NATO OPERATIONS UPDATE ISAF/AFGHANISTAN

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NATOOTANNATO OPERATIONS UPDATEISAF/AFGHANISTANCOL T. SUGHRUEJFCBS SITCEN DIRECTOROVERALL CLASSIFICATIONUNCLASSIFIED1

AGENDA:Operation OMID 1390 Insurgents Campaign ElementsTransitionUNCLASSIFIEDNATOOTAN

Insurgent 2011 ObjectivesNATOOTAN3

Weekly Enemy Initiated AttacksNATOOTANCurrent WeekCurrent 12 Week AverageLast Year 12 Week Average2009As of: 27 May 20112010UNCLASSIFIED20114

ISAF 2011 CampaignNATOOTAN5

Weekly Cache FindsAs of: 27 May 20112009UNCLASSIFIED2010NATOOTAN20116

Special OperationsAs 26 Feb 2011 – 26 May 2011NATOOTAN90 Day Roll-up 1637 Operations504 Insurgent leaders killed/captured2483 Insurgents captured581 Insurgents killedOEF SOF OpsCFSOCC-A OpsISAF SOF OpsAs of: 26 May 2011UNCLASSIFIED7

Building the Afghan National Security ForcesUNCLASSIFIEDNATOOTAN8

ANSF Recommended Growth 2011 - 2012Today2011159K172KInfantry CentricUnbalanced ForcePolice122KGrow & ThickenBalanceWith Key Enablers134KGrow & Build Enablers2012Key Capabilities addedfor Transition157K ?Grow & BuildInstitutional Capacity?TodayNATO/ISAF UNCLASSIFIEDOTANIncentive Growth195K ?281KNATO208KOver-Strength toThicken the Force170KTraining & SchoolAccount

Afghan Local Police StatusTashkils ApprovalSite Validation CompSite Validation PendingMoI In-ProcessingIG Assessments774037292 100212438431025 2362634975657416121870446839424019141341455 6971721253 5261 64 20667326 2830 2732 293151455 150671177464847376158 7373665956605717586,479 Members/77 MoI Approved SitesIdentified by IJC/CFSOCC-AAs of: 26 May 2011OTANTashkil Increase Requests2250NATOUNCLASSIFIED93534 3354 200 # Requested 250

Reintegration Overview#Status34 Reintegration Cases43 Reintegration OpportunitesNATOOTAN 1,737 Formal Reintegrees Over 1,541 in Negociatiation69 Total Reintegration KAFARAHZABULHELMANDKANDAHARNIMROZProvincial Peace Committees27 Established7 EmergingAs of: 25 May 2011Insurgent Commander in Badghis Receives a Koran fromthe Provincial Governor During a Reintegration Ceremony11UNCLASSIFIED

NATOThreats in Tranche 1 Areas1Mazar-e Sharif City DistrictIncreaseDecrease7 Panjshayr ProvinceIncrease2OTANDecreaseHerat City DistrictIncreaseDecrease6Mehtar Lam City DistrictIncreaseDecrease4 Bamyan ProvinceIncreaseDecrease5 Kabul Province (-Sarobi)LegendTranche 1 AreasIncreaseDecrease3 Lashkar Gah City DistrictIncreaseDecrease20 to 25 percent on the populationImportant to INSIndications and warningsof INS threatIncreaseDecreaseChange since last report:As of 110505UNCLASSIFIEDREL TO AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND1212

The Transition ProcessPhase 3StabilizationPhase 4TransitionNATOOTANPhase 5RedeploymentTranche 1Tranche 2Tranche 3Tranche 4Tranche 5Tranche 6 Conditions for beginning the Transition process: ANSF are capable of shouldering additional security tasks with lessassistance from ISAF Security is at a level that allows the population to pursue routine dailyactivities Local governance is sufficiently developed so that security will not beundermined as ISAF assistance is reduced ISAF is postured properly to “thin out” as ANSF capabilities increase andthreat levels diminishUNCLASSIFIED

The Transition ProcessPhase 3StabilizationPhase 4TransitionNATOOTANPhase 5RedeploymentTranche 1Tranche 2Tranche 3Tranche 4Tranche 5Tranche 6The Assessment ProcessISAF JointCommandCommander ISAF& Senior CivilianRepresentativeJoint Afghan NATOInteqal BoardUNCLASSIFIEDNorth AtlanticCouncilGovernment of theIslamic Republic ofAfghanistan

The Transition ProcessPhase 3StabilizationPhase 4TransitionNATOOTANPhase 5RedeploymentTranche 1Tranche 2Tranche 3Tranche 4Tranche 5Tranche 6Transition Implementation StagesPre-ImplementationPartnered(ISAF Lead)Stage 1Mentored(ANSF Lead)Stage 2Tactical OverwatchUNCLASSIFIEDStage 3OperationalOverwatchStage 4Strategic Overwatch

The Transition ProcessPhase 3StabilizationPhase 4TransitionNATOOTANPhase 5RedeploymentTranche 1Tranche 2Tranche 3Tranche 4Tranche 5Tranche 6 Conditions-based processBottom up, not top downThin-out, don’t hand-offRetain HQ, even as units thin outReinvest some of the transition dividendTransition institutions and functions, as well as geographic areasEnsure Transition will be irreversibleUNCLASSIFIED

Combatting the “Insider” ThreatUNCLASSIFIEDNATOOTAN17

NATOOTANQuestionsTimothy.S.Sughrue@us.army.mil

UNCLASSIFIED NATO OPERATIONS UPDATE ISAF/AFGHANISTAN . NATO OTAN AGENDA: Operation OMID 1390 Insurgents Campaign Elements Transition UNCLASSIFIED . . UNCLASSIFIED REL TO AUSTRALIA/NEW ZEALAND 12 . NATO OTAN Phase 3 Stabilization Phase 4 Transition Pha

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UNCLASSIFIED UNCLASSIFIED ISAF PRT Handbook, Edition 4 page ix Appendix 1 to Annex F: Development Overview: Millennium Development Goals (MDGS), Afghanistan Compact, Afghanistan National Development Strategy

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