Rolling Bearing Life Prediction, Theory, And Application

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NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1Rolling Bearing Life Prediction,Theory, and ApplicationErwin V. ZaretskyGlenn Research Center, Cleveland, OhioThis Revised Copy, numbered as NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1, November 2016, supersedesthe previous version, NASA/TP—2013-215305, March 2013, in its entirety.November 2016

NASA STI Program . . . in ProfileSince its founding, NASA has been dedicatedto the advancement of aeronautics and space science.The NASA Scientific and Technical Information (STI)Program plays a key part in helping NASA maintainthis important role.The NASA STI Program operates under the auspicesof the Agency Chief Information Officer. It collects,organizes, provides for archiving, and disseminatesNASA’s STI. The NASA STI Program provides accessto the NASA Technical Report Server—Registered(NTRS Reg) and NASA Technical Report Server—Public (NTRS) thus providing one of the largestcollections of aeronautical and space science STI inthe world. Results are published in both non-NASAchannels and by NASA in the NASA STI ReportSeries, which includes the following report types: TECHNICAL PUBLICATION. Reports ofcompleted research or a major significant phaseof research that present the results of NASAprograms and include extensive data or theoreticalanalysis. Includes compilations of significantscientific and technical data and informationdeemed to be of continuing reference value.NASA counter-part of peer-reviewed formalprofessional papers, but has less stringentlimitations on manuscript length and extent ofgraphic presentations.TECHNICAL MEMORANDUM. Scientificand technical findings that are preliminary or ofspecialized interest, e.g., “quick-release” reports,working papers, and bibliographies that containminimal annotation. Does not contain extensiveanalysis. CONTRACTOR REPORT. Scientific andtechnical findings by NASA-sponsoredcontractors and grantees. CONFERENCE PUBLICATION. Collectedpapers from scientific and technicalconferences, symposia, seminars, or othermeetings sponsored or co-sponsored by NASA. SPECIAL PUBLICATION. Scientific,technical, or historical information fromNASA programs, projects, and missions, oftenconcerned with subjects having substantialpublic interest. TECHNICAL TRANSLATION. Englishlanguage translations of foreign scientific andtechnical material pertinent to NASA’s mission.For more information about the NASA STIprogram, see the following: Access the NASA STI program home page athttp://www.sti.nasa.gov E-mail your question to help@sti.nasa.gov Fax your question to the NASA STIInformation Desk at 757-864-6500 Telephone the NASA STI Information Desk at757-864-9658 Write to:NASA STI ProgramMail Stop 148NASA Langley Research CenterHampton, VA 23681-2199

NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1Rolling Bearing Life Prediction,Theory, and ApplicationErwin V. ZaretskyGlenn Research Center, Cleveland, OhioThis Revised Copy, numbered as NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1, November 2016, supersedesthe previous version, NASA/TP—2013-215305, March 2013, in its entirety.National Aeronautics andSpace AdministrationGlenn Research CenterCleveland, Ohio 44135November 2016

Revised CopyThis Revised Copy, numbered as NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1, November 2016, supersedes the previous version,NASA/TP—2013-215305, March 2013, in its entirety.Figures 27 and 28 have been changed.Tracking No. has changed.Report Documentation page has been removed.Trade names and trademarks are used in this report for identificationonly. Their usage does not constitute an official endorsement,either expressed or implied, by the National Aeronautics andSpace Administration.This work was sponsored by the Fundamental Aeronautics Programat the NASA Glenn Research Center.Level of Review: This material has been technically reviewed by technical management.Available fromNASA STI ProgramMail Stop 148NASA Langley Research CenterHampton, VA 23681-2199National Technical Information Service5285 Port Royal RoadSpringfield, VA 22161703-605-6000This report is available in electronic form at http://www.sti.nasa.gov/ and http://ntrs.nasa.gov/

ContentsSummary. 1Introduction . 1Bearing Life Theory . 2Foundation for Bearing Life Prediction . 2Hertz Contact Stress Theory. 2Equivalent Load . 3Fatigue Limit . 3L10 Life . 4Linear Damage Rule. 5Weibull Analysis . 5Weibull Distribution Function. 5Weibull Fracture Strength Model . 6Bearing Life Models . 7Weibull Fatigue Life Model . 7Lundberg-Palmgren Model . 9Strict Series Reliability . 10Dynamic Load Capacity, CD . 13Ioannides-Harris Model . 15Zaretsky Model. 16Ball and Roller Set Life . 17Ball-Race Conformity Effects . 20Deep-Groove Ball Bearings . 23Angular-Contact Ball Bearings . 23Stress Effects . 25Hertz Stress-Life Relation . 25Residual and Hoop Stresses. 29Comparison of Bearing Life Models . 31Comparing Life Data With Predictions . 32Bearing Life Factors . 32Bearing Life Variation . 33Weibull Slope Variation . 38Turboprop Gearbox Case Study . 38Analysis . 39Bearing Life Analysis. 39Gear Life Analysis . 41Gearbox System Life . 41Gearbox Field Data . 42Reevaluation of Bearing Load-Life Exponent p . 42Appendix A.—Fatigue Limit . 45Appendix B.—Derivation of Weibull Distribution Function . 49Appendix C.—Derivation of Strict Series Reliability . 51Appendix D.—Contact (Hertz) Stress . 53References . 54NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1iii

Rolling Bearing Life Prediction, Theory, and ApplicationErwin V. ZaretskyNational Aeronautics and Space AdministrationGlenn Research CenterCleveland, Ohio 44135SummaryIntroductionA tutorial is presented outlining the evolution, theory, andapplication of rolling-element bearing life prediction from thatof A. Palmgren, 1924; W. Weibull, 1939; G. Lundberg and A.Palmgren, 1947 and 1952; E. Ioannides and T. Harris, 1985;and E. Zaretsky, 1987. Comparisons are made between theselife models. The Ioannides-Harris model without a fatigue limitis identical to the Lundberg-Palmgren model. The Weibullmodel is similar to that of Zaretsky if the exponents are chosento be identical. Both the load-life and Hertz stress-life relationsof Weibull, Lundberg and Palmgren, and Ioannides and Harrisreflect a strong dependence on the Weibull slope. The Zaretskymodel decouples the dependence of the critical shear stress-liferelation from the Weibull slope. This results in a nominalvariation of the Hertz stress-life exponent.For 9th- and 8th-power Hertz stress-life exponents for balland roller bearings, respectively, the Lundberg-Palmgrenmodel best predicts life. However, for 12th- and 10th-powerrelations reflected by modern bearing steels, the Zaretskymodel based on the Weibull equation is superior. Under therange of stresses examined, the use of a fatigue limit wouldsuggest that (for most operating conditions under which arolling-element bearing will operate) the bearing will not failfrom classical rolling-element fatigue. Realistically, this is notthe case. The use of a fatigue limit will significantly overpredict life over a range of normal operating Hertz stresses. (Theuse of ISO 281:2007 with a fatigue limit in these calculationswould result in a bearing life approaching infinity.) Since thepredicted lives of rolling-element bearings are high, theproblem can become one of undersizing a bearing for aparticular application.Rules had been developed to distinguish and compare predictedlives with those actually obtained. Based upon field and testresults of 51 ball and roller bearing sets, 98 percent of thesebearing sets had acceptable life results using the LundbergPalmgren equations with life adjustment factors to predict bearinglife. That is, they had lives equal to or greater than that predicted.The Lundberg-Palmgren model was used to predict the lifeof a commercial turboprop gearbox. The life prediction wascompared with the field lives of 64 gearboxes. From theseresults, the roller bearing lives exhibited a load-life exponent of5.2, which correlated with the Zaretsky model. The use of theANSI/ABMA and ISO standards load-life exponent of 10/3 topredict roller bearing life is not reflective of modern rollerbearings and will underpredict bearing lives.By the close of the 19th century, the rolling-element bearingindustry began to focus on sizing of ball and roller bearings forspecific applications and determining bearing life and reliability. In 1896, R. Stribeck (Ref. 1) in Germany began fatiguetesting full-scale rolling-element bearings. J. Goodman (Ref. 2)in 1912 in Great Britain published formulae based on fatiguedata that would compute safe loads on ball and cylindricalroller bearings. In 1914, the “American Machinists’ Handbook” (Ref. 3), devoted six pages to rolling-element bearingsthat discussed bearing sizes and dimensions, recommended(maximum) loading, and specified speeds. However, thepublication did not address the issue of bearing life. During thistime, it would appear that rolling-element bearing fatiguetesting was the only way to determine or predict the minimumor average life of ball and roller bearings.In 1924, A. Palmgren (Ref. 4) in Sweden published a paper inGerman outlining his approach to bearing life prediction and anempirical formula based upon the concept of an L10 life, or thetime that 90 percent of a bearing population would equal or exceedwithout rolling-element fatigue failure. During the next 20 yearshe empirically refined his approach to bearing life prediction andmatched his predictions to test data (Ref. 5). However, his formulalacked a theoretical basis or an analytical proof.In 1939, W. Weibull (Refs. 6 and 7) in Sweden published histheory of failure. Weibull was a contemporary of Palmgren andshared the results of his work with him. In 1947, Palmgren inconcert with G. Lundberg, also of Sweden, incorporated hisprevious work along with that of Weibull and what appears tobe the work of H. Thomas and V. Hoersch (Ref. 8) into aprobabilistic analysis to calculate rolling-element (ball androller) life. This has become known as the Lundberg-Palmgrentheory (Refs. 9 and 10). (In 1930, H. Thomas and V. Hoersch(Ref. 8) at the University of Illinois, Urbana, developed ananalysis for determining subsurface principal stresses underHertzian contact (Ref. 11). Lundberg and Palmgren do notreference the work of Thomas and Hoersch in their papers.)The Lundberg-Palmgren life equations have been incorporated into both the International Organization for Standardization (ISO) and the American National Standards ation(ABMA)1 standards for the load ratings and life of rolling-NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV11ABMAchanged their name from the Anti-Friction Bearing Manufacturers Association (AFBMA) in 1993.1

element (Refs. 12 to 14) as well as in current bearing codes topredict life.After World War II the major technology drivers for improving the life, reliability, and performance of rolling-elementbearings have been the jet engine and the helicopter. By the late1950s most of the materials used for bearings in the aerospaceindustry were introduced into use. By the early 1960s the life ofmost steels was increased over that experienced in the early1940s primarily by the introduction of vacuum degassing andvacuum melting processes in the late 1950s (Ref. 15).The development of elastohydrodynamic (EHD) lubricationtheory in 1939 by A. Ertel (Ref. 16) and later A. Grubin(Ref. 17) in 1949 in Russia showed that most rolling bearingsand gears have a thin EHD film separating the contactingcomponents. The life of these bearings and gears is a functionof the thickness of the EHD film (Ref. 15).Computer programs modeling bearing dynamics that incorporate probabilistic life prediction methods and EHD theoryenable optimization of rolling-element bearings based on lifeand reliability. With improved manufacturing and materialprocessing, the potential improvement in bearing life can be asmuch as 80 times that attainable in the late 1950s or as much as400 times that attainable in 1940 (Ref. 15).While there can be multifailure modes of rolling-elementbearings, the failure mode limiting bearing life is contact(rolling-element) surface fatigue of one or more of the runningtracks of the bearing components. Rolling-element fatigue isextremely variable but is statistically predictable depending onthe material (steel) type, the processing, the manufacturing, andoperating conditions (Ref. 18).Rolling-element fatigue life analysis is based on the initiationor first evidence of fatigue spalling on a loaded, contactingsurface of a bearing. This spalling phenomenon is load cycledependent. Generally, the spall begins in the region of maximum shear stresses, located below the contact surface, andpropagates into a crack network. Failures other than that causedby classical rolling-element fatigue are considered avoidable ifthe component is designed, handled, and installed properly andis not overloaded (Ref. 18). However, under low EHD lubricantfilm conditions, rolling-element fatigue can be surface or nearsurface initiated with the spall propagating into the region ofmaximum shearing stresses.The database for ball and roller bearings is extensive. A concern that arises from these data and their analysis is the variationbetween life calculations and the actual endurance characteristicsof these components. Experience has shown that endurance testsof groups of identical bearings under identical conditions canproduce a variation in L10 life from group to group. If a numberof apparently identical bearings are tested to fatigue at a specificload, there is a wide dispersion of life among these bearings. Fora group of 30 or more bearings, the ratio of the longest to theshortest life may be 20 or more (Ref. 18). This variation canexceed reasonable engineering expectations.NASA/TP—2013-215305/REV1Bearing Life TheoryFoundation for Bearing Life PredictionHertz Contact Stress TheoryIn 1917, Arvid Palmgren began his career at the A.–B.Svenska Kullager-Fabriken (SKF) bearing company inSweden. In 1924 he published his paper (Ref. 4) that laid thefoundation for what later was to become known as theLundberg-Palmgren theory (Ref. 9). Because the 1924 paperwas missing two elements, it did not allow for a comprehensiverolling-element bearing life theory. The first missing elementwas the ability to calculate the subsurface principal stresses andhence,

Results are published in both non-NASA channels and by NASA in the NASA STI Report Series, which includes the following report types: . NASA/TP—2013-215305, March 2013, in its entirety. Figures 27 and 28 have been changed. . ANSI/ABMA and ISO standards load-life exponent of 10/3 to

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