Session 17 - PBV Ratios

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Aswath ran1!

Price- ‐BookValueRaFo:DefiniFon2! holders’equityinthebalancesheet.Price/BookValue MarketValueofEquity/BookValueofEquity wegetValue/Book (MarketValueofEquity Debt)/(BookValueofEquity Debt)EV/InvestedCapital (MarketValueofEquity Debt–Cash)/(BookValueofEquity Debt–Cash))Aswath Damodaran!2!

January20133!Aswath Damodaran!3!

PriceBookValueRaFo:StableGrowthFirm4! Goingbacktoasimpledividenddiscountmodel,P0 DPS1r gnDefiningthereturnonequity(ROE) EPS0/BookValueof* ROEc* Payout* (1ri en g )Equity,thevalueoP f eBVquityanbRatioewas:00nr-gnP0ROE * Payout Ratio * (1 g n ) PBV BV 0r-gn dto, PBV BVr-g0 Aswath Damodaran!0n4!

Fon5! growthtothereturnonequity:g (1- ,P0ROE - g n PBV BV0r-gn Theprice- eofreturnonitsprojects.Aswath Damodaran!5!

LookingforundervaluedsecuriFes- ‐PBVRaFosandROE6! GiventherelaFonshipbetweenprice- lddrawa price- ‐bookvalueraFosandreturnsonequity- Aswath Damodaran!6!

RISCHEHYPO- ‐UNDVEREINSBCOMMERZBANKAGDEUTSCHEBANKAG- 91.231.661.72- ‐1.66%- 2.592.9410.28%20.18%18.50%21.91%19.93%19.66%7!

Themediantest 8! be: swath Damodaran!8!

Howaboutthismechanism?9! darddeviaFoninstockprices(asaproxyforrisk).PBV 2.27 3.63ROE(5.56)(3.32)Rsquaredofregression 79%Aswath Damodaran!- ‐2.68Stddev(2.33)9!

AndthesepredicFons?10!Aswath Damodaran!10!

TheValuaFonMatrix11!MV/BVOvervaluedLow ROEHigh MV/BVHigh ROEHigh MV/BVROE-rLow ROELow MV/BVAswath Damodaran!UndervaluedHigh ROELow MV/BV11!

tates:January201012!Aswath Damodaran!12!

Bringingitalltogether LargestUSstocks13!Aswath Damodaran!13!

BV0 *ROE*Payout Ratio *(1 gn) r-g n P0 BV 0 PBV ROE*Payout Ratio *(1 gn) r-g n P0 BV 0 PBV ROE*Payout Ratio r-g n. 5! Price&Book&Value&Rao:&Stable&Growth&Firm& Another&Presentaon& Aswath Damodaran! 5!! & relang&growth&to&the&return&on&equity:&

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