Trust In Science And Changing Landscapes Of Communication

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ALLEAALL EuropeanA c a d e m i e sTrust in Science andChanging Landscapesof CommunicationJanuary 2019ALLEA Discussion Paper # 3

About this SeriesThe ALLEA Discussion Paper series is an initiative toprovide up to date and informed perspectives from theacademic world on some of the most pressing issues facingsocieties across Europe and beyond. The objective is tocontribute to and connect debates in the fields of science,society and policy. It serves as a transnational forum ofthe academies of sciences and humanities for outstandingscholars to present and discuss their work within ALLEA.Issues may draw on workshop reports, statements andposition papers by ALLEA working groups or other ALLEAinitiatives. The series provides an intellectual space toreflect on complex questions and potential solutionsand seeks to inform policy decisions as well as the publicdebate.About the ALLEA Working Group "Truth,Trust & Expertise"The ALLEA Working Group "Truth, Trust and Expertise" isa platform for perspectives on the nature and relationshipbetween truth, trust and expertise in the field of scienceand research. The expert group, chaired by BaronessO’Neill of Bengarve and Professor Ed Noort, aims tointerrogate and explore current and past dynamics ofpublic trust in expertise and contested norms of whatconstitutes truth, facts and evidence in scientific researchand beyond. Central themes of the group include: thealleged loss of trust in science and evidence, questionsof how valid knowledge can and should be acquired andcommunicated, and how different academic disciplinesare dealing with these challenges.About ALLEAALLEA (All European Academies) is the EuropeanFederation of Academies of Sciences and Humanities.It was founded in 1994 and currently brings togetheralmost 60 academies from more than 40 countries inthe Council of Europe region. Its Member Academiesare self-governing communities of leading scholars andresearchers across all scientific fields. Independent frompolitical, commercial and ideological interests, ALLEAcontributes to the improvement of framework conditionsunder which science and scholarship excel. Together withits Member Academies, ALLEA addresses the full rangeof structural and policy issues facing Europe in science,research and innovation. Via its interdisciplinary andinternational working groups, various public engagementactivities, and by participating in pan-European projects,ALLEA informs European policy and society throughevidence-based advice.

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019Executive SummaryThis is the third paper in a series of papersanalysing the trust-relations between scienceand society – central objective of the ALLEAWorking Group Truth, Trust and Expertise. It is theoutcome of various meetings and discussions withacademicians and experts from all over Europe.As the discussions in the previous papers reveal,trust means “deferring with comfort and confidence to others, about something beyond ourknowledge or power, in ways that can potentiallyhurt us.”1 In order to establish and maintain trustin science, such comfort and confidence relieson communication by trustworthy and trustedmediators. That is why the objective of thisDiscussion Paper is to examine the relationshipbetween trust in science and changing landscapesof communication.This paper sketches the main challenges thatthe changing landscapes of communication posefor trust in science and expertise. It highlightsthe importance of trust as an integral conditionfor science to fulfil its role in society; it discussesthe specific characteristics of trust in science asmediated communication; it asks the questionsif, how and why trust in science is eroding; andit shows how this is related to transformationsof media and communication in an increasinglydigital society.The technological, political and social changesunderlying these transformations imply a wholenew set of processes and mechanisms that weneed to deal with in order to understand and tacklethe challenges they pose. Although this is a verycomplex topic and the specific challenges analysedin this paper are by no means exhaustive, it can beconcluded that the rise of social media and theplatformisation of public discourse lead to specifictrends that are challenging long-established trustbuilding mechanisms.The trends identified in this paper are: a contextcollapse, a confirmation bias, and a polarisationpush. These trends are linked to and partlyreinforced by certain economic, political andsocial phenomena: 1) the corporatisation ofcommunication, 2) computational propaganda,3) an increasingly polarised political climate, and4) the establishment of new forms of detectingand signalling trustworthiness. All of this hassubstantial consequences for the communicationof science and could lead to a pluralisation thatmight threaten the core pillars of trust in science aswell as media: integrity, transparency, autonomyand accountability of researchers and journalists.It is a crucial task for researchers, journalists andother communicators of research to safeguard andreinforce these pillars in order to counter a lossof trust in and trustworthiness of science and research. They need to convincingly prove that a freeand just society means a society in which all peopleare equal, but not all expressions are equally true.It is a society in which everyone should haveunrestricted access to data and information, butalso the opportunity and civic duty to acquire theskills needed to evaluate knowledge claims. This iswhy it is crucial to reflect on how we can effectivelyorganise and defend a democratic digitalsociety in which trust in expertise is anchored inlongstanding and well-established standards –but wrapped in new mechanisms. Suggestions onhow the research community can develop suchmechanisms and overcome the obstacles aheadare sketched in this paper.1Whyte, K.P. and Crease, R. (2010), Trust, Expertise, and thePhilosophy of Science. Synthese 177(3), 411-425, p. 412.1

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019IntroductionSince antiquity, ethical and epistemic standards forcommunication have periodically been disruptedby technological innovations, then encapsulatedand adapted by cultural as well as by legal andregulatory changes. However, the disruptionsto standards of communication produced bythe growth of online technologies over the lasttwo decades seem to pose particularly greatchallenges, while at the same time providing newchances for deliberation and democratisation.The rise of online and social media could, in principle, bring about a golden age of communication,as it offers unprecedented opportunities for adiversification of debates and for global platformsto exchange information with people from manysocial and cultural backgrounds. Science2 and research in particular are facing a rapid developmentof new digital technologies and growing opportunities to communicate more directly with thepublic. Greater diversity and higher transparencycould in turn, at least theoretically, strengthentrustworthiness of and trust in science.Scientists and research communicators areconfronted with a wholesale transformation ofbasic patterns of mediated communication thathas not been fully understood and certainly doesnot seem to live up to these hopes (yet?). Quiteon the contrary, recent political developments allover the world provide impressions on how digitalmedia may instead be sowing false beliefs and distrust, or reinforcing certain ideological or politicalbiases.Two of the societal institutions that are affected2Throughout this paper, ‘science’ is used in its wider,Wissenschaft sense of the word, including all forms of academicresearch, and thus explicitly includes the humanities and socialsciences.2by this transformation are science and media.Both rely heavily on trust and trustworthiness,albeit in slightly different ways.3 That is why academics and media practitioners need to reflectnot only on how people’s ideas and the practicesof policy-makers might be affected by changinglandscapes of communication, but also how toconfront these challenges when communicatingscience and evidence to a broader society. Theshift has strong implications for researchers, butalso for policy-makers, society and intellectuallife more broadly. It means that researchers andacademic institutions, to maintain and reclaimtrust and trustworthiness, must rethink the way inwhich they present research to and engage withdifferent publics.The preceding ALLEA Discussion Papers havelooked at different aspects of trust in science andexpertise. While Discussion Paper 1 asks whatconstitutes trustworthy behaviour and how peopleplace and refuse trust in science and expertise,4Discussion Paper 2 critically examines how scienceshould be conducted in order to generate trust andtrustworthiness within science.5 Both trust in andwithin science depend to a considerable degreeon mediated communication. That is why thisDiscussion Paper examines the relationship of trustin science and changing landscapes of commu3Trust among scientists is an essential component ofthe conduct of science, but not all scientific endeavour is or shouldbe meant to produce socially useful findings or to have societalconsequences. Science is not monolithic. Different forms of scienceserve different purposes, we may rationally place trust in some sciencebut not necessaritly in all, indiscriminately. Trust in science can meanmany things, e.g. trust in science as an institution, a method, a set ofnorms, trust in its findings or its people.4See All European Academies (2018), Loss of Trust? Loss ofTrustworthiness? Truth and Expertise today. ALLEA Discussion Paper1. Online source: LEA Discussion Paper 1 Truth and Expertise Today-digital.pdf(accessed 08/01/2019).5See All European Academies (2019), Trust within Science.Dynamics and Norms of Knowledge Production. ALLEA DiscussionPaper 2. Online source: https://www.allea.org/allea discussionpaper 2/ (accessed 17/01/2019).

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019nication in order to inform researchers, journalists,policy-makers and the interested public on how tobetter communicate science and ultimately (re-)establish trust.How are modes of communication changing?What are the implications of such changes for thecommunication of scientific evidence, and, mostimportantly, for trust in media and scientific expertise? Those are the guiding questions of this paper.Trust and Science: AMutual RelationshipScience is a specialised, expert endeavourthat provides societies and policy makers withapplicable and useful knowledge for societaland political decisions; at the same time, thisknowledge is difficult to comprehend for outsiders.That is why public trust matters greatly for science:scientists will never be able to provide the publicwith full knowledge or control over their actionsin a way that would make trust obsolete. Trustrests on science’s (perceived) expertise, integrity(grounded in institutional checks and balances),and benevolence. In turn, without such trust inscience, societies and their governments run thedanger of taking decisions based on (more orless well) informed opinions rather than scientificevidence.Trust is a substitute for knowledge and/or control –and not its synonym or its ‘natural’ outcome. Whereone has complete information, evidence or proof,trust becomes redundant. Trust is anticipatory,because one must rely on anticipated actions ofanother person that one cannot be completelysure about or control. Trust is asymmetrical,because one must accept the mutual dependencyon one another’s expert knowledge as wellas on someone’s future actions. Although thedecision that leads to such an acceptance ofinterdependency can be based on rationalconsiderations, it still involves a strong emotionalaspect of showing confidence in an uncertainfuture. Finally, but not less important, trust isrelational. It always involves a giver and a recipientof trust.6 In this sense, trust can be understood asan “ego’s acceptance of dependency on the outerworld or the alter in the absence of [complete]information about the outer world or the alter’sreliability.”7There is an important difference between trustwithin science and trust in science. Trust withinscience refers to trust among researchers, be itwithin a research project, academic discipline orthe global research community. Due to growingspecialisation and time pressure, “[m]odernknowers cannot be independent and self-reliant,not even in their own fields of specialisation”.8 Thisimplies that scientists have to trust each other’scompetency, honesty and adequate epistemicself-assessment, meaning that they are explicitabout what they can do and what they cannot.Trust in science means people’s trust in a societalinstitution, represented by a group of professionalsthat produce knowledge that is consequential forpeople’s future wellbeing. Although trust in aswell as within science are anchored in institutionalchecks and balances, such as critical peer reviewand methodological transparency, they are largelybuilt on shared norms and values: “Knowledge is acollective good. In securing our knowledge we relyupon others, and we cannot dispense with thatreliance. That means that the relations in which6Cf. Schäfer, M.S. (2016), Mediated Trust in Science.Concept, Measurement and Perspectives for the ‘Science of ScienceCommunication’. JCOM 15(5), 1-7; See ALLEA Discussion Paper1 for a more profound reflection on the relation of truth, trust,trustworthiness and expertise.7Engdahl, E. and Lidskog, R. (2014), Risk, Communicationand Trust: Towards an Emotional Understanding of Trust. PublicUnderstanding of Science 23 (6), 703–717, p. 710.8Hardwig, J. (1991), The Role of Trust in Knowledge. Journalof Philosophy, 88(12), 693-708, p.693.3

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019we have and hold our knowledge have a moralcharacter, and the word [ ] to indicate that moralrelation is trust.”9 This shows the importance ofthe relational, but even more the epistemic andmoral components of trust and trustworthiness.10Over the past years, we have witnessed widelypublicised attacks on science by (generally rightwing) politicians and commentators doubting itstrustworthiness and integrity on the one hand,and, on the other hand, provoking a countermovement culminating in a ‘March for Science’and countless other initiatives. Such countermovements explicitly promote the values andnorms on which modern science is based, whilealso expanding coverage in (social and traditional)media of topics related to trust in science and,even more so, expertise.All this may be taken as an indication of a declineof trust in science. However, major polls showthat in modern democracies trust in science hasgenerally not declined much. Empirically, it isshown to be high and stable over time.11 This canbe explained by several reasons, one of thembeing that there is a lack of differentiation in thepolls between who the reference objects of trustare. We can distinguish between trust in scienceas a social system, in the scientific method, inscientific organisations, or in scientists themselves– and those are sometimes not even correlated.12People’s answers in surveys also differ significantlydepending on individual biases such as politicalideologies, economic and social status and others,9Shapin, S. (1994), A Social History of Truth: Civility andScience in Seventeenth-Century England. Chicago: University ofChicago Press, p. XXV.10For a more detailed discussion of trust within science, seeALLEA Discussion Paper 2.11See, e.g., Ipsos M.O.R.I. (2014), Public Attitudes to Science2014. Ipsos Mori.12See, e.g., Achterberg, P., de Koster, W., & van der Waal,J. (2017), A science confidence gap. Education, trust in scientificmethods, and trust in scientific institutions in the United States. 2014.Public Understanding of Science, 26(6), 704-720.4as will be further discussed below. In short, claimingthat there is a widespread and alarming loss oftrust in science in all its forms seems inadequate.13Trust in Scienceas MediatedCommunicationIndependent of questions about the extent ofdecline of trust in various aspects of science, theways in which scientific knowledge is disseminatedis a crucial feature of the relationship betweenscience and society. The communication of scienceto non-scientists was hardly ever ‘unmediated’. Thismeans that trust has traditionally been mediatedby technological and human intermediaries:journalists, media (in whatever form), and otherscience communicators. This ‘mediatedness’ oftrust in science thus presupposes a double layer:trust in science/scientists is intertwined withtrust in media/journalists. The questions if, howand why trust in science is declining are thus verymuch linked to the questions how and why trust inmedia has declined. While trust in the former maynot have declined significantly (yet), the latter hasbeen subject to significant changes.14Trust in science is highly influenced by anddependent on (media) representations of its13See Discussion Paper 1 for a more elaborated discussionon whether there is a loss of trust in science and expertise that oneshould worry about. It highlights that refusing trust on the basis ofreasoned scepticism and legitimate critique of particular directions inscience and technology is not the problem, while it is the alleged lossof well-placed trust that we should be concerned about.14In contrast to science, trust in (news) media empiricallydeclined in many Western, especially Anglophone countries. This isnot a uniform picture all around the world, where in many parts trustin media looks to be on the rise. However, the challenges referred toin this paper should apply to most cultural and geographic contexts.See Hanitzsch, T., Van Dalen, A., & Steindl, N. (2018), Caught in theNexus. A comparative and longitudinal analy-sis of public trust in thepress. The International Journal of Press/Politics, 23(1), 3-23.

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019protagonists and institutions, because thereis mostly no or insufficient direct contact andexchange of information between scientistsor scientific organisations and ‘the public’.Knowledge about and perception of science areto a great extent derived from journalistic media.When it is meeting people’s existing knowledge,values, political ideologies and identities, thismediated information can either build or diminishtrust in scientists, scientific institutions, academicdisciplines, or even the whole system of science. Itis finally a triple configuration of trust in science:media themselves are also objects of (dis)trust andthus affect the trust in science by the public.15 (seefigure 1)public debate, including dissent (balanced viewswhere appropriate), physically separate news andpaid ads, disclose interests, allow letters to theeditor, and present rationally sound arguments.Those practical and ethical guidelines are therebyresembling professional codes for scientists toguarantee research integrity.16 Both institutionsrely on a system of institutional checks and balances— organised control that is crucial for creating andmaintaining societal trust. Where scientists aregeared toward creating common ground in mutualdialogue, journalism seeks common sense.17Figure 1: Configuration of trust in science via media.Source: Schäfer, M. S. (2016) Mediated Trust in Science: Concept, Measurement and Perspectives for the ‘Science of Science Communication’.Journal of Science Communication 15(05), 1-7, p. 3.It is thereby important to distinguish the effects ontrust in science and media as separate institutions,but especially focus on how they interact. Trustin media as a societal institution rests on thesame pillars of trust as science does: integrity,transparency, independence and accountability.Both are based on institutionalised systemsthat have been crucial for societal trust. Forinstance, journalists working for trustworthy newsorganisations are supposed to (double) check facts,separate facts and opinions, sketch comprehensive15Cf. Kohring, M. (2004), Vertrauen in Journalismus. Theorieund Empirie. UVK Verlagsgesellschaft, p.165.The interrelation between journalism andscience has always been contentious. However,there are certain transformations in the field ofcommunication that pose new challenges. Firstand foremost, there is an ongoing diversificationof the (digital) media landscape, accompanied by a16See, for instance, All European Academies (2017), TheEuropean Code of Conduct for Research Integrity. Online source: y-2017.pdf (accessed 09/01/2019).17Cf. All European Academies (2019), GA rg/alleaconferenceproceedingsdigital/.(accessed 17/01/2019).5

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019concentration of (conventional) media ownership.18The rapid technological development of the lastdecades has created entirely new dynamics,most notably the possibility for large scaledissemination of un-checked facts, rumours andpropaganda through global channels of “mass selfcommunication.”19 However, this transformationis not simply caused by technological changes, butit is an intricate and complex relationship of sociotechnological and political-economic changesrelating to media, (the perception of) science, andpublic opinion (audiences).Those socio-technological and political-economicchanges impacting the landscape of communication are not just a neglectable backdrop; theybring along a whole new sort of principles andmechanisms that we need to deal with in orderto make sense of the danger they pose to trustin science. In the following sections, the centralfeatures of those transformations are identified,the main challenges they pose to trust in scienceare deduced, and suggestions on how to tacklethose challenges are made.DigitalTransformationsThe rapid rise of online platforms and socialmedia has radically changed the way citizensand institutions communicate, and the wayinformation is disseminated. Over the past 15years, we have seen a profound shift away fromtraditional mainstream media towards digitaland social media. The focus of public debate hasshifted from traditional media (where debates18See, e.g., Schäfer, M.S. (2017), How Changing MediaStructures are Affecting Science News Coverage. In: Hall JamiesonK., Kahan D. & Scheufele D. (eds), Oxford Handbook on the Science ofScience Communication. New York: Oxford University Press, 51-60.19Castells, M. (2009), Communication Power. New York:Oxford University Press.6were mediated by professional journalists) toonline media, in particular social media platformssuch as Facebook, YouTube, Twitter and thousandsof networked blogs. This shift has profoundimplications for how science is communicatedand how we assess trust in science as mediatedcommunication.There are different types of social media that havebecome mediators of trust relations. They are oftentrusted as ‘neutral’ or merely facilitating tools, andhence have turned into powerful mechanismsfor signalling trustworthiness. Consequently,social media can also affect the perception oftrustworthiness and therefore trust in science.There are many rationalisations for these observations that are prominently discussed. This paper,however, focuses on some significant trends.It makes sense of the changing media landscapein order to ultimately better understand thechanging relationships of trust between citizens,science and media.Context CollapseOnline sources for information about science arebecoming increasingly important. They providenew, low-threshold opportunities to communicate.The public has access to a multitude of sources,which are ubiquitously available, often free ofcharge. While this seems to be an improvement,the credibility of such sources is more difficult toassess. The relationship between expert (scientist)and layperson (‘ordinary citizen’) has changed.Everyone can now generate, publish, and disseminate information. Knowledge increasingly tendsto be considered as something you can ‘search andfind’ online.Thereby it is often unclear who says what in whichcontext and based on what authority or expertise,particularly if information is decontextualised fromits original source and distributed through social

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019media. There is no established and reliable systemof checks and balances in place. This phenomenoncan be referred to as context collapse: in an onlineenvironment where everything is content, thetruthfulness of text, image, and sound can oftenno longer be determined directly from the context.It thus also affects the authority of content, forexample when scientific news on social mediadoes not provide a ‘scientific’ or ‘authoritative’context.20 Information can sometimes be tracedto recognisable organisations, but often usersthemselves will have to evaluate the reliabilityof a source. Assessing a source’s validation,independence, and accuracy may prove difficultif it has all the outer features of a ‘trustworthy’scientific source and users do not have the skillsto see through them. So, while online users mayfeel empowered to conduct their own ‘research’online, this should not be confused with an expert’sevaluative knowledge – the knowledge andexperience to weigh sources and information.21Not only is communication about science beingchanged by online sources, communication withinscience is also changing. The whole debate aroundopen access and the growing difficulty to assessreliable and high quality research is relevant here.How can a predatory journal be distinguishedfrom a serious quality publication? What markersof peer approval should be used to evaluatetrustworthiness? How are members of the public tojudge the validity of scientific claims if the primaryliterature is controlled by commercial publishersand only available in expensive libraries or behindpaywalls? Science, and scholarly communicationmore generally, need effective gate-keepers toeliminate fraud and guarantee high standards of20For an extensive analysis and description of the conceptof ‘context collapse’, see Davis, L & N. Jurgen-son (2014), ContextCollapse. Theorizing Context Collusions and Collisions. Information,Communication & Society, 17(4), 476-485.21See Nichols, T.M. (2017), The Death of Expertise: TheCampaign Against Established Knowledge and why it Matters. NewYork: Oxford University Press.quality and research integrity, but the old printbased systems seem to be failing and it is not clearwhat should replace them.Confirmation BiasThere is now more heterogeneous informationfrom partly opaque sources with new contextualcues (likes, shares, comments etc.) that influencethe perception of what is communicated. Thisrequires us to take a closer look at the behaviourof human users of social media. A recent studypublished in Science revealed that social mediausers pay more attention to misinformation than to‘true’ items. Moreover, many users let themselvesbe led by their prior knowledge or prejudice inassessing the value of a message.22All this is partly due to a technical transformation,but with considerable social and politicalimplications, as users start to rely heavily oninformation derived from their surprisinglyisolated and self-reassuring digital communities.Such ‘echo chambers’ can produce feedback loopsthat may reinforce people‘s issue preferences andframes.23 Trust is no longer anchored in institutionsof media, but in networked communities anddriven by platform mechanisms. As a result, userswho already hold sceptical views regarding sciencemay increasingly be exposed to content whichconfirms or even reinforces their scepticism. Thisis what is referred to as confirmation bias.Growing distrust or scepticism towards sciencealso does not necessarily have to be equated with22See, e.g., S. Knobloch-Westerwick, B.K. Johnson, N.A. Silver & A. Westerwick (2015), Science Exemplars in the Eye ofthe Beholder. How Exposure to Online Science Information AffectsAttitudes. Science Communication 37(5), 575-601.23The issue of echo chambers is still contested because it isunclear whether they exist if exposure to information is taken as theindicator variable. If engagement with content is taken as indicator,then there is clear evidence for their existence, see, e.g., Garrett, R.K. (2017), The ‘Echo Chamber’ Distraction. Disinformation Campaignsare the Problem, not Audience Fragmentation. Journal of AppliedResearch in Memory and Cognition, 6(4), 370-376.7

ALLEA Discussion Paper #3January 2019a loss of trust in science. There are some authorsarguing that trust and distrust are “not oppositeends of a single continuum” but “functionalequivalents”.24 This could also offer an explanationfor the apparent paradox that on the one handstudies are showing that trust in science remainshigh, while on the other hand concerns prevail thatdistrust towards science is on the rise. Apart fromthat, the absence of authorities and the presenceof new credibility cues are positive developmentsof digital network communication, because theyallow for credibility judgements that are notregulated by intransparent institutions but madeby people themselves.Polarisation PushSo-called newsfeeds are now dominating manypeople’s daily routines in receiving information. Inthe US, for instance, almost 40% of the populationreceive their news via social media, mostlyFacebook’s News Feed function — a functionthat is designed on the basis of commercialincentives to personalise news in conjunctionwith advertisements.25 Users of social media relyheavily on social media networks, platforms’recommender systems (steered by algorithms andbots) and data-driven personalised newsfeeds.Recommender systems work on the basis thatpeople get fed with recommendations of whatthey themselves or others with similar interestshave looke

world or the alter in the absence of [complete] information about the outer world or the alter's reliability."7 There is an important difference between trust within science and trust in science. Trust within science refers to trust among researchers, be it within a research project, academic discipline or the global research community.

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