Aviva Plc - Results Presentation FY 2017

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Aviva plcResults 2017

DisclaimerCautionary statements:This should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This presentation contains, and we maymake other verbal or written “forward-looking statements” with respect to certain of Aviva’s plans and current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance, results,strategic initiatives and objectives. Statements containing the words “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “projects”, “plans”, “will,” “seeks”, “aims”, “may”, “could”, “outlook”, “likely”, “target”, “goal”,“guidance”, “trends”, “future”, “estimates”, “potential” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk anduncertainty. Accordingly, there are or will be important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these statements. Aviva believes factors that couldcause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in forward-looking statements in the presentation include, but are not limited to: the impact of ongoing difficult conditions in theglobal financial markets and the economy generally; the impact of simplifying our operating structure and activities; the impact of various local and international political, regulatory andeconomic conditions; market developments and government actions (including those arising from the referendum on UK membership of the European Union); the effect of credit spreadvolatility on the net unrealised value of the investment portfolio; the effect of losses due to defaults by counterparties, including potential sovereign debt defaults or restructurings, on the valueof our investments; changes in interest rates that may cause policyholders to surrender their contracts, reduce the value of our portfolio and impact our asset and liability matching; the impactof changes in short or long term inflation; the impact of changes in equity or property prices on our investment portfolio; fluctuations in currency exchange rates; the effect of market fluctuationson the value of options and guarantees embedded in some of our life insurance products and the value of the assets backing their reserves; the amount of allowances and impairments takenon our investments; the effect of adverse capital and credit market conditions on our ability to meet liquidity needs and our access to capital; changes in, or restrictions on, our ability to initiatecapital management initiatives; changes in or inaccuracy of assumptions in pricing and reserving for insurance business (particularly with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse ratesand policy renewal rates), longevity and endowments; a cyclical downturn of the insurance industry; the impact of natural and man-made catastrophic events on our business activities andresults of operations; our reliance on information and technology and third-party service providers for our operations and systems; the inability of reinsurers to meet obligations or unavailabilityof reinsurance coverage; increased competition in the UK and in other countries where we have significant operations; regulatory approval of extension of use of the Group’s internal model forcalculation of regulatory capital under the European Union’s Solvency II rules; the impact of actual experience differing from estimates used in valuing and amortising deferred acquisition costs(“DAC”) and acquired value of in-force business (“AVIF”); the impact of recognising an impairment of our goodwill or intangibles with indefinite lives; changes in valuation methodologies,estimates and assumptions used in the valuation of investment securities; the effect of legal proceedings and regulatory investigations; the impact of operational risks, including inadequate orfailed internal and external processes, systems and human error or from external events (including cyber attack); risks associated with arrangements with third parties, including joint ventures;our reliance on third-party distribution channels to deliver our products; funding risks associated with our participation in defined benefit staff pension schemes; the failure to attract or retain thenecessary key personnel; the effect of systems errors or regulatory changes on the calculation of unit prices or deduction of charges for our unit-linked products that may require retrospectivecompensation to our customers; the effect of fluctuations in share price as a result of general market conditions or otherwise; the effect of simplifying our operating structure and activities; theeffect of a decline in any of our ratings by rating agencies on our standing among customers, broker-dealers, agents, wholesalers and other distributors of our products and services; changesto our brand and reputation; changes in government regulations or tax laws in jurisdictions where we conduct business, including decreased demand for annuities in the UK due to proposedchanges in UK law; the inability to protect our intellectual property; the effect of undisclosed liabilities, integration issues and other risks associated with our acquisitions; and thetiming/regulatory approval impact, integration risk, and other uncertainties, such as non-realisation of expected benefits or diversion of management attention and other resources, relating toannounced acquisitions and pending disposals and relating to future acquisitions, combinations or disposals within relevant industries; the policies, decisions and actions of government orregulatory authorities in the UK, the EU, the US or elsewhere, including the implementation of key legislation and regulation. For a more detailed description of these risks, uncertainties andother factors, please see ‘Other information – Shareholder Information – Risks relating to our business’ in Aviva’s most recent Annual Report. Aviva undertakes no obligation to update theforward looking statements in this presentation or any other forward-looking statements we may make. Forward-looking statements in this presentation are current only as of the date on whichsuch statements are made.

Mark WilsonAviva plcGroup Chief Executive Officer3

2017 key metrics – strong across the boardEPSCapitalCashDividendEPS154.8p 7%Capital Generation 2.6bnCash remittance 2.4bn27.4p per share 18%Centre liquidity 2.0bn50% pay-out ratio 4ppOperating profit1 3,068m 2%42Solvency II ratio198%3All footnotes on page 67

Growing EPS and dividendDividend per share: 18%EPS: 7% 18% 7% 12% 15% 3% 42017All footnotes on page 6720.8p201523.3p20162017

Major markets – broad based profit growth across major markets1,4FrancePolandCanada 2.2bn 13% 507m 20% 177m 26% 46m -83%SingaporeItalyAviva Investors 168m 21%65UKIreland 86m6 18% 110mAll footnotes on page 67 10% 213m 0%

Major markets – competitive advantages delivering resultsUKFranceBPA sales up 3xVNB 14% 30% RoCEPYD adverse 1.3%Savings flows up 2xUL / protection: 48% of salesLife – positive mix shiftChallenging auto market777GI COR 93.9%Aviva InvestorsRevenue 14%Net fund flows 1.6bnPoland97GI COR 94.5%GI COR 86.7%GI COR 102.2%IrelandSingaporeItalyNWP 15%VNB 29%VNB up 2xAviva FA: 673 advisersNet flows 2.3bn7GI COR 91.4%9Infrastructure origination 24%7CanadaAll footnotes on page 679

Major markets – targeting above mid-single digit growth from 20188UKFrancePolandCanadaSavings, structural growthMix, further optimisationGI, continued growthRecovery programBPA & GCS, expand appetiteUnlock distribution potentialDirect sales productivityDistribution breadthDigital direct, gaining shareEfficiency benefitsDigital direct, partner channelComposite expansionAviva InvestorsIrelandSingaporeItalyExternalisation: 3rd party AUMMaintain margin excellenceDisruption playBroaden distributionDiversified excellenceScale up compositeExpand FA channelAdding talent & capabilityFriends First integrationLeading asset platformProduct innovation drivingimproved mix and marginAll footnotes on page 67

Strategic investments support long-term growthMarketPopulationChina1.4bn Broad geographic footprint with agency growthDigital agency tools boosting productivityHong Kong7.4m Disruption playJV with Tencent approvedIndonesia261m JV with No. 1 conglomerate (Astra)Geographic expansion, multi-channel approachVietnam92.7m 100% ownedLong-term exclusive distributionTurkey79.5m No. 2 Life positionStructural market growthIndia1.3bn Improved market fundamentalsStrategy under reviewHigh growth9Growth driversAll footnotes on page 67

Confidence in long-term growth prospects10Structural growthExpanding capabilityAviva advantageAuto-enrolmentBig data & Artificial IntelligenceTrusted brandDB de-riskingAviva InvestorsCompositeDemographicsBulk Purchase AnnuitiesScale efficiencyWelfare reformGlobal Corporate & SpecialtyPartner of choiceGDP Bolt-on M&A appetiteDigital ecosystem

2bn capital deployment incrementally positive for EPS and cash-flow20172018OrganicgrowthDigital, BPA,Savings, AI,HSBC partnershipInvest to grow – self fundingBolt-onM&AVietnam,WealthifyDebtdeleveraging 650m debt repaymentCapitalreturns11Aviva Investors, BPA, partnerships, GCS, LT savingsc. 600mExisting markets focus (incl. Friends First)Digital and data capabilitiesc. 900mRepay hybrid debtPrefs and other buybacks- c. 500m 300m share buybackAbility to cancel expensive preference shares through capital reduction*Consider additional returns in 2H18*via a court approved reduction of capital at par plus accrued interest and arrears, and in the case of GA plc, issue premium, subject to approval from relevant issuer’s ordinary and preference shareholders voting together

Checklist – 2017 Results1Grow EPS54.8p, 7% growthStrong capital198% , 2bn to deploy in 2018Grow dividend27.4p, 4th year of double digit growthCompositeBenefits delivered across major marketsDigitalGrowing digital revenues and interactions123All footnotes on page 67

Tom StoddardChief Financial Officer

Operating profit mFY16FY17Change1,9462,20113%Ireland (excl. Health)738618%Aviva Investors13916821%France (excl. taly212213-Singapore10011010%3,3003,5086%Strategic investments(52)(85)(63)%Corporate costs, non insurance & other(131)(147)(12)%Group debt costs(411)(400)3%FPI140119(15)%Contribution from disposals*16473(55)%3,0103,0682%UK Insurance1,4Major marketsTotal major markets1Operating EPS54.8p 7%1Operating profit142*Disposals include Antarius and part of Spain which completed in 2017 and Ireland Health which completed in 2016All footnotes on page 67Operating EPSafter I&R costs52.0p 11%

Net asset value7Basic EPSOpening NAV per shareat 1 January 2017414p55pOperating profitOgden35.0p(25)pDividends23.1pShare buyback(7)pInvestment variances& short-term fluctuationsx 2.315.3p(4)pFY15FY16FY17Pension movementAVIF amortisation(11)pIntegration& restructuring(3)pIntegration & restructuring costs m(33)%Disposals3p2121pOtherClosing NAV per shareat 31 December 2017379423pFY1515All footnotes on page 67FY16141FY17

UK Insurance42Operating profitPerformance and priorities m Unique large scale composite with unparalleled distributionand brand and a top 3 rank across multiple product lines13%2,2017%Health1,9461,820408GI Long term savings net flows near doubled to 5.6bn, BPAvolumes9 tripled to 2bn and Protection VNB8 up 21%Life GI NWP up 4% with 14% in Direct; Best underwritingresult in 11Y with 93.9% COR7 and improved underlyingperformance392368 ROCE for combined UKI business improved to 14%1,7581,4311,523 Looking forward:- Targeting rising savings net flows and increased BPAappetiteFY15161FY161- Partnerships (incl. HSBC), new digital propositions andGlobal Corporate & Specialty to drive further GI NWPgrowthFY17All footnotes on page 67

UK Insurance profit driversLifeGeneral Insurance 9% operating profit2 growth from core segments 4% operating profit2 growthNet written premiums ( m)Long-term savings142185 118bn AuA ( 13%)3,930 20bn Platform AuA ( 56%)4,078 17% Direct Personal Motor Stable inforce margin (25bps) 8% Commercial Non MotorAnnuities & Equity Release656725 Organic growth in higher marginproducts & channelsCombined ratio 4.3bn PVNBP ( 58%)7,11(%) Underwriting result up 6% Our largest ever BPA win ( 0.6bn)93.993.9 Continued asset optimisation Normalised COR improved by 1.3pp 1.0pp benefit from PY releases(FY16: 2.2pp)Protection2242FY16227FY17 New business volumes up 11% fromcontinued success of digital platform& composite model Adverse claims experience inexisting group business392All footnotes on page 67408 Sustainable earnings’ growth Leading edge data analytics acrossclaims, underwriting and pricingFY161Operating profit ( m)17Operating profit ( m)FY17

Ireland2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m18%8640% True Customer Composite (‘TCC’) with exceptional brandrecognition and 15% market share in GI 15% NWP: growth across all channels and Direct in particular COR7 improved to 91.4% (FY16: 92.4%) from robust fraudmanagement and rate increases despite lower releases andless benign weather VNB9 broadly stable at 11m Looking forward:GILife735253412824FY15183233FY16FY17All footnotes on page 67-Seek to replicate UK strengths by bringing together digitalpropositions & large scale composite model to capitalise onstrong brand recognition-Complete Friends First acquisition (expected to be accretivefrom Y1) and become the largest composite with 15%market share in both Life & GI

Aviva Investors2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m Strong growth engine with 25.7% ROE (FY16: 24.4%)21%FM Operating profit margin increased to 29% (FY16: 27%)32% Growing share of external clients: 21% of AuM and 34% ofrevenue at FY17, 5pp and 2pp respectively vs. FY16 353bn AUM with net inflows of 1.6bn; AIMS AUM 40%to 12.6bn (FY16: 9.0bn)168139 4.1bn of infrastructure assets originated in 2017 ( 24%)105 Looking forward:- Target improved investment performance from AIMS torestore momentum in net flows and AuM growthFY1519FY16- Accelerate ‘Real Assets’ offering and continue to supportUK through origination of long-term private debt assetsFY17All footnotes on page 67

France2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m20% Strong distribution footprint, with increased brand recognitionproviding an opportunity to expand our presence withcustomers Outperforming the market in 2017: Unit-linked net inflows 68% vs. 43% market12; GI premiums 3% vs. 2% market12 VNB9 up 14% (excl. Antarius) with further shift in mix asprotection & linked sales were 48% of PVNBP9 (FY16: 38%) COR7 improved to 94.5% from better underwriting and lowerlarge losses; GI NWP 3% (excl. FX) with Direct up 5% Expense discipline: stable cost base excl. FX and Antarius Looking forward:5076%39971GI & Health421104Life(excl. Antarius)70403328FY1520351FY16FY17All footnotes on page 67-Manage for efficiency-Unlock distribution potential by implementing differentiatedcustomer propositions under one Aviva brand

Canada2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m26%(83)%GI269 Off-year for typically high ROCE franchise, #2 GI insurer with adiversified distribution and 10% market share 6.7pp swing in prior year development (‘PYD’): (1.3)ppadverse at FY17 vs. 5.4pp favourable at FY16 7Y trend of favourable PYD following previous governmentreforms ceased, as evidenced by adverse trend in OntarioAuto market COR7 102.2% (FY16: 93.0%); Normalised AY COR 100.7%(FY16: 97.7%) mainly from higher claims inflation in Auto NWP up 23% to 3bn; Excl. RBC & FX, NWP up 5% Looking forward:21446FY1521FY16-Restore COR to 94-96% range by 2020 through targetedactions on pricing, underwriting and claims-Prioritising underwriting profit growth over topline NWPFY17All footnotes on page 67

Poland2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m26%1771%1391021GI High ROCE business with full TCC capabilities, multichannel distribution, strong digital credentials and 15%share of profit poolLife VNB9 57m (FY16: 54m); Maintained high quality mix withprotection & unit-linked sales c85% of total1408 COR7 improved to 86.7% from positive underwriting actionson Motor; NWP 36% benefitted from JV consolidation156129 Distribution footprint further strengthened: MyAviva platformlaunched and new deal with ING announced132 Looking forward:- Strong growth prospectsFY1522FY16- Continue to build scale: further expand GI business andDigital/Direct offering, bolt-on M&A desirableFY17All footnotes on page 67

Italy2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m-23%GI21217242213Life4533 Composite business with major bancassurance partnershipsand a growing IFA franchise VNB9 more than doubled to 179m (FY16: 83m) fromhigher volumes and improved with-profit margin; Capitallight ‘hybrid’ product sales up 76%13 driving net flows of 2.3bn ( 38%) New business strain dampened operating profit in 2017170 COR7 94.2% (FY16: 92.5%) from lower PYD with broadlystable underlying performance168139 Looking forward:- Continue shift to capital-light products, grow FA networkand further develop digital capabilitiesFY1523FY16FY17- Complete sale of Avipop JV to Banco BPMAll footnotes on page 67

Singapore2Performance and prioritiesOperating profit m Profitable franchise in leading wealth centre10%14%Life110GI & Health Top 6 life & health franchise / Opportunity to take additionalshare through disruptive distribution strategy100 29% growth in VNB9 to 123m with double-digit volumeincrease in savings & protection products88 Aviva Financial Advisers: 673 advisers at FY17 ( 60%) andmarket leader in FA regular premium space11811294 10% operating profit despite expense of building FA channel &adverse impact on GI profitability from investment to build scale Looking forward:(6)FY15(12)(8)FY16FY17- Capitalising on Aviva strengths as digital composite andpartner of choice to accelerate growth- Double digit sales growth target for FA segment24All footnotes on page 67

Capital generationActions include ( bn):Operating capitalgeneration 2.6bnUnderlyingcapitalgeneration 1.7bn189%3 (0.5)bn (0.2)bn 0.9bnFL Part VIIs synergies0.7Other assumption & modelling changes(net impacts)0.2198%3 (0.8)bn 2.2bn (1.1)bn 0.4bn 12.2bn 11.3bn31-Dec-1625BU underlyinggenerationDebt ¢re costsOther capitalactionsMarket, FXand otherAll footnotes on page 672017 capitalreturnsDividendDisposals31-Dec-17

Cash remittances mFY1610FY17Change1,1871,80052%UK underlying9371,30039%Friends Life 395746%UK10AsiaAviva Investors Cumulative cash remittances (incl. proceeds fromcompleted disposals only) on track at 4.6bn* vs. 8bn 2016-18 target 750m of Friends Life specials remitted to date vs.2016-18 target of 1bn France: DVA approval improves strength andresilience of local capital position; Opportunity forfurther capital optimisation in 2018 (FRPS) Canada’s remittance reflects disappointing FY17performance Centre liquidity increased to 2.0bn (FY16: 1.8bn)Cash remittances261,8052,39833%*Excludes proceeds from pending divestituresAll footnotes on page 67

Capital deployment – 2018Retiring hybrid debtDe-leveraging 500m 6.875% T2 (May*) 575m 7.875% RT1 (Nov*)c 0.9bn *Optional first call dates 2bnavailableto deploy27M&A budgetBolt on M&Ac 0.6bnFriends First Ireland 130mexpected completion 1H18Focus on existing major markets& Digital/Data capabilitiesUnused component available foradditional debt reduction or capital returnCapital returnsLiability managementAdditional returns 0.5bnAbility to cancel expensivepreference shares through capitalreduction**Share buy-back and/or special dividendpotential in 2H18. Size subject to M&Aand liability management**via a court approved reduction of capital at par plus accrued interest and arrears, and in the case

Aviva plc . Results . 2017 . Disclaimer . Cautionary statements: This should be read in conjunction with the documents distributed by Aviva plc (the “Company” or “Aviva”) through The Regulatory News Service (RNS). This presentation contains, and we may . Aviva plc - Results presentation FY 2017 .

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