The Future Role Of Thermal Energy Storage In The UK Energy System

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The Future Role of Thermal EnergyStorage in the UK Energy System:An Assessment of the TechnicalFeasibility and Factors InfluencingAdoptionResearch Report

The Future Role of Thermal EnergyStorage in the UK Energy System:An assessment of the TechnicalFeasibility and Factors InfluencingAdoptionResearch ReportAuthorsPhilip EamesDennis LovedayVictoria HainesPanayiotis RomanosNovember 2014This report should be cited as: Eames, P., Loveday, D., Haines, V. and Romanos, P. (2014)The Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy System: An Assessment ofthe Technical Feasibility and Factors Influencing Adoption - Research Report (UKERC:London).REF UKERC/RR/ED/2014/001www.ukerc.ac.ukFollow us on Twitter @UKERCHQ

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemAbout UKERCThe UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC) carriesout world-class research into sustainable futureenergy systems.It is the focal point of UK energy research and thegateway between the UK and the internationalenergy research communities.Our interdisciplinary, whole systems researchinforms UK policy development and researchstrategy.For more information, visit: www.ukerc.ac.uk1

2Executive SummaryThe aims of the work undertaken were: To characterise the main areas of heat usein the UK and the magnitude of the primaryenergy usedTo describe the main characteristics of thedifferent technologies and approaches availablefor thermal energy storage and provideexamples of their availability, deployment anddemonstrationTo review current thermal energy storagesystem research to determine keycharacteristics, costs, maturity and additionalresearch requirementsTo identify key application areas for thermalenergy storage in the UK based on a nationaltarget for an 80% reduction in greenhouse gasemissions by 2050When combined with large scale deploymentof electric air source heat pumps, to explorethe potential for peak grid load balancing andthe magnitude of thermal energy storage thatcould be achieved on a distributed basisKey findingsJust under half (45-47%) of total final energyconsumption in the UK is currently used forheating purposes with approximately 80% derivedfrom fossil fuels. Of the total national heatdemand, space and water heating account for63% and 14%, respectively. The domestic sectoris responsible for 57% of total heat use with77.5% being for space heating. Of the 18% of heatsupplied for industrial processes, 6% is for hightemperature process, 9% for low temperatureprocess and 3% for drying and separation. Dueto the large seasonal variation in space heatingrequirements, the annual heat load profile is farfrom constant, with the peak winter heat loadbeing several times that of the average heat load.At present, sensible heat storage is by far themost utilised and mature form of heat storagesystem, with most current thermal energy storageinstallations being based on this approach.Store volumes range in size from domestic hotwater tanks and electric storage radiators designedto store heat for a few hours to systems withvolumes up to 75,000 m3 used for inter seasonalstorage. Latent heat and thermochemical heatstorage systems, although potentially providinggreater energy storage for a given volume, are stillat lower technology readiness levels.The four main types of large scale, lowtemperature, thermal energy stores that have beensuccessfully developed are: tank thermal energystores, pit thermal energy stores, borehole thermalenergy stores and aquifer thermal energy stores.Large inter-seasonal stores are only sized for amaximum of a few hundred buildings. Due to theannual operational cycle, the store cost must below to provide payback on investment. There is astrong relationship between store size and cost,with small tank storage systems of 300m3 of watercosting about 390/m3, whilst for a pit store witha volume of 75,000m3 of water equivalent, costsmay reduce to around 25/m3. The district heatingsystem at Pimlico (one of the systems examinedin this project) effectively uses a 2,500m3 volumewater store constructed in the 1950s to provide ashort term balancing function for a CHP systemsupplying 3256 homes, 50 businesses and threeschools.Until such time as the existing building stock isradically transformed to be much more thermallyefficient, or replaced with energy efficient newbuild, the greatest use of heat in the UK is likelyto remain that for space heating. To achieve thesignificant planned reductions in greenhouse gasemissions, low emission heating approaches willbe essential. Electric heat pumps operated witha decarbonised electricity supply and districtheating can help address this problem. To assessthe feasibility of these approaches two case studieshave been undertaken, i) for domestic heatingusing data for a dwelling in Derby and ii) for thePimlico district heating scheme in London.

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemIn the first case study, daily winter heatrequirements and daily peak heat requirementswere determined for a large family house in Derbyand scaled, based on the predicted performanceif the house was compliant with the BuildingRegulations of 1980, 1990 and 2010. Thermalstores were then sized to meet the maximumspace heat load for a three hour period to allowheat pump operation at periods of low electricalgrid load. For a water-based sensible heat store,the storage volumes required were found to rangefrom 2.6m3 for the house constructed to 1980sBuilding Regulations, to 0.56m3 for constructionto 2010 Building Regulations. A “theoretical” phasechange material (PCM) based store could reducethese volumes by two thirds. Given that PCMstorage is likely to become a viable technology inthe next few years, PCM-based thermal storage inconjunction with an electric air-source heat pump,offered as part of a Green Deal, was examinedand found to be technically possible in a retrofitcontext. If operated in conjunction with anappropriate demand side management strategy,this type of system has the potential to supportdomestic energy demand reduction while at thesame time minimising supply challenges for theelectricity utilities.In the second case study, an analysis wasundertaken of the Pimlico District HeatingUndertaking which includes a 2500m3 thermalstore built in the 1950s. The thermal energy storeprovides a balancing function to match variablesupply and demand and also offers an emergencybuffer to ensure seamless supply in the event ofplanned or unexpected maintenance. The thermalstore at Pimlico District Heating Undertakingallows better control and plant efficiency; withoutthe thermal store, the system would need to varyin operation to meet the changing demand, and sorun inefficiently.3An analysis was undertaken of the potentialadditional national electrical generation andpeak grid load resulting from the deployment ofdifferent numbers of air source heat pumps withdifferent performance characteristics. In additionthe potential storage in GWh of heat and electricequivalent that could be achieved with distributedthermal storage was calculated. For example, twomillion air source heat pumps with a winter COPof 2, each meeting a 12kW thermal load, wouldrequire an extra 12GW of electrical generation(compared to a current winter peak load of justunder 60GW). If each dwelling equipped with aheat pump system had three hours of thermalstorage, i.e. 36kWh to enable demand shifting, thenthe equivalent electrical storage would be 36GWh.This would enable improved capacity factorsof generation plant to be realised and have thepotential to reduce the amount of additional powergeneration capacity that would be required to meetthis additional load.Provision of heat in the transition to a low carboneconomy is a significant challenge. Heat networkscurrently supply less than 2% of the UK’s spaceheating compared to approximately 16% inGermany. Heat networks allow large scale storagesystems to be used that provide efficient storageand effective load shifting capability; expansion ofheat networks in the UK is possible in areas of highheat demand although cost of installations is highat present. If the electricity supply is decarbonised,combined heat and power will no longer be thelowest carbon option and large MW-scale heatpumps may prove preferential.The wide-scale adoption of air source heatpumps for space heating will require significantinvestments due to the seasonal variation andmagnitude of peak winter loads. Strengthening ofthe low voltage electrical network and significantadditional generation capacity will be needed inaddition to major building refurbishment to reduceheat loads. Distributed thermal energy storage canprovide a significant load shifting capability on adiurnal basis. However, without the developmentof effective latent or thermochemical heat storagesystems, the storage volumes required will be largeand difficult to integrate into existing domesticdwellings.

4ContentsExecutive SummaryGlossary1.Introduction102.The Current Demand for Heat in the UK123.Thermal Energy Storage183.13.23.33.43.53.6Thermal Energy Storage ApproachesSensible Heat StorageLarge-Scale Sensible Heat StoresLatent Heat StorageThermochemical Heat StorageSummary1919222528294.Potential for Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Housing The Approach AdoptedModellingEffects of Reduced Fabric Heat LossHeating with an Electric Heat PumpHourly Heat Demand ProfileThermal Energy Storage AnalysisEstimated Sizes of Thermal StoresImplications for Domestic Thermal Storage on National ScaleCase Study 1 Conclusions313131323234343435355.Exploring the Non-Technical Barriers to UK Deployment365.15.25.35.45.55.65.7IntroductionThe Approach AdoptedPimlico District Heating UndertakingSocial ImpactEconomic ImpactBehavioural ImpactBuilt Environment ImpactConclusions37373738394041

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy System56.Application Areas for Thermal Energy Storage in the UK426.16.26.3District HeatingInterseasonal Heat StorageIndustrial Heat Storage and Power Generation Options4445457.Conclusions478.References50

6List of TablesTable 1Table 2Table 3Table 4Table 5Table 6Table 7Table 8Table 9Table 10Table 11Table 12Table 13Table 14Table 15Table 16Examples of Sensible Thermal Energy Storage SystemsState of Development, Barriers and Main R&D Topics for DifferentSensible Heat Storage Technologies [19]Illustrative examples of Materials Proposed/Used as Phase ChangeMaterials selected from [20-24]State of Development, Barriers and Main R&D Topics for DifferentLatent Heat Storage Technologies [19]Examples of Materials that have been identified in the literature tobe interesting for Thermochemical Heat Storage [26]State of Development, Barriers and Main R&D Topics for DifferentThermochemical Heat Storage Technologies [19]Gas Consumption of the Detached House, recorded over HeatingSeasonEffect of Fabric Improvements on Seasonal Gas Consumption,estimated using thermal model (actual and estimated consumptionfor current construction shown for comparison)Calculated Electrical Energy Consumption by Heat Pump forConstruction meeting different Building RegulationsCalculated Daily Heat Pump Electrical Energy Consumption forCurrent Construction and Construction based on the BuildingRegulations of the 80s, 90s and 2010s respectivelyStorage Volumes using Water and PCM as Storage Mediums for theDetached House with Fabric Complying with Building Regulationsfrom different datesRatios of Design Heating Loads for English Housing types,normalised against a Detached HouseAdditional Electrical Load for different numbers of Installed AirSource Heat Pumps for different Peak Heat Loads and different COPEquivalent Electrical Storage for different numbers of installed AirSource Heat Pumps for different Peak Heat Loads and differentCOPs with 3 hours of Heat StorageStorage Capacity and Volume required for different District HeatingSystem sizes assuming Peak Load Shift of 3 hoursEquivalent Electrical Storage Capacity for different numbers ofDistrict Heating Networks with Load Shift of 3 hours assumingAverage Network of 1000 consumers and Heat Pump COP of 324252628292932323333353543444545

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy System7List of FiguresFigure 1Figure 2Figure 3Figure 4Figure 5Figure 6Figure 7Figure 8Figure 9Figure 10Figure 11Figure 12Figure 13Figure 14Figure 15Figure 16Figure 17Figure 18Figure 19Figure 20Figure 21Figure 22Energy Consumption by End Use, 2012Heat Use by Source, 2012Heat Use by Purpose, 2012Breakdown by Fuel of Total Heat Use, 2012Breakdown by Fuel of Domestic Heat Use, 2012Breakdown by Fuel of Domestic Space Heating, 2012Breakdown by Fuel of Domestic Heat Use, 2012Space Heating by Fuel Type, 2012Space Heating by Sector, 2012Industrial Heat (excluding space heating) by Fuel Type, 2012Illustration of the relationship between the Energy Storage Capacityand Heat Loss Rate as a function of store radius for a Spherical StoreSchematic of Packed Bed Heat Store: a) Charging and b) DischargingSchematic of Solid Store with Heat Transfer pipes: a) Charging andb) DischargingA comparison of the stored energy with temperature for a PCM andwater based store of 1m3 volume and a datum temperature of 20 CSchematic Diagram illustrating the Thermochemical Heat StorageProcessLarge Detached House in Derby, UK, used for the investigationTypical Gas Consumption of Milton Keynes Energy Park DetachedDwellingsHeat Pump Heat Generation for the Current Detached HouseConstruction with Load Shifting used to minimise Electrical Loadsbetween 6:00 and 9:00 and 16:00 and 19:00. The Thermal Store Capacityis 36kWh.The Thermal Store at Pimlico District Heating UndertakingSuperficial damage to the Accumulator’s Plaster CoatingProperties served by the PDHU and its Thermal StoreThe Thermal Storage Tower has architectural appeal13131314141414151515202121272831333437394041

8GlossaryAbsorptionProcess by which one substance, such as a solid or liquid, takes upanother substance, such as a liquid or gas, through minute pores orspaces between its molecules.AdsorptionAccumulation of gases, liquids, or solutes on the surface of a solid orliquid.AquiferRock formation that allows water to move through it. The aquifer mustoccur above a layer that prevents the water seeping away, such as clay. Inan aquifer deep below the surface the water will be hot.Carbon capture andCapture and long-term storage of carbon dioxide as it is released into thestorage (CCS)atmosphere from fossil fuels either before or after combustion.Charge / dischargeProcess of repeatedly charging and discharging heat from a thermal store.cycleCoefficient ofRatio of useful energy output to required energy input.Performance (COP)Combined heat andSystem to utilise heat from electricity generation, thus providing bothpower (CHP)heat and power.Coolth storageStoring materials at low temperature to provide cooling at a later time.Decarbonised supply Supply of energy where the carbon has been removed from its productionprocess.Deep retrofitProcess of retrofitting energy efficient technologies to buildings at a wholeproperty level to achieve significant reductions in energy demand.District heatingSupply of heat and/or hot water from one source to a district or a group ofbuildings.Energy DensityAmount of energy above a specified datum condition stored per unit masswithin a system.EnthalphyThermodynamic quantity equivalent to the total heat content of asystem. It is equal to the internal energy of the system plus the product ofpressure and volume.Eutectic mixturesMixture of substances (in fixed proportions) that melts and freezes at asingle temperature that is lower than the melting points of the separateconstituents or of any other mixture of them.

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemGreen Deal9UK government policy to permit loans for energy saving measures forproperties in Great Britain.Heat loss coefficientMeasure of the ability of a material or component to transfer heat per unit“U”time, per unit area per degree temperature difference across the materialor component.Ice slurryMixture of solid ice particles in a fluid forming a suspension with twophases.Interseasonal storage Storage of heat or cold for periods of several months.Latent heatHeat required to convert a solid into a liquid or vapour, or a liquid into avapour, at constant temperature.Load shiftingProcess of moving electrical or heat demand from peak times to off-peaktimes.Packed bed systemsContained volume filled with a packing material through which a heattransfer fluid flows.Peak demandMaximum electricity demand for an electricity supply system or themaximum heat demand for an heat supply system.Phase changeSubstance that undergoes a change of phase at a set temperaturematerial (PCM)generally with the release or absorption of a large amount of energy.Sensible heatHeat exchanged by a body or thermodynamic system that has, as its soleeffect, a change of temperature.Solar thermalDevice for intercepting and converting solar energy into thermal energy.collectorSolar thermal system System comprised of solar thermal collectors and other systemcomponents, for example a thermal store.Steady-state modelMathematical model of a system where conditions are assumed to betime-invariant, i.e. independent of time.ThermalStore of thermal energy for the purpose of allowing variable thermalaccumulatorloads to be met by constant or variable thermal generation and for theprevention of interruptions in supply.Thermal resistanceThe resistance to heat flow offered by a material, expressed as thicknessof the material divided by the thermal conductivity of that material. Canalso be defined to account for resistance to convective and radiative heatflow.ThermalStratification based on temperature.stratificationThermochemicalheatHeat produced as a result of a chemical reaction.

10Introduction1

UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemJust under half of total final energy consumptionin the UK is currently used for heating purposeswith approximately 80% derived from fossilfuels. Without a significant drive to decarboniseheat production, it will not be possible to achievethe UK government’s target of 80% reduction ingreenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Of the totalnational heat demand, space and water heatingaccount for 63% and 14% respectively. Spaceheating demand is strongly dependant on outdoorweather conditions, with large summer to wintervariations and significant diurnal variationsdepending on building occupancy also likely tooccur. The variable nature of heat demand, withload profiles that are, to an extent, predictable,presents opportunities to use thermal energystorage to manage supply requirements to meet aspecified demand.This report presents the findings of an 18-monthUKERC research project into the potential role thatcould be played by thermal energy storage withinthe UK energy system. The investigation includesan assessment of technical feasibility, as well asthe factors that could influence adoption.The aims of the work undertaken were: To characterise the main areas of heat usein the UK and the magnitude of the primaryenergy used.To describe the main characteristics of thedifferent technologies and approaches availablefor thermal energy storage and provideexamples of availability, their deployment anddemonstration.To review current thermal energy storagesystem research to determine keycharacteristics, costs if available, maturityof technology and any additional researchrequirements necessary to move systems todemonstration and deployment.To identify key application areas for thermalenergy storage in the UK, in particular thosethat may have a major role in enabling asignificant reduction in the greenhouse gasemissions associated with heat provision.When combined with large scale deploymentof electric air source heat pumps to identifythe potential for peak grid load balancing andthe magnitude of thermal energy storage thatcould be achieved on a distributed basis.11The report is structured as follows:Chapter 2 presents an analysis of the total finalenergy use in the UK for heating purposes. Itpresents the data in terms of sector, applicationand fuel source. Space heating and water heatingare further analysed due to their magnitude.Chapter 3 introduces the different thermalenergy storage approaches (sensible, latentand thermochemical) , provides examples ofcurrently installed systems and presents detailsof technology status and the main research anddevelopment topics at the present time.Chapter 4 presents a case study analysis of theheat loads for a domestic family dwelling inDerby assuming that it complies with BuildingRegulations for the 1980s, 1990s and 2010s. Thethermal energy storage capacity required todisplace the peak diurnal winter day space heatingload by 3 hours for compliance with each set ofbuilding regulations was analysed, and storage sizewas calculated based on a hot water store and aphase change material store.Chapter 5 explores the non-technical barriers toUK deployment of thermal energy storage througha case study of the Pimlico District HeatingUndertaking. Benefits that the store provides to thesystem operation and its customers are identified,and possible issues with a skills gap in deploying alarge number of similar systems are identified.Chapter 6 examines two approaches that can beused to provide low carbon space heating, namelyelectric air source heat pumps and district heatingsystems. The levels of storage that would berequired for 3 hours load shifting are evaluated fora range of system and load assumptions and theequivalence to electrical energy storage calculated.Chapter 7 briefly details the main conclusionsderived from this work.

12The Current Demand forHeat in the UK2

13UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemIn 2011 45% of total final energy consumption inthe UK was for heating purposes, initial figures for2012 indicate an increase to 47% due primarily tocolder winter weather [1]. In the UK in 2011 thetotal final energy consumption excluding nonenergy use of fuels was 202.1 million tonnes of oilequivalent (mtoe), increasing to 206.3 mtoe in 2012[1]. Figures 1 to 10 are based on data published byDECC [1]. From Figure 1 it is clear that heat use isthe single largest component of total final energyconsumption. Cooling, ventilation and refrigerationare included in other energy use and are (based onthe data in [1]) responsible for slightly less than 1%of total final energy consumption.Figure 2 presents the breakdown of heat use bysector. It can be seen that the domestic sector isresponsible for 57% of the heat use, with industryslightly higher at 24% than the service sector at19%.Figure 1. Energy Consumption by End Use,2012Other14%Heat47%Transport39%Figure 2. Heat Use by Sector, 2012An alternative breakdown of heat use by purposeover the three sectors is presented in Figure 3.In the UK, space and water heating combinedare responsible for 77% of the total final energyconsumption used for heat, or approximately 36%of all total final energy consumption.High temperature process heat, low temperatureprocess heat and drying and separation are alllinked to the industry sector, and combinedrepresent 18% of the total final energyconsumption used for heat. Considering the timevarying quality of the loads, all heat loads exceptspace heating, (that is 37% of the total) are likely tobe similar throughout the year. Space heating willhowever have significant variation throughout theyear, being minimal in the summer period, withthe majority load in winter, with smaller loads inspring and autumn. The climate determines thespace heating load profile with colder weatherresulting in increased energy use.The dominance of gas in the provision of heatcan be seen from Figure 4, with all other fuelsources only contributing 29% when combined.Electricity at 15% is the second largest fuel used forgenerating heat. The breakdown of the electricalenergy for heat use is 42% for space heatingpurposes, 10% for water heating, 17% for cookingand catering and the remainder for process heatand drying and separation in industry.Service19%Industry24%Domestic57%Figure 3. Heat Use by Purpose, 2012Drying/Cooking/SeperationCatering3%High temp 5%process6%Low tempprocess9%WaterHeating14%SpaceHeating63%

14Figure 4. Breakdown by Fuel of Total HeatUse, 2012Heat Sold2%Solid FuelBioenergy3%& Waste2%Oil7%Electricity15%Figure 5. Breakdown by Fuel of DomesticHeat Use, 2012Bioenergy & Waste2%Solid Fuel2%Heat SoldOil0%7%Electricity9%Gas80%Gas71%Solid fuel and oil combined provide 10% of theenergy consumption for heat. Gas, oil and solid fuelprovide 81% of the total fuel for the consumptionof heat.Figure 5 presents the breakdown of fuel fordomestic heat use which, from Figure 2, is 57%of the total. It is clear that gas is an even largerenergy supplier to this sector with 80% of energyconsumption for heat coming from this source,electricity at 9% is the second largest source ofenergy providing the same as solid fuel and oilcombined. Gas, oil and solid fuel provide 89% of thetotal fuel for the domestic consumption of heat.Figure 6. Breakdown by Fuel of DomesticSpace Heating, 2012Bioenergy & Waste2%Solid Fuel2%Heat SoldOil0%8%Electricity8%Gas80%Breaking down the data further and consideringspace and water heating separately it can be seenfrom Figure 6 that for space heating (which is77.5% of the total heat use in the domestic sector)the breakdown is similar to the total domesticbreakdown except that electricity reduces by 1%to 8% and oil increases by 1% to 8%. It is importantto note that domestic space heating is 44% ofthe total energy consumption for heat and willhave both significant variation with season andalso significant variation within a 24 hour perioddepending on occupancy. Gas, oil and coal provide90% of the energy consumption for space heatingin the domestic sector.Figure 7. Breakdown by Fuel of DomesticHeat Use, 2012Oil6%Solid Fuel1%Electricity9%Gas84%

15UKERC Research ReportThe Future Role of Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Energy SystemFigure 7 presents the breakdown by fuel use fordomestic water heating (which is 19.5% of the totalheat use in the domestic sector), gas provides 84%of the total, with electricity at 9%. The domesticwater heating demand profile will be more uniformthroughout the year when compared to spaceheating; however it corresponds to only 11% of thetotal energy consumption for heat. Gas, oil andsolid fuel provide 91% of the energy consumptionfor domestic water heating.Figure 8 presents the breakdown of all spaceheating (domestic, industrial and services) byfuel type. Gas makes up slightly less of the totalat 74% than for the domestic sector alone, oiland solid fuel providing a further 10%. The spaceheating loads in the service and industry sectorswill have similar seasonal variation in heat load;however, due to the different occupancy patternsthe daily heat load profile will be different to thatof the domestic sector with an initial peak priorto the start of the working day to achieve comfortconditions with heat input through the workingday to maintain the set point temperatures. FromFigure 9 it can be seen that the industry andservice sector correspond to 30% of the total spaceheating load.Figure 8. Space Heating by Fuel Type, 2012Bioenergy & Waste3%Heat SoldSolid Fuel3%2%Electricity10%Oil8%Gas74%Figure 9. Space Heating by Sector, 2012Industry8%Service22%From the above figures based on the provisionalestimates of overall energy consumption for 2012[1] it is clear that: The provision of heat, at 47% of overall energyconsumption by end use, is the most significantenergy use in the UKThe domestic sector is responsible for 57%of total heat use, with 77.5% of this being forspace heatingOf the total heat provided 63% is for spaceheating which will have significantly higherdemand in winter than summer37% of heat use will be relatively constantthroughout the year (14% for water heating,5% cooking and catering, 6% high temperatureindustrial process, 9% low temperatureindustrial process and 3% drying andseparation)77% of total heat supplied is for lowtemperature applications, i.e. space and waterheating18% of heat supplied is for industrial processesGas, oil and solid fuel supplies 81% of theenergy consumption for heat.Domestic70%Figure 10. Industrial Heat (excluding spaceheating) by Fuel Type, 2012Solid Fuel10%Oil7%Electricity24%Gas59%

16To achieve the UK legally binding target of 80%reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050 it is essentialthat the gas, oil and solid fuel used for heatingis substantially reduced or substituted by asustainable energy resource.The provision of space and water heating(representing 63% and 14% of total heat demand)in a low carbon way is a major challenge. Newbuildings can be built to have very low heat loads,however existing buildings will form a major partof the building stock in 2030 and 2050. Deep retrofitof buildings to significantly improve performanceand reduce heat loads is, to date, progressing at aslower pace than required. For example, the report‘Retrofit Incentives’ by the UK Green BuildingCouncil [39] states that one home retrofit perminute will be required between now and 2050for the UK to meet its carbon reduction target.The recently-launched ‘Green Deal’ is expectedto support the retrofit of 14 million homes by2020, yet by June 2013 only 245 householdshad so far agreed a Green Deal Plan to financeenergy efficiency improvements. The domesticspace heating load is therefore likely to remainsignificant for the foreseeable future.To achieve a transition to a low carbon fuel supplyfor space and water heating wi

3. Thermal Energy Storage 18 3.1 Thermal Energy Storage Approaches 19 3.2 Sensible Heat Storage 19 3.3 Large-Scale Sensible Heat Stores 22 3.4 Latent Heat Storage 25 3.5 Thermochemical Heat Storage 28 3.6 Summary 29 4. Potential for Thermal Energy Storage in the UK Housing Stock 30 4.1 Introduction 31 4.2 The Approach Adopted 31 4.3 Modelling 31

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