Challenges In Reverse Mortgage - A Review

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Pacific Business Review InternationalVolume 13 issue 2 August 2020Literature ReviewChallenges in Reverse Mortgage – A ReviewSupriya SehgalAssistant Professor and Registrar, Outreach JK Business SchoolDr. Vaishali DhingraProfessor and Joint Registrar, Teerthankar Mahaveer UniversityAbstractA Reverse Mortgage is a type of loan which is suitable for senior citizens aged 60 years or more. . Through this loaninstrument, the old age home owners can release the equity trapped in fixed asset and use it during their grey years. Theprocess of Reverse Mortgage does not require the homeowner to pay any kind of loan repayment for buying a home andallows taking the benefit of the house during their lifetime. It provides needed cash for the sustenance of life, whosenetwork is tied up in the value of their home.Aims and Objectives: The main objective of this study is to study the factors that determine the success or failure ofReverse Mortgage both from borrowers (senior citizens) and lenders (banks and financial institutions) perspective.Methodology: The current study is qualitative in nature so that the secondary data collection method is to be used whichmainly includes books, journals, past articles, and researcher.Findings and Discussion: The current study mainly focuses on evaluating the severity of borrower's maintenance risk inReverse Mortgage from the borrowers and lenders perspective. The study also classifies and identifies variance that istranslated as an internal and external perspective effectively. It also describes the findings and conclusion which is based onthe literature and academic reviews so that effective conclusion will be done by making the consideration of the ReverseMortgage and the various factors that affect the borrowers and lenders while taking the home loan and maintaining theirrisk effectively.Keyword: Borrower, Severity, Risk, Reverse Mortgages, Lenders, Interest rate risk ,bequest , senior citizensIntroductionChidambaram. . As per the Reverse Mortgage process, thesenior citizens are not required to repay the loan duringtheir lifetime (Neha Mishra, 2019).Akin to various other countries in the world, India is alsoexperiencing population aging. Due to improved standardof living, better medical facilities, increasing urbanisation,the life expectancy of an average individual has increased.But it has brought with itself another set of issues. Thedissolution of joint family system, increased cost of living ,increase of medical issues in old age and virtual nonexistence of social security system in the country has raisedmany concerns for senior citizens. Reverse Mortgage aspresented a golden wheel (Goyal, 2014) to aged people asan instrument to augment or to provide for the retirementearnings.A Reverse Mortgage a loan instrument bywhich eligible senior citizens can take a loan againstproperty possessed by them from an approved lendinginstitution (Rajagopalan, 2006). It is also known as amortgage which enables the senior citizens aged 60 yearsor more to avail stream of income from a lender against theself-acquired house while maintaining the ownership andstaying in the same house respectively. It was introduced inIndia in the year 2007 by then Finance Minister P.The concept of the Reverse Mortgage is operational inmany developed Western countries and is quite popularamong the senior citizens over there. It also provides a goodspirit among senior citizens and improves their standards ofliving (BS Web Team, 2018). The Ministry of the Financehas issued vide notification no- SO 2310(E) dated 30thSeptember 2008, which notifies the introduction of theReverse Mortgage scheme in the year 2008. It provides theFramework under which the lender will be able to operatethe scheme as per the guidelines given by the NationalHousing Bank for the operation of the Reserve MortgageLoan scheme effectively. The Reverse Mortgage process isknown as a new type of contract in India and is responsibleto make up the shortfall that is present in the pensionincome of a senior citizen. It also helps the borrowers tohave a standard of living in their golden years which ismatching with their earlier years standard of living(Rasmussen, Megbolugbe & Morgan, 1997).167

Literature ReviewPacific Business Review InternationalRM contract has been drafted as per the guidelinesprovided by the Governing bodies in India and was finallyprepared by the National Housing Bank. The draftguidelines for Reverse Mortgage loans in India wereprepared by the National Housing Bank.Settlement of Loan:The RM Loan becomes due for repayment on the death oflast surviving borrower or in the instance of the borrowerleaves the property and shifts elsewhere. Under suchcircumstances, the loan along with interest becomes duefor repayment. The bank may recover the loan through saleof the property mortgaged. The offer may also be given tothe surviving heirs of the elderly for settlement of loan andtake complete possession of the property.Working of Reverse Mortgage:Eligibility:- The house owners above the age of 60 years who have theclear title to the house in which they are residing areeligible to take Reverse Mortgage Loan and people havingless age than 60 years are not liable to take facilitiesprovided by the Reverse Mortgage scheme (Kaur Brar,2011); (Howden-Chapman, Signal & Crane, 1999).The lenders have limited recourse to the extent ofmortgaged property against which Reverse Mortgage loanhas been taken. All Reverse Mortgage loans are expected tohave “no negative equity” or “non-recourse” guarantee.The borrower at any point of time will not owe to the lendermore than the value of property mortgaged.- Married couple are eligible as joint borrowers under thescheme. It says that the spouse will be joined with theborrower for financial assistance. In such cases, atleast oneof the couple should be minimum 60 years of age and thespouse' age should not be less than 50 years.Reverse Mortgage Loan are provided by the Primarylending Institutions {PLIs) viz scheduled bank andHousing Finance Companies which are registered underthe National Housing Bank. To make focus on majorReverse Mortgage product in India; it mainly includes 23and 28 FC that has launched the Reverse Mortgage Loanproduct. A number of Banks and financial Institutions areproviding Reverse Mortgage loans in India. Saksham andthe Dewan Housing Finance Limited is the first company inIndia to launch the Reverse Mortgage product in Mumbaiand subsequently in Thane area (Saikat Neogi, 2017).Punjab National Bank is the first public sector bank tolaunch the Reverse Mortgage Loan products- Bhagban .The qualifying amount introduced by the bank is totallydepended on the relay containing the margin of the 20%. Italso includes the Baroda share which was launched by theBank of Baroda as per the guidelines provided by theNational Housing Board which ensure the maximum loanamount. It mainly includes the interest and restricts themortgage limitation to Rupees 1 crore only which is subjectto the margin of 20% as per the present market value of theproperty. Another RM Loan worth mentioning isSwabhiman plus which was launched by the Central Bankof India by the collaboration with Star Union Dai-ichi LifeInsurance Company for the purpose of providing live andstrength to the senior citizens (Goyal, 2014); (Antony,Purwar, Kinra & Moorthy, 2011. The SBI ReverseMortgage is one of the largest public sector banks that havejoined the Reverse Mortgage club by launching ReverseMortgage Loan product by providing a joint loan with loanamount equal to the 90% of the value of the property (KaurBrar, 2011).- The scheme also mentions that residential property shouldbe free from any encumbrance and must not include thecommercial properties in eligibility criteria under theReverse Mortgage Loan scheme.- Further, the residual life of residential property should beatleast 20 years and it should be in use by borrower ashis/her permanent primary residence.Loan DisbursementThe amount of loan agreed upon by bank depends on thebank's valuation of the house/property which in turn isdepends on age of borrower, his life expectancy, age of theproperty and the interest rates prevailing at thetime(Sehgal, 2007). In respect to this, the maximum loanamount is up to 60% of the value of the residential propertyand maximum tenure of Reverse Mortgage Loan is 20years.The reimbursement of Reverse Mortgage Loan could be asmonthly, quarterly, half yearly and yearly as decidedbetween borrower and the lender. It also may also be in theform of lump sum payment and/or the line of credit .Reserve Mortgage Loan could be used to fund therenovation, expansion, maintenance and Insurance ofresidential property, medical emergency, family expenses.The reverse mortgage loan may supplement pension andany other income (Atmadip Ray,2014).The scheme also stipulates the condition prevailing in thehouse and determines who can stay in the same house afterthe completion of tenure of a Reverse Mortgage.Aims and ObjectivesThe main objective of this study is to study the factors thatdetermine the success or failure of Reverse Mortgage both168

Literature ReviewPacific Business Review Internationalfrom borrowers (senior citizens) and lenders (banks andfinancial institutions) perspective. In addition to this, theother objectives are as follows:bequest, factors, borrowers, lenders etc. The search yieldedempirical studies, conceptual articles and reviews. TheMeta search yielded 200 articles. After the elimination ofduplicate articles, 120 articles were selected for thepurpose of classification. The papers were classified intosix categories namely Conceptual Papers ,Antecedents offactors , Antecedents of Risks , Country wise studies ,papers stipulating the effect of Govt Policies ,and studiesrelated to awareness and perception. 74 articles wereselected from different groups for abstract reading. 60papers having most relevance to the topic of interest werefinally selected for full paper reading.To identify the challenges studied in research for ReverseMortgage from a borrowers perspectiveTo identify the challenges studied in research for ReverseMortgage from the lenders perspectiveTo identify various measures studied in research that helpreduce the reverse mortgage risks for borrowers.MethodologyThe following figure presents the steps followed toeliminate and select the final articles that were read to carryout the review.This study adopts a systematic review of literature on theconstruct namely “Reverse Mortgage “Only original peerreviewed English journal publication were included. Tofind such papers we used EBSCO, SAGE, and GoogleScholar data bases using key words such as ReverseMortgage, Risks, Interest rate, Old age, retirement income,169

Volume 13 issue 2 August 2020Literature Reviewbehavioural factors that can influence potential borrowerswillingness to use reverse mortgage as a source ofsupplementary income in old age. They have cited variousfactors such as social status, bequest motive, awarenessabout the product, societal influence; attitude, purchaseintention influenced by their belief about opportunities(availability of reverse mortgage products, desire to age-inplace) resources and risk averseness or debt averseness etcinfluence the borrower's willingness to borrow reversemortgage loans.Literature ReviewHuan & Mahoney (2002), define reverse mortgage as aninnovative financial product which enables the seniorcitizens to convert their housing equity into cash flow whenthey need it the most. Senior citizens above the age of 60can mortgage the house property with the lendinginstitution. The borrower at this age is usually not eligiblefor any other loan but reverse mortgage instrument notonly provides cash flow but also provides the lifetime rightto the senior citizens to stay in their own house. As a result,the Reverse Mortgage scheme has become an importantsource of financing the post-retirement life of significantand fast-growing urban middle-class senior citizens inIndia. It may be termed as “house rich but cash poor” phase,because of the insufficient cash inflow after the retirement.Mitchell and John (2004) studied the demographicconditions in Japan to assess the need and demand forreverse mortgage in the Asian country. They found thatJapan, one of the world's most developed countries isexperiencing a high aging rate, small size of families due todeclining fertility rate, growth in life expectancy. ReverseMortgage, in such situations is ideally suited for agingJapanese to supplement their income post retirement. Theresearchers professed that Reverse Mortgage could helpthe government in coping with financial strain imposed bypopulation aging on Japanese economy.Chatterjee (2016) defines Reverse Mortgage (RM) loans asa “hybrid financial product” that allow homeowners abovethe age of 60 to borrow against their property that is theplace of primary residence. The borrower can meet hisretirement expenses and continue to live in the house forthe rest of his life without worrying to make repayment ofthe loan.Eschtruth, Sun and Webb, (2006) find in their study that theaverage wealth of households aged 55 to 65 in US hasincreased substantially due to appreciation of housingvalue. Their study revealed that the interest rates affect theamount of loan that will be available to borrower as itdirectly affects the percentage of the value of property thatcan be borrowed. As per their study, an average Americancould receive only about 50% of their home throughReverse Mortgage at the prevailing interest rates in the US.Tribunella (2014) remarks that Reverse Mortgage is animportant financial tool which has gained acceptabilityamong retired individuals who have limited savings andbut they have equity tied up in assets.Delgadillo et al., (2014) see increasing market for reversemortgage loans .The researchers see huge market potentialbecause of changes in demography having population withlonger life spans, lesser pensions, and presence of debtsand mortgages. The more number of elderly with housingequity will need to tap their home equity in retirement.Davidoff and Welke (2004), in their study selection andmoral hazard in reverse mortgage see a positive correlationbetween HECM participation and the rate of departurefrom home. Participation in HECM is associated with morerapid mobility in both borrowers and non- borrowers inhigh appreciation states. They further suggest that the basicadvantageous selection may be challenged by MoralHazard risk due to decline in price appreciation.Ando and Modigliani (1963) , Friedman (1957) Modiglianiand Brumberg (1954 etc support the consumptionsmoothening theory. To elaborate, their studies havediscussed that elderly are likely to favor reverse mortgageloans to be able to maintain their standard of living and payfor their consumption requirements in the retirement.Their survey also reveals that single women who opt forreverse mortgage loan are more likely to leave their placeof residence than the observably similar non-borrowinghomeowners.Zheng, Xikun (2016) studied the interest rate fluctuationsand analysed the influence of interest rate on reversemortgage loan pricing. Their study suggested that thelenders can introduce interest-rate ceiling or floors, so thatthe borrower or the lender can get the benefits.S Moulton et al (2019) modelled the reverse mortgageloans against other options of equity borrowing. Theycompared the borrowing patterns in the credit constrainedareas and non constrained areas and found that theborrowers in credit constrained areas are more likely to optfor Housing Equity Mortgage Loan than in non-creditconstrained areas specially during the housing boom.Rajagopalan (2007) in his paper remarked that reversemortgage helps elderly meet their retirement expanses bytaking a loan which they do not have to pay in their lifetime.Mohammed, Sulaiman have used ReMUIM (ReverseMortgage Use Intention Model ) to identify the underlying170

Literature ReviewPacific Business Review InternationalBarbara, Megbolugbe, Rasmussen (1996) explored theeffect of Reverse Mortgage on economic status of elderlywomen. Their study indicated that a high proportion ofelderly women living alone are attracted to reversemortgage loans to supplement their old age income. Thereverse mortgage scheme however has not beencompletely able to alleviate low income and povertyamong elderly women.borrowings because of more creditability of equity degreesover time. Thus, the right loan balances (advances) aremade available to the borrowers (owners). On the otherhand, interest is added to the outstanding loan. As a result,less incentive is available to make capital investment ormaintain the condition of the property which allows thesenior citizens to get the right value of their property.Leviton, (2002), Warshawsky & Zohrabyan, (2016), throwlight on type and structure of the Reverse Mortgage loans;it includes three types of the Reverse Mortgage such as asingle-purpose Reverse Mortgage, Cost single purpose andhome equity conversion mortgage (HECM). Singlepurpose Reverse Mortgage is offered by the state local andnon- profits agencies and considered as the least expensiveprocess. The state & local government and non-profitsagencies mainly provide reverse mortgage and help thesenior citizens to get the right valuations of their properties.Cost single purpose loan is usually provided for paymentfor the home repair or property tax effectively. It alsoprovides facilities of repair and maintenance items whichmainly includes the release of payments for the conduct ofthe necessary repairs to the home property and payment oftaxes.Bishop, Shan (2008) studied HECM loans in US and foundthat borrowers in HECM scheme have become youngerover the time and HECM program has the highesttermination hazard and couples have the lowest.Rasmussen et al., (1996) studied the senior citizens motivesfor obtaining a Reverse Mortgage. They concluded that“life-cycle motive” and the “asset management motive” arethe tow driving forces behind the borrowing motives ofsenior citizens. The aging population opts for reversemortgage to draw down wealth in their old age and to todiversify illiquid housing wealth .Bureau (2012) report studies that releasing home equity hasbecome popular since 1970 and 1980. Reverse MortgageLoan is provided in various forms in different countries likeUSA, Great Britain, Australia, Canada, New Zealand,Japan, and Singapore. The Reverse Mortgage scheme isparticularly famous and successful in the United Statesfamously known as Home Equity Conversion Mortgage(HECM). India has taken the concept of ReverseMortgagee scheme from the United States and customizedit as per the local requirements of the citizens. There arevarious commercial banks that offer reverse mortgageloans (RMLs) in India since 2008. A similar product in theform of convenient builder arrangement is also popular inIndia especially for the senior citizens who are facing acash crunch. The agreement allows the senior citizens toacquire a proper valuation of their property or enter into thearrangement with the builder to construct multi-story flat athis property. The builder usually keeps one floor forhimself and builds rest of the floors for the owner inaddition to giving some cash. As a result, the owners areable to get the correct evaluation of their properties andgain enough capital or cash for living their retirement life.In contrast, in the single purpose Reverse Mortgage thepayment is provided one-time lump sum .The proceedsbecome due, ,when he sells home, moves to anotherprimary residence or die. However, if the borrower stopsmaintaining the property or homeowner does not pay theinsurance on the property the repayment may be triggered.As a result, it is a limited option for the home owner to payless interest for a single-purpose Reverse Mortgage of thehouse equity conversion mortgage. Additionally, there isHome Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) federallyissued by thedepartment of Housing and UrbanDevelopment in the USA. It is more expensive as comparedto the traditional home loan because it constitutes a highupfront cost. It mainly uses a wide range of reversemortgage processes because it carries no income limitationon the maintenance requirement.Home Equity Conversion Mortgage is not considered aGovernment Loan but it insured by the federal housingadministration. (Austin Quinn, (2017). It is regarded as apart of the mortgage insurance premium and is responsiblefor collecting payments at the closing which is equal to the2% of the home appraised value. It also collects the annualpremium which is equal to 0.5 standing loan balance andfocuses on the property propriety reverse mortgage. It isprivately insured by the mortgage company and is based onthe standard best practices which provide consumerprotection. It is privately insured by the mortgage companyand is based on the standard practices which provideLivemint.com (2007) the reverse Mortgage Loan hasenabled senior citizens to afford better facilities forthemselves in their old age. The main purpose of theReverse Mortgage Loan is to generate the income for theelderly by providing equity or cash or capital against theirhouses.During the long term borrowings, the owners receive amonthly premium payment from the lender. As a result, theloan balance increases at the end of the long term171

Volume 13 issue 2 August 2020Literature Reviewconsumer protection effectively. Moreover, in the HCMprogram, mandatory evaluation of the proprietary isnecessary for the reverse mortgage process to meet theolder homeowner property eligibility for the FHI finishingand must record that the valuation of the home does notexceed 1 million dollars.affected the acceptance of RML. Various reasons attributedto lack of interest have been listed as a general suspicion forthe product, the product been seen only as a last resort, adesire to own a mortgage free home , bequest motive ,general resistance to loans and social stigma attached toborrowing and mortgage in some societies.According to Rodda et al. (2000), Caplin & Leahy, (2002),various risks are associated with the reverse mortgage bothfrom borrower and lenders perspective. Mainly includesthe cost that is related to the cost of loan switches. They alsopointed complex nature of loan which makes it difficult forelderly to understand the features of the loan. There is alsolack of awareness amongst elderly about the reversemortgage loans they suggested addressing all the problemsthat increase the issues for the retirees effectively.The report also indicated that there is an added risk toborrowers because of change in their intention to use RML.Initially, the purpose of the reverse mortgage loan was toenable the home owners to convert their housing equityinto cash to meet their expenses in the old age. Increasingnumber of borrowers is however now using RML to repayor service their existing loans and mortgages. This meansthat although the borrowers are able to solve their existingdebt problem but it has also restricted their ability to raisecash at the time of emergences.Andrew Caplin (2001), in their paper, has discussed theReverse Mortgage market, historical perspectives andproblems associated with the Reverse Mortgage. Themarket scenarios related to the lending of money are highlybased on regulatory directives laid down by the governingbodies which lay physical and legal obstacle in thespreading of the reverse mortgage. As a result, it requireshigh transaction cost which includes growing volume withrespect to the declining trends in the cost. It also includesthe risk of more property evaluation because ofmaintenance issues, resulting in a decrease in equity value.It also results in less availability of equity at the time ofemergency because home equity is an important part of theprecautionary saving. Additionally, the homeowner has astationary use over the equity as a Reverse Mortgage fund.As a result, the ability to meet the unforeseen expensescould be seriously hampered which reduces the worth ofthe property assessment. It also creates the aversion to debtbecause there are various retirees who simply make use ofrelief and tend to take the loan against the house so that theydo not have spent much for the life saving to the bill. It alsorequires low fees paid to the loan originator and providesless motivation for the aggressive market regarding theproduct.The report also suggests that some of the younger ( in early60s) borrowers who borrow against their property toincrease their cash flow before downsizing their residentialproperty may be putting their long-term financial stabilityat risk by tapping their home equity too early as they aremore likely to outlive the years for which they will bereceiving the loan installments. Some borrowers prefer totake lump sum upfront against mortgage of their residentialproperty. These borrowers also face the risk of extremefinancial crunch after a few years in the absence of anyother sources of income.Report further indicates that the borrowers are susceptibleto misleading advertisement due to complex nature ofRMLs. Also, RML include different type of upfront andongoing costs which the consumers find difficult tounderstand. Some if these costs may even make the RMLscostlier than the traditional loans.AARP Survey (2006) however indicated that the desire forholding cash has increased amongst the borrowers. Thesurvey indicated that the prospective Reverse Mortgageborrowers held the desire to improve their quality of lifeand hold sufficient cash for emergencies.Nakajima and Telyukova (2014) used calibrated life-cyclemodel of retirement to analyse reverse mortgage. Theirmodel revealed that the average welfare gain from theborrowing instrument is 885 per homeowner and that thehouseholds with low income, poor wealth and poor healthbenefit the most from reverse mortgage loansManning Greenwood & Kirby (2018) throw light on therisks which are related to the Reverse Mortgage from theborrower perspective; According to them the reversemortgage from the borrower perspective is difficult tounderstand because it involves a very complex andconfusing process. Thus, the senior citizens who enter intothe reverse mortgage do not fully understand the terms andcondition which are related to the loan. It also makes anadverse impact on senior citizens workings and livingstandards. Additionally, the reverse mortgage is a veryexpensive process because of its type and implementationprocess.Challenges facing the borrowers: Reverse MortgageA detailed report of CFPB to Congress, June 2012stipulated various factors that have contributed to lowpenetration of RML in the market. As per their survey, it isnot the lack of awareness but the lack of interest that has172

Literature ReviewPacific Business Review InternationalApart from this, the fees charged for the processing of theReverse Mortgage process includes payment of 0.5% to1% from the lender in the form of insurance premium. As aresult, the additional initial cost gets added up whileborrowing in a Reverse Mortgage Loan which is notaccepted by the borrowers positively. In addition to this,since the senior citizens (borrower) are not required to paythe monthly payment on the reverse mortgage the interestover the advance loan accumulates. It highly impacts theborrowers in a negative way and restricts them to activelyseek the Reverse Mortgage loan.the floating Interest rates are offered. This makes thepayouts uncertain for the borrower as well the lender.4. Taxation Uncertainty: There is uncertainty on thetreatment of taxation for the borrower. There is lack ofclarity whether RM payment/instalments are treated asincome of the borrower. And if it does, what would be thetreatment of Interest on Loan accrued. There is also lack ofcertainty as to how capital gains will be treated, especiallyif those accrue totally or partially to the lender.Hammond (1997) cites some issues that pose a hurdle toacceptance of reverse mortgage by both borrowers andlenders. These include priority of liens, mortgagerecordation taxes, restrictions on terms and rates ofmortgages, limitations on use of proceeds, and mandatorycounselling requirements.The previous loan is also evaluated on the basis of thecalculated table and makes a reverse impact on themortgage process. As a result, the compound interest of thehome loan is secured for the borrower. Apart from this, itwas examined that Reverse Mortgage Loan is especiallysuited for the short term duration for senior citizens.Andrew Caplin (2001) lists out several psychological andsocial factors such as bequest motive, aversion to creationof debt, psychological attachment with property.Whereas, more risk is involved during the long term, whichmakes a negative impact on the prospect of senior citizensadopting the Reverse Mortgage Loan process effectively.Moreover, the payouts made to the borrowers are subject tochange and also depends on the interest rate and valuationof the property at least once in 5 years which may decreasethe payout.A possible aversion for RML is strong bequest motive. Inmost of the societies, especially Indian society, elderpeople want to leave behind their property for theirchildren. They may also fear antagonising their children bycommitting their property to bank against financing theirold age needs.As a result, the evaluation of the property rate of interest interms of the value of the property goes up and down whichmakes a negative impact on the motive of the seniorcitizens.According to Chia and Tsui (2005) social dimensions likebequest motive and stigma attached to mortgage andpsychological dimensions like attachment with theirhomes and reluctance to mortgage the home are significantobstacles to the success of Reverse Mortgage.According to Saurabh Padmakar Balote (2016) there arevarious drawbacks in Reverse Mortgage offerings thatmake this proposition risk

joined the Reverse Mortgage club by launching Reverse residential property, medical emergency, family expenses. Mortgage Loan product by providing a joint loan with loan The reverse mortgage loan may supplement pension and amount equal to the 90% of the value of the property (Kaur any other income (Atmadip Ray,2014). Brar, 2011).

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latino lgbt people in the criminal justice system, but limited DATA PAINT A PICTURE OF BIAS AND OVERREPRESENTATION. Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, "Annual Estimates of the Resident Population by Sex, Age, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States and States: April 1, 2010 to July 1, 2014," June 2015; Gary J. Gates and Frank Newport, “Special Report: 3.4% of U.S. Adults Identify