Strategy Analysis Of Real Estate Company Development In Medium Size .

1y ago
11 Views
2 Downloads
921.84 KB
47 Pages
Last View : 1m ago
Last Download : 3m ago
Upload by : Annika Witter
Transcription

Dept of Real Estate and Construction ManagementMsc Program in Real Estate ManagementThesis no. 72Master of Science, 30 creditsStrategy Analysis of Real Estate CompanyProperty Development in Medium Size City inChinaAuthor:Supervisor:Ji YipingHans LindStockholm 2011

Master of Science ThesisTitle:Strategy Analysis of Real Estate Company Development inMedium and Small Size Cities in China, A case study of thedevelopment of Fuxing Huiyu CompanyAuthors:Ji YipingDepartment:Department of Real Estate and Construction ManagementDivision of Building and Real Estate EconomicsMaster Thesis number:Supervisor:Hans LindAbstract:Real estate industry is a new economic growth point and main industry in Chinesegross domestic product nowadays. This paper analyzes the trend of Chinese real estatemarket development to help investors to understand the current situation of Chinesereal estate markets and policies better, so as to make better real estate investmentdecisions in China in the future. Because of oversaturated with investment and highercost of investment there are more and more limitations in investing in big cities inChina. With the rapid development of the economy, the huge inner demand of realestate is increasing in medium and small sized cities. Some investigations show thatthere are huge spaces of the appreciation in Chinese real estate market in medium andsmall sized cities. The author will describe and analyze the investment strategy anddevelopment of Fuxing Huiyu Real Estate Corporation as a case study. Thedemonstrated company is a public company with rapid growth in a medium sized citynamed Wuhan in the central part of China. Other investment companies or real estatecompanies could get some ideas by analyzing the development and decision makingprocess of this company.Key word: Real estate market, Policies, Housing demand, Housing supply,Medium and small size of cities.2

Content1. Introduction . 61.1 Background . 61.2 Aims and Objectives. 71.3 Methodology . 72. General development of real estate market . 82.1 Urbanization process . 82.2 Globalization process . 82.3 Strategies for real estate companies. 93. General description of Wuhan city . 103.1 Introduction of the general information of Wuhan . 103.1.1 Introduction of location of Wuhan . 103.1.2 Introduce the regional features and resource advantages of Wuhan . 103.1.3 Introduction of transportation . 123.2 Introduction of main industry and investment situation in Wuhan . 133.3 Introduction of related real estate policies and influences. 133.3.1 Monetary and financial policies in recent year . 143.3.2 From the view of control . 153.3.3 From the view of support . 163.3.4 Influence by policies . 173.3.5 Some new real estate policies of Wuhan . 183.4 Introduction of the economic development situation and trend in Wuhan . 193.5 Housing demand analysis in Wuhan . 203.5.1 Transportation. 203

3.5.2 Increasing the GDP. 213.5.3 Disposable income. 213.5.4 Consumption. 213.5.5 Population demand . 223.5.6 Investment demand . 233.6 Housing supply analysis in Wuhan . 233.6.1 General housing supply information in Wuhan . 243.6.2 The influence to house market provision resulted from the quantity of landsupply and land price . 243.6.3 The influence for house supply market by GDP and GDP per capita . 253.6.4 The influence for housing supply market by housing price . 273.6.5 The influence for housing supply market by operation situation ofconstruction . 283.6.6 The influence for housing supply market by government policy . 293.7 Description and introduction of Xiaogan city . 293.7.1 Why choose Xiaogan as their target . 293.7.2 Introduce of Xiaogan . 303.7.3 Demand analysis in Xiaogan . 304. Introduction of Fuxing Huiyu Real Estate Company . 324.1 General introduction of the company . 324.2 The introduction of parent company . 324.3 General introduction of the financial aspect of the company . 324.4 Market strategy-- reconstruction of the old city (urban renewal) . 335 Description and analysis of the Shuian Xingcheng project in Wuhan . 345.1Backgroud of the project . 344

5.1.1Introduction of the competition in biding the land . 345.1.2 Introduction the characteristics of the district for the project . 345.2 General residential supply in Wuhan. 345.3 Analysis the situation and development trend in the project area . 345.4 Target customers and demand analysis . 355.5 Compare with general high-end residential property . 365.6 SWOT analysis of the project. 365.6.1 Strength . 365.6.2 Weakness . 385.6.3 Opportunity. 385.6.4 Threat. 396. Comparable in different size of cities (focus on the projects in Fuxing Huiyu Real EstateCompany) . 407. Conclusion . 43Reference . 455

1. Introduction1.1 BackgroundAs we all know there is a huge negative impact of economic crisis for the wholeworld especially of those international investment companies in the western countries.Many businesses have closed down and some investment banks have bankrupted allover the world because of economic crisis and recession. The Chinese economysuffered losses in the crisis too. Because of huge, sustaining domestic demand andsuccessive improvements of basic construction, the economic growth of China didn’tslip as much as in western countries. Even though the export industry got a hugenegative impact in the economic crisis, the Chinese government had announced thatthe growth of GDP has been kept at 8.7% in 2009. The most contribution towards theChinese GDP growth was the real estate industry. Most global investors want to getprofit from China's booming economy. One of their best choices is to invest inChinese real estate market as part of their portfolio diversification.Real estate is a new economic growth point and main industry in Chinese grossdomestic product nowadays. Real estate market in China is facing unprecedentedopportunities and challenges now. This paper analyzes the trend of Chinese real estatemarket development to help investors to understand the current situation of Chinesereal estate markets and policies better, and make better real estate investmentdecisions in China in the future. Some investigation shows that there is a huge spaceof the appreciation in Chinese real estate market.From the aspect of Chinese real estate development trend analysis, on the one handthe current trend in China is that there are more and more limitations in developingreal estate market in big cities that leads to less demand for residential and officebuildings. On another hand, urbanization process was never stopped in small andmedium cities and most of them are located in west and north China. The demand ofreal estate is huge and the space of appreciation in these areas is bigger than east andsouth of China.In this paper the author will focus on the real estate market in medium size city andsmall size city in China. The medium city is Wuhan and the small city is Xiaoganwhich are all in the middle of China. Because there is not too much information forthe small city, most of the paper will focus on medium city Wuhan. There aredifferent methods to differentiate the size of cities. From population aspect,permanent population in urban district less than 0.5 million is small city; 0.5 to 1million is medium size city; 1 to 3 million is big city; 3 to 10million is megalopolis;over 10million is super huge city. On another hand, the total GDP of Wuhan is about450 billion Yuan in 2009 which is the 13th in whole China. From the aboveperspectives, Wuhan is a megalopolis because the permanent population is about6

6.66million and the rank of GPD is good. But from another point of view, GDP percapita of Wuhan is 44148 Yuan in 2009 which is the 43th in all cities of China in2008; it is the 114th in 2007; it is the 104th in 2006. GDP per capita is moremeaningful and realistic than total GDP, from this perspective, Wuhan is a mediumcity in China.1.2 Aims and ObjectivesThis paper will analyze the trend of Chinese real estate market development to helpinvestors to understand the Chinese real estate markets current situation, policiesbetter and make better real estate investment decisions in China in the future. With therapid development of the economy, the huge inner demand of real estate is increasingin medium and small cities. Meanwhile, there is more and more limitation to invest inbig cities, such as, oversaturated with investment and higher cost of investment. Thispaper analyses the reason why Chinese domestic real estate companies are expandingthe investment in medium and small cities instead of big cities. I will describe andanalyze the investment strategy and development of Fuxing Huiyu Real EstateCorporation as an example which is a native, medium sized real estate company in amedium city. But the company grows rapidly. The analysis of the decision made bythis company will help the investment companies to make their investment decisionsin future. How global investors can profit from China's booming economy? Theycould get some idea from the investment trend of Chinese local investmentcompanies.1.3 MethodologyThis paper contains two main parts. The first part is a general introduction of theurbanization process and globalization process of the city which I focus on andpolicies of the real estate development. The second part is a case study; I focus onanalysis the development of investment strategy of Fuxing Huiyu Real EstateCompany. It is a medium size real estate company which is only famous in a mediumsize city---Wuhan. I analyzed the development process of the company and how it isgrowing in the residential real estate field.The main method used in the paper is comparative analysis. I have compared twolocal famous residential projects which belong to my target real estate company. Andthese projects were constructed in two different cities, one is in a medium size cityWuhan and another one is in a small size city Xiaogan. The medium size city(Wuhan) which I chosen is a capital city in the province of Hubei (it is one provincein the middle of China). The small size city which I have chosen is a secondary cityand it is close to the capital city Wuhan. The comparative analysis approach iscompared investment situation and demand and supply in these two different sizes ofcities.7

There is a SWOT method when I analysis the main project in the medium size of cityWuhan. It contains four parts with strength, weakness, opportunities and threat. It willbe used in the market analysis sector of case study.The information of the cities and government policies comes from the official websiteof local government and quantitative data of the project are comes from the officialwebsite of Fuxing Huiyu real estate company.2. General development of real estate market2.1 Urbanization processIf we want to find out the demand of real estate in China, we should know the Chinesepolicies and understand the urbanization process in China. Baizhan Li, Meng Liu andK.G. McKinnell(2006) indicated that “after 1978, with the introduction of theeconomic reform policy, the urbanization process began to seriously take off.” Theyalso found the regional differences in China’s pattern of urbanization. “Generallyspeaking the eastern coastal areas are more developed with the west only receivingserious attention over the past two to three years”. There is a research shows “In thelast 20 years, the level of urbanization in China has increased rapidly and in 1999, itreached 30.9 per cent.” There is a prediction shows that in 2010, “the urbanpopulation should reach 570 million and the level of urbanization 40.7 per cent; and itis expected that the level of urbanization will be 52 per cent by 2020 (Xun, 2000).”The real estate industry and its investment in China are developing together with theprogress of urbanization. Arthur O’Sullivan studies that urbanization economics isone type of agglomerative economics. There are two types of agglomerativeeconomics: localization economics and urbanization economics. The large industrialcity develops because of agglomerative economics in production. By locating close toone another, firms can produce at a lower cost. If one company moves to a city mayleads another company moves to the city too. From another aspect, economicglobalization is one of the important incentives for the progress of urbanization inChina. Globalization is often used to refer to economic globalization, that is,integration of national economies into the international economy through trade,foreign direct investment, capital flows, migration, and the spread of technology(Bhagwati, Jagdish 2004).2.2 Globalization processDepending on the rapid development of the economy of China, the market of realestate is much more mature than ever before. An investigation by Ling Hin Li (1996)8

shows that Real estate development and investment in China is not an investmentopportunity for most international investors, it has become a strategy. However, thereare still a lot of deficiencies in the Chinese real estate market. “One of these is thedifficulty in establishing values for real estate assets. The other is the complication ofthe development procedures which affects property investment analysis”.2.3 Strategies for real estate companiesPatrick X.W. Zou and Alison Wong (2008) identified the opportunities and risks anddevelop effective business strategies for foreign design and construction managementcompanies to penetrate into the Chinese market. From interviews with some topmanagers in construction and engineering firms who are operating in China they alloptimistic about the China market but there still some risks. The most risk is that thecompany must cultivate a network of contacts, which comes from Chinese culture.For example, the company must have a good relationship with local government toget more profit. Most of local companies did it well than international companies.The recent investigation from Antonio Wong (2009) suggests a mixed investmentstrategy designed to capture the long-term growth of the Chinese economy. In aninternational context, The investigation of Martin Hoesli, Jon Lekander and WitoldWitkiewicz in 2003 shows that real estate is found to be an effective portfoliodiversifier, and even more so when both domestic and international real estate assetsare considered.9

3. General description of Wuhan city3.1 Introduction of the general information of Wuhan3.1.1 Introduction of location of WuhanBeing the capital city of Hubei Province, Wuhan urban agglomeration is the corecentral city in the middle of China and the political, economic, scientific andtechnological and education center in inland China. It connects 9 provinces fromgeographical position; we can see it from the China map below. Because it is about1000 kilometers away from Shanghai in the east, Chongqing in the west, Guangzhouin the south and Beijing in the north. There are 13 administrative districts in the city.It covers an area of 8467 square kilometers and has a population of 8.31 millioninvolve 6.66 million permanent populations. Since the opening to the outside world,Wuhan has developed very quickly and the economy has kept a continual and steadygrowth. The average economy growth from 1992 to 1998 reached 16% which isabove the average level of the province and country. Belonging with the policies ofrising middle of China; Wuhan is the leader city of middle state of Yangzi Rivereconomic circle. Wuhan is the 13th largest city of China with the GDP is 456 billionRMB in 2009.Figure 1Map of China3.1.2 Introduce the regional features and resource advantages of WuhanThere are some comparative advantages in Wuhan such as natural eco-environment,educational resources, industry basis, trade and logistics. First of all, from the map of10

Hubei province, we can see there are some big lakes in Wuhan obviously and it alongYangtze River. It brings Wuhan good natural eco-environment, rich freshwaterresources and tourism resources to attract more business opportunities andpopulations to live in there.Figure 2 Map of HubeiSecondly, there are high quality educational resources. Wuhan urban agglomeration isthe most densely educational resource area of China, both the quantity of researchersand the quantity of research results are in the top of China. There are 59 researchinstitutes, 920,000 full time colleague students, 55 academies, 14 national toplaboratories at the end of 2008. The general strength of science research is the third ofChina, only after Beijing and Shanghai. Meanwhile, there is some historicalsignificance in the city, because it was the birthplace of Chu Culture in ancient historyof China.Thirdly, there are some abundant strength industries in Wuhan such as WISCOCompany and China Petrochemical Corporation Wuhan Branch. WISCO is short forWuhan Iron and Steel Groups Corporation; it commenced its construction from 1955,and put into production on Sep 13, 1958. It is the first giant iron and steel complexestablished after the founding of the People’s Republic of China and one of thebackbone enterprises under the leadership of the Central Government and the StateCouncil. China Petrochemical Corporation Wuhan Branch gained project of 800000ton of ethylene which makes Wuhan as the base manufactory and produce supplycenter in the middle of China. The two industries consist of the main raw materialsuppliers in China.Lastly, there are advanced commercial and logistical market in Wuhan. As one of theimportant commercial cities in China, there are 69 in top 500 companies of the world11

established their branch in Wuhan. Moreover, there are series professional andgeneral merchandise trade markets which are famous in whole China.3.1.3 Introduction of transportation11. RoadHigher transportation cost is a problem to attract inner and foreign investment andprogress of urbanization in Wuhan. The government did two important policies forthem: one is construct a ring road outside the city and it’s completed early 2008,another is that the city is building Subway and Light Rail Transport system distributein whole city. The prediction of the project will be finished in 2012.Because the main development zones are around the outskirts of the city, construct aring road is convenience for those companies to deliver the product to different cities.As Wuhan is a big city with large population, going through the city will takes morethan two hours. Ring road is benefit for both citizen and enterprisers. Firstly, thecargo trucks which pass by Wuhan could go through without entering the city.Secondly, it will reduce pollution and congestion of the city.2. RailwayThere are 5 main railways through Wuhan as Jingguang, Jingjiu, Wujiu, Handan,Changjing, and some branch line. The operating railway lines total archived 1129 kmin Wuhan Urban Agglomeration. Wuhan is the only city in China who has three bigtrain stations because of the high import geographic position.3. Water transportationWuhan City is in the confluence of the Yangtze River and Han River and there aresome inland rivers like Hanbei River, Liangzi Lake, and the operating inland riverlines total archived 3773km, 970 berths in docks. There are 8 bridges across YangtzeRiver inner Wuhan urban agglomeration and there are 4 bridges across Yangtze Riverbuilding now.4. Air transportationWuhan City has a largest size airport in the middle of China which is named WuhanTianhe International Airport. There are 158 air lines which connected 60 cities;annual turnover is over 500million populations.5. Inner city Rail Transit1All the resource about transportation of Wuhan is come from Wuhan Transportation Planning , the statisticaldata is close at the end of 2007.12

There is 10 kilometers rail transit line inner the city.6. Pipe transportationThere are 1073 kilometers high pressure and intermediate pressure petroleum and gaspipe inner the city.3.2 Introduction of main industry and investment situation in WuhanTargeted industries in Wuhan are optoelectronic information, automobile and steelproduction, biological engineering and pharmaceuticals. The main economicdevelopment zones are the Wuhan China Optics Valley located in the Wuhan EastLake High Tech Development Zone (which specializes in laser and optics products) ,the Wuhan Wujiashan Technology Development Zone (which specializes in thefood and bioengineering industries), and the Wuhan Economic and TechnologicalDevelopment Zone (which specializes in high-tech and automobile industries). Mostof the technology development zones are led by foreign direct investment. Forexample, the earliest and most famous develop zone in Wuhan is Wuhan Economicand Technological Development Zone which is led by a French automobile companyCitroen and a Japanese automobile company Honda. At the beginning there is atraditional truck manufactory company with their brand called Dongfeng in Wuhan.But it is only good at truck industry which is not enough for modern life andeconomic development. It attracted foreign investor by the good foundation of truckindustry and technology. There are 7 big automobile industries in the zone; andmeanwhile there are more than 160 auto part companies around them. Theaccumulative total investment is 60 billion RMB till 2008. This zone is the biggestagglomerated automobile industry in China already and the annually output will be 1million automobile in 2008.Except for the benefit of local government policy, the cheaper labor cost is anotherattraction for foreign investor. Such as Citroen from above example, the Frenchcompany closed their factory in middle England (Ryton) and expanding theirinvestment in Wuhan as their operation strategy recently. The primary reason is lowerlabor cost. The most active part of economic globalization is transnational companies.Their main purpose is seeking the most advantage anywhere. Meanwhile, Wuhan is adeveloping city of middle China, the cost of land, laborage, payment, consuming,transportation are cheap here, so it is a best city for the transnational companies toestablish their industry.3.3 Introduction of related real estate policies and influences13

The development of real estate industry is very close to the policy direction in China.Recent year, the government paid attention to real estate industry and concerned aboutreal estate economic, land transaction, real estate tax, commercial residential,low-income housing and so on.3.3.1 Monetary and financial policies in recent yearThe most powerful tools for the macroeconomics control by the government aremonetary and financial policies. Belong with financial policies and real estate periodicadjustment, the government has a series flexible adjustment. Because of economiccrisis there are some adjustments of monetary policy in real estate industry recent year.From the beginning of 2007 till the end of 2008, the central bank of China adjusted 19times of RMB (Ren Min Bi) deposit reserve ratio.Figure 3 Monetary policy adjustment in 2007-2008Year 2007Depositratioreserve benchmark one year benchmark one yeardeposit ratelending rate2007-01-15 0.5%(9.5%)——2007-02-25 0.5%(10%)——2007-03-18— 0.27%(2.79%) 0.27%(6.39%)— 0.27%(4.14%) 0.18%(7.47%) 2007-12-21 2007-12-25 1%(14.5%)—— 0.5%(15%)—— 1%(17.5%)———— 0.27%(7.2%)Year 20082008-01-25 2008-06-072008-09-162008-09-25Exclude main banksothersfinancialinstitutions 1%2008-10-08— 0.27%(3.87%)14 0.27%(6.93%)

2008-12-05All banks 1%Medium and smallfinancial——institutions 2%2008-12-23—2008-12-25 0.5%(15.5%) 0.27%(2.25%)— 0.27%(5.31%)—Data resource: People's Bank of China (central bank of China)From the graph above we can see that deposit reserve ratio raised from 9.5% in thebeginning of 2007 to 15.5% (big size banks) and 13.5% (medium and small depositsfinancial institutions) in the end of 2008. Benchmark one year deposit rate decreasedfrom 2.79% to 2.25% in 2007 to 2008. Benchmark one year lending rate decreasedfrom 6.39% to 5.31% in 2007 to 2008.3.3.2 From the view of controlBefore September of 2008, in order to control the over-heated development of realestate market and excessive growth of housing loans, decrease financial liquidity inthe market and reduce economics risk in real estate market, the central bank of Chinaused tight financial and monetary policy. There is the highest deposit reserve ratio of17.5% in 7th of June in 2008 which broken historical records in the last 20 years.Figure 4 Financial institutes’ deposit reserve ratio fluctuate in 2007 to 2008 in Chinadeposit-reserve 510,515,51615,5171613,511,59,5Data resource: People's Bank of China (central bank of China)As we know, the government published series real estate policies for macroeconomiccontrol. And there are some more policies by government to control overheateddevelopment of real estate market from the beginning of 2003. Such as, controlling15

land supply; controlling debt of real estate, etc. The purpose of these policies were setup the standard of development of real estate market; controlling real estate marketwas overreached in some areas of China; controlling over investment in real estatemarket; controlling over increasing in real estate market in some areas; controllinglow standard reconstruction; controlling unlawful appropriation of cultivated land;controlling unbalance in real estate debt market. These series of policies bring certainshocks in the real estate market in Wuhan, it makes some part of customers areanticipating the housing price to go down and delay their purchase plan. But fromlong views, these policies will make the real estate market more mature, rational andkeep the market health and stea

Chinese real estate market as part of their portfolio diversification. Real estate is a new economic growth point and main industry in Chinese gross domestic product nowadays. Real estate market in China is facing unprecedented opportunities and challenges now. This paper analyzes the trend of Chinese real estate

Related Documents:

real estate investing 3 8 17 26 37 45 53 63 72 introduction by shelly roberson and david s. roberson, esq. the world of real estate investing educating yourself in real estate niches and strategies for real estate investment creating an effective business plan locating investment properties financing real estate investments real estate .

REAL ESTATE TERMINOLOGY A Course Companion for Studying for The Real Estate Exam, for Real Estate Home Study Courses, for Real Estate Continuing Education Courses, for Real Estate Statutory Courses, and for Any Form of College Real Estate Course. PAGE 1 A ABANDONMENT Failure

Invested 50bn in real estate equity and debt strategies1 since 2012. o MBD Real Estate Stats: 38bn in AUM across real estate . o Real Estate Private Equity: Core, Income and Value-Oriented, Opportunistic, Development o Real Estate Private Credit: Senior Credit, Mezzanine Loans, Non-Performing Loans Goldman Sachs MBD Real Estate Overview.

A profile of today's real estate investor Investors favor real estate for its growth potential. Today's real estate investor remains optimistic about their real estate investments. Investors hold on average 2.2 types of real estate investments, with the two most popular choices being direct purchase and owning real estate

Trust account handboo for real estate agents and real estate business agents. 2. Introduction. All real estate agents and real estate business agents who hold or receive money on behalf of others relating to a real estate transaction in Western Australia are required to open and maintain trust . accounts. T

A real estate search platform to research neighborhoods and builders. A real estate site for Japan. A United States real estate search tool to help domestic and international home buyers nd United States properties. A nationwide real estate online directory. HarmonHomes.com A real estate

Real Estate Finance. BACKGROUND . Finance is the lifeblood of the real estate industry. Developers, contractors, real estate brokers (REBs) and mortgage loan brokers (MLBs) should each understand how real estate is financed. Traditional sources of loan funds are the financial depository institutions (depository institutions), including

basic real estate economics. introduction . real estate demand . real estate demand concepts . demand sensitivity to price/rent changes: price elasticity of demand . impact of actual price changes vs expected price changes . exogenous determinants of real estate demand . measuring changes in real estate demand: absorption concepts . the supply .