ED DATA II Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment

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ED DATA IIEthiopia Early GradeReading AssessmentData Analytic Report:Language and Early LearningEthiopia Early Grade Reading AssessmentEd Data II Task Number 7 and Ed Data II Task Number 9October 31, 2010This publication was produced for review by the United States Agency for International Development.It was prepared by RTI International.

Ethiopia Early Grade ReadingAssessmentData Analysis Report: Language and Early LearningEd Data Task Order 7Ed Data Task Order 9October 31, 2010Prepared forCTO: Mrs. Allyson WainerUSAID/EthiopiaOffice of EducationUnited States Agency for International Development (USAID/ETHIOPIA)Riverside BuildingP.O. Box 1014Addis Ababa, EthiopiaPrepared by:Benjamin PiperRTI International3040 Cornwallis RoadPost Office Box 12194Research Triangle Park, NC 27709-2194The authors’ views expressed in this publication do not necessarily reflect the views ofthe United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.

Table of ContentsList of Figures viList of Tables viiAcronymsixExecutive Summary .1Data Collection .1Language of Instruction Findings .2EGRA Findings Snapshot .3Gender Gaps 5Reading Materials .5Factors Predicting Reading Outcomes.7Findings Summary .8Recommendations.81.Introduction.11.1 Ethiopian Context .11.2 Objectives 11.3 Rationale – Why EGRA?.21.4 General Education Quality Improvement Program .31.5 National Learning Assessment Findings .31.6 Woliso EGRA .51.7 EGRA Tools.61.8 Minimum Learning Competencies and EGRA.72.Research Design.92.1 Research Design.92.2 Regional Selection .92.3 Instrument Adaptation .102.4 Training and Piloting .112.5 Sampling 122.6 Achieved Sample .132.7 Analytic Strategies .163.Descriptive Statistics.173.1 Home Background .17Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment:Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningiii

3.2 Other Background Items .184.Findings.194.1 Early Reading Achievement Is Low .194.2 Overall Achievement on Oral Reading Fluency by Region .234.3 Regional Comparisons for Amharic and Afan Oromo .254.4 Comparing Reading Comprehension and Listening Comprehension Outcomes294.5 Reading Outcomes and Gender .314.6 Grade Difference.324.7 Accuracy Analysis .334.8 Relationships between Fluency Scores.355.Predictive Factors.36Student, School and Family Level Predictive Factors .366.Regional Analysis Comparing Subtask Achievement.387.Proposed Benchmarks.407.1 Quantile Regression Results .407.2 Results from High Achieving Poor Schools .407.3 Oral Reading Fluency and Reading Comprehension Scores .417.4 Levels of Fluency Needed for High Comprehension .437.5 Draft Fluency and Comprehension Benchmarks .448.Interventions in Early Literacy in Sub-Saharan Africa.458.1 International Experience .458.2 Kenya Intervention Findings.468.3 South Africa Intervention .478.4 Liberia Intervention (EGRA Plus) .498.5 Interventions in Ethiopia.509.Recommendations.50Appendix A. Sampling by Woreda within Regions .1Appendix B. EGRA Scores by Region .1Appendix C. Technical Reliability Analysis .1Reliability Analysis.1Amharic Tool Analysis .1Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningiv

Tigrigna Tool Analysis .3Sidaamu Afoo Tool Analysis.5Hararigna Tool Analysis .6Somali Tool Analysis.7Appendix D. Head Teacher Questionnaire Findings .1Background of Respondent Head Teachers.1School-related Findings .6Appendix E. Teacher Questionnaire Analysis.1Teachers’ Gender Distribution.1Trained Teachers.2Teachers’ Qualification and Experience.2Sufficient Learning Materials .3Supervise Pupils on Use of Library .4Walking Duration to School .5Teachers’ Guide .6Appendix F. Amharic EGRA Tool .1Appendix G. Afaan Oromo EGRA Tool.1Appendix H. Tigrigna EGRA Tools.1Appendix I. Somali EGRA Tools.1Appendix J. Sidama EGRA Tools.1Appendix K. Harari EGRA Tools .1Appendix L. EGRA Teacher Questionnaire.1Appendix M. Ethiopia Director Questionnaire.1Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment:Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningv

List of FiguresES Figure 1. Children Learning in Mother Tongue (%) .ES-2ES Figure 2. Children in Grade 2 Reading at DifferentBenchmark Levels (%) .ES-3ES Figure 3. Percentage of Children with Reading ComprehensionScores of 0% .ES-4ES Figure 4. Impact of Reading Materials and Wealth onOral Reading Fluency .ES-5ES Figure 5. Children with School Textbook and Other Reading Materialsat Home (%) .ES-6ES Figure 6. Impacts of Family Background, School, and IndividualFactors on Oral Reading Fluency.ES-7Figure 1.ETNLA Mother Tongue Reading Scores.4Figure 2.Reading Fluency Results from Woliso Study (Destefano &Elaheebocus, 2009, p. 8) .5Figure 3.Ethiopia’s Regions .10Figure 4.EGRA Zero Scores by Grade.20Figure 5.Percentage of Children Scoring Zero onReading Comprehension .21Figure 6.Percentage of Children Reading 0 and 60 Words in Grade 2 byRegion .22Figure 7.Percentage of Children Not Meeting Benchmark .23Figure 8.Reading Levels by Region for Grade 2.24Figure 9.Reading Levels by Region in Grade 3 .25Figure 10.Subtask Comparisons for Amharic-speaking Schools .27Figure 11.Radial Plot Comparing Achievement by Region for Amharic .28Figure 12.Subtask Comparisons for Afan Oromo Schools .29Figure 13.Reading Comprehension, Listening Comprehension andTeaching Gap Scores.30Figure 14.Gender Gap in EGRA Scores.31Figure 15.Gender and Urbanicity Interactions, Controlling for Grade .32Figure 16.Grade Difference (between Grade 2 and 3) by EGRA Task.33Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningvi

Figure 17.Figure 18.Figure 19.Figure 20.Figure 21.Figure 22.Figure 23.Figure 24.Figure 25.Figure 26.Figure 27.Letter and Word Accuracy Scores by Language, IncludingDifference Between Accuracy Scores.34Correlations between EGRA Tasks, by Sabean or Latin Script.35Predictive Factors Relationships with Oral Reading Fluency.37Amhara Radial Plot Comparing Achievement by Grade andGender for Six EGRA Tasks.39Oromiya Radial Plot Comparing Achievement by Grade andGender for Six EGRA Tasks.39Oral Reading Fluency and Comprehension Rates for Amharicand Afan Oromo.42Oral Reading Fuency and Reading Comprehension ScatterPlots for Tigrigna, Sidaamu Afoo, Hararigna, and Somali .43Oral Reading Fluency Scores Necessary for 80% and 100%Comprehension .44Impact of South Africa SMRS on Reading Outcomes, by Task.48Impact of South Africa SMRS Program on Oral ReadingFluency Outcomes.49Impact of Liberia EGRA: Plus on Oral ReadingFluency Outcomes.50List of TablesES Table 1.Summary of EGRA Data Collection Sample.ES-2Table 1.Ethiopian Third National Learning Assessment Mean Scores by Year(MOE, 2008, p. 49) .3Table 2.Ethiopian Third National Learning Assessment Achievement Levels bySubject (MOE, 2008, p. 47) .4Table 3.Minimum Learning Competencies in Mother Tongue and AssociatedEGRA Tasks .7Table 4.Sampled Districts for EGRA Study, by Region .12Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment:Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningvii

Table 5.EGRA 2010 Sample, by Language, School Type, and Location .14Table 6.Head Teacher and Teacher Questionnaires by Region.15Table 7.EGRA 2010 Sampling Frame .16Table 8.Descriptive Statistics of Self-reported Figures by Region.18Table 9.Subtask Comparisons for Amharic Assessed Regions.26Table 10.Subtask Comparisons for Afan Oromo-assessed Regions .28Table 11.Quantile Regression Results for Each Level of Oral ReadingFluency by Language.40Table 12.Oral Reading Fluency Scores at the School Level for High ScoringSchools with High Levels of Student Poverty .41Table 12a.Draft Oral Reading Fluency Benchmarks by Language 45Table 13.Kenyan Reading Scores at Baseline .46Table 14.South Africa Impacts from Literacy Intervention .47Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningviii

AcronymsCTECollege of Teacher EducationDIBELSDynamic Indicators of Basic Early Literacy SkillsEBNLAEthiopian Baseline National Learning AssessmentEMISEducation Management Information SystemsEGRAEarly Grade Reading AssessmentESExecutive SummaryESDPEducation Sector Development ProgramESNLAEthiopian Second National Learning AssessmentETNLAEthiopian Third National Learning AssessmentETQAAEducation and Training Quality Assurance AgencyFDREFederal Democratic Republic of EthiopiaGEQIPGeneral Education Quality Improvement ProgramIQPEPImproving Quality in Primary Education ProgramMLCMinimum Learning CompetenciesMOEMinistry of EducationNLANational Learning AssessmentNERNet Enrollment RatePASECProgramme d’Analyse des Systemes Educatifs de la CONFEMENPIRLSProgress in International Reading StudyPISAProgramme for International Student Assessmentpmper minuteREBRegional Education BureauRTIResearch Triangle Institute InternationalSACMEQSouthern and Eastern African Consortium for Monitoring EducationQualitySIPSchool Improvement ProgramSMRSSystematic Method for Reading SuccessEarly Grade Reading Assessment Expansion: Ethiopia—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learningix

xSNNPRSouthern Nations, Nationalities and People’s RegionTEITeacher Education InstitutionTIMSSTrends in International Mathematics and Science StudyTTCTeacher Training CollegeT<eaching and LearningUNICEFUnited Nations Children’s FundUNESCOUnited Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural OrganizationUSAIDUnited States Agency for International DevelopmentWEOWoreda Education Officewpmwords per minuteEarly Grade Reading Assessment Expansion: Ethiopia—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learning

Executive SummaryIn May and June 2010, an early grade reading assessment (EGRA) was performed ineight regions in Ethiopia. The EGRA was a collaboration among the Ministry ofEducation (MOE), RTI International, members of the Education and Training QualityAssurance Agency (ETQAA), the Improving Quality in Primary Education Program(IQPEP), several core processes, and other stakeholders, and was a study of the readingskills in Ethiopia in a variety of areas. Due to the efforts of the MOE, and the generousfunding of United States Agency for International Development (USAID)/Washingtonand USAID/Ethiopia, this EGRA study is the largest of almost 50 performed.1The assessment was developed for 6 languages in Ethiopia, such that Grade 2 and Grade3 students were assessed in Tigrinya, Afan Oromo, Amharic, Somali, Sidaamu Afoo, andHararigna. The assessments included a variety of subtasks, including letter (or fidel)sound fluency, phonemic awareness, word naming fluency, unfamiliar word namingfluency, oral reading fluency, reading comprehension, and listening comprehension. Theassessments were leveled according to the MOE’s Minimum Learning Competencies.The sampling included 338 schools and 13,079 students assessed by RTI and the IQPEPwith the MOE. The purpose was to investigate the children’s reading skills in the contextof the General Education Quality Improvement Program (GEQIP) and the rapidlychanging primary school environment in Ethiopia. In addition to student literacyassessments, a family background questionnaire was administered to students, and headteacher and teacher questionnaires at the school level. School level and teacher level datawere matched with student achievement data to determine how student background, theclassroom environment, and community factors were correlated with student outcomes.Data CollectionData collection took place between May 10, 2010, and June 16, 2010. Data collectorswere trained intensively in the basics of reading assessment, specific to each language byRTI, IQPEP and renowned language experts from many universities, particularly AddisAbaba University. Assessors included experts from Colleges of Teacher Education(CTE), Woreda Education Offices (WEO), and Regional Education Bureau (REB) staff,as well as private data collectors, interrater reliability scores were higher than .94.Supervised by experts from the MOE and REBs, a team of 109 assessors was deployed inthe eight regions. Table 1 summarizes the sample.1http://www.rti.org/page.cfm?objectid 0105C3ED-F254-B0BE-B763260791DE62B6Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early LearningES-1

ES Table 1.Summary of EGRA Data Collection 51AmharaAmharic15602316OromiyaAfan uzAmharic6351289SNNPR(Sidama)Sidaamu Afoo11421752HarariHararigna16 total280Amharic8320Afan Oromo2178533131233813,079RegionLanguageTigrayAddis AbabaAmharic11TotalLanguage of Instruction FindingsEthiopia’s primary schoollanguage policy is often noted forES Figure 1. Children Learning in MotherTongue (%)being the most progressive policyin Sub-Saharan Africa withrespect to mother tongueinstruction. The EGRA studyasked children whether they speakthe same language at home as theyare taught in at school. Figure 1shows that, in each region, thepercentage of children learning intheir mother tongue (homelanguage) ranges from 71.5%(Benishangul-Gumuz) to 97.8%(Sidama zone, SNNPR), with themajority of regions surveyedhaving more than 85% overlapbetween language of instruction and mother tongue. This is certainly one of the highestuses of local languages in primary school anywhere in the continent, and likelycontributes to literacy acquisition in Ethiopia, though the scores remain lower thanES-2Early Grade Reading Assessment Expansion: Ethiopia—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learning

expected. However, note that in each region a significant proportion of children learn inlanguages they do not speak at home; e.g., 28.5% in Benishangul-Gumuz and 12.2% inOromiya.EGRA Findings SnapshotThis dataset provides opportunity for complex analysis of interesting relationshipsbetween language, student background, and student reading outcomes. The findingspresented in this executive summary are in the areas of oral reading fluency and readingcomprehension, as defined below:1. Connected text oral reading fluency: ability to read a passage, about 60 words long. Itis timed to 1 minute. The passages were targeted at the early Grade 2 level invocabulary and complexity.2. Comprehension in connected text: ability to answer several comprehension questionsbased on the passage read. Each assessment had 5 or 6 questions, and the scorespresented are percentage-correct.Figure 2 shows theES Figure 2. Children in Grade 2 Reading at Differentpercentage of children inBenchmark Levels (%)each region in Grade 2reading at differentbenchmark levels. Theblue bars representchildren who were unableto read a single word onthe connected text oralreading fluency measure;the red bars indicatechildren who were veryweak readers; the greenbars represent childrenwho read moderately well;and the purple barsdescribe children who readat the expected rate for thegrade. The figure showsthat a significant percentage of children in Grade 2 read zero words correctly. InSidama the percentage of nonreaders was 69.2%, and in Oromiya it was 41.2%. OnlyHarari (17.9%) and Addis Ababa (10.1%) have percentages of zero scores less than 20%,with the largest regions (SNNP, Oromiya, Tigray, and Amhara) all having Grade 2 zeroscores above 25%.Even in Grade 3, significant percentages of children remained nonreaders. For Somali(21.4%), Amhara (17.0%), Sidama (54.0%), and Oromiya (20.6), it is striking that after 3Ethiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early LearningES-3

years of school, such large proportions of children remained completely illiterate in theirmother tongue. Interestingly, it appears that large decreases in the percentage ofnonreaders occur between Grade 2 and 3 for Oromiya, Benishangul-Gumuz, and Tigray.However, for those children who were just beginning to learn to read at the end of Grade3, it was likely too little and too late. These children are likely candidates for dropout orrepetition, and they certainly run the risk of not being prepared for the end-of-primaryexaminations. The purple bars that relate to children reading at the expected rate indicatevery low scores. In each of the 8 regions, at least 80% of children—and in the case ofSidama, 100%—were not reading at the expected oral reading fluency rate.2The problem of very low achievementexists for oral reading fluency as wellas reading comprehension. Figure 3shows the percentage of childrenwhose reading comprehension scoreswere 0% correct. It is clear that a largepercentage of children did notcomprehend what they were reading,though the questions were quitesimple. In Sidama (72.8%), Tigray(56.9%) and Benishangul-Gumuz(54.0%), more than half of theregion’s children in Grade 2, didnot understand a story at all. Evenin the urban regions (Harari and AddisAbaba), one quarter or more ofchildren could not comprehend basic questions. There were some improvements betweenGrade 2 and 3, with less than one third of Grade 3 children scoring zero in all regions(except Sidama at 61.8%). On the other hand, the stories and associated questions weredeveloped such that Grade 2 children should have been able to answer 4 or 5 of the 5comprehension questions correctly.ES Figure 3. Percentage of Children with ReadingComprehension Scores of 0%These findings show that even though the purpose of mother tongue instruction is toensure that children understand what they read, the children’s inability to decode thewords means they are unable to understand the text, although they are likely to have thevocabulary to understand it. This is confirmed after analysis of the listeningcomprehension task, which shows that the average child can listen to and comprehendspoken stories quite well. The gap between the reading comprehension and listeningcomprehension scores is consistently large, and shows that the problems identified by2This is based on benchmarks from other countries and preliminary analysis from Ethiopia. Using these data, theMOE will be able to determine appropriate grade-level benchmarks for children’s oral reading fluency.ES-4Early Grade Reading Assessment Expansion: Ethiopia—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early Learning

this EGRA are specific to teaching reading, and not due to language issues in thechildren.Gender GapsIn EGRA administrations across Sub-Saharan Africa, RTI has found that in mostinstances, girls significantly outperform boys on early reading tasks. We investigated therelationship between gender and urbanicity to determine whether there are systematicgender gaps in reading achievement as measured by the EGRA. The 2007 NationalLearning Assessment (NLA) literacy results found that boys outperformed girls in ruralareas, but there were no differences in urban areas. The EGRA study found almost thesame result. Across regions, there was a statistically significant difference between boys’and girls’ achievement in all reading tasks (save listening comprehension) that favoredboys. On the other hand, in urban areas, girls outperformed boys, though in some cases itwas not statistically significant. This relationship mirrors the NLA results. There seemsto be a problem in the education system for rural girls, since girls can read in urbanareas, and in other Sub-Saharan African countries girl (both urban and rural) outperformboys.Reading MaterialsES Figure 4. Impact of Reading Materials andWealth on Oral Reading FluencyFigure 4 shows the impact thatthree student characteristics hadon oral reading fluency. First,the blue bars show the impactthat being a wealthy student hadon student achievement acrossthe five languages, with thelargest impact of 4.4 words perminute (wpm) in Amhara, andthe smallest of 0 words inSomali.The red bars show the impactthat having the languagetextbook had on student achievement. Having the book increased oral reading fluency bybetween 4.3 wpm (Oromiya) and 13.8 (Somali) in these large regions. The impact ofhaving a book was larger than being wealthy, and that was true for all regions presentedhere. Finally, the green bars show the effect of having extra reading materials at home,which was significantly larger than being wealthy (except in Tigray) and larger in somecases than having the school reading textbook. For example, having other books is relatedwith 10.3 words more per minute in Oromiya, much more than the 3.0 words related tobeing wealthy. Research in Sub-Saharan Africa decades ago confirmed the importance ofEthiopia Early Grade Reading Assessment—Data Analytic Report: Language and Early LearningES-5

having a textbook,3 and the findings from this EGRA study mirror what was knownseveral decades ago: Having access to materials to read, both inside and outside ofschool, encourages achievement in literacy over and above the wealth of individualfamilies.This leads to the questionof what percentage ofES Figure 5. Children with School Textbook andchildren in Ethiopia haveOther Reading Materials at Home (%)access to the valuablereading materials that makesuch a large difference onstudent achievement.Figure 5 shows thepercentages of childrenwith the school textbook(blue bar) and other readingmaterials at home (red bar).There is a wide range ofresponses as to whether thechild had the textbookacross the regions: 94.5%of Tigray’s children had the book, but only 42.8% of Somali children and 59.3% ofBenishangul-Gumuz children had it.Given the relationship between having the book and student achievement, there is a clearpolicy implication: Getting the school textbook into the hands of each child is critical. InSidama (65.1%) and Amhara (70.4%), the percentages of children with textbooks arelow. Ensuring that children have other

Oct 31, 2010 · 4.4 Comparing Reading Comprehension and Listening Comprehension Outcomes29 4.5 Reading Outcomes and Gender . Quantile Regression Results for Each Level of Oral Reading Fluency by Language.40 Table 12. Oral Reading Fluency Scores

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