Computer Model For Evaluating And Scheduling Freeway Work .

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TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD 114818Computer Model for Evaluating andScheduling Freeway Work-ZoneLane ClosuresRAYMONDA.KRAMMES, CONRADL.DUDEK, AND JEFFREYQUEWZ is a computer model that was developed in 1982 as atool for planning and scheduling freeway work-zone operations. The model analyzes traffic flow through lane closures infreeway work zones and estimates the queue lengths and additional road user costs that would result. Several applications ofthe model are reported and two enhancements that have beenmade to improve its utility and accuracy are documented. Oneenhancement is an analysis option to determine acceptableschedules for alternative lane-closure configurations based ona motorist-specified maximum acceptable length of queue ordelay. The second enhancement is an algorithm to account forthe natural diversion of traffic away from the freeway workzone to unspecified alternative routes.Most maintenance and reconstruction operations on existingfreeways are conducted in work zones through which trafficoperates on a restricted cross section adjacent to the work area.The work zone itself must be planned and scheduled with threeobjectives in mind: (a) to protect the safety of both the workersin the work area and the motorists traveling through the workzone, (b) to maximize the efficiency with which the work isperformed, and (c) to minimize the inconvenience and delay tomotorists.In 1984 Memmott and Dudek (1) reported the developmentof a computer model to perform a queue and user cost evaluation of work zones (hence the name QUEWZ). The modelanalyzes traffic flows through freeway work zones and estimates the queue lengths and additional road user costs causedby the work zone. It was designed to evaluate the effects onroad users of alternative work-zone configurations and schedules. Several applications of the model are discussed and tworecent enhancements that have been made to improve its utilityand accuracy for planning and scheduling freeway work-zoneoperations are described. The two enhancements are (a) ananalysis option that provides a preliminary assessment of acceptable schedules for alternative work-zone lane-closure configurations and (b) an algorithm that accounts for the naturaldiversion of traffic away from the freeway work zone to unspecified alternative routes.BACKGROUNDQUEWZ is one of several models of freeway work zones thathave been developed in recent years. In this section, the severalTexas Transnortation Tnstitnte Texas A&M llniversitv Sv. tem C'nl-lege Station: Tex. 77843.- --- ----' -,- -----· - --L.MEMMOTTmodels are briefly reviewed in order to clarify the differencesamong them.Lytton et al. (2), St. John et al. (3), and Butler (4) developedalgorithms to estimate the additional costs to road users per dayof construction activity as part of broader economic evaluationsof highway improvement alternatives. The methodologies ofthese models are consistent with standard procedures for calculating road user costs (5 ), but the aggregate estimates, although appropriate for the purposes for which they were developed, are not at a sufficient level of detail to be useful inwork-zone planning and scheduling.Nemeth and Rouphail (6) and Rathi and Nemeth (7) developed a pair of microscopic models that simulate the movement of vehicles through lane closures in freeway work zoneson the basis of drivers' responses to the stimuli presented at thelane closure. The main application of these models is theevaluation of the effect on traffic performance of differenttraffic control schemes at freeway lane closures.The traditional input-output approach for estimating delaysand queue lengths resulting from restricted capacities in workzones is described in Chapter 6 of the 1985 Highway CapacityManual (HCM) (8). Delay and queue-length estimates arebased on the difference between cumulative arrivals at andcumulative departures from the work zone. Abrams and Wang(9) used this procedure to estimate the additional travel-timecosts associated with these delays. Plummer et al. (10) used theinput-output approach in estimating the fuel-consumptionrelated effect of freeway work zones. The procedure is athe.ore.tically sound, macroscopic approach to delay and queuelength estimation, but the manual nature of the calculationslimits its practicality for evaluating large numbers of alternative work-zone configurations and schedules.DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATIONSOFQUEWZQUEWZ was designed to evaluate traffic flows through laneclosures in freeway work zones and to provide estimates of thequeue lengths and additional road user costs associated withalternative closure configurations. In this section the methodology and applications of the model are summarized. Moredetailed descriptions of the computational procedures havebeen presented elsewhere (1, 11).

19Krammes et al.MethodologyThe model can be applied to freeway facilities with as many assix lanes in each direction and can analyze any number of lanesclosed in one or both directions. The model analyzes trafficflows through the work zone on an hourly basis to estimate thenormal approach speeds and the average and minimum speedsthrough the work zone and, if demand exceeds capacity, thequeue lengths, associated vehicle hours of delay, and averageand minimum speeds through the queue. The additional roaduser costs due to the work zone are then estimated from thesespeeds and queueing characteristics by using the standard procedures presented in AASHTO's Manual on User Benefit Analysis of Highway and Bus-Transit Improvements (5).The nonnal approach speed and average speed through thework zone are computed from a relalionship between speed andvolume-to-capacity ratio similar to that presented in the 1965HCM (12). However, the user has the option of modifying theparameters to more accurately reflect the speed-volume relationship on the freeway of interest.The minimum speed through the work zone was predictedfrom the average speed through the work zone and the squareof the volume-to-capacity ratio through the work zone by usinga linear regression model whose parameters were estimatedfrom available work-zone data.The minimum speed in a queue preceding a work zone isassumed to be zero. The average speed through the queue isestimated by using a kinematic wave model developed byMesser et al. (13) for predicting travel time on an urbanfreeway. The equation was derived directly from the Greenshields (14) speed-flow-density model, which assumes thatspace mean speed is a linear function of density.Vehicle hours of delay and the length of queue when theapproach volume exceeds the work-zone capacity are computed with an algorithm that replicates the traditional inputoutput approach presented in Chapter 6 of the 1985 HCM (8).The additional road user costs per hour of restricted workzone capacity include (a) the additional travel-time costs due todelays in the queue, reduced speeds through the work zone, andthe deceleration and acceleration between the normal approachspeed and the minimum speed through the work zone; (b) theadditional operating costs due to the speed-change cycle fromthe approach speed to the minimum speed in the work zone anddue to the speed-change cycles in the queue; and (c) thedifferences among the operating costs at normal approachspeeds, at the average speed through the work zone, and at theaverage speed through the queue.Critical to the estimation of speeds and queue lengths and ofthe associated additional road user costs are the assumed speedvolume relationship and the assumed capacity of the workzone. There is some question whether the speed-volume relationship for a work zone is the same as that for a normalfreeway segment. Butler (4) concluded that the speed-volumerelationship for work zones did correspond to the typical relationship for normal freeway sections in the 1965 HCM (12).Abrams and Wang (9) also used the typical relationships as thebasis for their estimation of speeds through work zones.However, Rouphail and Tiwari (15) concluded that the speedvolume relationships at lane closures on four-lane freeways inIllinois were considerably different from those in the 1965HCM (12). Additional research will be necessary to determinewhich conclusion is the most accurate.The work-zone capacities used in QUEWZ are those observed by Dudek and Richards (16) in Texas and by Kermodeand Myyra (17) in California and reported in the 1985 HCM(8). Dudash and Bullen (18) observed single-lane capacities ata reconstruction site in Pennsylvania that agreed well with thecapacities observed by Dudek and Richards (16) for a similarlane-closure configuration. These capacity estimates are thebest currently available. However, additional data will be necessary to quantify the effect on work-zone capacity of severalfactors, including the lane-closure configuration, the geometryof the work zone, the percentage of trucks, and the type andintensity of work activity.ApplicationsQUEWZ has been used in several Texas cities, includingHouston and Fort Worth. In Fort Worth, for example, maintenance engineers with the Texas State Department of Highwaysand Public Transportation (SDHPT) used the model to estimatequeue lengths in order to determine the distance upstream of alane closure at which supplemental advance-warning signsshould be placed. Results, which have been reported on aninformal basis, have been favorable.Denney and Levine (19) have provided a more formal discussion of the use of the model for evaluating active trafficmanagement strategies during work-zone activity on the Southwest Freeway in Houston. First, they divided the 4.2-mi workzone into 10 subsections that were homogeneous in terms ofgeometry and demand, and then they used QUEWZ to estimatethe queue lengths that would result from closing one lane ineach subsection between 9:00 a.m. and 4:00 p.m. They foundthat closing one lane in the five-lane subsections of the freewaysegment would not cause significant queues but that in the fourlane subsections queues would exceed 2 mi, which they considered to be the boundary of acceptability. Next, they adjusted themodel inputs to evaluate the effect of two active traffic management strategies on estimated queue lengths in the four-lanesubsections. The first strategy was to use the right shoulder forcarrying traffic in these subsections, which they estimatedwould increase the capacity of the work zone by 750 vehicles/hr. The second strategy was to close several entrance ramps andto divert ramp traffic to the parallel frontage road, which wasevaluated by modifying the approach volumes ror the affectedsubsections. Denney and Levine (19) concluded that "theQUEWZ computer model has been shown to provide reasonable evaluations of the effectiveness of these strategies."Users of the model have generally been pleased with modelresults. However, they recommended some alternative forms ofanalysis and model output to correspond more closely to specific applications of the model for planning and schedulingwork zones on urban freeways.Field applications and additional validation of the modelhave suggested that the model performs well under manyconditions. However, when demands greatly exceed work-zonecapacity, the model's estimates of queue lengths are often muchlonger than those actually observed in the field. The modelcomputes queue lengths by using the traditional input-outputapproach. With accurate inputs (approach volumes) and outputs (work-zone capacities), the model yields accurate queue-

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD 114820length estimates. In most cases, the approach volumes providedare based on historical data representing normal operatingconditions. However, in Texas, where most urban freewayshave parallel frontage roads, natural diversion commonly occurs and actual approach volumes during periods of workactivity are less than normal approach volumes. Therefore, theproblem is not with the methodology of the model but ratherwith the inputs to the model.ENHANCEMENTS TO QUEWZTwo major enhancements to the original QUEWZ model weremade in response to the field applications and validation of themodel. The first was the addition of an analysis option thatdetermines acceptable schedules for alternative lane-closureconfigurations based on a motorist-specified maximum acceptable queue length or delay. The second enhancement was analgorithm that accounts for the natural diversion of traffic awayfrom the freeway to unspecified alternative routes. Figure i is aflo\vchart that sho\vs how t.liese er1ha.11cements have be.en incorporated into the structure of the model.DATAINPUTSPEED & QUEUEESTIMATIONDIVERSIONALGORITHMROAD USER COSTESTIMATESFIGURE 1 Flowchart of QUEWZ.Lane-Closure Scheduling OptionAs one part of an effort to improve the safety of freeway workzones and to minimize their impuct on motorists, the HoustonDistrict Office of the SDHPT developed a set of guidelines todetermine the optimum time for conducting short-term maintenance operations. The guidelines, which were reported byLevine and Kabat (20), specify (a) that the delay to the traveling public should not exceed 20 min and (b) that the number oflanes that can be closed along a particular freeway sectionshould be determined on a site-specific basis. This determination was to be based on a comparison of hourly flow rates andestimated capacities and on consideration of factors includingthe availability of shoulders, the existence of parallel frontageroads, and the volumes on entrance and exit ramps.The Houston Urban Office of the SDHPT requested thatQUEWZ be adapted to identify the proper times of day forclosing freeway lanes. The algorithm that was developed todetermine acceptable schedules for alternative lane-closureconfigurations at freeway work zones allows the user to define"excessive queuing" in terms of either the maximum acceptable length of queue in miles or the maximum acceptable delayto motorists in minutes (21 ). When the lane-closure schedulingoption is requested, QUEWZ evaluates all possible lane-closure configurations for the freeway facility described by theuser. For example, if the user specifies a work zone that willaffect both directions of an eight-lane freeway, the modelevaluates the effect of closing one, two, and three lanes in eachdirection. For each lane-closure configuration, the model considers each hour of the day as a possible starting time anddetermines how many hours the lane closure could continuebefore queue lengths or delays to motorists became excessive.If the user defines a critical length as the criterion for defining excessive queues, QUEWZ uses the user-supplied data onapproach volumes to estimate the queue lengths that woulddevelop during each hour of the day from each starting hour foreach possible lane-closure configuration. These estimatedqueue lengths are compared with the critical length of queue todetermine the number of hours, if any, that the lane closurecould remain in place before queue lengths would becomeexcessive.The user may also specify a maximum acceptable delay tomotorists as the criterion for determining acceptable lane-closure schedules. Dudek et al. (22) reported driver delay tolerances (the minutes of delay before a driver would divert from afreeway to a service road) of 15 to 20 min on the basis of asurvey of drivers in College Station, Texas; Los Angeles; andSt. Paul. Denney and Levine (19), Levine and Kabat (20), andRoper et al. (23) used 20 min as a maximum acceptable delayto motorists in their work-zone planning efforts. The user isgiven the option of either accepting a default value of 20 min orspecifying another value.Delay is defined as the difference between travel times onthe section of freeway in question with and without the workzone. For each lane-closure configuration, delays are computedfor each hour following each possible starting time. The traveltime through the work zone is computed as the sum of thetravel time through the work zone at the average work-zonespeed plus, if applicable, the travel time through the queue atthe avcruge queue speed. The comparable travel time withoutthe work zone is computed by dividing the sum of the queuelength and work-zone length by the normal approach speed onthe freeway. The acceptable lane-closure schedule for eachconfiguration is determined by comparing the estimated delayswith the user-specified criterion for maximum acceptabledelays.To illustrate the use of the lane-closure scheduling option, anexample is provided. The example involves the evaluation ofalternative lane-closure configurations for the inbound direction of a six-lane freeway. Required data for this option includedirectional hourly volumes for each hour of the day and workzone capacities for each lane-closure configuration. The hourlyvolumes used in this example are shown in Table 1. The workzone capacities, which correspond to the average values observed by Dudek and Richards (16), are as follows:

21Krammes el al.TABLE 1 DIRECTIONAL HOURLY VOLUMES FOR EXAMPLE imeVolume(begin - end)(vph)(begin - end)(vph)0 -34012 - 1322001 -223013 - 1422302 -324014 - 1522703 -417015 - 1623304 -532016 - 1723105 -696017 - 1824806 -7406018 - 1919207 -8497019 - 2016308 -9334020 - 2112209 - 10226021 - 22110010 - 11213022 - 2395011 - 12213023 - h)One of three lanes closedTwo of four lanes closed2,9831,127A maximum acceptable delay to motorists of 20 min is specified as the criterion for determining acceptable lane-closureschedules. The model output identifying acceptable schedulesin military time for each lane-closure configuration is presentedin Table 2. The model also provides as output a matrix ofestimated average queue lengths by hour of the day for eachlane-closure configuration.The results presented in Table 2 suggest that it would beacceptable to close one of three lanes either before 7 :00 a.m. orafter 8:00 a.m. A closure beginning at 7:00 a.m. could remainin effect only 1 hr, after which delays to motorists wouldexceed the 20-min criterion. Two of three lanes could be closedfor more than 1 hr only before 6:00 a.m. and after 7:00 p.m.(hour 19 in military time). Delays to motorists would exceed 20min in less than an hour if two of three Janes were closed at anyother time.The queue-length estimates for the lane-closure schedulingoption are based on the assumption that none of the approachvolume diverts from the freeway in response to the presence ofthe work zone. This assumption is appropriate for predictingwhether a Jane closure during a particular hour would have anunacceptable impact on the traveling public. However, thequeue lengths that are predicted may be longer than wouldactually be observed if some traffic does divert. Therefore,diverting traffic must be taken into account to provide moreaccurate predictions of traffic patterns and additional costs tomotorists.Algorithm to Estimate Diverting TrafficAs shown in Figure 1, the diversion algorithm is used with theoutput option that provides road-user cost estimates.Most urban freeways in Texas have parallel frontage roads.When queues develop upstream of a work zone on the mainJanes of the freeway, some proportion of the approaching trafficmay choose to divert to the frontage road or to another alternative parallel route, even though the traffic control for the workzone neither encourages nor requires them to do so. Suchdiversion is termed "natural diversion." When it occurs, theactual traffic volumes through the work zone are Jess thannormal approach volumes. Therefore, queue lengths based onnormal approach volumes overstate the queue lengths that areactually observed.Very little quantitative data exist either on the proportion oftraffic that "naturally" diverts or on the roadway or trafficconditions, or both, that influence the volume of divertingtraffic. Research to address these questions is under way.However, as an interim approach to be used until additionaldata are collected, an algorithm that makes use of currentlyavailable data has been developed and is presented here forconsideration of its theoretical approach.One would expect diversion to occur when motorists perceive (a) that the delays they would experience by remainingon the freeway would be greater than they are willing to

TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH RECORD 114822TABLE 2 ACCEPTABLE LANE-CLOSURE SCHEDULES FORALTERNATIVE WORK-ZONE CONFIGURATIONSWork Starting Hour012345678910iiHour of Maximum Lane Closurea by ClosureConfigurationOne of Three Lanes Two of Three 4242424arr work continues beyond this hour, the delay through the work zonewill exceed 20 min.tolerate and (b) that the travel time they would experience onan alternative route would be less than that on the freeway, Thealgorithm that has been incorporated into the cost-estimatingoption of QUEWZ assumes that diversion will occur so that nomotorist experiences delays greater than some maximum acceptable level. This level may be specified as 20 min, whichhas been suggested by some researchers (19, 20, 22, 23), or asanother value. For freeway corridors where frontage roads orother alternative parallel routes are not available--and therefore diversion is unlikely to occur regardless of the magnitudeof delay-the user may specify a large value for maximumacceptable delay (up to 99 min) to ensure that the model willnot divert any traffic.The first step in the diversion algorithm is to determine thecritical length of queue at which delays to the last vehicle in thequeue would equal the maximum acceptable delay. Then queuelengths that are estimated assuming that no traffic diverts arecompared with this critical queue length. If queues do notexceed the critical length, it is assumed that no traffic diverts.If, in the absence of diversion, queue lengths exceed the criticalqueue length, it is assumed that enough traffic will divert sothat queues never exceed the critical length.The additional costs for diverting traffic are estimated byassuming that (aj the length of diversion equals the length ofthe work zone plus the critical length of queue, (b) the traveltime for diverting traffic equals the time for a vehicle at the endof the critical queue to travel through the queue and the workzone, (c) the diverting traffic maintains a uniform speed equalto the length of the diversion divided by the travel time, and (d)trucks do not divert. The additional costs for diverting trafficare included in the total additional costs to road users thatwould result frOiil ihe lane ciosure.The algorithm produces queue-length estimates that moreaccurately reflect the queue lengths observed when diversionoccurs and therefore is deemed an acceptable interim approach.When sufficient results from the current research concerningnatural diversion become available, the assumptions in thealgorithm will be evaluated and the algorithm will be refined tomore accurately reflect the range of factors that influence underwhat conditions and to what extent natural diversion occurs.The algorithm to estimate diverting traffic is used in conjunction with the cost-estimating option. The output providedby this option is illustrated by an example. A typical application of QUEWZ would be, first, to evaluate alternative laneclosure configurations on a freeway segment by using the laneclosure scheduling option and then to analyze in more detail aspecific lane-closure configuration and schedule by using thecost-estimating option.Suppose that on the freeway segment described in the previous example it was necessary to close one lane for 9 hr. Table2 indicates that it would be acceptable to close one lane from8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. An analysis of this lane-closure scheduleand configuration using the cost-estimating option yields theresults in Table 3. The criterion specified for diverting trafficwas a 20-min delay to motorists. The output provides hourlyestimates for the volume and capacity through the work zone,the normal approach speed to the work zone, the average speedthrough the work zone, the average length of queue precedingthe work zone, and the additional user costs. A comparison ofthe volumes through the work zone in Table 3 with the normalapproach volumes in Table 1 indicates that no traffic divertsfrom the freeway. This result should be expected because aschedule was selected so that delays would not exceed 20 min.The estimated total additional daily user costs due to the laneclosure are approximately 6,300.CONCLUSIONSQUEWZ is a computer model that has proved to be a usefultool for freeway work-zone planning and scheduling. A recentenhancement to the model has increased the utility of the modelin identifying acceptable schedules for alternative lane-closureconfigurations. Another enhancement, the addition of an algorithm to account for the natural diversion of traffic awayfrom the work zone, has improved the accuracy of the model'sestimates of queue lengths at sites where natural diversionoccurs.In its present form, QUEWZ has two analysis options. Thelane-closure scheduling option identifies acceptable schedulesfor all possible lane-closure configurations on a freeway segment based on a motorist-specified maximum acceptable lengthof queue or maximum acceptable delay. The second optionprovides estimates on an houriy basis of the additional roaduser costs that would result from a user-defined lane-closureconfiguration and schedule. The user cost-estimating optionemploys an algorithm that estimates the magnitude of divertingtraffic based on the assumption that traffic will divert so thatdelays to motorists never exceed a user-specified maximumvalue. The additional costs to the diverting traffic are computedand included in the total additional road user costs that wouldresuli from the lane closure.

Krammesel23al.TABLE3SUMMARY OF ROAD USER AdditionalTimeVol UflleCapacitySpeedSpeedLengthUser Costs(begin - end)(vph)(vph)(mph)(mph)(mi)( )93340298352300.534349 - 102260298354390.5150010 - 112130298355490.016411 - 122130298355490.016412 - 132200298354490.018113 - 142230298354490.018914 - 15227029835448o.o20115 - 162330298354480.021816 - 172310298354480.02128 -Total Additional Daily User Costs Due to Lane ClosureACKNOWLEDGMENTThe original QUEWZ model and its recent enhancements weredeveloped as part of research projects sponsored by the TexasState Department of Highways and Public Transportation incooperation with FIIWA and by the Houston District Office ofthe Department.REFERENCES1. J. L. Memmott and C. L. Dudek. Queue and User Cost Evaluationof Work Zones (QUEWZ). In Transportation Research Record 979,TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1984, pp.12-19.2. R. L. Lytton, W. F. McFarland, and D. L. Shafer. NCHRP Report160: Flexible Pavement Design and Management: Systems Approach Implementation. TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1975.3. A. D. St. John, R. R. Blackburn, and D. W. Harwood. Effectivenessof Alternative Skid Reduction Measures, Vol. 2. Report FHWARD-79-23. Midwest Research Institute, Kansas City, Mo., 1978.4. B. C. Butler, Jr. Economic Analysis of Roadway Occupancy forFreeway Pavement Maintenance and Rehabilitation, Vol. 2. ReportFHWA-RD-76-14. Byrd, Tallamy, MacDonald and Lewis, FallsChurch, Va, 1974.5. A Manual on User Benefit Analysis of Highway and Bus-TransitImprovements. American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, Washington, D.C., 1977.6. Z. A. Nemeth and N. M. Rouphail. Lane Oosures at Freeway WorkZones: Simulation Study. In Transportation Research Record 869,TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1982, pp.19-25.7. A. K. Rathi and Z. A. Nemeth. FREESIM: A Microscopic Simulation Model of Freeway Lane Closures. In Transportation Research Record 1091, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1986, pp. 21-24.62638. Special Report 209: Highway Capacity Manual. TRB, NationalResearch Council, Washington, D.C., 1985.9. C. M. Abrams and J. J. Wang. Planning and Scheduling WorkZone Traffic Control. Report FHWA-IP-81-6. ffiK & Associates,San Francisco, Calif., 1981.10. S. R. Plummer, K. A. Andersen, Y. H. Wijaya, and P. T. McCoy.Effect of Freeway Work Zones on Fuel Consumption. In Transportation Research Record 901, TRB, National Research Council,Washington, D.C., 1983, pp. 11-17.11. J. L. Memmott and C. L. Dudek. A Model to Calculate the RoadUser Costs at Work Zones. Report FHWA{fX-83/20 292-l. TexasTransportation Institute, College Station, Tex., 1982.12. Special Report 87: Highway Capacity Manual. HRB, NationalResearch Council, Washington, D.C., 1965.13. C. J. Messer, C. L. Dudek, and J. D. Friebele. Method for Predicting Travel Time and Other Operational Measures in Real-TimeDuring Freeway Incident Detection. In Highway Research Record461, HRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1973,pp. 1-10.14. B. Greenshields. A Study of Traffic Capacity. Proc., HRB, Vol. 14,1934, pp 448-477.15. N. M. Rouphail and G. Tiwari. Flow Characteristics at FreewayLane Oosures. In Transportation Research Record 1035, TRB,National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1985, pp. 50-58.16. C. L. Dudek and S. H. Richards. Traffic Capacity through UrbanFreeway Work Zones. In Transportation Research Record 869,TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C., 1982, pp.14-18.17. R. H. Kermode and W. A. Myyra. Freeway Lane Closures. TrafficEngineering, Vol. 40, No. 5, 1970, pp. 14-18.18. R. E. Dudash and A. G. R. Bullen. Single Lane Capacity of UrbanFreeway During Reconstruction. In Transportation Research Record 905, TRB, National Research Council, Washington, D.C.,1983, pp. 115-117.19. R. W. Denney, Jr., and S. Z. Levine. Devc.loping a SchedulingTool for Work Zones on Houston Freeways. In Transpor1atio11Research Record 979, TRB, National Research Co

The minimum speed through the work zone was predicted from the average speed through the work zone and the square of the volume-to-capacity ratio through the work zone by using a linear regression model whose parameters were estimated from available work-zone data. The minimum speed in a queue preceding a work zone is assumed to be zero.

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