to influence behaviour, and in whatcontext, is still in development; there are many unanswered questions onhow best to design new innovative interventions that can complement,and in some instances augment, well-established mechanisms. Thesemechanisms can also have both positive and negative unintendedconsequences. There is little evidence that behaviour-change interventions, for instancethose using standard financial incentives for change, or those that usetechniques such as commitment contracts, with or without financialincentives, have a long-term impact on objectives such as weight loss.Changes to the environment, to make healthy lifestyle choices moreconvenient, may have more long-term success, but again there is littlelong-term evidence available. The shorter the time frame for impact tobe achieved, the greater the chance of behaviour change – for example,the benefits of smoking cessation during pregnancy. Other behaviouralix

Policy summaryinterventions, for instance changing default decisions, such as havingto opt out of organ donation, or reframing information with visual andother cues to address issues of cognitive bias, can also play a role, butinformation on their effectiveness is limited.x Adopting a more positive approach to health-promotion messages,emphasizing the immediate enjoyment of a healthy lifestyle, is helpful. Examples of positive public–private-sector partnerships can be identified,especially where a business case for healthy living can be identified. Given the lack of robust evidence on mechanisms to influence changein health behaviour, it is important that, in planning implementation,an assessment of needs is undertaken and that planners are as specificas possible about the content, target group and provision of theoriesjustifying the action. While some low-cost actions can be highlighted, it should be stressed thatthere is little robust information on the effectiveness, let alone the costeffectiveness, of innovative approaches to behaviour change. Therefore,careful evaluation, including analysis of costs, should be embedded intopilot phases of evaluation before scaling up interventions.

Policy mechanisms to influence health behavior1 Background1.1 The economic impacts of avoidable health problemsAround half of all illness is linked to choices people make in their everydaylives – whether that is the choice to smoke, drink excessively, eat too muchor exercise too little. These patterns of behaviour may be ‘deeply embeddedin people’s social and material circumstances, and their cultural context’(National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence [NICE], 2007). The healthand economic impacts of major health problems that are, in part, avoidable arewell known and there is overwhelming evidence that changing people’s healthrelated behaviour can have a major impact on some of the largest causes ofmortality and morbidity and their costs to society (House of Lords Science andTechnology Committee, 2011).For instance, obesity is an eminently avoidable but nonetheless growingproblem in Europe. Addressing obesity is a key goal of much public healthpolicy. The condition has been linked with an increased risk of a wide rangeof conditions, including cardiovascular disease and diabetes. Overall in highincome countries, the total costs, including time lost from employment, ofillness related to obesity, such as diabetes and cardiovascular diseases, havebeen estimated to be more than 1% of gross domestic product (GDP) (Sassi,2010). Costs to health-care systems can be substantial: between 1.5% and4.6% of total health-care expenditure in France (Emery et al., 2007), 4.6%in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland (UK) (Allender& Rayner, 2007) and 1.9% in Sweden (Odegaard et al., 2008). Cardiovasculardiseases were estimated to cost more than 168 billion annually in the25 countries of the European Union in 2005 (EU-25), with more than 60%of the impact falling on health-care systems (Leal et al., 2006). Obesity is alsoassociated with increased risk of cancer. Around 6.5% of all health-care costsin Europe are focused on cancer, which in 2002 was estimated to have animpact on the EU-25 countries of 54 billion (Stark, 2006).Public health policies have also long focused on smoking. It is the greatest causeof premature death in Europe, where it claims over one and a quarter millionlives prematurely every year. It has been estimated that, each year, tobaccocosts the world economy some US (United States dollars) 500 billion in lostproductivity, health-care costs, deforestation, pesticide/fertiliser contamination,fire damage, cleaning costs and discarded litter; smoking has been estimatedto reduce individual national income by as much as 3.6% (Shafey et al., 2009);and smoking-related conditions were estimated to cost the UK National HealthService (NHS) 5.2 billion in 2005, equal to 5.5% of UK health-care costs(Allender et al., 2009). Individual smokers and their families pay heavily in termsof direct costs, reduced income from smoking diseases and loss of income for1

Policy summaryother urgent family needs. The private mortality costs of smoking in terms ofvalue of life, were estimated to be US 222 for each packet of cigarettes formen and US 94 for women (Viscusi & Hersch, 2008). The overall annual costsof chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, much of which is linked to smoking,have also been estimated in Europe to be 38.7 billion (European RespiratorySociety and European Lung Foundation, 2003).Much public health policy has also focused on the avoidance of the harmful useof alcohol. Alcohol is associated with more than 60 different health problems(Rehm et al., 2010). Even taking account of alcohol’s preventive effects, it hasbeen estimated to cause 115 000 deaths each year in the EU alone, at a costof 125 billion. This includes substantial costs due to lost employment, violenceand crime (Anderson & Baumberg, 2006). It is also a major cause of healthinequalities: 25% of the differences in middle-aged life expectancy betweeneastern and western Europe may be due to alcohol (Zatonski, 2008).Another area of concern, avoidable injuries due to poor behaviour, as forinstance in the road environment, is also associated with substantial economiccosts. In 2004, the estimated annual costs, both direct and indirect, of trafficinjury in the EU-15 countries exceeded 180 billion, with some countriesincurring costs of up to 3% of GDP. Traffic injuries are the leading cause ofhospitalization and death for people who are younger than 50 years in the EU,costing 180 billion annually (Racioppi et al., 2004). In the Russian Federation,the annual cost of road injuries is estimated to be US 34.3 billion, with a costper fatality of more than US 1.1 million (Marquez et al., 2009).1.2 Public health policy and behaviour changeMindful of these and many other major social and economic impacts of poorhealth, policy-makers are continually looking for cost-effective ways in which toprotect and improve population health. This concern for health is shared by thepublic at large. It is rare that a day goes by without media attention being givento the latest health scare or the latest way in which we can promote our health.There is an increasing evidence base on the effectiveness of interventions toprotect health and prevent disease, but a key challenge remains increasingthe uptake of healthy lifestyles and behaviours; governments want to knowhow they can best use public funds and harness the power and goodwill ofother stakeholders to help facilitate individuals to make different choices.Yet, changing behaviours can be difficult; few individuals are unaware of theharms associated with smoking or drinking, but they gain pleasure from theseactivities and there may be social or environmental factors that make it hardto adopt healthier behaviours. Countering obesity may only require modestchanges to physical activity and dietary habits, but these are still difficultfor many people to adhere to, particularly when they live in an obesogenic2

Policy mechanisms to influence health behaviorenvironment with less-active jobs and easy access to high-energy-density foodsand sugary drinks.Governments have many different policy levers that are potentially of use inhelping to influence health behaviours. They may positively influence healthbehaviours and/or reduce engagement in unhealthy behaviours or activities.Measures range from so-called ‘upstream’ actions, often outside of health-caresystems, that focus on the underlying social determinants of health, such aspoor education, poverty, inequalities and social deprivation, to downstreammeasures that address public health issues that have already begun to arise.All have their place within any health-promotion strategy.Governments may target actions at the population as a whole or at specificpopulation subgroups, such as individuals, households and communities, withthe aim of reducing health inequalities and promoting health for all. Theseactions may be delivered in many different sectors, with a wide range of costsand benefits. For instance, there is a growing interest in early intervention forchildren and new parents, in order to promote positive mental and physicalwell-being and reduce the chances of long-term socioeconomic and healthimpacts. These actions will not be confined to health systems; many arelikely to be funded and implemented across different tiers and sectors ofgovernment, such as the education sector. Delivery is also not confined tothe state. Actions to promote health can be delivered by a range of non-stateactors, such as nongovernmental organizations, as well as faith groups andthe private sector.2 Focus of the policy summaryThis policy summary briefly maps out what is known about different potentialmechanisms to influence behaviour change to promote better health. Itdraws on information from existing systematic reviews of relevant interventionsand approaches, as well as a targeted review for recent innovation in thefield. It looks at factors that influence behaviour change and places themin the context of an overall framework for the promotion of health, whichdistinguishes between interventions based on their target audience, modeof action, advantages and disadvantages, and ability to induce longer-termbehaviour change. Almost no health-promotion efforts can be achieved usingjust one of the mechanisms alone; the policy summary also highlights howcombinations of different mechanisms can be used to achieve different publichealth goals and looks at what is known about their cost effectiveness.In particular, the review focuses in more depth on some more innovativeapproaches that are arising from disciplines such as behavioural economicsand psychology. This should not be inferred to mean that these approaches3

Policy summaryare more appropriate or cost effective than others, but rather that they havereceived less attention in the development of public health policy. Approachessuch as the use of differing types of financial incentives, and different ways offraming and communicating messages or altering the environment in whichwe all live, may be complements, or in some cases substitutes, to elements ofpublic health strategies. The review draws on examples of practice from acrossmany areas of health promotion, including issues of physical activity, diet,smoking, alcohol consumption, mental well-being and injury prevention. Thesebehaviours have an important role for the burden of noncommunicable diseaseand injury, but the list of examples and areas of focus presented should not beconsidered to be exhaustive.3 What factors influence why people do or do notchange their behaviour?What factors influence why people do or do not change their behaviour?Behavioural economists and psychologists have sought to address this question.It is clear that individuals do not always respond easily to traditional healthinformation campaigns and may even be resistant to changing their behavioursin the face of significant financial benefits. Rational persuasion can haverelatively little impact on entrenched habits, particularly if they involve strongpeer pressures or even addiction. A better understanding of factors thatinfluence behaviour change may help in designing public health strategies thatreach segments of the population that have been impervious to initiatives suchas health-promotion information campaigns, or tools such as taxation.In particular, it is currently in vogue to look at how behavioural economicfindings can inform understanding and influence policy design. The awardof the Nobel Prize for Economics to Daniel Kahneman significantly raised theprofile of behavioural economics, and Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein’s book,Nudge, has been much admired in some policy circles (Thaler & Sunstein,2008). For instance in the UK, the current coalition government establisheda Behavioural Insights Team in the Cabinet Office, with Thaler serving asan official adviser. This unit sought to look at what people actually do inpractice rather than what they should do in theory. Meanwhile, Sunstein hasserved as US President Obama’s regulation ‘Tsar’. The essence of the nudgeapproach is that behavioural economic insights can be used to change the‘choice architecture’ (i.e. the environment), so that people are more likely tomake voluntary decisions that, on reflection, they would like to make, andyet ordinarily fail to do so.Owing to its potential to guide people towards making ‘better’ decisions,behavioural economics has been perceived in some policy circles as being4

Policy mechanisms to influence health behaviora potential alternative to stricter forms of regulation, such as taxes and bans.It is, however, a misconception to believe that behavioural economists opposestricter forms of regulation – few, if any behavioural economists wouldargue that voluntary behavioural interventions and nudges should replace,for example, compulsory seatbelt legislation, drink–drive laws, food-safetylegislation and taxation on certain harmful products.Policy interventions informed by behavioural economics can be ‘softer’ thanstricter forms of policy, but they should be perceived as tools to complementregulation, by moving society incrementally in a direction that might benefit allof us, and only as a substitute for regulation when additional enforced measuresare perceived by the public as an expression of a government overstepping themark. In some circumstances, however, behavioural economics would arguablyimply that harder forms of regulation are warranted. For instance, referringto a different sector and the financial crisis, it has been suggested that anybehavioural economist would contend that most individuals are not the bestjudges of the optimal amount that they ought to borrow and thus that thereis a need for tight regulation of mortgage markets (Ariely, 2009).3.1 What is behavioural economics?So, what is behavioural economics? It arose out of critiques of neoclassicaleconomics, which has dominated economic thought over the last century.Neoclassical economics assumes that people are the best judges of their own‘utility’ (or happiness), and that they will seek to maximize the happiness theygain from the choices that they make – that is to say, they are ‘optimizers’.Moreover, it is assumed that their preferences are fixed and stable over time.Since the 1950s, these principles have been questioned. From the 1960s,through work by Paul Slovic, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky (amongmany others), it became apparent that people’s preferences are often not‘fixed and stable’, but rather that they are regularly constructed in responseto how choice contexts are ‘framed’, and are influenced by the manner inwhich preferences are elicited. The finding that preferences depend on, andare influenced in systematic ways by, how choice contexts are described, iscentral to the ‘nudge’ agenda.Behavioural economics thus recognizes the limits of human rationality, with‘rationality’ being defined by the mainstream economic sense of the word, andcomprises a number of observations on human decision-making

What do we know about the strengths and weakness of different policy mechanisms to infl uence health behaviour in the population? Contents Page Prelims v 1 Background 1 2 Focus of the policy summary 3 3 What factors infl uence why people do or do not change their behaviour? 4 4 What mechanisms have been used to help infl uence health .

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