Housing Market Charts - July 2009 - TRREB

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Housing Market Charts - July 2009

TREB MLS SalesMonthly with Three Previous Years for 0002,0000Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots monthly MLS sales for the current year and the previous three years. Therecurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.

TREB MLS New ListingsMonthly with Three Previous Years for 06,0004,0002,00002006200720082009Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots monthly MLS new listings for the current year and the previous threeyears. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for eachmonth.

TREB MLS Sales-to-New Listings RatioMonthly with Three Previous Years for 0.002006200720082009Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS sales-to-new listings ratio (SNLR) for the current year and the previousthree years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previous years for each month.When the SNLR moves higher, annual average price growth generally increases – often at a rate well above inflation.When the SNLR moves lower, annual average price growth generally declines and can become negative.

TREB MLS Average Resale Home PriceMonthly with Three Previous Years for Comparison 420,0002006200720082009 400,000 380,000 360,000 340,000 320,000 300,000Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots the monthly MLS average home price for the current year and theprevious three years. The recurring seasonal trend can be examined along with comparisons to previousyears for each month.

TREB MLS SalesMonthly Time Series with Trend Line12,000Actual MLS Sales10,000Trend (12-Month Moving Average)8,0006,0004,0002,000Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots monthly MLS sales since January 1995. The blue line shows actual sales. The brownline is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or otherirregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual sales must occur to change the direction of the trend.

TREB MLS New ListingsMonthly Time Series with Trend 4,0002,000Actual MLS New ListingsTrend (12-Month Moving Average)Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots monthly MLS new listings since January 1995. The blue line shows actual new listings.The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or otherirregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual new listings must occur to change the direction of the trend.

TREB MLS Average PriceMonthly Time Series with Trend Line425,000375,000Actual MLS Average PriceTrend (12-Month Moving Average)325,000275,000225,000175,000Source: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots monthly MLS average price since January 1995. The blue line shows the actual averageprice. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations orother irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual average price must occur to change the direction of thetrend.

Sales-to-New Listings Ratio(Blue 0%15%10%5%0%Sales-to-New Listings Ratio-5%Average Price Annual Per Cent Change-10%-15%Average Price Annual Per Cent Change(Brown Line)TREB MLS Sales-to-New Listings Ratio Compared toAverage Annual Per Cent Change in Home PriceSource: Toronto Real Estate BoardExplanation: This chart plots the monthly sales-to-new listings ratio (blue line) with year-over-year average annual percent price change (brown line). When the sales-to-new listings ratio moves higher, average annual per cent change inhome prices generally trends higher. When the sales-to-new listings ratio moves lower, average annual per cent changein home prices generally trends lower.

Explanation: This chart plots monthly MLS new listings since January 1995. The blue line shows actual new listings. The brown line is the trend computed using a 12-month moving average, which exhibits no seasonal variations or other irregular fluctuations. A substantial change in actual new listings must occur to change the direction of the .

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