Mike Cohn - Background

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Planning and TrackingAgile Projects1Mike Cohn - background Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 20072

Imagine. That you’re fed up with software developmentas a career And you decide to go into the landscapingbusiness Your first job ismoving this pile ofrock from thefront of my houseto the back Mountain Goat Software, LLC3How might you estimate this? One way: Look at the pile of rock and estimate how manywheelbarrow loads it representsAfter an hour, see howmany wheelbarrow loadsyou’ve moved thenextrapolate the totalduration I think that’s 80 wheelbarrow loads After an hour I’ve moved 20 loads So, I’ll be done in a total of 4 hours Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 20074

Wheelbarrow LoadsMy landscaping80604020009001000110012001300Time Mountain Goat Software, LLC Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200756

The planning onion Mountain Goat Software, LLC7Relating the different planning levelsIteration BacklogIteration 2Iteration 1Product Backlog Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 20078

An agile approach to planningReleaseFeedbackIterationFeedback Mountain Goat Software, LLC9AgendaEstimatingRelease planningBurndown charts Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200710

Story points Probably the most commonly used estimatingunit among agile teams today Name is derived from agile teams commonlyexpressing requirements as “user stories” Based on a combination of the size andcomplexity of the work Unitless but numerically relevant estimates A 10-point user story is expected to take twice aslong as a 5-point user story Mountain Goat Software, LLC11Consider these two piles of workWhat story point valuesmight we put on these? Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200712

Zoo pointsAssign “zoopoints” to thefollowing breeds Mountain Goat Software, LLC13Three key advantages Estimating in story points:1. Forces the use of relative estimating Studies have shown we’re better at this†2. Focuses us on estimating the size, not the duration We derive duration empirically by seeing how much wecomplete per iteration3. Puts estimates in units that we can add together Time based estimates are not additive†Lederer and Prasad, 1998. A Causal Model for Software Cost Estimating Error and Vicinanza et al.,1991. Software Effort Estimation: An Exploratory Study of Expert Performance. Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200714

Comparing apples to applesProduct BacklogSprint Backlog Mountain Goat Software, LLC15Planning poker for estimatingiterative approach to estimating, loosely based on Anwideband Delphi Steps1. Each estimator is given a deck of cards, each card has a2.3.4.5.6.valid estimate written on itCustomer/Product owner reads a story and it’s discussedbrieflyEach estimator selects a card that’s his or her estimateCards are turned over so all can see themDiscuss differences (especially outliers)Re-estimate until estimates converge Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200716

1Planning poker - an example28 13 203 5 Mountain Goat Software, LLC17Estimate these Mountain Goat Software, LLCMonday, March 19, 200718

Why planning poker works1Jørgensen, Magne. 2004. AReview of Studies on Expert Estimation of Software DevelopmentEffort.2Hagafors, R., and B. Brehmer. 1983. Does Having to Justify One’s Decisions Change the Nature ofthe Decision Process?3Brenner, et al. 1996. On the Evaluation of One-sided Evidence.4Miranda, Eduardo. 2001. Improving Subjective Estimates Using Paired Comparisons.5Saaty, Thomas. 1996. Multicriteria Decision Making: The Analytic Hierarchy Process. Mountain Goat Software, LLC19Why planning poker works6Hoest, Martin, andClaes Wohlin. 1998. An Experimental Study of Individual Subject

Planning and Tracking Agile Projects Mike Cohn - background Mounta

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