UCDP 2019 Annual Report An Administrative Note On UCDP

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UCDP 2019 Annual ReportAn Administrative Note on UCDP for 2019During 2019, Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) could maintain the same staff for most of the year, and hirean additional research assistant, Mert Can Yilmaz. During the fall semester, UCDP had one full time intern, UgurAmber Deniz. UCDP also had a full time intern for the second half of the fall semester, Ayako Tsujisaka.Magnus Öberg served as the UCDP Director during 2019. In November, the UCDP Council held its first meeting.The UCDP Update Alert was sent out three times during 2019, to more than 550 recipients. UCDP has alsopromoted its newsletters, publications etc. via social media.In September, UCDP published its first UCDP Bulletin; which highlights and visualizes recent patterns in armedconflict in a condensed and accessible format. In total, six issues of the Bulletin were published during 2019.We have engaged in a strong partnership with the European Union ERC Advanced Grant funded Violence EarlyWarning System (ViEWS) also located at the Department. This will allow for a faster release cycle from UCDP inthe future as well as provide data to ViEWS researchers.We have also engaged with the Varieties of Democracy Programme (V-Dem) project for future joint projects andpartnerships. As part of this UCDP co-hosted, with V-Dem and others, the ‘Policy Dialogue Day’ in Gothenburgon 22 May 2019.On February 15 2019, UCDP as part of the consortium DEMSCORE, submitted an infrastructure application toVetenskapsrådet (VR), to become a national infrastructure. Other members of the consortium include ViEWS, VDem, QoG in Gothenburg, H-Data in Lund, the European Policy Lab based in Stockholm, and REPDEM basedin Umeå. On September 26 2019, VR made DEMSCORE a National Infrastructure. Funding was provided forthe coordination of the components and for the creation of a joint database, but not for the participating infrastructures.At the end of 2019, funding for the participating infrastructures (including UCDP) was still unclear, but negotiationswere ongoing with host universities (including Uppsala University).Below follows an outline of UCDP’s activities throughout 2019.Research FundingApplications submittedUCDP submitted a project proposal to Riksbankens Jubileumsfond (Infrastructure) “Mappingviolence in Syria - complementary project”. Principal Investigator: Margareta Sollenberg.UCDP, together with University of Virginia, submitted a project proposal to National ScienceFoundation (Standard Grant) “Cultural Violence and Civilian Casualties: Spatial and temporalanalysis of social disintegration in Syria, 2014-17”. Principal Investigator: Fiona Greenland(University of Virginia).UCDP, as part of the consortium DEMSCORE, submitted an infrastructure application toVetenskapsrådet (VR) “DEMSCORE: Forskningsinfrastruktur för Democracy, Environment,Migration, Social policy, COnflict, and REpresentation”. Principal Investigator: Staffan Lindberg(University of Gothenburg).

Grants receivedThe infrastructure application “Mapping violence in Syria - complementary project” to RiksbankensJubileumsfond received funding. The grant amounted to 1 303 000 SEK for the year 2021.The Standard Grant application “Cultural Violence and Civilian Casualties: Spatial and temporalanalysis of social disintegration in Syria, 2014-17” to NSF received funding. The grant amounted to 144,000 for the years 2020-2022, of which 22,611 will be allocated to UCDP.The infrastructure application “DEMSCORE: Forskningsinfrastruktur för Democracy,Environment, Migration, Social policy, COnflict, and REpresentation” to Vetenskapsrådet receivedfunding. The grant amounted to 15 439 000 for the years 2020-2024.Datasets released during 2019 UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (GED) Global version 19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v.19.1, 1946-2018. UCDP Battle-Related Deaths Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP Dyadic Dataset v.19.1, 1946 - 2018. UCDP Non-State Conflict Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP One-sided Violence Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP Onset Dataset version 19.1, 1946-2018 UCDP Peace Agreement Dataset version 19.1, 1975-2018 UCDP Georeferenced Event Dataset (GED) Syria 20160101-20191130 (652.1601.1911) The Ethnic One-Sided Violence (EOSV) Dataset, 1989-2013Press releasesUCDP sent out a press release on 3 June 2019 named “Antalet döda i organiserat våld det lägsta påsju år” announcing the release of the annual datasets and the Journal of Peace Research landen/pressmeddelandevisning/?id 4718&typ pm&lang svMediaAppearances in the media Stina Högbladh was interviewed for the Podcast Talking to Experts, 31 January n-med-stina-hogbladh Therese Pettersson was interviewed for the University Newsletter, 7 Feb ie Allansson was interviewed by Ålands Radio on 12 March 2019Therese Pettersson was interviewed by Dagens Nyheter on the release of 2018 data, “Antaletdöda i krig det lägsta sedan arabiska våren” on 3 June a-i-krig-det-lagsta-sedan-arabiska-varen/A press release was sent out on 3 June 2019, announcing the release of the annual datasetsand the Journal of Peace Research article. This was picked up by, among others, UNT

kar-men-konflikter-blir-blodigare5325277.aspx , Forbes India erestingthings-we-read-this-week/53961/1 and Sveriges Radio P1Therese Pettersson was interviewed by Tidningen Syre on Afghanistan. “Fler dog iAfghanistan än i Syrien” 10 June 2019 -afghanistan-an-i-syrien/Therese Pettersson was quoted in Aftenposten 11 June 2019 ” Stadig færre drepes i krig ogkonflikter: Antallet konflikter og kriger i verden øker, men tallet på drepte fortsetter å falle,viser fersk statistikk.” farre-drepesi-krig-og-konflikterTherese Pettersson was interviewed by TT in connection to the press release in early June.The article was published in UNT 17 June 2019, and in Hufvudstadsbladet 28 June 2019.Therese Pettersson was interviewed by Sveriges Radio P3 on the escalation of violence inAfghanistan, on 20 June 2019 “Afghanistan dödligare än x?programid 1646&artikel 7245958&fbclid IwAR1xF8poU-7YJawTM9-UnvZRcveIQy2Iyh0wocpUVd PLRaP4LPnIzAiti0Therese Pettersson was quoted, and UCDP data used, in Starts and Stripes 12 September2019 “Afghanistan sees highest levels of violence in 30 years as US looks to step up antiTaliban campaign 35Shawn Davies was interviewed by P4 Uppland Sveriges Radio on the Turkish intervention inSyria on 10 October 2019.Therese Pettersson was asked for background information on Afghanistan for SVT andUCDP numbers of fatalities for Afghanistan were mentioned by Samir Abu Eid in an updateon the security situation in the country ent-om-sakerhetslaget-pa-plats-i-afghanistan as well as shown on Aktuellt 11October 2019.Therese Pettersson was interviewed by Svenska Dagbladet in connection to the Turkishinvasion in Northern Syria “Tyngsta aktörerna har alla egna planer för Syrien” on 14October 2019 -planerTherese Pettersson was interviewed by Svenska Dagbladet in connection to the Turkishinvasion in Northern Syria “Turkiets motiv: ”Skyller på flyktingar som i Sverige” on 17October 2019 ingar-som-sverigeTherese Pettersson was interviewed by Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) for theirreport “Number of journalists killed falls sharply as reprisal murders hit record low” on 17December 2019 -murdered-syria-mexicoimpunity.phpTherese Pettersson was interviewed by Dagens Nyheter for an article on “Goda nyheter ivärlden 2019”, on 24 December 2019 rlden-2019/

Media referring to UCDP (selected)- The Washington Post Monkeycage 4 February 2019 “Why is Nigeria cracking down onpeaceful religious protests?” l-religiousprotests/?utm term .75a3bec3de35- El Espectador English Edition 25 May 2019 “Oslo Accord For Venezuela? Norway'sConflict Resolution Redux” ux- UCDP was mentioned in Sveriges Radio Korrespondenterna ”Caroline Kernen omsituationen för unga afghaner” on 16 June d YbIb5b4-JaA- UCDP was mentioned in Svenska Afghanistankommittén’s journal ”Afghanistan nytt” No2, 2019.- UCDP GED was used in interactive maps in the Chatham House Report “ConflictEconomies in the Middle East and North Africa”, June 2019 (Tim Eaton, Christine Cheng,Renad Mansour, Peter Salisbury, Jihad Yazigi and Lina mies-national-level- Associated Press 11 September 2019 “Afghans fear Trump's Taliban move means morecivilians die” 5f146 refers to theUCDP Bulletin on Afghanistan in the first six months of 2019.- UNICEF based their report 29 million babies born into conflict in 2018 on UCDP Data. 19September 2019. abies-born-conflict2018- OmVärlden referred to UCDP data on Afghanistan in “Oroligt inför valet i Afghanistan –biståndsorganisationer under hot” on 26 September nisationer-under-hot/- International Business Times: India Edition referred to UCDP in “Mahatma Gandhi's nonviolence at a time of conflict” on 28 September 2019 nce-time-conflict-806273- Andalou Agency cited UCDP data in “Turkey has legitimate grievances against US: Experts”on 9 October 2019 607433- UCDP data was used for the SVT visualization “En värld på ld-pa-flykt/ 15 October 2019- International Crisis Group referred to the UCDP Bulletin on Afghanistan in its Watch List2019 – Third Update 15 October 2019 third-update- MIT Technology Review Editor’s letter: The case against—and for—tech in war. Anintroduction to our special issue on war and peace. 24 October tors-letter-the-case-againstand-fortechin-

war/?utm medium tr social&utm campaign site visitor.unpaid.engagement&utm source Twitter#Echobox 1571926886Tech Policy: We are finally getting better at predicting organized iopia-ahmed/--SVT referred to UCDP (numbers from the UCDP Bulletin on Afghanistan) in “Analys: Såfarligt är Afghanistan”, on 3 November 2019 nUCDP was recommended in “Mitt sista inlägg i Syriendebatten” in Värmlands Folkblad, on28 November 2019 yriendebatten/Foreign Affairs November/December 2019 “War Is Not Over”, Tanisha M. Fazal and PaulPoast. /war-not-overLectures, presentations, visits and teaching Marcellina Priadi presented UCDP & recent trends in armed conflict for a seminar on the“International Conflict, Security and Peace” course at American University, 1 March 2019. Magnus Öberg gave a lecture on “War and Peace in the 21st Century” and presented theUCDP and the UCDP Encyclopedia to students and faculty at Department of Peace Studies,Bradford University, England, on March 8-9 2019. Marie Allansson visited the Åland Islands Peace Institute on 12 March 2019 and gave alunch lecture about UCDP and trends in armed conflict. Therese Pettersson gave a lecture about UCDP at Rädda Barnen, Stockholm on 13 March2019. Shawn Davies and Nanar Hawach gave a lecture about UCDP at GATHER Fellowship,hosted by SE Forum and Seeds of Peace, in Sigtuna on 12 April 2019. Lotta Themnér and Therese Pettersson met with Peter Krause on 6 May 2019, sharingexperiences form data collection and data management. Shawn Davies and Lucas Hegele had a UCDP booth at the Policy Dialog Day inGothenburg on 22 May 2019. Magnus Öberg presented highlights and trends from UCDP at the Policy Dialog Day inGothernburg on 22 of May 2019 Stina Högbladh presented UCDP as a research infrastructure for a delegation from theSwedish Research Council, Vetenskapsrådet, visiting Uppsala University. 24 May 2019 Therese Pettersson met with Pawan Roy on 28 May 2019, sharing thoughts on creatingdatabases for visualization. Magnus Öberg gave a lecture on “Krig och fred i det 21:a århundradet” to Uppsala’s socialscience high school teachers at Rosendalsgymnasiet, Uppsala on June 13 2019. Fredrika Moberg presented conflict trends at FN-förbundet Malmö on 4 September 2019. Marcellina Priadi presented UCDP & recent trends in armed conflict for the Masterprogramme in Peace and Conflict Studies at Uppsala University, 5 September 2019.

Therese Pettersson presented conflict trends at FN-förbundet Gothenburg 14 September2019.Shawn Davies presented the UCDP database for the A-course students at the Bachelorprogramme in Peace and Conflict Studies at Uppsala University, 8 October 2019.Therese Pettersson, Marcellina Priadi, and Garoun Engström met with Ignacio Iglesias on 10October 2019, presenting UCDP data on gang violence in Latin America.Therese Pettersson gave a lecture at Rosendalsgymnasiet (for teachers) on Syria andAfghanistan on 28 October 2019.Magnus Öberg gave a lecture on “Krig och fred i det 21:a århundradet” to high schoolstudents at Viktor Rydberg Gymnasiet in Stockholm, on 12 November 2019.Participation in conferences, seminars and workshops- ISA Annual Convention Toronto, Canada 27-30 March 2019.- GATHER Fellowship, hosted by SE Forum and Seeds of Peace, 12 April 2019- Policy Dialogue Day, 22 May 2019, Gothenburg.- FN-förbundet seminar “På FN:s Agenda”, 4 September 2019 Malmö, and 14 September2019 Gothenburg.- UCDP/ViEWS/PRIO expert workshop on conflict modelling 15-16 October 2019,Joint Research Centre Ispra ItalyInternational cooperationUCDP engaged with the Chicago Project on Security and Threats (CPOST), University of Chicagofor future joint projects and partnerships.UCDP engaged with MAG (Mines Advisory Group) International, sharing unpublished data onSyria.2019 employeesMarie AllanssonGaroun EngströmShawn DaviesHelena GrusellNanar HawachLukas HegeleStina HögbladhGabrielle LövquistFredrika MobergTherese PetterssonMarcellina PriadiMargareta SollenbergLotta ThemnérKajsa Tidblad-LundholmMert Can YilmazPer Åsberg

Magnus ÖbergPublications (by members of UCDP)Fjelde, H., Hultman, L., Schubiger, L., Hug, S., Cederman, L., Sollenberg M (2019). Introducing theEthnic One-Sided Violence Dataset. Conflict Management and Peace Science Epub ahead of print.Fjelde, H., Hultman, L., Nilsson, D. (2019). Protection through Presence: UN Peacekeeping and theCosts of Targeting Civilians. International Organization, 73(1): 103-131Hegre, H., Allansson, M., Basedau, M., Colaresi, M., Croicu, M. et al. (2019). ViEWS: A politicalviolence early-warning system. Journal of Peace Research, 56(2): 155-174Pettersson, T., Högbladh, S., Öberg, M. (2019). Organized violence, 1989-2018 and peaceagreements. Journal of Peace Research, Sage Publications. 56(4): 589-603The UCDP Bulletin was sent out six times during the year, the first on 5 ications/ucdp-bulletin/Publications, using UCDP data (selected)Journal Articles and ReportsBraithwaite, Jessica Maves, Kathleen Gallagher Cunningham. (2019) When Organizations Rebel:Introducing the Foundations of Rebel Group Emergence (FORGE) Dataset. International StudiesQuarterlyBreslawski, Jori, David E. Cunningham. (2019) International Influences on Nonviolent and ViolentContention. International Interactions 45(4): 638-665, DOI: 10.1080/03050629.2019.1638375Capuno, Joseph J. (2019) Probing Conflict Contagion and Casualties in Mindanao, Philippines.Defence and Peace Economics. DOI: 10.1080/10242694.2019.1608742Charlson, Fiona, Mark van Ommeren, Abraham Flaxman, Joseph Cornett, Harvey Whiteford, andShekhar Saxena. (2019) "New WHO Prevalence Estimates of Mental Disorders in Conflict Settings:A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis." The Lancet 394 (10194): article/PIIS0140-6736(19)30934-1/fulltextDuursma, A., Svensson, I. (2019) Introducing an Agenda-based Measurement of Mediation Success:The Divergent Effects of the Manipulation Strategy in African Civil Wars. International Negotiation,Brill Academic Publishers. 24(2): 296-323Elfversson, E. (2019) The Political Conditions for Local Peacemaking: A Comparative Study ofCommunal Conflict Resolution in Kenya. Comparative Political Studies, 52(13-14): 2061-2096Finnbogason, D., Larsson, G., Svensson, I. (2019) Is Shia-Sunni Violence on the Rise?: ExploringNew Data on Intra-Muslim Organised Violence 1989-2017. Civil Wars, ROUTLEDGEJOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD. 21(1): 25-53

Hendrix, Cullen S., Idean Salehyan. (2019) Ethnicity, nonviolent protest, and lethal repression inAfrica. Journal of Peace Research 56(4): 469-484.Holtermann, Helge. (2019) Diversionary Rebel Violence in Territorial Civil War. InternationalStudies Quarterly, 63(2): 215–230.Hoppen, Thole Hilko & Nexhmedin Morina. (2019) The prevalence of PTSD and major depressionin the global population of adult war survivors: a meta-analytically informed estimate in absolutenumbers, European Journal of Psychotraumatology, 10:1, 1578637Kotsadam, Andreas, Gudrun Østby. (2019) Armed conflict and maternal mortality: A micro-levelanalysis of sub-Saharan Africa, 1989–2013 Social Science & Medicine 239, 526Kreutz, J., Hinkkainen Elliott, K. (2019) Natural resource wars in the shadow of the future:Explaining spatial dynamics of violence during civil war. Journal of Peace Research, 56(4): 499-513Mach, K., Kraan, C., Adger, W., Buhaug, H., Burke, M. et al. (2019) Climate as a risk factor forarmed conflict. Nature, 571(7764): 193-197Otto, S. (2019) The Civilian Side of Peacekeeping: New Research Avenues. Peace Economics, PeaceScience and Public Policy, 25(4)Quinn, J., Joshi, M., Melander, E. (2019) One Dyadic Peace Leads to Another?: Conflict Systems,Terminations, and Net Reduction in Fighting Groups. International Studies Quarterly, 63(4): 863875.Sato, R. (2019) Effect of armed conflict on vaccination: evidence from the Boko haram insurgencyin northeastern Nigeria. Conflict and Health 13, 49 doi:10.1186/s13031-019-0235-8Snyder, Jordan D., David Boan, Jamie D. Aten Edward B. Davis Leif Van Grinsven Tao LiuEverett L. Worthington Jr. (2019) Resource Loss and Stress Outcomes in a Setting of ChronicConflict: The Conservation of Resources Theory in the Eastern Congo. Journal of Traumatic ia, Alejandro, Martin Vanegas-Arias, Laura Builes-Aristizabal. (2019) The Effect ofArmed Conflict on Savings Rates: International Evidence from 1980 to 2015. Peace Economics,Peace Science and Public Policy 25(3): DOI: https://doi.org/10.1515/peps-2018-0048Wagner, Zachary, Sam Heft-Neal, Paul H Wise, Robert E Black, Marshall Burke, Ties Boerma,Zulfiqar A Bhutta, Eran Bendawid. (2019) Women and children living in areas of armed conflict inAfrica: a geospatial analysis of mortality and orphanhood. The Lancet Global Health 7(12): 16221631. PIIS2214-109X(19)30407-3/fulltextWebster, Kaitlyn, Chong Chen and Kyle Beardsley. (2019) Conflict, Peace, and the Evolution ofWomen's Empowerment. International Organization 73(2): 255-289.

Blog postsCarnegie Europe blog Strategic Europe 21 May 2019 Amichai Magen “The New Normal? TerroristGovernors and Transnational Civil Wars” d the Future 16 May 2019 Alex Russell “Promoting Recovery and Resilience During Conflict inColombia” and-resilience-during-conflictcolombiaThe Conversation 18 August 2019 Emma Elfversson “How government bias can fuel communalconflicts in Africa” -fuel-communalconflicts-in-africa-121640African Arguments 15 October 2019 Noel Twagiramungu, Allard Duursma, Mulugeta GebrehiwotBerhe & Alex de Waal “Africa only fights internal wars. Right? frica-only-fights-internal-wars-right-wrong/

UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v.19.1, 1946-2018. UCDP Battle-Related Deaths Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP Dyadic Dataset v.19.1, 1946 - 2018. UCDP Non-State Conflict Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP One-sided Violence Dataset v.19.1, 1989-2018. UCDP Onset Dataset version 19.1, 1946-2018 UCDP Peace A

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