World's Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 And Implications To . - ICDM
World’s Top Global Mega Trends To 2025 and Implicationsto Business, Society and CulturesM82C-MT1
Definition of Mega Trends That Frost & Sullivan TracksMega Trends are transformative, global forces that define the future world with their far reachingimpacts on businesses, societies, economies, cultures, and personal lives.Global Mega TrendsUrbanization –City as aCustomerBricks and ClicksSmart is the NewGreenInnovating to ZeroSocial Trends: Gen Y,Middle Bulge, Sheconomy,GeosocializationConnectivity andConvergenceFuture of EnergyEconomy: BeyondBRIC: The NextGame ChangersFutureInfrastructureDevelopmentHealth, Wellnessand Well BeingFuture of MobilityNew BusinessModels: Value forManySource: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M82C-MT2
News Headlines in 2025Robots have entered ourhomes for personal use.Sensory devices guide oureveryday lives.Mobile ;inancial transactionsare now in crypto- ‐currencies.There are 6 millionautonomous cars in Europeand North America.M82C-MTBig data has entered theZettabyte era.3D printing is commonplace.4D printing is gainingmainstream acceptance .High Speed Rail to connectfrom China to Europe.Summer Sale: Low- ‐costholidays in space.3
The Mega Trend MatrixUnderstanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on Global EconomyHighMega Trend Matrix, Global, 2025ConnectivityandConvergenceDegree of Impact on Global EconomyInfrastructureDevelopmentUrbanizationNew BusinessModelsInnovatingto ZeroEconomicTrendsFuture ofEnergySocialTrendsFuture ofMobilityHealth,Wellness, andWell-BeingLowSmart isthe NewGreenBricks andClicksLowDegree of CertaintyNote: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity within each Mega Trend.These Mega Trends have been plotted based on quantitative and qualitative reasoning.M82C-MTHighSource: Frost & Sullivan Analysis4
Future Connected Living EcosystemConnected life contains three important aspects of connected home, connected city, and connectedworkConnected Living describes a world in which consumers use many different devices to experience compellingnew services that integrate video, voice, and data services to provide access and ubiquitous connectivityanytime and anywhere.Connected Living Total Market: 730 Billion in 2020Connected Home – 31%Connected Work –15% Mobility - ‐ Mobile eGovernance Home Automationemail, Uni;ied eCitizens Home EnergyCommunication Home Health Mobile Working Smart transportationcards, connected cars Home Entertainment Enterprise Social E- ‐learningNetworkingM82C-MTConnected City – 54% Mobile banking5
Case Study: Connected Home’s B2B Platform Of Deutsche TelekomA platform-based approach that brings together leading companiesQIVICON B2B Business Hub including partnersfrom Automation(E.g Belkin)B2BSecurity(E.g Pax)Appliances,electronics (A&E)Miele, EnergyEnBW, Solon First companyworldwide to offer a"software as a service’connected homeplatform Open and independentB2B platform forpartnersB2B2CQIVICON CONNECTED HOME PLATFORM forconsumers aggregating service from all partners. Largest range ofpartners in theconnected home spaceConsumer HomesM82C-MT66
Sensorization of ThingsMulti-Factor sensory-based trackers revolutionise the field of personal devicesThe radial timeline diagram depicts which products are impacted in the next decade by sensorytracking technology in consumer electronicsVoiceTouchFacialSiri PersonalAssistantPayPal – Paywith eTacticalIdentificationSystemTobii oveMobile EyeScroll phones2016 Google ensory TrackingTechnology estureGaming2000s2014201520162016 Source: Frost & Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT7
Gamification - solutions to generate 8 billion globally within a decade,driven by increasing need for consumer engagementGamification – a customer interaction approach to design behaviours, develop skills and engage customersThe use of gamemechanics anddesign in non gamecontext to impactengagement andoutcomeUsesPredicted areas of impactCurrent enablersFuture enablers Mobile and tabletapplications Software programs Educational tools Employee performance Education Personal development Customer engagementplatforms Mobile Cloud Social networking Location basedservices Gesture control Augmented realityGamification Market, Global, 2012-2020, ( billion)Consumer App Usage Patterns, Global, 20128,37,520 %6,616 %14 %4,910 %10 %3,21,80,2GamesSocialNetworkingEnetrtainment Maps/NavigationVideo0,40,92012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020Source: Deloitte, Google Trends, Frost & Sullivan Analysis.M82C-MT8
Sub Trend: Big Data Analytics90% of the data in the world has been created in the last two years aloneGlobal Data Traf;ic in Zettabytes, 2010- ‐2025Global Big Data Market in billion, 2010- ‐2025122.6100.2Global Big DataMarket to generate arevenue of over 122billion by 2025Global Data Traf;ic toCross 100 Zettabytesannually by 201520202025Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT9
Big Data DelugeDigital content is doubling every 18 monthsData Traffic per Year, Global, 2012 and 2020Big Data, Sources & Types of Services, 2014Structured DataUnstructured DataDatabaseWeb blogsData Warehouse 40% /YearSocial MediaBig DataERPsBig Data is growing at40% annuallyAudio, VideoCRMs100.2Zettabyte1.2ZettabyteExcel, CSVSystemsOnline20122020Big Data Creates New Value Propositions for BusinessesTypes of Data-Enabled ServicesSocial SentimentAnalysisData AnalyticsMarketingOptimization MicromarketingOpen InnovationDiscovery andNavigationIT EconomicsSecurityIntelligenceAssetManagementData VisualizationCloud-connected carsFacebook PersonalizedMarketingNissan is looking atanalytics on sensor dataand telematics to improveself-diagnosticsFacebook analyses locationdata to reach more customerswith personalized, targetedproductsSmart FactoriesEmergency ResponsesPepsi’s Latin Americandivision merged customer,logistics, and manufacturingdata to significantly improveits plant operationsDuring Superstorm Sandy,2012, Twitter hashtagswere analysed to find outwhere power, fuel, food andwater were urgentlyneeded.Source: IBM, Cisco, Frost & Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT10
Implication: Connectivity Is Pushing ConvergenceConnectivity will Accelerate Convergence of Industries, Products, Technologies and CompetitionSpace Industry1Unmanned TechnologyAutonomous CarsPRODUCTSBuilding Technologies3Space Based SolarPowerINDUSTRIESCar2Solar IndustrySmart AutomationSmart Home HubsTECHNOLOGIESImage Source:: Creative Commons and Dreamstime.M82C-MTSource: Frost & Sullivan analysis11
Convergence is Driving Unconventional Players to Contest for NewMarkets! Google - ‐ Nest , Titan Aerospace Amazon - ‐ Dash, Fire TV Facebook – Oculus,Connectivity LabsM82C-MT12
Smart is the New Green3 Levels of Smart Products and TechnologiesA smart product ischaracterized by an intelligentsensing technology that isincreasingly being integrated withInternet technologies, therebyallowing the product to react to andcommunicate with the changingenvironment around it. This leadsto optimal operations andimprovement in ef;iciency.Basic SensingMechanismLEVEL 1SmartBandagesBasic SensingMechanism One- ‐way DataCommunicationLEVEL 2Smart ChipSmart LightingSensingMechanism Two- ‐way Flow ofDataCommunicationLEVEL 3Smart CloudsSmartWindowsSmart MobilitySmartTechnologySmartBuildingsImage Source: Dreamstime and Connected Digital WorldSource: Frost & SullivanM82C-MT13
Smart cities To Create Huge Business Opportunities With A MarketValue Of 1.5 Trillion By 2020Smart Building7, Smart City Market by Segments,1 Global 20201CAGR: 8.8% (2012- ‐2020)10,21Smart Healthcare6Smart Governance and SmartEducation220,93CAGR: 12.4% (2012- ‐2020)15,26CAGR: 6.9% (2012- ‐2020)Smart City MarketSmart Transportation52Smart Security3Smart Energy14,119,09CAGR: 14% (2012- ‐2020)CAGR: 14.8% (2012- ‐2020)13,75Smart Infrastructure3CAGR: 8.9% (2012- ‐2020)416,65CAGR: 19.6% (2012- ‐2020)Note: The graph represent the market share of eachsegment in the smart city market.For more information on smart city market sectors pleaserefer to appendix1These numbers represent the entire smart solutions eco- ‐system in each segment for both urban and non- ‐urban panoramas2Smart Education includes eLearning services for schools, universities, enterprises, and government entities3Other Smart Infrastructure such as sensor networks, digital management of water utilities not included in other segmentsM82C-MTSource: Frost & Sullivan analysis.14
Global Smart Cities in 2025More than 26 global cities will be Smart Cities in 2025, and more than 50% of which will be from Europeand North America.Smart Cities, Global, 2025VancouverCalgarySeattleChicagoSan FranciscoLos AngelesSan DiegoTorontoBostonNew wBerlinLondonViennaParis LuxembourgBarcelonaBeijingTokyoChengduTianjin SeoulWuhanSingaporeDelhiShenzhenJakartaSelect Smart City Projects in20251SydneySmart Cities in 2025Johannesburg1Thislist is not exhaustive. The cities highlightedhere have implemented smart city projects in atleast one of eight smart city aspects discussed inthis studyImage Source: Dreamstime and Frost and Sullivan Image Library.Source: Forbes Smart City List, Innovation City Index; specific Smart Project Websites for each city; Frost & Sullivan analysis.M82C-MT15
Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025Global Snapshot of Sustainable/Eco Cities in 2025Sustainable/Eco City in 2025Sustainable/Eco City built fromscratchEuropeNorth AmericaPortlandSacramentoOaklandSan DiegoDallasHoustonOrlandoAustinMinneapolisSan furtMilanRomeCambridgeshireMarseilleTampereMiddle Eastand AfricaLatin AmericaBelo HorizonteBogotáBrasíliaRio de JaneiroSão PauloCuritibaMexico CityAccraJohannesburgCape TownDurbanTunisMasdar CityDohaNote: Eco Cities are cities built on a green initiative, from buildings to transport, governance,city planning, energy, and technology. These cities are either upgraded or built from rGothenburgIsle of iAntalyaAdanaEdinburghAsia-Pacific & AustraliaGIFTSino-Singapore Tianjin Eco-city, TianjinNanjingHong KongFoshanGuangzhouWuxiOsakaYokohamaWanzhuang Eco-city, alikpapanAdelaideMorelandSource: Siemens Green Index and Frost & Sullivan analysis.16
The Next Game Changers in 2025 (Beyond BRICSs)High GDP growth, improved FDIs, and rapid industrialization to give rise to a new lot of emergingcountries, beyond BRIC nations, that contend to become next decade’s economic leadersTurkeyPoland 1,041Billion 2,327BillionMexico 2,441Billion 653BillionEgypt 730BillionNigeriaNext Game ChangersThe trillion dollar economiesNote : The figure denotes GDP atmarket prices. Forecasts to 2025have been extrapolated based onNominal GDP growth rate projections 772Billion 3,071Billion 635BillionThailand 323BillionVietnam 483BillionPhilippinesIndonesiaSouth AfricaSource: International Monetary Fund. Oxford Economics, Frost & Sullivan,M82C-MT17
New Business ModelsExamplesB2CCo- ‐Creation (Eg. Quirky.com)On- ‐Demand ServicesDigital Media / Online Streaming CollapsingVideo Rentals: eg. Net;lixB2BPay as you Go InsuranceOnline Platforms E Rental (Workspaces)E Distribution (eg. Deliv)E ExchangesHypermarketsE- ‐Travel: ConcurValue for Many (Low Cost Models - ‐ Tata Nano)Group Buying (Groupon)Micro FinancingAlliance Based ModelsIntegrator Models (IBM Smarter Planet)Online Stock Trading – traditional brokersSharing: Corporate Car SharingP2P/C2COnline Retail (Eg. Ebay)G2BOpen Business Model (Online Bidding ofG2GE- ‐Records, E- ‐Consultancy - ‐ (e.g G2GInformation System like NEGIS)M82C-MT E- ‐Auction (eg. Taobao)Sharing – Car SharingPeer- ‐to- ‐peer lendingPPP - ‐ BOO, BOT, BOMProjects) – (e.g Chicago Open Data Model)18
Future of Clicks in Retail IndustryGlobal Online Retail Sales To Reach 4.3 Trillion By 2025 Accounting for 19% of Total RetailUnited Kingdom 0.21Trillion26% 23TrillionChina 1.30Trillion18% 11.8Trillion15%24%95%5% 11.25Trillion10%Germany 0.09Trillion 18.7Trillion81% 4.3Trillion19%Japan 0.17TrillionUnitedStates 1.32Trillion 0.55Trillion2011M82C-MTOnline SalesNon- ‐Online Sales202519
Case Study: Audi City London - First Digital Car ShowroomExample of Future Digital Car Showrooms that will be “Unlimited”, Personalised, Socially Connectedand Digitally IntegratedFully Digital,Retail-Style CyberstoreOne-stop Experiencefor Entire Model RangeHighly personalizedcustomer dialogueGamification, AugmentedReality Offers Tailormade servicesSpecially Trained DealerPersonnel InteractivityLondon Flagship StoreM82C-MT20
Virtual Stores—New Generation of Grocery ShoppingVirtual stores are simulated brick and mortar stores that offer interactive shopping in public placesby creating virtual products, which buyers can buy and order using their Smartphones.Tesco’s Subway Virtual Store2Choosegrocery itemfrom “virtualshelves”Smartphone App RegistersProduct of ChoiceNumber 1 shopping app in Korea,with over 900,000 downloads3The product lands incustomer’s “virtual cart”Online sales increased by130.0% since launch in 2011The product isdelivered to thecustomer at a timeand date of his orher choice41Virtual Store—The FourthGeneration Retail StoreSingle virtual store opened at subwayHome plus online membership increasedby 76.0% since launch in 2011Image Source: iStockphoto and Dreamstime Source: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M82C-MT21
3D PrintingThe consumer and commercial products are expected to account for 28% of 3D printing revenues by20203D printing is a computer-driven additive manufacturingtechnology used for producing the final product from adigital model by laying down successive layers of material.Global 3D Printing Market, Segment Breakdown,2009 and 20202020Total Market ( Billion)DesignPrintFinish2009 7.1 Billion3D printing beginswith creating a digitalmodel of the object,usually using CADsoftwareThe 3D printer slicesmodel into numerousdigital cross-sections, andautomatically builds themodel using materials likethermoplasticsThe final 3D printedobject is then cleanedto remove overhungmaterial and ispolished for final use 1.1 BillionBy Industry (% Share)Consumer & Commercial3D Printed Products in Key Industries5%Automotive16 % Human Organs Medical Devices Body Tissues Nano-medicine Pharmaceuticals Concept Modeling Prototypes Spare Parts End-use Parts Tooling Manufacturing Ondemand Cutting Tools Customization Domestic ProductionIndustrial Application15 %Aerospace & DefenseMedical and DentalHealthcareAutomotive28 %ArchitectureManufacturing12 %20 %4%OtherSource: Frost & Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT22
Rise of the RobotsRobots priced between 1,566 and 4,699 could enter our personal lives commercializing the personalrobots market by 2020Commercialization of RoboticsSteep fall in personal robots ownership prices from 150,000 to 1,000ASIMO 150,000 LUNA 1,00020042020 17.39billion 1.29billion CommercialCurrently available on auctionbasisExpected to retail between 1,000and 3,0002013Global Personal Robots Market2010 Non-commercialNot for saleAvailable only on lendingbasisRobots at Home (Personal Robot Applications)Robotics for ElderlyCare: Assisted LivingRobots as TeachingAssistantsRobots for householdcareRobots as NanniesRobots forcompanionshipRobots as personalassistantsSource: Frost & Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT23
Executive Summary – Top Ten Transformational Shifts by 202017High8CircularEconomy3D ngBig DataClouds34Smart CitiesWearableComputing5Rise ofPersonalRoboticsMinor269LowGrowth AttractivenessAssessed based on market attractiveness in terms of revenue /shipment.While all Mega Trends are important, the selection and raking of these trends indicate which seismicshifts will have particular relevance in shaping the landscape in which the world will evolve this decade.Sensorizationof ThingsConservativeRadicalImpact on Future Products and ServicesMeasured based on most impact on future products and services capabilities resulting in new convergent andradical devicesSource: Frost & Sullivan analysis.M82C-MT24
Top Industries of the FutureTop Mature Industries by 2020ICTPharma &HealthcareAerospace& DefenceEnergy,PowerOil & GasChemical,Materials &FoodAutomobileEngineering &ConstructionMetals &MiningMarket Size Potential1 by 2020 ( Billion)1RelativeGrowth Potential2 (2012-2030)Growth Potential2 (2012-2030)ElectronicsTop Emerging Industries by ComputingManagedServicesWellnessIndustryMarket Size Potential1 by 2020 ( Billion)score assigned for potential annual turnover (revenue / shipment) of the industry in 20251Measuredby qualitative factors that has the scope to create a boom in the industry such as new patents, innovation cycle and industry impactSource: Bloomberg, Frost and Sullivan AnalysisM82C-MT25
Some Key Strategic Challenges1(Fair) TradeProviding social premium for community development projects; Balance betweenself-reliance and global market integration; Fostering export dependency2Collaborative EcosystemShift from social intranet to online collaborative workspaces; Directly embeddingcollaborative processes to improve the speed and quality of their decisions3Economic ShiftsChanges in business strategies; China and India to lead the global economy in thenear future; Looking Beyond BRICS4The Retail IssueLook at internet retailing; look at the format of your retailing offer and how this fitsinto new trends for micro solutions driven by convenience5Complexity ManagementNew value chain partnerships; Integration of product innovations; Facing the impactof adjacent markets6Sustainable DevelopmentIncorporation of increased interdisciplinary planning; Adopting new business modelsfor collective ownership7Where You LiveIs your City ‘Smart’ or ‘Sustainable’; What are your City Planning Policies ?8Government InhibitionFocus on public-based solutions; Reduced foreign direct investments;9Sustainable and LivableCitiesNeed for more green initiatives; demand for carbon neutral energy production andadvanced spatial planning and urban design solutions10Organizational ChangesNeed for more integrated solutions; Dynamic and flexible working practices; exteriorinnovations; structural changesSource: Frost & SullivanM82C-MT26
From Macro to Micro: Taking Mega Trends from Information toStrategy ImplementationMacro To MicroMega TrendAnalysis of Opportunities andUnmet NeedsSelected trends that impact yourbusiness and marketsSub TrendA sub- ‐layer of trends that has awide ranging impactImpact on Future Product/Technology/OfferImpact to Your Industry/RegionVisualising the roadmap of these criticalforces through scenario- ‐building and macroeconomic forecastsM82C-MT27
Learn More About “New Mega Trends”Published Book:New Mega TrendsImplications for our Future LivesBy Sarwant SinghPublisher: Palgrave aspx?pid 577423Join Our Mega Trend Group OnMega Trends: Strategic Planning and Innovation Basedon Frost & Sullivan ResearchM82C-MT28
Mega Trending on My Trip to Helsinki.M82C-MT29
Thank You !Iain JawadDirector Strategic Partnerships( 44) (0)20 7343 8311Iain.jawad@frost.com“We Accelerate Growth”M82C-MT30
The Mega Trend Matrix Understanding Implications of Key Mega Trends on Global Economy Note: The size of the bubble represents the scale of opportunity within each Mega Trend. These Mega Trends have been plotted based on quantitative and qualitative reasoning. Source: Frost & Sullivan Analysis Low Degree of Certainty Low High High Urbanization
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