Food In The Digital Platform Economy: Making Sense Of A Dynamic Ecosystem

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Food in the digital platformeconomy – making senseof a dynamic ecosystemEvidence assessment and policyrecommendations, May 2021Report commissioned by The Food Standards i

Crown Copyright 2021This report has been produced by University of Cambridge under a contract placedby the Food Standards Agency (the Agency). The views expressed herein are notnecessarily those of the Agency. University of Cambridge warrants that allreasonable skill and care has been used in preparing this report. Notwithstandingthis warranty, University of Cambridge shall not be under any liability for loss ofprofit, business, revenues or any special indirect or consequential damage of anynature whatsoever or loss of anticipated saving or for any increased costs sustainedby the client or his or her servants or agents arising in any way whether directly orindirectly as a result of reliance on this report or of any error or defect in this report.ii

Food in the digital platform economy – making sense of adynamic ecosystemEvidence assessment and policy recommendationsMay 2021FSA Contract Reference: FS430653University of Cambridge Project Lead: Shima BarakatEmail: sb679@cam.ac.ukTel: 01223 747925Prepared by: Samuel Short, Bernhard Strauss, and Pantea LotfianDate: 31/05/2021University of Cambridge Reference: A23162Release: Version 1iii

AbstractRapid innovation in digital technologies is reshaping the UK food system in manyways. FSA needs to stay abreast of these changes and develop regulatoryresponses to ensure emerging digital marketplaces and other innovations do notcompromise food safety and public health. This report presents a rapid evidenceassessment of these innovations and identifies the most salient emerging trends.These are: Online third-party platforms for food and beverage ordering and delivery;Online marketplaces connecting buyers and food vendors; Direct producer-toconsumer commerce, bypassing traditional intermediaries; Dark kitchens, with nocustomer-facing storefront; and Rapid on-demand delivery solutions includingautonomous deliveries. These innovations are already rapidly transforming thetraditional linear value chain of the food system into a highly dynamic networkedecosystem of actors, enabling consumers to access food directly at various stagesalong the value chain via interaction with digital platforms. Risks and opportunitiesarise from these innovations. The risks are of numerous unapproved vendors oftenwith only a virtual presence, and some with even only a minimal digital trace,operating under the radar of FSA, compromising food safety, and raising thepotential for food fraud. Furthermore, the increased numbers of actors and their rapidand dynamic interactions with different parts of supply chains increases thelikelihood of systemic risks. Moreover, the rise and dominance of platformmonopolies has the potential to reduce the power of regulators to protect societyagainst these risks. However, digital platform technologies also offer opportunities forfood safety. The inherently networked nature of emerging digital commerce platformsmeans that there are identifiable key interaction points (nodes and hubs) where mostnew businesses and market entrants are expected to want to engage with to gainaccess to the market; namely, the major online delivery platforms and onlinemarketplaces, dark kitchen providers, and technology solution providers. It isrecommended that FSA should focus on these main convergence nodes and hubs inthe emerging ecosystem for best effect. FSA will need to take a proactiveanticipatory role in supporting industry to build food safety into its fabric from the startas novel platforms and business models emerge. Changes to the regulatoryiv

framework are recommended to ensure that the major platforms are held responsiblefor upholding high food safety standards.v

ContentsExecutive Summary . 11234Introduction . 121.1Background . 121.2Objectives . 131.3Key research questions . 131.4Methodology. 141.5Definitions of key terms . 151.6Structure of the report . 18Buying and selling of food in the digital platform economy . 192.1Industry context . 192.2Overview of the most salient emerging trends and service models. 222.3Online third-party food ordering and delivery platforms. 232.4Online marketplaces . 272.5Direct to consumer sales . 332.6Dark kitchens . 352.7Rapid on-demand delivery solutions . 39Implications for the uk food system. 423.1Likely longer-term impact on the uk food system . 423.2Structural changes to the food value chain . 433.3Likely evolution over the next five years. 443.4Risk and opportunities for food safety and the regulatory system . 49Conclusions . 584.1Summary of trends in the food platform ecosystem evolution . 584.2A systems approach to addressing risk in a digitally networked foodecosystem . 594.3The future of a networked food ecosystem . 614.4Priorities for fsa risk mitigation actions . 634.5Limitations of study . 684.6Recommendations for future research and analysis . 68vi

4.756Related emerging risks for further consideration . 70Recommendations for policy and regulation strategy . 735.1Focus on the convergence hubs and nodes in the food ecosystem . 735.2Ongoing monitoring and intervention . 755.3Managing societal risk during the digital transformation of the food sector . 765.4Recommendations/considerations for policy design . 78References . 81List of figuresFigure 1 typology of food services based on digital innovations. 20Figure 2 typology of online takeaway ordering platforms . 24Figure 3 digital marketplace platforms typology . 32Figure 4 traditional linear value-chain of the food sector . 43Figure 5 platform dominated value-chain of the food sector. 44Figure 6 summary of key trends forecast by the literature for the food sector . 45Figure 7 representation of relationship between hubs and nodes . 60Figure 8 representation of future value interaction network of the food system . 61Figure 9 priority target areas for fsa intervention . 65List of TablesTable 1 Degree of platform/marketplace curation of vendors . 51Table 2 Types of food vendors . 51Table 3 Type of goods or services sold . 52Table 4 Systemic role types . 53Table 5 Food safety risk and impact assessment . 54Table 6 Risk assessment by actor type . 67Table 7 Recommendations for future research and analysis . 69vii

AbbreviationsAbbreviation umerEPOSElectronic point of saleFHRSFood Hygiene Rating SchemeFSAFood Standards AgencyHACCPHazard Analysis and Critical Control PointLALocal AuthorityCPGPackaged Consumer Goodsviii

Executive SummaryThe food services sector has been evolving rapidly over the past decade,accelerated significantly by the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, with significantinvestment and innovation across the world. This has led to an increasingly dynamicand efficient innovation ecosystem of food service business models and onlinesolutions. The traditional linear model of food producers selling through wholesalersto brick and mortar retailers, restaurants and hospitality venues is increasingly beingdisplaced by complex interactive digital ecosystems of online food servicesproviders. Consumers are increasingly able to access food directly at various stagesalong the traditional value chain via interaction with digital platforms and rapid homedelivery networks, realising greater convenience, more variety in food products andservices from a dynamic start-up scene, and overall enhanced value. FSA needs tostay abreast of these changes and develop regulatory responses to ensure theseinnovations are aligned with the public good and do not compromise food safety andpublic health.This report presents a rapid evidence assessment of the implications of theseinnovations on the UK food buying and selling system over the coming years. Thisreport is a synthesis of desk research based on a review of the academic and greyliterature and assimilation of previous FSA reports. Analysis and review wereundertaken using standard rapid evidence review protocols, and qualitative analysiswhere necessary.FindingsThis review identified five key trends in food buying and selling in the digital platformeconomy.Online third-party platforms for food ordering and deliveryThese are aggregating platforms that enable consumers to browse a range of vendorofferings, place orders online, and arrange on-demand delivery within a certaingeographic radius. Some of these platforms are well established, with brands suchas Deliveroo, Uber Eats, Just Eat, and others, being already global household1

names. They are expanding rapidly and extending their reach into other areas of thefood sector, including groceries deliveries, and provision of numerous new virtualrestaurants. These platforms are enabling traditional brick and mortar businesses toeasily enter the online economy and are facilitating a wealth of new entrantsincluding online-only brands and home kitchens to enter the food sector.Online marketplaces connecting buyers and food vendors.Online marketplaces provide a venue for vendors to promote their products andservices and act as an intermediary between buyers and sellers to facilitatetransactions. These can be food marketplaces focusing exclusively on offering foodproducts and services (e.g., focusing on speciality foods); Food event marketplacesoffering culinary and experiential events such as supper-clubs and food tastings;General marketplaces where food and beverages are just a sub-set of the productrange (e.g., Amazon); Social/open marketplaces that operate within a social mediaplatform and facilitate peer-to-peer connections and exchanges; and Redistributionmarketplaces that seek to redistribute surplus food from farmers, producers,retailers, restaurants and consumers to reduce food waste. These marketplaces areenabling a wide array of new entrants to participate in the food sector.Direct producer/wholesaler to consumer commerceThe past five years has seen a steep rise in the number of food producers andwholesalers developing direct-to-consumer (usually online) sales channels. Theseinnovations bypass traditional intermediaries, shorten supply-chains, and enableconsumers to connect directly with producers such as local farms and specialtyingredient suppliers. Notable innovations in this space include farm drops (providingfresh produce direct from the farm), and a wide range of recipe boxes and mealboxes that are redefining the boundaries between traditional grocery shopping andready-made meals and delivering an experiential aspect for consumers.Dark kitchensDark kitchens, alternatively known as cloud kitchens or ghost kitchens, are largescale restaurant style food preparation spaces that do not have a customer-facingstore front and operate a B2B model by making the space available/outsourced torestaurants and brands that require extra capacity. They are typically located in low2

cost but central areas in the urban environment, to enable rapid servicing of theirlocal markets. Facilities have minimal staffing levels, and are optimised for highthrough-put, with the ability to be reconfigured quickly and easily to react to emergingmarket trends. Dark kitchens may be wholly owned by an existing brick and mortarestablishment to augment capacity, or as is increasingly the case, are online-onlyoperating as virtual brands, multi-brand kitchens, or providing third-party foodservices to other operators under franchise models. Several major players areentering this market in the UK offering outsourced dark kitchens much like coworking spaces, enabling food entrepreneurs to enter the market with minimal setupcosts and risk.Rapid on-demand delivery solutionsThe industry is building quick-commerce, or q-commerce solutions, that aim to cuton-demand delivery times to 15 minutes or less to make home-delivery the preferredchoice for consumer food and convenience needs. This is being achieved through acombination of locally positioned restaurants and stores, leveraging dark kitchensand dark stores (centrally located fulfilment warehouses), and local courier networks.Use of innovative transport solutions such as e-scooters, autonomous robots andaerial drones are already being tested or are in operation offering rapid and lowcarbon deliveries. These developments are transforming the traditional food buyingand selling infrastructure into a dynamic network ecosystem of digital transactionhubs that will be able to quickly respond to novel consumer demands and trendsacross a wide range of sectors of the economy.Longer-term trendsLooking forward over the next five years the existing literature reports that thecurrent trends identified above are here to stay and will intensify, and continue toreshape business models and the food buying and selling ecosystem, augmented byseveral broader trends: E-commerce: continued strong growth in online services, and q-commerce. Ecosystem transformation: growth in convenience, discount, and specialtystores; major grocers to move further into take-away and home-deliverymarket; while delivery aggregators and platforms will move further into retail;3

pureplay online players will look to develop offline services; direct toconsumer commerce, and social commerce will continue to grow rapidly. Data analytics/AI: will deliver rapid technological advances, and big data willgrow ever more important to the consumer experience and competitiveadvantage. Food as a service: including recipe boxes and personalised nutrition; and agrowing focus on personalised nutrition. Health and sustainability: organic, nutrition, provenance, local, food wastereduction, and environmental performance.Future new trends are expected to emerge from within the current ecosystemthrough dynamic interactions and network effects between each of these trendscreating new entrants, and more leverage for some players while driving otherplayers out of business. Traditional roles and business models will increasinglyintersect, with producers, vendors and consumers interacting at multiple points in thevalue chain in a highly dynamic digital ecosystem. The buying and selling typologiesidentified in this report, while relevant over the short to medium term, may need to bereconceptualised in the years ahead to reflect these dynamics. Identifying theconvergence points, the hubs and nodes in the system is key to policy design andimplementation.Implications for food safety and the regulatory frameworkThese innovations are bringing a broad range of benefits in terms of convenience,choice, and enhanced value for consumers, and are enabling an array ofentrepreneurs to enter the market quickly and affordably to experiment and bringnew product ranges to market. However, with so many new entrants and ad-hoctraders in the market, often with only a small virtual presence and operating fromdark kitchens or home kitchens, monitoring and oversight becomes challenging. Therisk of uncertified vendors, particularly small, local, and least-networked hubs,operating under the radar of FSA and local authorities is high in certain parts of theecosystem and raises concerns over food safety and/or food fraud/crime. Across theecosystem the larger actors hold sway and if producers bypass them through4

emerging D2C or C2C channels, they may get away with selling the food without anyregistration and compliance with FHRS etc.Furthermore, the increased complexity in highly networked supply chains increasesthe likelihood of systemic risks, and the potential for incidents at a small part of thesupply chain to have far reaching consequences throughout the food supply systembeyond the locality of the incident. Additionally, the rise and dominance of platformmonopolies has the potential to reduce the power of regulators to intervene, and soreduce the regulators ability to protect society against these emerging risks.As the food ecosystem evolves and digital platforms grow and D2C and C2Cchannels increase, the ecosystem will evolve further towards the networked valueinteraction model as illustrated below, where there is continuous dynamic interactionbetween all points of the network. The figure illustrates the nodes in the system mostlikely to gain dominance based on current information, and provides a top-levelassessment of the likely areas of food safety risk and their potential for large scaleimpact in the emerging ecosystem.5

Representation of future value interaction network of the food system(For simplicity figure does not illustrate the potential convergence and over-lappingof roles in the future network, and food sharing/distribution as well as other offlineactors are not included)High risk impact: Dark kitchen Online marketplace Online ordering and delivery platformMedium risk impact: Producer Processor Home Kitchen6

Online marketplaceLow risk impact: Wholesaler Dark stores Retailer/Grocer Rapid Delivery Couriers Restaurant7

RecommendationsFocus on convergence nodes and hubsThe nature of emerging digital networks means there are key points where most newbusinesses and market entrants are expected to engage with the market where riskmight be mitigated; namely: The major online delivery platforms and online marketplaces (hubs) Local specialist online delivery platforms and online marketplaces (nodes) Dark kitchen providers (nodes with potential to develop into hubs) Processing and gastronomy technology solution providers (system levers)Platforms that are major nodes and hubs within the digital ecosystem effectively actas gatekeepers to the food system and are well positioned to fulfil a quasi-regulatoryrole in the sector, and through careful curation of vendors and ongoing monitoringcan mitigate the risk for consumers from unsafe and fraudulent vendors. It isrecommended that FSA should focus on these main convergence nodes, hubs andlevers at major entry points into the ecosystem. By working with these platforms and dark kitchen providers, the FSA cancreate levers for compliance in the food ecosystem to ensure food hygienestandards are enforced, and safeguard against potential food fraud. Beyond monitoring and oversight, FSA should work with these nodes todevelop enhanced training programmes, education for new foodentrepreneurs, and perhaps consider developing new standards for darkkitchen operations to optimise processes for food safety. As restaurants and other food facilities adopt technology it emerges thatsoftware companies that specialise in tools for food buying and selling,selection, production, and processing (e.g., electronic point of sales systems,production control, inventory management and supply-chain managementtools), are well placed to integrate compliance factors and traceability intotheir products. This creates an opportunity for FSA to work with these8

developers to make compliance a built-in element of standard food businesssoftware.While focusing on these key system connectors (nodes, hubs and levers) will notaddress every non-compliant vendor, it should capture the majority, and certainlythose with the larger potential for wider influence in the food system.Risks are also identified in the more fragmented, obscure parts, or modules, of thefood system, where there are concerns over new entrants without adequate foodhygiene standards, food fraud, and traceability (such as consumer-to-consumertransactions on social media platforms). Mitigating these risks is more challengingbut the impact of these vendors on the overall food system is low. For thesesegments of the market it is recommended: Focus on public awareness campaigns to educate vendors and consumers onthe certification requirements and risks of non-compliance, and educateconsumers on how to take more responsibility for buying decisions, theirrights and what they should expect of vendors, and where to go to raise acomplaint or concern over vendors.Regulatory oversightWhile the digital platform economy offers many new opportunities for the food sector,regulators should be cognisant of systemic issues platforms can present. As seenwith digital platforms in other sectors, particularly social media platforms, weakregulation can have significant implications. When attempting to implementstandards in a digitally networked ecosystem there is a need for continuousengagement with the system. Unlike linear supply chains, digital platformecosystems can rapidly create unforeseen novel network effects and challenges forregulation that might affect large parts of the food system. There is therefore a needfor developing comprehensive analytical tools to enable FSA to continuously monitorand understand the impact of such changes on food safety.Exactly because of the complexity and dynamics of the digital platform economy,robustness of the regulatory framework is essential for its ability to respond tochallenges. As platforms increasingly move into new market areas, with overlappingroles, the responsibilities for food safety and consumer protection are likely to9

become blurred. Therefore, FSA should consider building similar approaches tothose developed for cyber security and data regulation to ensure ground rules areset and food safety is an inherent part of the system.In order to take the next steps towards developing the framework for a new approachto policy design for the digital food commerce sector we recommend the followingconsiderations: Change the status of food platforms from technology companies to foodbusiness operators. Raise the status and visibility of food safety in the industry to compare withcyber security in the technology industry. Shift responsibility from vendors that are listed on those platforms to theplatforms themselves (for allergens, hygiene ratings etc.). Currently most risk mitigating actions to be taken by platforms that trade infood in the UK are deemed to be voluntary. Consider making key measuresobligatory which may help with enforcing others.Further researchThis review was based on the extant literature and is believed to accuratelyrepresent the latest views on the topic. However, the academic literature was foundto be surprisingly sparse on the topic of digital platforms in the food sector, and thereare notable gaps in the knowledge base. Several important areas for furtherresearch are recommended to better understand the emerging risks andopportunities: Quantifying food safety risks arising from online platforms. How do curation and vendor monitoring practices of online platforms help toensure food safety across vendor base. How does the business model/functionality of the platform impact on foodsafety for consumers. The impact of social media platforms on food safety and consumption. The boundaries of regulatory responsibility in the platform economy. How to build food safety into the ecosystem function – identifying parallelswith information and data security regulatory models.10

During this review three related trends were identified that seem potentially at oddswith the future predicted evolution of these digital ecosystems and convenienceorientated home-delivery systems. These are: Public health and nutrition concerns around the convenience food culture. Chemical contamination from plastic packaging and microplastics. Environmental impact and sustainability issues with respect to carbonemissions, packaging waste and food waste.FSA should consider how these issues might best be addressed in the futureevolution of how food is bought and sold in the UK.SummaryIn summary, significant change is anticipated in the way we buy and sell food onlineover the coming years. As digital platforms and retailers increasingly move into newmarket areas, with overlapping roles, the responsibilities for food safety andconsumer protection are becoming blurred. It is therefore recommended that FSAadopt a highly proactive anticipatory role in supporting industry to build food safetyinto its fabric from the start as novel business models and processes increasinglyreplace traditional ones. It is recommended to adopt a systems approach toregulation, perhaps integrating conceptual input from the field of network science tocapture the realities of an increasingly dynamic, interactive and networked foodsystem.11

1 Introduction1.1BackgroundThe use of online platforms has become an embedded part of the UK food systemover the past fifteen years, bringing a range of risks and opportunities to producersand food businesses, consumers, and the regulatory regime. The fast pace ofchange in digital platform technologies, their multiple network effects, and rapidadoption rates means this sector is likely to evolve at a pace not seen in otherelements of the food sector previously. Some of the changes to how and where foodis bought and sold using online platform technologies are potentially short-term,others may be longer-term trends, and others may introduce new standards acrossthe industry remaining here to stay.Pushed by the Covid-19 pandemic, established business models have changed fast,with wholesalers opening online retail operations, restaurants converting totakeaways, or catering businesses offering online meal ordering and delivery, whilemany operations were forced to close permanently when not able to find ways toadapt. During the pandemic online shopping markedly increased, and supermarketsstarted to sell products destined for restaurants, while demand for local food boxessuch as fruit and vegetable and fresh meat schemes sold from farms direct to theconsumer soared. Meanwhile, peer-to-peer and business-to-consumer selling viadigital platforms such as Facebook marketplace increased significantly.Due to their highly dynamic nature and unpredictable network effects these trendspresent challenges in how they can best be analysed and monitored as to assesshow and where online food selling and buying presents opportunities and risks to thefood system. Only a clear understanding of the structural and dynamic properties ofthese technology-driven trends will allow identification of effective leverage points forintervention, ensuring that FSA can fulfil its regulatory obligations.12

1.2ObjectivesThe focus of this report is on the increasingly distributed, and disruptive modes ofgetting food from producers to consumers based on digital technologies, and theimplications of these changes for the FSA.This report presents findings of a rapid evidence assessment of the most salientchanges to online buying, selling, and sharing of food – assimilating andsynthesising existing research. It highlights what the literature assesses will be thelikely longer-term impact on the UK food system. It describes the types of onlineplatforms operating in the UK food system and their differing business models, theiroperating characteristics, and who operates them, who they serve, their high-levelfunctionality, and the value they create. These factors have a bearing on where andhow the FSA can apply its policy levers in relation to these platforms mosteffectively. Moreover, expected devel

platform and facilitate peer -to-peer connections and exchanges; and Redistribution marketplaces that seek to redistribute surplus food from farmers, producers, retailers, restaurants and consumers to reduce food waste. These marketplaces are enabling a wide array of new entrants to participate in the food sector.

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