BRUCE EDWARD TONN - University Of Tennessee

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BRUCE EDWARD TONNDepartment of Political ScienceUniversity of Tennessee, KnoxvilleMcClung Tower, Room 1018Knoxville, TN 37996-4015865-974-7041btonn@utk.eduEnvironmental Sciences DivisionOak Ridge National LaboratoryBuilding 1505, MS-6038Oak Ridge, TN 37831- 6038865-574-4041tonnbe@ornl.govRESEARCH Environmental and energy policy, futures studies, sustainability, climate change, decisionINTERESTS: making and uncertainty methods, technology policy, computers in society.EDUCATION:9/79-6/82Northwestern University, Ph.D. in Urban and Regional Planning.9/77-6/79Harvard University, Masters in City and Regional Planning (Graduate School of Designand Kennedy School of Government).9/73-6/77Stanford University, B.S. in Civil Engineering.EXPERIENCE:8/04 - Present Professor, Department of Political Science, University of Tennessee, Knoxville12/13 - Present Fellow, Howard H. Baker Jr. Center for Public Policy, University of Tennessee,Knoxville9/01- Present Senior Researcher, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory7/06 – 8/11Leader, Environmental Sustainability Group, Institute for a Secure and SustainableEnvironment, University of Tennessee, Knoxville8/04 – 5/11Director, Urban and Regional Planning Program, University of Tennessee, Knoxville8/03 - 7/06Chair, Urban Studies Program, University of Tennessee-Knoxville8/07 – 9/09Associate Head, Department of Political Science, University of Tennessee, Knoxville8/03 - 7/04Interim Director, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University ofTennessee-Knoxville8/01- 7/04Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University of TennesseeKnoxville8/99 -7/01Associate Professor, Department of Urban and Regional Planning, University ofTennessee-Knoxville9/97 - 9/01Senior Researcher, Energy Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory10/95 - 9/98Co-principal Investigator, National Center for Environmental Decision-makingResearch9/88 - 8/97Group Leader, Policy Analysis Systems Group, Oak Ridge National Laboratory.1/83 - 8/88Research Staff, Oak Ridge National Laboratory.CURRENTU.S. DOE “National Evaluations of Weatherization Assistance Program”PROJECTS: Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration “Assessment of Funding Formula”Tennessee Valley Authority “Distributed Generation Decision Making”Tennessee Advisory Council for Intergovernmental Relations “SustainableCommunities”

OTHERU.S. DOE “SunShot Rooftop Solar Challenge”RECENTU.S. DOE “Process Evaluation of Home Performance with ENERGY STAR”PROJECTS: U.S. DOE “Case Studies of Firms Receiving 48C Tax Credit”U.S. EPA “The Next Big Thing in Environmental Protection”Deloitte Touche “National Energy Portfolio Perspectives”U.S. DOE “Renewable Portfolio Standards and Low Income Households”NYSERDA “Directly Measuring Non-Energy Impacts”U.S. DOE “Estimating Energy Savings Attributable to the DOE State Energy Program”U.S. DOE “Preliminary Estimates of Federal Energy Management Program Metrics”NYSERDA “Assessing Synergistic Benefits of Market Transformation Programs”U.S. EPA “Air Quality in the Great Smokey Mountains National Park”U.S. DOE “Preliminary Estimates of Best Practices Program Metrics”U.S. DOE “Benefits of Automotive Lightweight Materials Program Research Projects”U.S. DOE “Impact of Weatherization on Demands for LIHEAP Benefits”APPOINTMENTS: Peer Review Panel, Air, Climate, & Energy (ACE) Centers Program, EPA,Arlington, VA, Dec 2-4, 2014NSF, Co-Chair, International Study on Converging Technologies for SocietalBenefit, 2012-2013.NSF Human Centered Computing Medium “Social Computing: Panel, Arlington,VA, Dec. 1, 2011NSF Human Centered Computing Small “Social Computing” Panel Reviewer, inSecond Life, April 28-29, 2011.NSF Human Centered Computing Small “Social Computing” Panel Reviewer, inSecond Life, April 8-9, 2010.Peer Review Panel, Environmental Decision Making, EPA, Jan. 30-Feb. 1, 2008Energy Working Group, University of Tennessee, KnoxvilleExpert Reviewer, IPCC Working Group II Fourth Assessment, Fall, 2005Peer Review Panel, STAR Fellowships, EPA, February 16-17, 2005Expert Panel, State of California Non-Energy Benefits of Low IncomeWeatherization Program Rate Test Assessment, San Francisco, CA, February 27,2001ICMA Risk Workgroup Member, June 2000 - June 2001NSF Information Technology Research (ITR), Socio-economics Panel Reviewer,Washington, DC, May 4-5, 2000.NSF Knowledge and Distributed Intelligence Initiative (KDI) Panel Reviewer,Washington, DC, July 12- 13, 1999.Peer Review Panel for the Integrated Risk Project: EPA Science Advisory Board,Washington, DC, July 1-2, 1999.Peer Review Panel, EPA FUTURES — Detecting Early Signals Grants Program,Washington, DC, March 1999.Council Member, Social Science Computing Association, 1991-1996.President, Social Science Computing Association,1993-1994.EDITORIALBOARDS:Consulting Editor, FuturesMember, SustainabilityPROFESSIONALMEETINGS:Organizing Committee, International Assessment on Converging Knowledge andTechnologies for Societal Benefit (NBIC2), NSF, Dec. 11, 2012Organizing Committee, Visions of Sustainable Economic Growth: A Transatlantic

Dialogue on Energy, Water, and Innovation, Wilson Center, DC, Sept. 2012Organizing Committee, Workshop on the Future of Governance, Baker Centerfor Public Policy, Knoxville, Tennessee, Oct. 14-15, 2010.Organizing Committee, Weatherization Expert Panel Workshop,Philadelphia, PA, May 18-19, 2010.Organizing Committee, National Weatherization Network Committee Meeting,Washington, DC, January 26-27, 2010.Organizing Committee, Energy and Responsibility: A Conference on Ethicsand the Environment, Knoxville, TN, April 10-12, 2008.Organizing Committee, Using Assessments to Strengthen River RestorationsICMA, Norfolk, Virginia, June 15-16, 2001Organizing Committee, 2nd NCEDR Conference on Environmental DecisionMaking, April 1999.Organizing Committee, Workshop on Information Technology and EnvironmentalDecision Making, Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University,Cambridge, MA, October 1998.Organizing Committee, 1st NCEDR Conference on Environmental DecisionMaking, May 1998.Program Committee, Industrial Engineering Applications of Artificial Intelligenceand Expert Systems, June 1997.Chair, Workshop on "Information Technology, K-12 Education, and the Issue ofSustainability," Chattanooga, TN, September 24-26, 1995.Program Committee, Conference on Computing for the Social Sciences, San DiegoSupercomputer Center, San Diego, CA, June 16-20, 1995.Co-Chair, Workshop on "Public Policy Responsibilities in a Restructured ElectricIndustry," Chicago, IL, April 3-4, 1995.Co-Chair, Workshop on "IRP and the Electric Utility of the Future," Chicago, IL,July 19 20, 1994.Program Committee, Conference on Computing for the Social Sciences, Universityof Maryland, College Park, MD, June 1-3, 1994.Chair, Workshop on "Uncertainty and Global Climate Change," Knoxville, TN,March 22-23, 1994.Co-Chair, National Information Infrastructure Education Forum, Arlington,VA, October 6-8, 1993.Program Chairperson, Conference on Computing for the Social Sciences, NationalCenter for Supercomputing Applications, Urbana, IL, May 19-21, 1993.Co-Chair, Workshop on the "Urban Perspectives of Acid Rain," Raleigh, NC,September 23-24, 1992.Organizing Committee, Conference on Advanced Computing and InformationTechnologies for the Social Sciences, University of Georgia, Athens, GA,April 8-10, 1991.Co-Chairperson, Conference on Advanced Computing for the Social Sciences,Williamsburg, VA. April 10-12, 1990.AWARDS:Founders Award of Merit, Social Science Computing Association, June 20, 1995.Walter P. Murphy Fellowship, Northwestern University, 1979-80.Newhouse Foundation Scholarship, Stanford University, 1976-77, l975-76.PROFESSIONALAFFILIATIONS:Member, American Planning AssociationMember, Society for Risk Analysis

Member, American Association for the Advancement of ScienceMember, World Futures SocietyBOOKSRoco, M., Bainbridge, W.S., Tonn, B., and Whitesides, G. 2013 (Eds.). Convergence of Knowledge,Technology and Society: Beyond Convergence of Nano-, Bio-, Info-, and Cognitive Technologies.Springer, Switzerland.JOURNAL ARTICLES/BOOK CHAPTERSTonn, B., Rose, E., and Hawkins, B. 2014. Whole Earth Monitoring. In Handbook of Science andTechnology Convergence (W. Bainbridge and M. Roco, Eds). Springer (Forthcoming).Tonn, B., and Stiefel, D. 2014. “Existential Risk and Uncertainty: Assessing Conditions for Action,”Futures (Forthcoming).Tonn, B., and Rose, E. 2014. “The Health Benefits of Weatherization,” Home Energy, Vol. 31, #2, 2641.Tonn, B. and Stiefel, D. 2014. “Willow Pond: A Decentralized Low-Carbon Futures Scenario,” Futures,58, 91-102.Tonn, B. 2014. “Special Issue on Low Carbon Futures: Overview,” Futures, 58, 1-2.Tonn, B., Frymier, P., Stiefel, D., Skinner, L., Suwanee, N., and Tuck, R. 2014. “Toward An InfinitelyReusable, Recyclable, and Renewable Industrial Ecosystem,” Journal of Cleaner Production, 66, 392406.Tonn, B., Hawkins, B., Schweitzer, M., Eisenberg, J. 2013. Process Evaluation of the Home Performancewith Energy Star Program. Energy Policy, Vol. 56, 371-381.Tonn, B. and Stiefel, D. 2013. “Evaluating Methods for Evaluating Existential Risks,” Risk Analysis,Vol. 33, No. 10, 1772-1787.Tonn, B. 2013. Review of Memories of the Future by Wendell Bell. Contemporary Sociology, Vol. 52(5), 739-740.Tonn, B. 2012. Review of Governance by Evaluation for Sustainable Development: InstitutionalCapacities and Learning. Journal of Cleaner Production, Vol. 68, 281-282.Tonn, B. and Stiefel, D, 2012. The Future of Governance and the Use of Advanced InformationTechnologies, Futures 44 812-822.Tonn, B., Stiefel, D., Scheb, J., Glennon, C., and Sharma, H.2012. “Future of the Courts: Fixed, Flexible,and Improvisational Frameworks,” Futures 44 802-811.Tonn, B., Scheb, J., Fitzgerald, M., and Stiefel, D, 2012. “Future of Governance Workshop Summary,”Futures 44 773-777.

Tonn, B. 2012. “Special Issue on the Future of Governance: Introduction,” Futures 44 771-772.Tonn, B. and Stiefel, D. 2012. “The Race for Evolutionary Success,” Sustainability, 4, 1787-1805.Tonn, B. 2012. “Will Psychological Disorders Afflict Uploaded Personalities?” World Future Review, 3(4), 25-34.Tonn, B., Schweitzer, M., and Peretz, J. 2011. “Energy Program Evaluation,” in Leadership in Scienceand Technology, W. Bainbridge (Ed), Sage Publications, New York.Tonn, B. 2011. “Urban and Regional Planning,” in Leadership in Science and Technology, W.Bainbridge (Ed), Sage Publications, New York.Folz, D. and Tonn, B. 2011. “Program Evaluation,” in Leadership in Science and Technology, W.Bainbrdige (Ed), Sage Publications, New York.Tonn, B. 2011. “Intervention in Countries with Unsustainable Energy Policies: Is It Ever Justifiable?”Futures, 43 (3), 348-355.Tonn, B., Ezzell, T., and Ogle, E. 2010, “Experiential Learning and Sustainable Economic Developmentin Appalachian Communities: A Teaching Note” Journal of Appalachian Studies, 16 (1&2), 144-155.Tonn, B. 2010. Book Review: “The Nature of Technology: What It Is and How It Evolves” by W. BrianArthur. Free Press, New York, 2009, Futures, 42 (9), 1032-1033.Tonn, B. and Wagers, K. 2010. “Threats to Democratic Rationality,” World Futures, 66 (8), 597-625.Tonn, B., Frymier, P., Graves, J., and Myers, J. 2010. “A Sustainable Energy Scenario for the UnitedStates: Year 2050,” Sustainability, 2 (12) 3650-3680.Tonn, B., Gibson, A., Smith, S., and Tuck, R. 2010. “U.S. Attitudes and Perspectives on National EnergyPolicy,” Baker Center Journal of Applied Public Policy, Vol. III, No. I, 11-29.Tonn, B. and Peretz, J. 2009/2010. “Demographic and Economic Trends” World Future Review, Vol.1, No. 6, 5-22Tonn, B. and Berger, J. 2010. “Evaluating DOE’s Weatherization Assistance Program,” Home Energy,July/August, 22-26.Tonn, B. 2010. Book review: “Energy for the Future: A New Agenda” editors Ivan Scrase and GordonMacKerron. Palgrave Macmillan, New York, 2009, Futures, Vol. 42, 504-508.Tonn, B. 2010. “What's in a name: Reflections on Ziauddin Sardar’s 'the namesake'” Futures, Vol. 42,No. 3, 195-198.Tonn, B. 2009. “Preventing the Next Mass Extinction: Ethical Obligations,” Journal of Cosmology, Vol.2, 334-343.

Tonn, B. and MacGregor, D. 2009. “Are We Doomed?,” Futures, Vol. 41, No. 10, 673-675.Tonn, B. and Tonn, J. 2009. “A Literary Human Extinction Scenario,” Futures, Vol. 41, No. 10, 760765.Tonn, B., and MacGregor, D. 2009. “A Singular Chain of Events,” Futures, Vol. 41, No. 10, 706-714.Tonn, B. 2009. “Beliefs about Human Extinction,” Futures, Vol. 41, No. 10, 766-773.Tonn, B. 2009. Book review: “Year Million: Science at the Far Edge of Knowledge” editor DamienBroderick. Atlas & Co., New York, 2008, Futures, Vol. 41, No. 9, 663-664.Peretz, J. Das, S., and Tonn, B. 2009. “Evaluating Knowledge Benefits of Automotive LightweightingMaterials R&D Projects,” Evaluation and Program Planning, Vol. 32, 300-309.Poudyal, N., Hodges, D., Tonn, B, and Cho, S-H. 2009. “Valuing Diversity and Spatial Patterns of OpenSpace Plots in Urban Neighborhoods,” Forest Policy and Economics, Vol. 11, 194-201.Tonn, B. 2009. “Obligations to Future Generations and Acceptable Risks of Human Extinction” Futures,Vol. 41, No. 7, 427-435.Tonn, B. Healy, K.C., Gibson, A., Ashish, A., Cody, P., Lula, S., Mazur, J., Beres, D., and Ritter, A.J.2009. “Power from Perspective: Potential Future United States Energy Portfolios,” Energy Policy, Vol.37, 1432-1443.Tonn, B. and MacGregor, D. 2009. “Individual Approaches to Futures Thinking and Decision Making,”Futures, Vol. 41, 117-125.Tonn, B. and Carpenter, P. 2008. “Technology for Sustainability,” Sven Erik Jorgensen & Brian D. Fath(Eds.), Encyclopedia of Ecology, 1st Edition, Elsevier B.V., Oxford, 3489-3493.Tonn, B. 2008. “Futures: The Next Big Things,” Futures, Vol. 40, 909-912.Das, S., Tonn, B., and Peretz, J. 2008 “Application of Economic Evaluation Techniques to AutomotiveLightweighting Materials Research and Development Projects,” Research Evaluation, Vol. 17, No. 2,133-148.Tonn, B. 2008 “A Methodology for Quantifying and Aggregating the Impacts of Environmental ScanningLeads,” Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Vol. 75, 595-609.Tonn, B. 2008 “Viewing Economics Through the Prism of Sustainable Development and SelfSufficiency,” World Future 2008: Seeing the Future Through New Eyes, World Future Society,Bethesda, MD. 281-302.Tonn, B. Book Review. 2008. “Engaging the Future: Forecasts, Scenarios, Plans, and Projects,” By LewisHopkins and Marisa Zapata in Journal of the American Planning Association, Vol. 74, No. 1, 139-140.

Tonn, B. Book Review: 2007 “Deep Futures: Our Prospects for Survival,” by Doug Cocks inEnvironments, Vol. 35, No. 1, 115-117.Tonn, B. 2007. “Futures Sustainability,” Futures, Vol. 39, 1097-1116.Tonn, B. and Conrad, F. 2007. “Thinking about the Future: A Psychological Analysis,” Social Behaviorand Personality, Vol. 35, No. 7, 889-902.Tonn, B. 2007. “Living as if Futures Matter,” in Hopes and Visions for the 21st Century, World FuturesSociety, Bethesda, MD, 345-360.Tonn, B. and Peretz, J, 2007. “State-Level Benefits of Energy Efficiency,” Energy Policy, Vol. 35, 36653674.Tonn, B., and Marland, G., 2007. “A Method for Attributing Carbon Sequestered in Wood Products toMultiple Parties,” Environmental Science and Policy, Vol. 10, 162-168.Tonn, B. 2007. “The Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change: A Global Scale TransformativeInitiative,” Futures Vol. 39, 614-618.Tonn, B. 2007. “Determinants of Futures-Oriented Environmental Policies: A Multi-Country Analysis,”Futures Vol. 39, 773-789.Tonn, B. and Eisenberg, J. 2007. “The Aging U.S. Population and Residential Energy Demand,” EnergyPolicy, Vol. 35, 743-745.Tonn, B., Conrad, F., and Hemrick, A. 2006. “Cognitive Representations of the Future: Survey Results,”Futures Vol. 38, 810-829.Tonn, B. 2006. “Coevolution of Social Science and Emerging Technologies,” W. Bainbridge and M.Roco (Eds.) Managing Nano-Bio-Info-Cogno Innovations: Converging Technologies in Society,Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 309-336.Tonn, B., English, M., and Turner, R. 2006. “The Future of Bioregions and Bioregional Planning,”Futures, Vol. 38, No. 4, 379-381.Tonn, B., English, M., Turner, R., and Hemrick, A. 2006. “The Future of Bioregional Planning in theSouthern Appalachian Man and the Biosphere Region,” Futures, Vol. 38, No. 4, 490-504.Tonn, B., Peretz, J., Reed, G., and Robles, L. 2006. “Ozone Concentrations Around the Great SmokyMountains National Park,” Futures Research Quarterly, Vol 21, No. 3, 57-80.Peretz, J., Tonn, B., Garnmeister, S., Reed, G., and Robles, L. 2005. “Using Scenarios to Assess theImpact of Air Pollution in the Great Smoky Mountains National Park,” Public Works Management andPolicy, Vol. 10, No. 2, October 2005, pp. 170-185.Tonn, B. and Hogan, M. 2005. “House of Lords: Guardians of Future Generations,” Futures, Vol. 38,115-119.

Peretz, J., Das, S. and Tonn, B. 2005. “Evaluating the Short-Run Benefits of Federal R&D Expenditures,”Journal of Technology Transfer, 30(3), 2005, pp. 287-301.Peretz, J., Tonn, B., and Folz, D. 2005."Explaining the Performance of Mature Municipal Solid WasteRecycling Programs," Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, Vol. 48, No. 5, 627-650.Tonn, B. 2005. “Thinking About the Future: Observations from the Field,” Futures Research Quarterly,Vol. 20, No. 4, 33-46.Tonn, B. 2005. “Imprecise Probabilities and Scenarios,” Futures, Vol. 37, No. 8, 767-775.Tonn, B. 2004. “Darwin and Beyond,” Futures, Vol. 36, No. 10, 1121-1125.Das, S., Tonn, B., and Peretz, J. 2004. “Benefit-Cost Analysis of Automotive Materials LightweightingProjects,” International Journal of Energy Technology Policy, Vol. 2, No. 4, 369-391.Tonn, B. 2004. “MyEmpowerNet.gov: A Proposal to Enhance Policy E-Participation”” Social ScienceComputing Review, Vol. 22, No. 3, 335-356.Tonn, B. and Cottrill, C. 2004. “An Environmental Plan for the Middle Nolichucky River Area,”Environmental Practice, Vol. 6, No. 1, 50-62.Tonn, B. and Hemrick, A. 2004. “Impacts of the Use of E-mail and the Internet on Personal Trip MakingBehavior,” Social Science Computing Review, Vol. 22, No. 2, 270-280.Tonn, B. 2004. “Religion, Futures and Futurism,” Futures, Vol. 36, No. 9, 1045-1048.Tonn, B. 2004. “Research Society: Science and Technology for the Ages,” Futures, Vol. 36, 335-346.Tonn, B. 2004. “Integrated 1000-Year Planning,” Futures, Vol. 36, 91-108.Tonn, B. 2003. “An Equity-First, Risk-Based Framework for Managing Global Climate Change,” GlobalEnvironmental Change, Vol. 13, 295-306.Schweitzer, M. and Tonn, B. 2003. "Nonenergy Benefits of the U.S. Weatherization Assistance Program:a Summary of Their Scope and Magnitude." Applied Energy, Vol. 76, 321-335.Tonn, B., Schexnayder, S., Peretz, J., Das, S. and Waidley, G. 2003. “Assessment of Waste IssuesAssociated with the Production of New, Lightweight, Fuel Efficient Vehicles,” Journal of CleanerProduction Vol. 11, No. 7, 753-766.Tonn, B., Wagner, S. and Schmoyer, R. 2003. “Weatherizing the Homes of Low-Income Home EnergyAssistance Program Clients: A Programmatic Assessment,” Energy Policy, Vol. 31, 735-744.Tonn, B. and Conrad, F. 2003. "Using Informants' Judgments to Infer Attributes in Dynamic Domains,"Field Methods, Vol. 15, No. 2, 202-217.Tonn, B. 2003. “Introduction: What Futures for Social Science?” Futures, Vol. 35, No. 6, 547-551.

Tonn, B. 2003. “The Future of Futures Decision Making,” Futures, Vol. 35. No. 6, 673-688.Tonn, B. 2003. Book Review. Concrete and Clay: Reworking Nature in New York City by MatthewGandy, (MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.) Journal of Planning Education and Research, Vol. 22, No. 3,319-320.Tonn, B. and Das, S. 2002. "Assessment of Platinum Availability for Advanced Fuel-Cell Vehicles,"Transportation Research Record, 1815, 99-104.Tonn, B., and Ogle, L. 2002. “Gatlinforge: A Vision of a Future Gateway Community,” FuturesResearch Quarterly, Vol. 18, No. 3, 5-39.Tonn, B. and Ogle. E. 2002. “A Vision for Communities in the 21st Century: Back to the

OTHER U.S. DOE “SunShot Rooftop Solar Challenge” RECENT U.S. DOE “Process Evaluation of Home Performance with ENERGY STAR” PROJECTS: U.S. DOE “Case Studies of Firms Receiving 48C Tax Credit” U.S. EPA “The Next Big Thing in Environmental Protection” Deloitte Touche “National Energy Portfolio Perspectives” U.S. DOE

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