Wood Supply Chain Component Costs Analysis: A Comparison .

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Wood Supply Chain Component Costs Analysis:A Comparison of Wisconsin and U.S. Regional Costs – 2015 Update(Data Period: Q3 2013 through Q2 2015)(SLS 4458)Client:National Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc.Prepared for:Great Lakes Timber Professionals AssociationWisconsin County Forests AssociationPrepared by:Steigerwaldt Land Services, Inc.Tomahawk, WisconsinForest2Market, Inc.Charlotte, North CarolinaEffective Date: November 20, 2015

iWisconsin Forest Practices StudyFactors Influencing Wisconsin’s Forest-Based Manufacturing CompetitivenessSummary of Facts and ConclusionsProjectPrepared forClientSubmitted byWood Supply Chain Component Costs Analysis; A Comparison ofWisconsin and U.S. Regional Costs – 2015 UpdateGreat Lakes Timber Professionals AssociationWisconsin County Forests AssociationNational Council for Air and Stream Improvement, Inc.P.O. Box 13318Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27709-3318Steigerwaldt Land Services, Inc.856 North Fourth StreetTomahawk, Wisconsin 54487T: (715) 453-3274F: (715) 453-8325Forest2Market, Inc.15720 Brixham Hill Avenue, Suite 550Charlotte, North Carolina 28277T: (980) 233-4027F: (704) 540-6301Effective DateNovember 20, 2015Project ObjectiveUpdate the previously published assessment of wood fiber supplychain costs in Wisconsin, including a comparison to other U.S. regions,to address the question of how Wisconsin can continue to providesustainably grown wood fiber to support a competitive est-basedmanufacturing.i

iiResultsWhen compared to the U.S. Northeast region, Wisconsin’s totaldelivered fiber cost for pulpwood was lower for aspen and mixedhardwood and higher for conifer. However, the total delivered pricesfor aspen and hardwood increased substantially in the Lake Statesbetween the initial and extended study periods, while pricesremained relatively stable in the Northeast. Both northern regionsgenerally incurred higher delivered costs compared to the U.S. Southand Pacific Northwest. Stumpage costs increased for all speciesgroups in Wisconsin relative to the initial study period, and Wisconsinhad the highest Stumpage cost for conifer and hardwood pulpwood.Harvesting costs in the Lake States were lower than the Northeast andthe Pacific Northwest, but higher than the South. Wisconsin deliveredfiber costs typically include higher Freight and “Other” costs(handling, procurement, etc.) in most instances. Results of this studyreflect a snapshot for a period of time, as the data set included asummary of eight quarters (Q3 2013 through Q2 2015).ConclusionsWisconsin and the U.S. Northeast will be at a competitivedisadvantage when total delivered pulpwood fiber costs arecompared to the South, due largely to differences in seasonalweather-related impacts on operability, such as prolonged springbreakup periods, along with other unique forest and operationalcharacteristics. The expanded data period for this study revealed thisfact, as Stumpage cost and Margin increased substantially inWisconsin, likely due to operations limitations resulting from weatherrelated events. Wisconsin also has inherent challenges that appear toincrease Freight and Other costs. Lowering costs or, minimally, beingmindful of issues that increase these costs, such as restrictions limitingactivity to winter months, will be a factor in maintaining Wisconsin’sposition in the U.S and global timber industry.ii

iiiContents1.2.Project Overview11.1Investigators11.2WFPS Overview11.3Objective and Outcomes21.4Region Introduction21.5Detailed Regional Overview24.Lake States (Wisconsin) Market SummaryNortheast U.S. Market SummarySouth U.S. Market SummaryPacific Northwest U.S. Market SummarySummary of Regional .54Supply Chain Cost Data2.1.12.1.22.1.333444Data SourceSupply Chain Component DescriptionsSpecies Groups and Products4455Results53.1Total Delivered Price Comparisons53.2Supply Chain Regional Analysis93.3Discussion3.3.1 Review of Wisconsin Fiber Costs and Comparison to the Previous Analysis1316Summary174.1Project Overview174.2Conclusions17Statement of Limiting Conditions20iii

iv5.ExhibitsExhibit 1Exhibit 2Exhibit 3Exhibit 4Exhibit 5Quarterly Data SummaryTotal Delivered Price SummarySupply Chain Summary TablesReferencesAuthor Biographies

11.Project Overview1.1InvestigatorsThis research investigation is a collaborative effort including team members from Steigerwaldt Land Services,Inc. (Steigerwaldt) and Forest2Market (F2M). The primary investigator for the project is Forrest M. Gibeault(Steigerwaldt), along with the project partner from F2M, Peter J. Coutu.1.2Primary Investigator:Forrest M. Gibeault, ACFAnalysis and Investments Operations DirectorSteigerwaldt Land Services, Inc.856 N. 4th StreetTomahawk, Wisconsin 54487T: 715-453-3274C: 715-966-5975Email: forrest.gibeault@steigerwaldt.comPartner:Peter J. CoutuSales Director – North AmericaForest2Market, Inc.15720 Brixham Hill Avenue, Suite 550Charlotte, North Carolina 28277T: 980-233-4027C: 715-966-0161Email: peter.coutu@forest2market.comWFPS OverviewThe Wisconsin Forest Practices Study (WFPS), pursuant to s.26.105(1), Wis. Stats., was made possible bymeans of a grant awarded by the Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (WDNR) to the Great LakesTimber Professionals Association (GLTPA) and the Wisconsin County Forests Association (WCFA). The broadobjective of the WFPS is to obtain research results that will help guide decisions and policy development forinvestment in forest-based manufacturing industries in Wisconsin, while ensuring that social and ecologicalbenefits provided by Wisconsin’s forests remain viable for future generations.GLTPA and WCFA selected the National Council for Air and Stream Improvement (NCASI) to serve asresearch coordinator for this study. NCASI is an independent, non-profit 501(c)(6) research institute formedin 1943, focusing on environmental and sustainability topics relevant to forest management and themanufacturing of forest products.Essentially, the question posed was: ‘How does Wisconsin continue to provide sustainably grown wood fiberto support competitive wood-using industries in the future?’ The WFPS study included three general topicareas of research. This research addressed the topic of: ‘What forestry-related factors are expected toenhance or reduce the competitiveness of forest-based manufacturing in Wisconsin?’The specific objective for this topic was to: Complete an assessment of forestry-related factors that are likely to enhance or impedeWisconsin’s ability to attract investment in primary forest-based manufacturing facilities.

21.3Objective and OutcomesThis report is an update of the original analysis titled, Wood Supply Chain Component Costs Analysis: AComparison of Wisconsin and U.S. Regional Costs, published November 30, 2014. This update includes anadditional year of benchmarked cost data, creating a dataset that spans eight quarters, beginning thethird quarter of 2013 through the second quarter of 2015.The focus of this research centers on evaluation of the costs of each link in Wisconsin’s wood fiber supplychain and a comparison of these costs to other regions in the United States. We assessed why cost factorsmay exist and identify options to potentially address competitiveness with other U.S. forest industry regionswith regard to delivered fiber cost.1.4Region IntroductionFour regions within the U.S. are included in the analysis. An updated comparative analysis is based on thefollowing U.S. regions: the Northeast, Lake States, Pacific Northwest, and the South (regions depicted inFigure 1).Figure 1 – Reporting Regions* Lake States region adjusted to represent the Wisconsin marketF2M provided quarterly data summarized by region and species/product group. For the purpose of thisreport, the Lake States data, which includes a data set sourced primarily in northeastern Minnesota (MN),Wisconsin (WI), and the western Upper Peninsula (UP) of Michigan (MI), was considered the Wisconsinbaseline. Many Wisconsin mills procure timber across state lines and, conversely, timber harvested withinWisconsin is shipped and sold to mills in Minnesota and Michigan. Therefore, the supply chain componentsof the Lake States region include costs that originate from both inside and outside of Wisconsin. Anevaluation performed by F2M suggests that about 80 percent of loads originating from Wisconsin forests areshipped to mills within the state lines. As a result, the data set used in this report included all F2M reportingmills within Wisconsin, as well as border mills that procure material from Wisconsin forests. This representationof the Wisconsin marketplace is referenced as the Lake States region throughout this report.1.5Detailed Regional OverviewThe text in this section was adapted from the final report for the original study.

3Total delivered wood fiber cost is dependent upon many factors, as the forest industries of each regionhave characteristics that directly impact the supply chain components. Factors such as harvestmethodology, logging contractor population and business size, transportation details, and seasonality areexamples of the characteristics this study evaluated. An overview of these items by reporting region isprovided in the following subsections.1.5.1Lake States (Wisconsin) Market SummaryWood fiber is procured from a variety of owners in the Lake States region, but the majority of the materialoriginates from small private landowners, followed by public sources such as county and state forests andlarger tracts under private ownership. Data from 2011 suggests that about 60 percent of the harvestvolume in Wisconsin originated from family or single, small private ownership, while 8 percent was fromforest industry lands, 30 percent from public lands, and 2 percent from Native American ownership(Stoltzman, WDNR). Compared to other regions, the Lake States has many smaller sized, cut-to-lengthcontractors, which generally produce, on average, two to five loads per day. Research completed by RISIsuggests that logging crews using a mixture of harvesting techniques in the North Central U.S. averageabout four to five loads per day (RISI, Barynin 2013). North Central U.S. logging contractors purchased themajority of their timber on the open market (80 percent), which is unique when compared to the otherreporting regions (Baker et al. 2013). Research completed for the Wood Supply Research Institute foundthat the majority of contractors in the Northeast and West regions worked on a contract basis for largercompanies, while about one-half of the contractors in the South purchased timber (Baker et al. 2013).The forest economy in the Lake States is dominated by hardwood logs and round pulpwood. Harvesting isgenerally based on lower production levels due to growing and maintaining high-quality hardwood stands.Timber Products Output (TPO) data from 2008 indicates that 30 percent of the annual harvest volume iscomprised of sawlog products, while about 60 percent is considered pulpwood (Stoltzman, WDNR).Additionally, trucking costs in the Lake States are quite high and, according to F2M data, averageapproximately 0.19 per ton per mile. The transportation of pulpwood by rail is also somewhat unique in theLakes States region.This region also has the highest percentage of hardwood when looking at the species mix harvested, whichcorrelates to the predominance of uneven-aged management and hardwood single tree and groupselection thinning when compared to all other regions. A major consideration in the Lake States region islogging seasonality; extreme variation in deliveries from winter to spring and, to a lesser extent, from fall tosummer, occurs in most locations.1.5.2Northeast U.S. Market SummaryThis region’s timber supply is reliant upon large private owners to a great extent and, as such, this ownershipbase can influence fiber pricing. Harvest operations are focused on whole-tree harvesting in much of thisregion, and the average logging contractor is considered mid-sized. According to industry contacts, mostcontractors produce an average of five to ten loads per day (F2M). Whole-tree operations in the Northeastaverage about seven loads per day (RISI, Barynin 2013). Transportation costs are also high in this region andare comparable to, or slightly lower than, the Lake States (F2M reports about 0.18 per ton per mile).Species mix is similar to that of Wisconsin, but the component of softwood and hardwood is more evenlysplit in this region, as each contributes about 50 percent of the volume produced in the Northeast. Thisregion is more geared toward even-aged management, especially in the northern portion. However,harvesting methods transition toward uneven-aged management and production levels generallydecrease proceeding south and west from Maine into central New York, Vermont, and New Hampshire.Softwood and hardwood logs and round pulpwood material are the main products.secondary chips are also an important product mix in some locations.Primary and

41.5.3South U.S. Market SummaryThe South is generally reliant on private forestland owners for stumpage. Harvesting in this region is almostentirely whole-tree with fewer and larger contractors when compared to the northern regions. Truckingcosts are likely the lowest in the country and are generally under 0.16 per ton per mile. Softwood speciesmake up the bulk of the production volume, and most forest acreage is managed on an even-aged basis.The forest economy in this region is impacted less by seasonal weather. The primary wood fiber productsare softwood logs and pulpwood, and harvesting is quite mechanized and production-based.The average logging crew in the South, according to regional research, averages about 11 loads per day(RISI, Barynin 2013).1.5.4Pacific Northwest U.S. Market SummaryThis region produces timber from large private and public ownerships. Harvesting is whole-tree andgenerally performed by medium- to large-sized logging contractors. The species mix in the PacificNorthwest is largely softwood, with hardwood production limited to a few regions. Forest managementtechniques are typically even-aged, and operations are generally production-based. Freight costs in thisregion are quite high and are estimated at 0.20 per ton per mile (F2M). Harvest production in this region issimilar to the South, as research suggests daily production averages about 11 to 12 loads per day.1.5.5Summary of Regional CharacteristicsDifferences in regional characteristics of the four study regions may affect components of the supply chain.The notable characteristics are as follows. Transportation costs are comparatively high in the Lake States and Northeast regions whencompared to the South.The South is characterized by high production and little seasonal variability in wood supply.Daily production levels are highest in the South and Pacific Northwest.The Northeast is variable in production levels, but the bulk of the volume harvested originates fromwhole-tree operations.2.Methods2.1Supply Chain Cost DataThis work utilized delivered fiber supply cost data collected and compiled by F2M. F2M maintains acomplete and highly accurate delivered price database that is one of the most extensive and crediblewood product benchmarks in the industry. The F2M data is based on actual delivered raw material costsand component costs through the supply chain.Additional detail regarding the data utilized for this updated study is outlined in the following sections.2.1.1Data SourceThe source data originates from mills and wood producers that subscribe to F2M transaction-based marketprice and trend reports and analytics products. Delivered wood data provided to F2M is sourced directlyfrom subscriber wood settlement systems. In most cases, cost components are reported for individual loads.In instances of unreported costs, F2M has developed methodology to assign costs from market averageswithin the benchmark regions (see section 1.5 for more information). The data sourced from F2M is reportedby quarter (weighted average of quarterly data). As stated earlier, this study used data from the secondhalf of 2013 through the first half of 2015 (hereafter “extended study period”). The original report includeddata from the second half of 2013 through the first half of 2014 (hereafter “initial study period”).

52.1.2Supply Chain Component DescriptionsSupply chain component data is derived from wood settlement statements collected and housed withinthe F2M database. These costs sum to the total delivered cost, including all costs a mill or wood dealerincurred in the process of acquiring the material. It is the sum of costs categorized as Other, Harvesting,Freight, Margin, and Stumpage. These component categories are described in more detail below. Stumpage – The stumpage cost component is known on mill purchased deliveries. In many cases,however, where a supplier has purchased the stumpage, this component is not tied to a specificload. F2M tracks and collects stumpage data from a variety of sources within each region and usesthis data to add the stumpage cost into the delivered load total. The stumpage price is theweighted average of compiled sale data within a given procurement radius. The Stumpagecomponent is defined as the amount paid to the landowner for standing timber. Harvesting – This cost is known on loads where the mill pays harvesting directly, or it is derived fromdata provided by a wood supplier. Harvesting costs are also aggregated and applied to loadswhere harvest costs are unknown. Harvesting costs include cutting, skidding, and all costsassociated with producing wood to a landing. Loading trucks is also included in harvesting for mostlocations operating in tree-length markets. Freight – The freight cost is a known value for loads where the mill pays freight directly. Freight rates( /ton/mile) are calculated and applied in instances where freight is unknown, using the weightedaverage based on load miles. Freight generally includes all loading and shipping costs to the milllocation. In Wisconsin, freight includes loading (due to cut-to-length logging and production of 100inch material), as most trucks include loaders. In other regions, the loading cost is generallyincluded in the harvesting component. Other – This cost component is generally not contained in a company’s wood accounting system.The cost is typically provided to F2M on a total basis for a total purchase amount and thenconverted to a per ton basis appropriately. This cost component includes procurement expenses,wood yard expense, wood yard freight and transfer expenses, and other adjustments. Margin – This component is calculated as the total delivered cost less Harvesting, Freight, andStumpage (excluding the Other cost component). Margin is defined as the dealer’s net afterpaying cut, skid, load, and haul costs. Essentially, it is what the supplier has left after all expenseshave been paid.2.1.3Species Groups and ProductsThis study evaluated three general species groups: aspen, hardwood, and conifer, with the focus limited topulpwood fiber. The sawtimber product group was not included in this study, as measurement, product,and sale specifications vary considerably. Sawlog and bolt product specifications are ever changing andquite different from region to region. Log scale measurement units and methodology are also inconsistentand often dictated by the harvest operations and the infrastructure in a specific region. Given theseconsiderations, the sawtimber product group is too variable for use in a broad comparative analysis.Details regarding the various regions will be discussed in the following sections.3.Results3.1Total Delivered Price ComparisonsQuarterly data is summarized by total delivered price and species group in this section. Pricing is displayed

6in a series of figures, with the raw data presented

to support competitive wood-using industries in the future?’ The WFPS study included three general topic areas of research. This research addressed the topic of: ‘What forestry-related factors are expected to enhance or reduce the competitiveness of forest-based manufacturing in Wisconsin?’ The specific objective for this topic was to:

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