REDAC / NAS Ops - FAA

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REDAC / NAS OpsOperations Concept Validation &Infrastructure Evolution (ATDP)BLI Number: 1A01CPresenter Name: Guillermo SoteloDate: 03/16/2021Review of FY 2021 - 2023Proposed Portfolio

Operations Concept Validation & InfrastructureEvolution (ATDP)OverviewWhat are the benefits to the FAA?As new concepts evolve, this program identifies operational gaps and potential technologiesthat could address these gaps. It conducts studies and analyses in operational focus areas toinclude Integration of Space Operations into the NAS, Evolution of Trajectory-BasedOperations, and Time-Based Metering Operations with Advanced Rerouting. This programensures that potential enhancements are operationally sound and captured in the Architectureplans for the NAS.What determines program success?Success is measured by the completion of the goals identified in multi-year plans developedfor each activity. Initiatives that successfully complete all the project goals identified are thenpresented as candidates for acquisition.2

Operations Concept Development & Infrastructure(ATDP)Program SupportPeople: Program Manager: Guillermo Sotelo Subject Matter Experts: Traffic Managers, ATC, Discipline Experts, Airspace UserCommunityResearch Facilities: WJHTC, MITRE/CAASD, NASA, Volpe, DAB Test Bed, NEXTOR3

Operations Concept Validation & Infrastructure Evolution (ATDP)– Accomplishments in FY21 Future Flow Management: ATO Vision for FFM – Initial Coordination Version: Defines the ATO vision for themodernization of an all-encompassing, integrated Traffic Flow Managementcapabilities NAS Integration of Transiting Operations (integration of upper E andSpace L/R operations into the NAS): Business Outlook: analysis of ongoing efforts both internal & external to the FAA, andinitial maturity assessment of industry proposed plans Initial set of ATO operational goals, objectives, and outcomes in three focus areas:Upper E Operations, Vertical Transiting to/from Upper E, Space Launch/ ReentryOperations4

Anticipated Research in FY22Planned Research Activities: Technical/Operational analysis for the evolution of Traffic Flow Management (TFM) Technical/Operational analysis for the evolution of Oceanic Services New Entrants Operational Integration Analysis: Upper E Traffic Management (ETM),UAS Traffic Management (UTM), Urban Air Mobility (UAM)Expected Research Products: Identification of operational opportunities and challenges as emerging concepts evolve, Identification of opportunities to accelerate the operational introduction of innovationinto the NAS5

Emerging FY23 Focal Areas Integration of new entrants into the NAS: Advanced Air Mobility Air Traffic Management Evolution6

Operations Concept Validation & Infrastructure Evolution(ATDP)Research Requirements As new concepts evolve, this program identifiesoperational gaps and potential technologies that couldaddress these gaps by conducting studies andanalyses in operational priority areasFY 2023 Planned Research Operational integration analyses as emergingconcepts evolveTechnical/operational analyses to accelerate theintegration of new entrants into the NASTechnical/operational analyses to accelerate theoperational introduction of innovation into the NASWeather ProgramOutputs/Outcomes Assessment and evaluation of operationalrequirements and the impact of the concept on systemcapacity, efficiency, safety, and human performancepotentially leading to investment decision.Out Year Funding RequirementsF&EFY21FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26 5 M 5 M 6 M 6 M 6 M 6M7

Preconditioning for MeteredArrival FlowsSally StalnakerMarch 16, 2021 2021 THTHEE MITRTREE CORORPPORORAATITIONON. ALL RIGHGHTSTS RESERVED. FOR INTETERRNAL USE ONONLLY.

What is Preconditioning? And MotivationDefinition: The use of strategic traffic flow management tools tocontrol demand to an arrival metered airport to mitigate delays andachieve maximum throughput possible given operational conditions.Objectives Reduce large TBFM departure delay for flights departingcloser to the arrival airport Provide flight operators with predictable delay Allow for flight operators to perform substitutions Reduce large metering delay for airborne flights Eliminate or reduce Miles-in-Trail (MIT) restrictionsOperational Conditions: Problems that TBFM cannotresolve (e.g., fix load balancing, effects of throughput orcapacity reductions, and predictable departure delaymanagement), sustained demand at or near capacity, andmix of short-haul and long-haul flights.Components Use of Strategic Traffic Management Initiatives (TMIs) Robust TBFM metering design and use whichincludes: Adaptation that reflects current routes inTerminal Radar Approach Control Facilities(TRACON) and uses all active runways; Arrivalmetering to the TRACON with “times on glass”;Freeze horizons close to airport; Segmented freezehorizons to manage uncertainty (if needed); andTactical use of “Delay Scheduled Flights”. 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.9

NASA Technical Transfer and Initial Analysis Evaluate NASA IDM Conceptfor application to sites beyondNewark International Airport(EWR). Develop a plan, for reduction ofexcessive departure delays of15 minutes or more, thatdescribes activities needed toenable use of existing strategictools to precondition arrivalmetered flows in clear weatheroperations. Per FAA’s direction,this effort focuses on the use ofCTOP as the strategic tool. The plan includes near-termand longer-term activities (i.e.,requiring automationdevelopment). Some of theseactivities could begin in parallelwith the near-term activities.The Plan:IDM conceptNear-TermActivitiesGeneric Clear Weather UseCase201820202022Longer-TermActivitiesMITRE recommended the FAA perform a field trial 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.

PHL Analysis in Preparation for Field Trial Level of airborne delay can be adjusted tactically through judicioususe of “delay scheduled flights for this aircraft only” option The GDP with “delay scheduled flights” option reduces the delay bothairborne and departure. Strategic programs have the potential to create additional delayinstead of mitigate delay Evaluate TBFM XM design and adjust TBFM parameters, as needed,to address delays Pursue use of TBFM’s “delay scheduled flights” option tactically on aflight-by-flight basis to mitigate large TBFM departure delays, asneeded. Explore other arrival airports, in the context of current operationalconditions, to determine if the preconditioning concept for meteredarrivals is applicable and beneficial 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.

Explore NAS Wide Arrival Airports For Field Trial Investigated fifteen airports based on large departure delays (15 minutes) Six arrival airports had potential: BOS, CLT, EWR, LAX, LGA, and SEA BOS eliminated because of average two flights per day with large departure delays FAA requested removal of EWR and LGA from consideration CLT, LAX, and SEA remained. SEA has the correct profile for two, two-hour periods but does not havea robust metering design. An arrival airport for field trial could not be found FAA response and actions: FAA expressed the concept as potentially still valid but no application in the near-term AJR and AJT took the action to operationalize Collaborative Trajectory Options Program (CTOP) The FAA tasked MITRE to explore the application of the preconditioning for metered arrivals conceptin the context of future operations specifically at Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.12

Future EWR Analysis and ResultsEWR Arrival Flows MITRE developed an XM design for the analysisof EWR based on the PHL TBFM XM designdeveloped by the FAA. Figures to left illustrate thisnotional design. To ensure proper operation of the notional EWRNotional EWR TBFM Design with New XMP HighlightedXM design, MITRE modified the existing EWRThe Red Arcsdepict existingouter arcsthat wereconverted toExtendedMeter Points(XMPs).The GreenArcs depictnewly createdXMPs.TBFM adaptation including routes changes andPersistent Forward Bias (PFB) mode. Potential opportunities (enough larger departuredelays) exist for precondition in certainconfiguration and use of lower AARs. 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.13

Recommendations The FAA should pursue the use of targeted TBFM mitigation techniques (e.g., early scheduling and “delayscheduled flights for this aircraft only” option) for managing large departure flight delays as part of plannediTBO efforts to improve arrival metering at ATL, CLT, DEN, EWR, LAX, LGA, and PHL. The FAA should, when developing the TBFM XM designs, specifically address inclusion of international andTEC flights in the TBFM schedule (e.g., modify routes and meter arcs), turn on Persistent Forward Bias(PFB) in TBFM adaptation, and explore freezing flights on track for airports that are further away (e.g., 200NM). The FAA should perform additional analysis to study potential benefits of applying preconditioning in otheriTBO operating areas, i.e., NEC, Mid-Atlantic, and Southwest, at associated focal airports to mitigate largedeparture delays when airport arrival rates are constrained. Address long term gaps including strategic fix load balancing capabilities, flight delay tracking capabilities(pre-departure through arrival), management of multiple strategic tools to condition multiple arrival flows,tailoring of strategic tool, ATC procedures, and airspace to mitigate delays for arrival flows. 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. FOR INTERNAL USE ONLY.

iTBO Integrated Gate-toGate Strategy AnalysisElizabeth LacherMarch 16, 202115 2021 THTHEE MITRTREE CORORPPORORAATITIONON. ALL RIGHGHTSTS RESERVED. LIMITETEDD DISTRTRIIBUTITIONON ONONLLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Motivation Provide narrative descriptions that clearly describe and detail key AirTraffic Management (ATM) roles, on a position-by-position basis,relative to how they perform their job given the envisioned integratediTBO environment. Provide a common authoritative source document for peopledeveloping ATC procedures, training and education, testing scenarios,communication with the field, and other related activities Provide a baseline for the future flow management work Identify additional integration gaps and risks for iTBO, if any Target Audience: HQ Staff supporting various aspects of iTBOImplementation 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Analysis ApproachMaterial Development Process Based on TBO documentation and expectedoperational scope Generated with input/review from over 35 MITRECAASD Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) including10 former air traffic controllersReview and Validation Process Final draft sent for review and (2)coordination/review meetings held with FAA HQLOB stakeholders and NATCA SMEs Representatives from Air Traffic Services,System Operations, Mission SupportServices, and the Program ManagementOffice 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Products Developed White paperIncludes narrative descriptions of variouspositions’ actions and decisions withrespect to TBO, and how those areachieved 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASEBriefing with audionarrationBroken into 5modules, 15-20minutes each

Product Scope: TBO Roles Documented ATCSCC National Operations Manager (NOM)Planner*Terminal National Traffic Management Officer (Terminal NTMO)Terminal National Traffic Management Specialist (Terminal NTMS)*Metering National Traffic Management Specialist (Metering NTMS)Severe Weather National Traffic Management Officer (SWx NTMO)Severe Weather National Traffic Management Specialist (SWxNTMS)*Tactical Customer Advocate (TCA)TRACONTerminal Operations Manager (OM)Terminal Operations Supervisor (OS)Terminal Feeder Controller*Terminal Final Approach Controller*Supervisory Traffic Management Controller (STMC)Arrival Management Traffic Management Coordinator (TMC)*Departure Management Traffic Management Coordinator (TMC)*ARTCC En Route Operations Manager (OM)En Route Operations Supervisor (OS)En Route Radar (R-side) Controller*En Route Radar Associate (D-side) ControllerARTCC Traffic Management Unit (TMU)Supervisory Traffic Management Coordinator (STMC)Arrival Management Traffic Management Coordinator (TMC)*Departure Management Traffic Management Coordinator (TMC)*Reroute CoordinatorTraffic Management Weather Coordinator (TMWC)ATCT Tower Operations Manager (OM)Traffic Management Coordinator (TMC)*Local Controller*Ground ControllerController - Flight Data / Clearance Delivery* Accompanying position workflow developed19 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Future Flow ManagementAmanda StaleyMarch 16, 202120 2021 THTHEE MITRTREE CORORPPORORAATITIONON. ALL RIGHGHTSTS RESERVED. LIMITETEDD DISTRTRIIBUTITIONON ONONLLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE

Defining Future Flow Management (FFM) New procedures, newcapabilities, and newprocesses as the FAA shifts toTBO Comprehensive plan including:– Multi-faceted Vision ofFuture Traffic FlowManagement Services tomeet emerging needs– Strategy and Action Planthat inform FAA decisionsand investmentsAddress operational shortfalls that persistIntegrate new, diverse NAS users and operationsImplement and capitalize on new opportunitiesVision2035 andBeyondCurrentOperationsand iTBOFFM Opportunity SpaceFull and onTBMStrategiesPerformanceBased FlowManagementNAS Future VisionFOTO35NITROUAS / UAMiTBO RIOs, Implementation Plans, Operating Areas and 3T efforts 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE21

FFM Vision Reflected by 4 Key GoalsATO Future Flow Management Vision Statement: Dynamic, flexible, and integrated sets of capabilities that provides for efficient,equitable management of NAS demand/capacity imbalances as they may arise in the TBO environment, and as they affectincreasingly diverse NAS users/stakeholders.Data Science Integrated Automation Workforce Strength and ProcessesDynamic, ondemand data andanalytics enablecontinuous TFMplanning withuninterruptedsharing tosynchronizestrategic andtactical actionsHigher fidelity 4Dflight trajectoriesdrive developmentand execution ofTFM integratedstrategies toimprovepredictability ofNAS operationsNAS Userpartnering evolvescollaborative TFMdecision-makingand integratesdiverse operationsto improve equity,access, and use forall NAS Users 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASEEnhanced processescombined withhuman capitalinvestmentsaccelerateimplementation andapplication ofmodernized TFMservices to meetevolving needs22

Impacts and Looking to the future: FFMKey Results and Activities Completed 4 operational engagement sessions withAJV, AJT, AJR, and NATCA to review Vision Goalsand detailed objectives and outcomes to meet thosegoals Completed CDM Future Concepts Team (FCT)engagement to garner feedback on Vision Goalsand identify other needs and opportunities Delivered presented materials and all feedbackcollected to participants of the operationalengagement sessionsNext Steps Coordinate the FFM Corporate Vision/Outlook withthe ATO ATO-ANG executives briefing (Thursday, 2/4) February PMO PMR Distribute coordination vision document Engage appropriate stakeholders for collaborativestrategy development (targeted 3rd week ofFebruary)Operational Deep DivesVision CoordinationDocument Finalized goal reviews with AJV-S management 2021 THE MITRE CORPORATION. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. LIMITED DISTRIBUTION ONLY – NOT FOR PUBLIC RELEASE23FFM ATO Corporate Plan

Program OverviewFor: Research, Engineering and Development Advisory Committee (REDAC)From: Randolph “Randy” Mauer, FOTO35 Program Manager, ATO InternationalMarch 16th, 2021

Agenda Overview Current FAA Oceanic Operations Program Development FOTO35 GoalsFOTO35 BenefitsFY21 & FY22 ATDP ActivitiesQuestions25

FAA Oceanic Operations: Scope & ScaleFAA Oceanic OperationsZANAnchorageArctic FIR24 Million square miles of delegated oceanic airspaceTwo thousand daily flights (pre-COVID)18 direct international boundariesZANAnchorageArctic FIRZOAOaklandOceanic FIRZNYNew YorkOceanic FIR26

Program Development – Collaboration Is n DevelopmentDesired Future StateFOTO35NATCAPMOGap AnalysisGoal DevelopmentAviationMITRESafetyNextGen.27

FOTO35 Goals and Desired Outcomes1Implement 4DT Operations(Traj. Based Oceanic Control)DESIRED OUTCOMES1) Seamless, “Gate to Gate” operationsbetween FAA’s oceanic, offshore,domestic ATS systems, and neighboringANSPs2) Seamless operations between FAA’soceanic and foreign ANSP ATS systems3) Users’ flights are more efficient byimproved processes implemented toprocess flight plans and morefrequently update trajectories whiletaking advantage of weather and costindex data234Enhance FAA’s OceanicSeparation ProceduresSafely Integrate Emerging Users& Space OperationsImplement new/improvedOceanic ATM SystemDESIRED OUTCOMESDESIRED OUTCOMESDESIRED OUTCOMES1) Improve operational safety and efficiencyfor oceanic users Application of horizontal-radialseparation procedures On-demand tactical maneuvercapability Increased accommodation andresolution of critical aircraftcontingency scenarios Improved departure/arrival ATC servicesinto remote oceanic airports Efficient management of pair-wiseaircraft performance differences (tactical1) Establish policies procedures andtechnology for effectively handlingspace launches and re-entries, UAS,high altitude balloons, and supersonicaircraft in the oceanic environment2) Increase situational awareness(communications and surveillance) withnon-conventional users, includingperformance factors3) Automate input of all nonconventionaluser and space operations data,including airspace use, planning andcoordination1) Cloud-based, automation system thatimproves seamless, efficient, safeoceanic operations 4DT and Enhanced SeparationProcedures Reduced interface complexity andcontroller workload Increased safety with outagedetection and improves conflictresolution capabilities Increased resiliency, adaptability,and enables portability duringemergenciesmaneuvers around blocking aircraft)2) Real-time/low latency voicecommunications & enhanced surveillance28

FOTO35 Benefits to Industry Enables predictive, optimized &desired flight profiles & schedules Optimize Cost Index Fuel /Time Savings Predictable crossovers Oceanic /Domestic Trajectory refinement Enhanced Gate-Time planning Situational Awareness Safety Dynamic airspace System Tactical On-demand Maneuvers /Procedures More Flexibility Safe & Efficient reduction incurrent separation standards Ability to provide protecteddeviations Better Services for Operators Improved Integration w/operators flight planning systems Supports 4DT, EnhancedSeparation and Emerging Users29

Planned ATDP Activities FY21 & FY221Implement Optimal 4DTOperationsActivities:1) Establish FAA 4DT Work Group2) Begin 4DT Stakeholder Outreach Technical InterchangeMeetings Industry Day3) Coordinate and draft GloballyAgreed Definition of 4DT2(Tentative)3Enhance FAA’s OceanicSeparation ProceduresSafely Integrate Emerging Users& Space OperationsActivities:1) Develop a concept of operationsfor application of tactical ondemand operationsActivities:1) Begin Stakeholder OutreachProgram - Technical InterchangeMeetings2) Conduct an operationalassessment of the ClearedWeather Deviation Procedure3) Initiate assessment ofperformance requirementsnecessary to support futureenhanced separation procedures2) Begin Draft Operator NeedsAnalysis4Implement new/improvedOceanic ATM SystemActivities:1) Begin Stakeholder OutreachProgram - Technical InterchangeMeetings2) Research Service LevelRequirements3) Begin Draft Operator DataSharing Assessment4) Begin Stakeholder Needs ReportNote - Activities are dependent on conducting in-persontesting. Target dates could be delayed due to COVID travelrestrictions30

Thank you!For more information, contactRandy Mauer, Program Manager, FOTO35randolph.mauer@faa.govFOTO35@faa.gov31

The plan includes near-term and longer-term activities (i.e., requiring automation development). Some of these MITRE recommended the FAA perform a field trial activities could begin in parallel with the near-term activities. Generic Clear Weather Use Case IDM concept 2018 2020 2022 Near-Term Activities Longer-Term Activities The Plan:

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