The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)

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The North American Free Trade Agreement(NAFTA)M. Angeles VillarrealSpecialist in International Trade and FinanceIan F. FergussonSpecialist in International Trade and FinanceMay 24, 2017Congressional Research Service7-5700www.crs.govR42965

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)SummaryThe North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into force on January 1, 1994. Theagreement was signed by President George H. W. Bush on December 17, 1992, and approved byCongress on November 20, 1993. The NAFTA Implementation Act was signed into law byPresident William J. Clinton on December 8, 1993 (P.L. 103-182). The overall economic impactof NAFTA is difficult to measure since trade and investment trends are influenced by numerousother economic variables, such as economic growth, inflation, and currency fluctuations. Theagreement likely accelerated and also locked in trade liberalization that was already taking placein Mexico, but many of these changes may have taken place without an agreement. Nevertheless,NAFTA is significant, because it was the most comprehensive free trade agreement (FTA)negotiated at the time and contained several groundbreaking provisions. A legacy of theagreement is that it has served as a template or model for the new generation of FTAs that theUnited States later negotiated, and it also served as a template for certain provisions inmultilateral trade negotiations as part of the Uruguay Round.The 115th Congress faces numerous issues related to NAFTA and international trade. On May 18,2017, the Trump Administration sent a 90-day notification to Congress of its intent to begin talkswith Canada and Mexico to renegotiate NAFTA, as required by the 2015 Trade PromotionAuthority (TPA). The administration also began consulting with Members of Congress on thescope of the negotiations. Alternatively President Trump, at times, has threatened to withdrawfrom the agreement without satisfactory results. Congress may wish to consider the ramificationsof renegotiating or withdrawing from NAFTA and how it may affect the U.S. economy andforeign relations with Mexico and Canada. It may also wish to examine the congressional role ina possible renegotiation, as well as the negotiating positions of Canada and Mexico. Mexico hasstated that, if NAFTA is reopened, it may seek to broaden negotiations to include security,counter-narcotics, and transmigration issues. Mexico has also indicated that it may choose towithdraw from the agreement if the negotiations are not favorable to the country. Congress mayalso wish to address issues related to the U.S. withdrawal from the proposed Trans-PacificPartnership (TPP) free trade agreement among the United States, Canada, Mexico, and 9 othercountries. Some observers contend that the withdrawal from TPP could damage U.S.competitiveness and economic leadership in the region, while others see the withdrawal as a wayto prevent lower cost imports and potential job losses. Key provisions in TPP may also beaddressed in “modernizing” or renegotiating NAFTA, a more than two decade-old FTA.NAFTA was controversial when first proposed, mostly because it was the first FTA involving twowealthy, developed countries and a developing country. The political debate surrounding theagreement was divisive with proponents arguing that the agreement would help generatethousands of jobs and reduce income disparity in the region, while opponents warned that theagreement would cause huge job losses in the United States as companies moved production toMexico to lower costs. In reality, NAFTA did not cause the huge job losses feared by the critics orthe large economic gains predicted by supporters. The net overall effect of NAFTA on the U.S.economy appears to have been relatively modest, primarily because trade with Canada andMexico accounts for a small percentage of U.S. GDP. However, there were worker and firmadjustment costs as the three countries adjusted to more open trade and investment.The rising number of bilateral and regional trade agreements throughout the world and the risingpresence of China in Latin America could have implications for U.S. trade policy with its NAFTApartners. Some proponents of open and rules-based trade contend that maintaining NAFTA ordeepening economic relations with Canada and Mexico will help promote a common tradeCongressional Research Service

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)agenda with shared values and generate economic growth. Some opponents argue that theagreement has caused worker displacement, and renegotiation could cause further job losses.Congressional Research Service

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)ContentsIntroduction . 1Market Opening Prior to NAFTA. 1The U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement of 1989 . 2Mexico’s Pre-NAFTA Unilateral Trade Liberalization . 3Overview of NAFTA Provisions . 5Removal of Trade Barriers . 5Tariff Changes . 5Trade Barrier Removal by Industry . 6Services Trade Liberalization . 7Other Provisions . 8NAFTA Side Agreements on Labor and the Environment . 9Trade Trends and Economic Effects . 10U.S. Trade Trends with NAFTA Partners . 11Overall Trade . 11Trade Balance and Petroleum Oil Products . 12Trade by Product . 13Trade with Canada . 14Trade with Mexico . 15Effect on the U.S. Economy . 15U.S. Industries and Supply Chains . 16Auto Sector . 17Effect on Mexico . 18U.S.-Mexico Trade Market Shares. 20U.S. and Mexican Foreign Direct Investment. 20Income Disparity. 21Effect on Canada . 22U.S.-Canada Trade Market Shares . 22Foreign Direct Investment . 24Procedures for NAFTA Renegotiation or Withdrawal. 24Renegotiation . 25Withdrawal . 26Issues for Congress . 27Potential Topics for Prospective NAFTA Renegotiation . 27Automotive Sector . 28Services . 28E-Commerce, Data Flows, and Data Localization . 28Intellectual Property Rights (IPR) . 28State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) . 29Investment . 29Dispute Settlement . 29Labor . 30Environment. 30Energy . 30Customs and Trade Facilitation . 30Sanitary and Phytosanitary Standards (SPS) . 31Issues Specific to Mexico. 31Congressional Research Service

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)Issues Specific to Canada . 32North American Supply Chains . 32Trans-Pacific Partnership Withdrawal. 32FiguresFigure 1. Average Applied Tariff Levels in Mexico and the United States (1993 and 1996) . 6Figure 2. U.S. Merchandise Trade with NAFTA Partners: 1993-2016. 12Figure 3. Trade with NAFTA Partners Excluding Petroleum Oil and Oil Products: 19932016 . 13Figure 4. Top Five U.S. Import and Export Items to and from NAFTA Partners. 14Figure 5. Market Share as Percentage of Total Trade: Mexico and the United States . 20Figure 6. Market Share as Percentage of Total Trade: Canada and the United States . 23TablesTable 1. U.S. Trade in Motor Vehicles and Parts: 1993 and 2016 . 18Table A-1. U.S. Merchandise Trade with NAFTA Partners . 34Table A-2. U.S. Private Services Trade with NAFTA Partners . 35Table A-3. U.S. Trade with NAFTA Partners by Major Product Category: 2016 . 36Table A-4. U.S. Foreign Direct Investment Positions with Canada and Mexico . 37AppendixesAppendix. U.S. Merchandise Trade with NAFTA Partners . 34ContactsAuthor Contact Information . 38Congressional Research Service

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)IntroductionThe North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has been in effect since January 1, 1994.NAFTA was signed by President George H. W. Bush on December 17, 1992, and approved byCongress on November 20, 1993. The NAFTA Implementation Act was signed into law byPresident William J. Clinton on December 8, 1993 (P.L. 103-182). NAFTA continues to be ofinterest to Congress because of the importance of Canada and Mexico as trading partners, andbecause of the implications NAFTA has for U.S. trade policy under the Administration ofPresident Donald J. Trump. During his election campaign, President Trump stated his desire torenegotiate NAFTA and that he would examine the ramifications of withdrawing from theagreement once he entered into office. He has also raised the possibility of imposing tariffs or aborder tax on products from Mexico. This report provides an overview of North Americanmarket-opening provisions prior to NAFTA, provisions of the agreement, economic effects, andpolicy considerations.On May 18, 2017, the U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) sent the 90-day notification to Congressof its intent to begin talks with Canada and Mexico to renegotiate the NAFTA, as required by the2015 Trade Promotion Authority (TPA) (P.L. 114-26). Some trade issues that Congress mayaddress in regard to NAFTA, and the prospective renegotiation of the agreement, include theeconomic effects of withdrawing from the agreement, the impact on relations with Canada andMexico, the demands that Canada and Mexico may bring to the negotiations, and an evaluation ofhow to “modernize” or renegotiate NAFTA. Another issue relates to the consequences of the U.S.withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), a proposed free trade agreement among theUnited States and 11 other countries, including Canada and Mexico. Some TPP participantssupport moving forward on a similar agreement without the participation of the United States,which may have implications for U.S. competitiveness in certain markets.1 It also hasimplications for NAFTA renegotiation as it addressed several new issues not in NAFTA.Some trade policy experts and economists give credit to NAFTA and other free trade agreements(FTAs) for expanding trade and economic linkages between countries, creating more efficientproduction processes, increasing the availability of lower-priced consumer goods, and improvingliving standards and working conditions. Others blame FTAs for disappointing employmenttrends, a decline in U.S. wages, and for not having done enough to improve labor standards andenvironmental conditions abroad.NAFTA influenced other FTAs that the United States later negotiated and also influencedmultilateral negotiations. NAFTA initiated a new generation of trade agreements in the WesternHemisphere and other parts of the world, influencing negotiations in areas such as market access,rules of origin, intellectual property rights, foreign investment, dispute resolution, worker rights,and environmental protection. The United States currently has 14 FTAs with 20 countries. Aswith NAFTA, these trade agreements have often been supported or criticized on similararguments related to jobs.Market Opening Prior to NAFTAThe concept of economic integration in North America was not a new one at the time NAFTAnegotiations started. In 1911, President William Howard Taft signed a reciprocal trade agreement1See CRS Report R44489, The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP): Key Provisions and Issues for Congress, coordinatedby Ian F. Fergusson and Brock R. Williams.Congressional Research Service1

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)with Canadian Prime Minister Sir Wilfred Laurier. After a bitter election, Canadians rejected freetrade and ousted Prime Minister Laurier, thereby ending the agreement. In 1965, the United Statesand Canada signed the U.S.-Canada Automotive Products Agreement that liberalized trade incars, trucks, tires, and automotive parts between the two countries.2 The Auto Pact was credited asa pioneer in creating an integrated North American automotive sector. In the case of Mexico, thegovernment began implementing reform measures in the mid-1980s, prior to NAFTA, toliberalize its economy. By 1990, when NAFTA negotiations began, Mexico had already takensignificant steps towards liberalizing its protectionist trade regime.The U.S.-Canada Free Trade Agreement of 1989The United States and Canada signed a bilateral free trade agreement (CFTA) on October 3, 1987.The FTA was the first economically significant bilateral FTA signed by the United States.3Implementing legislation4 was approved by both houses of Congress under “fast-trackauthority”—now known as trade promotion authority (TPA)—and signed by President RonaldReagan on September 28, 1988. While the FTA generated significant policy debate in the UnitedStates, it was a watershed moment for Canada. Controversy surrounding the proposed FTA led tothe so-called “free trade election” in 1988, in which sitting Progressive Conservative PrimeMinister Brian Mulroney, who negotiated the agreement, defeated Liberal party leader JohnTurner, who vowed to reject it if elected. After the election, the FTA was passed by Parliament inDecember 1988, and it came into effect between the two nations on January 1, 1989. At the time,it probably was the most comprehensive bilateral FTA negotiated worldwide and containedseveral groundbreaking provisions. The agreement Eliminated all tariffs by 1998. Many were eliminated immediately, and theremaining tariffs were phased out in 5-10 years.Continued the 1965 U.S.-Canada Auto Pact, but tightened its rules of origin.Some Canadian auto sector practices not covered by the Auto Pact were ended by1998.Provided national treatment for covered services providers and liberalizedfinancial services trade. Facilitated cross-border travel for business professionals.Committed to provide prospective national treatment for investment originatingin the other countries, although established derogations from national treatment,such as for national security or prudential reasons, were allowed to continue.Banned imposition of performance requirements, such as local content, importsubstitution, or local sourcing requirements.Expanded the size of federal government procurement markets available forcompetitive bidding from suppliers of the other country. It did not include subfederal government procurement.Provided for a binding binational panel to resolve disputes arising from theagreement (a Canadian insistence).2The Canada-United States Automotive Products Agreement removed tariffs on cars, trucks, buses, tires, andautomotive parts between the two countries. NAFTA effectively superseded this agreement.3Prior to the U.S.-Canada FTA, the only bilateral U.S. FTA was with Israel.4United States-Canada Free-Trade Agreement Implementation Act of 1988 (P.L. 100-449).Congressional Research Service2

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) Prohibited most import and export restrictions on energy products, includingminimum export prices. This was carried forth in NAFTA only with regard toCanada-U.S. energy trade.Many of these provisions were incorporated into, or expanded in, NAFTA. However, the FTA didnot include, or specifically exempted, some issues that would ap

The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) Congressional Research Service Summary The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) entered into force on January 1, 1994.

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