Ichimoku - STA-lse-oct07.ppt [Read-Only]

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Ichimoku ChartsHow to read Cloudsfor Profitable AdvantageDavid LintonUpdatadavid@updata.co.ukSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

What I will cover General Points about Technical AnalysisTheory, Cloud Construction, InterpretationExamples – Equity Markets and StocksScanningFOREXShort Term analysisFurther Ideas, backtestsSummary PointsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

A Bit About My Work I do my own investingWrite and Edit a WebsiteDoing lots of Research WorkWorking with Banks & Hedge FundsRunning the Updata BusinessSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Camps of Technical Analyst TRADERSSmaller Inst ListsShorter TermLooking for tradesFaster TechniquesTechnical’s Rule INVESTORSBigger UniversesLonger TermScanning stocksAverages, Rel StrengthUp against fundamentalsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October2007

What’s Your Time &F BOX-0.5%1%2%-Trend Analysis, P&F, Volume, Indexia Indicators, Optimised StoplossesMAs, Ichimoku, Relative Strength, Market BreadthOscillators, Candles, OtherSTA Diploma Course – 17th October2007

My Preferred TechniquesUse Very LittleWhat I Use Optimised StoplossesSupport & ResistancePoint & FigureOn Balance VolumeINDEXIA Market TrackerFlip Charts (inverted) Relative StrengthMoving AveragesCandlesticksElliot WaveGann/SwingFibonacciMost Oscillators ICHIMOKUSTA Diploma Course – 17th October2007

At first glance they are noisySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Ichimoku Kinkou-hyou - Definitions translates from Japanese into English as "one look.“a glance at equilibrium pricesanalyses the mid-points of historical highs and lowsare trend following indicatorscan be used in a way similar to moving averagesallows for wider support and resistance zonesdecreases the risk of trading false breakoutsconveys a great deal of information on trendexistence, direction, support and resistanceSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Construction1 – The ‘mid-point’ of last 9 sessions2 – The ‘mid-point’ of the last 26 sessionsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Weekly Signals clearerSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Cloud ConstructionFor me main purpose of these two lines:1 – The ‘mid-point’ of last 9 sessions2 – The ‘mid-point’ of the last 26 sessionsIs to construct the cloud:3 - The ‘mid-point’ of the last 52 sessions offset 26 bars forward4 - The ‘mid-point’ of Lines 1 & 2 offset 26 bars forwardNOTE: The Offset is the same, helps to you understand the cloudSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

You can change the settingsInstead of 9,26,52 - could use 13,34,55It is argued that Ichimoku is self fulfillingand works because these are the settingsused by the JapaneseSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

How you read itAbove the Cloud is BullishBelow the Cloud is BearishSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

What about in the cloud?But alsoPotentialTransitionDepends onwhere weenteredfromBullishDepends onwhere weenteredfromBearishSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Cloud Thickness & SteepnessThick Clouds meanprice is acceleratingshorter term – 17outpacing 52 –moves not enoughto be felt by 52THICK NORMALLYTURNING POINTSRed Lineeffectively a(9 26) – Say 17Period MA at26 periods agoIT DRIVES THECLOUD TREND?Thin means 52 period and 17 baraverages are close or MORENORMALLY price acceleration is veryrapid – ie 52 moving too. Thin cloudsare therefore normally steeper andshort lived. Price will be a long wayfrom the cloud. THE BIG MOVESBlue Line effectively a 52 Period MA at 26 periods agoSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

4 Big advantages of the cloud Gives Resistance Areas, less whipsawsTrend position is clear – Bull or BearSwitch Daily, Weekly, Monthly works wellCloud area is projected into futureSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

The Lagging Line5 – The Price Line shifted back 26 barsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Putting it all togetherSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Look for Price LeadingSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Some Subjective JudgementWill the Price pullLagging Line out ofthe Cloud?A Full Cloud Crossis bearish meaningwe have entered thecloud from belowand still in the cloudNO FULLY BULLISHSIGNAL YETOR This wasn’t aproper cloud breachand we are stillbullish in the cloudfrom aboveSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Want to remember the lines?1 – Turning Line2 – Standard Line3 – Span One4 – Span Two5 – Lagging SpanSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

The ‘Potential’ Signals The lagging span crossing the cloud The price line finding support* on/in the cloudThe Price line crossing cloud - Earlier/RiskierTurning Line & Standard Line Cross - extremesSpans 1&2 crossing – cloud crossWide cloud and narrow cloud & distance fromSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Great for making Big CallsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

US MarketSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

US Ultra Long TermSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Weekly – Still a Bull MarketSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Risk Points and WeightingSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

S&P RecentlySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Japan – New Bull Market?STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007*

Long Term Levels – ST StruggleSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Weekly found SupportSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Daily for risk points and weightingSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

UK Footsie Ultra Long TermSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Monthly – New Bull MarketSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Weekly will tell us when we endSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Use Daily for Risk PointsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Footsie RecentlySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Cable – Ultra Long TermSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Cable MonthlySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

A wobble in 2005STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Daily support is goodSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Hourly currently choppySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

But 5 Minute is BullishSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Eurodollar WeeklySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Daily chart bullish tooSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Hourly on EurodollarSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Oil !!STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Weekly clearerSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Gold finding supportSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Gold looking bullish on dailySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Bund MonthlySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Bearish on WeeklySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

And DailySTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Hourly is TurningSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007*

10 Minute ChartSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

US 30 Yr T-BondSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Hourly 10 YearSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Defining CondictionsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

GoogleSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Look at 3 time frames togetherSTA Diploma Course – 17th October2007

Good for Market ReportsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Ichimoku Read at a GlanceSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Great for Quick TA AssessmentsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

TA Scoring For the US MarketSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Ichimoku Market Breadth?STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

BacktestingSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Potential Problems The charts can be very noisy – lots to readDaily often too noisy – Weekly & Monthly bestNot meant to work well on Intra-day dataNot meant to work so well for Small CapsSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

A few pointers If hasn’t worked well for a chart don’t use itIt’s another technique in your armouryLook at all 3 Time Horizons TogetherUse Weekly charts most – a good changeRun scans to get to the best charts Don’t tell anyone, they will think you are oddSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Ichimoku ChartsHow to read Cloudsfor Profitable AdvantageDavid LintonUpdatadavid@updata.co.ukSTA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007

Ichimoku Charts How to read Clouds for Profitable Advantage David Linton Updata david@updata.co.uk. STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007 . NOTE: The Offset is the same, helps to you understand the cloud. STA Diploma Course – 17th October 2007. STA Diploma Course – 17th October

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