Building And Refining Scenarios Module 4b–Selecting .
nal Future ‐The future is extrapolated from past trends, few otherunanticipated major changes occur. (“Business as Usual”)Water Quality Rules ‐The public demands the highest practical quality ofdrinking water.Hot Water ‐A warmer climate accompanied by more frequent and moresevere droughts.Economic Woes ‐An ongoing energy crisis accompanied by a prolonged,deep economic downturn.Green Revolution ‐Environmental values become dominant social norms.Waage, 2010.19
Decision Tree Scenario DevelopmentPerceived Advantage: can start with “official future”, “least change”, or“business as usual” futuresGood for “Yes/No” uncertainties. Examples:- new mining development- wilderness designation- species goes extinct- invasive becomes naturalized- transformative fire- Indian water rights settlement- others?Phosphate MineWater Rights SettlementBusiness as UsualWilderness DesignatedScenario Logics1. Refine scope and focus question2. Identify key external drivers3. Assess and prioritize critical drivers4. Explore and select scenario logics- Quadrant Method- Nested Quadrants- Chained Quadrants- Themes- Decision Tree- Matrix- NPS “Flash Cards”Goal: Strategically select 3-5 diverse and challengingscenarios for building out into more detail20
IPCC SRES Scenarios: Drivers of Global ClimateCaution! With lots of drivers: More difficult to confirm plausibility andinternal logical consistency of scenariosFrom: IPCC 4th AssessmentFlash Cards: Put one variable on each flashcard, with two opposites choices ofconditions, on each side. Then flip and choose!Selecting Scenario LogicsObjective: create and test different driver combinationsto develop strategic scenario ‘skeletons’Process Work with combinations of different drivers, rapidlyassess the plausibility of scenarios, the divergence ofthe challenges (and opportunities) posed Identify specific scenarios to build outActivity 6 Explore and select scenario logics21
Building and Refining Scenarios Module 4b–Selecting Drivers and Logics Phases in Scenario Planning I. Preparing for the process II. Building and refining scenarios III. Using scenarios to evaluate,
Teacher’s Book B LEVEL - English in school 6 Contents Prologue 8 Test paper answers 10 Practice Test 1 11 Module 1 11 Module 2 12 Module 3 15 Practice Test 2 16 Module 1 16 Module 2 17 Module 3 20 Practice Test 3 21 Module 1 21 Module 2 22 Module 3 25 Practice Test 4 26 Module 1 26 Module 2 27 Module 3 30 Practice Test 5 31 Module 1 31 Module .
The Metso Outotec Gold Refining Plant is the result of more than 30 years' experience in developing robust and cost-effective solutions for precious metals recovery and refining. The process has been successfully applied worldwide in installations with annual gold refining capacities from 1 to 50 tons. The gold refining process is
Pyrometallurgical & Hydrometallurgical Refining Processes Preparation & Sampling -High & Low Grade Refining Materials Refining Operations Management: Inventory Management & Material Control Systems, Environmental Controls and Security. External Refining Contracts E-mail: jf@wallace-trading.com Website: www.wallace-trading.com 2
Petroleum Refining Process Descriptions Petroleum refining is a complex industry that generates a diverse slate of fuel and chemical products, from gasoline to heating oil. The refining process involves separating, cracking, restructuring, treating, and blending hydrocarbon molecules to generate petroleum products. Figure 1 shows the overall .
refining industry is a national leader in developing approaches to the identified challenges when compared to the national industry. The U.S. petroleum refining industry processes almost 25% of the world’s annual crude oil production. The U.S. petroleum refining
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7. What is the name of this sequence of events which results in the production of a protein? 8. What is Reverse Transcription? 9. When does Reverse Transcription occur? 10. How can Reverse Transcription be used in Biotechnology? DESIGNER GENES: PRACTICE –MOLECULAR-GENETIC GENETICS 2 CENTRAL DOGMA OF MOLECULAR GENETICS 1. Where is DNA housed in Eukaryotic Cells? most is stored in the nucleus .
