COLUMBUS 2022 Q1 MARKET TRENDS 605 S Front St Suite 200 Columbus OH 43215 www.ohioequities.com 614 224 2400
COLUMBUS OFFICE OVERVIEW Direct Vacancy Rate Positive Absorption 9.3% 238k End of Q1 End of Q1 Sublease Rate 3.2% End of Q1 CAP Rate 7.5% Average Past 12 Mo. The flight to quality is driving strong growth in some of the most expensive submarkets. Growth now represents a fairly narrow range, although some of the more expensive submarkets, including Polaris and Dublin, remain near the top of the list. Rents are highest in the North Central and Polaris submarkets. “The Columbus office market is experiencing surging velocity with Class A leasing and investment sales. Many companies are returning to the office in a hybrid or full-time capacity which has spurred a “flight to quality” and major competition amongst tenants who are leasing space to attract and retain the best talent. ” Rents are up 0.4% year over year as of March 2022, compared to the U.S. average of 0.6%. Sublease availability indicates better times are ahead as available sublease space continues to drop from its peak of 1.4 million SF in Q3 21. Around 1.9 million SF is under construction. The Columbus market is the priciest in the state with rents averaging more than 21/SF as of Q1 22. Higher-rated space is averaging 25/SF.These rates are on a gross basis. Andy Dutcher Office Specialist adutcher@ohioequities.com Source: CoStar Group
COLUMBUS INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW Vacancy Rate 2.5% Positive Absorption 5.6M End of Q1 SF End of Q1 Rental Rate Under Construction 6.32 17.4MSF Per SF End of Q1 Currently Rent growth in Columbus remains near record levels, and at 5.3%, new construction exceeds the national average, which sits at 3.3% of market inventory. The abundance of well-leased and newly delivered product paired with CAP rates above the national average, have been a draw for out-of-state and national investors. “The market in Columbus is off to a stong start in 2022 despite a lack of available product. As more deliveries occur in Q2, it will be interesting to see how quickly the market gobbles it up.” Six properties totaling 1.9 million SF were delievered in Q1. Intel’s announcement of their 20 billion investment in the region for its semiconductor manufacturing facilities has drawn attention and speculation to New Albany and Licking County. Tenant demand remains high and a lack of available space is creating issues for growing tenants. Landlords are preleasing space 8-9 months in advance. Blake DeCrane Industrial Specialist bdecrane@ohioequities.com Despite the increase in interest rates, CAP rates have not changed. Investors still remain bullish on Columbus. Source: CoStar Group
COLUMBUS RETAIL OVERVIEW Vacancy Rate 12 Mo Rent Growth 12 Mo. Deliveries 3.9% 752K 2.3% 480K End of Q1 Positive Absorption SF End of Q1 SF With vacancy rates of 3.9% sitting well below the national average of almost 5% due to nearly 752,000 SF absorbed in the past 12 months, and rents being the highest in the state, Columbus’ retail sector is showing strength. “Retail leasing has rebounded nicely in the Columbus market. Velocity has returned to prepandemic levels, with 175,000 SF absorbed through mid-February. Overall, Columbus’ retail fundamentals are strong with low vacancy and good rent growth. New construction starts are the only low point, with just 100,000 SF delivered in the first quarter.” Rents in Columbus lead the state at about 17 per square foot - about 20% higher than Cleveland or Cincinnati. Columbus rents are 1.6% higher than this same time last year. Single tenant net leases dominated the first quarter of 2022. As of Q1 22, more than 940,000 square feet of space is under construction across 14 different submarkets. Mike Simpson Retail Specialist msimpson@ohioequities.com Source: CoStar Group
COLUMBUS MULTIFAMILY OVERVIEW Vacancy Rate 5.1% End of Q1 Positive Absorption 7,103 Units in Past 12. Mo. Rental Rate Increased 8.8% Year Over Year Cap Rate of Sales 6.18% End of Q1 Despite rising interest rates, apartment sales are still surging in the Columbus MSA. Columbus’ swift economic recovery has supported the demand. Because of this demand, sale pricing has yet to reflect the increase for cost of capital due to the competition in the marketplace. This demand is supported by record level “renting demand” and in turn, declining vacancy. “Due to the strong economic bases within the MSA, Columbus has regained nearly all of the jobs initially lost during the pandemic and total unemployment is sitting at just 0.6%, below February 2020 levels. With the additional news of Intel, I expect the strong demand for jobs and overall population growth expectations to mitigate potential interest rate volitilty.” Carter Stephens Multi-Family Specialist cstephens@ohioequities.com Rent growth hit an all-time high in Columbus and averages 8.5%, outpacing the three-year average of 4.4%. Columbus’ rents top Ohio’s other major markets at an average of 1,140/month. Several factors are expected to keep demand for rental units high in Columbus. The amount of for sale inventory remains historically low driving home prices up which will likely keep many looking to purchase a home in the renter pool. Affordability and economic growth also continue to attract population. Demand last year drove vacancy down more than 800 basis points to 7%, the lowest point in four years. Source: CoStar Group
Our Team George “Sandy” Simpson Chairman Michael Simpson President Curt Berlin, SIOR Industrial Philip Bird, SIOR Office & Investment Conor David Retail, Office & Investment Blake DeCrane Industrial Andy Dutcher, SIOR Matt Gregory, Office & Investment SIOR, CCIM Office &Investment John Mally Retail, Office, Investment Ryan McGreevy Industrial & Office Joe Menninger Industrial & Office Jim Merkel, CCIM, SIOR Office & Industrial Peter Merkle Office, Retail & Investment Bob Monahan Church, Office & Retail Matthew Osowski, SIOR Industrial & Investment Mike Semon Industrial & Investment Dan Sheeran Industrial & Investment Dan Sheeran, Jr. Industrial & Investment Doug Shull Industrial & Investment Carter Stephens Multi-Family & Investment Kim Benincasa Investment
COLUMBUS 2022 Q1 MARKET TRENDS. 605 S Front St Suite 200 Columbus OH 43215 www.ohioequities.com 614 224 2400 . for out-of-state and national investors. COLUMBUS. INDUSTRIAL OVERVIEW. Positive Absorption. SF End of Q1. 5.6. M . Columbus' rents top Ohio's other major markets at an average of 1,140/month.
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