Opportunity For Logistics And Supply Chain Services In Saudi Arabia

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Sample Deliverable Opportunity for Logistics and Supply Chain Services in Saudi Arabia

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Table of contents I. Logistics & Supply Chain Market Overview Market Definition Saudi Economic Overview Logistics & Warehousing Market Size Key Trends & Outlook II. Overview of Select End Markets III. Competitive Landscape IV. Market Entry Strategy RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 2

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Market Definition Large full service players in the logistics services market are present across the value chain Third Party Logistics Industry Value Chain A. Industry Value Chain I II WAREHOUSING III PACKAGING/ LABELLING TRANSPORT B. Advantage for Operating Across the Value Chain 1 2 Players Present Across the Value Chain These are companies that offer full-service solutions for their clients (transport, warehousing and packaging) RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 3 4 Require Greater Investment by Clients Switching Vendors Becomes Tough Complex logistics services take longer to implement and require capital investments from both client and vendor By increasing the level of client engagement, cost of switching a logistics vendor goes up significantly for the client 3 Higher Bargaining Power Over Time Therefore, compared to a standardized forwarding service, a full service logistics company is able to increase barriers to entry and exit

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Market Definition The logistics services market can be categorized across a wide range of players based services, asset size and risk Market Player Categories (1/2) Third Party Logistics Service Providers 1 These players engage in medium to long term contractual relationships with clients, typically ranging between 3-5 years They typically offer a variety of supply chain services such as warehousing, packaging, labeling, transportation, quality control etc. Asset Base: High Risk Exposure: Mid to High RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 2 Transport Services Asset based business models providing transportation of unit load or bulk goods Services are offered by truck/ train as part or full load They are typically asset-intensive businesses The highly commoditized road transportation being particularly fragmented and competitive Asset Base: High Risk Exposure: Medium 4 3 Courier Express Parcel (CEP) Parcel services concentrate on transportation of widely standardized lightweight packages (usually less than 30kg) from door to door The weight limit ensures that a single person can pick up and deliver the parcel Full control of the transportation network is often a prerequisite for providing high quality service and realizing full scale effects Asset Base: Mid to High Risk Exposure: Low to Mid

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Market Definition Many logistics’ players have evolved into large global supply chain companies, the market however remains fragmented Global Market Evolution Freight Forwarders REACH International Domestic Fragmented Global Market Global Supply Chain Solutions Small Players, xx% Other Major Players, xx% Road Freight Simple Third Party Logistics Kuehne Nagel, xx% DB Schenker Logistics, xx% UPS SCS, xx% SERVICES Complex Logistics players have enhanced their reach and complexity of service Many road freight operators providing commoditized point-to-point delivery services on a local or national basis evolved into more valueadding and sophisticated third party logistics services Freight forwarders combined their international scope with the highend services of third party logistics to move into the 'Global Supply Chain Solutions' quadrant DHL Supply Chain, xx% Third party logistics providers by means of organic growth or M&A included additional value-added services to their portfolio of offerings RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved Norbert Dentressangle, xx% Rhenus,xx% CEVA, xx% Hitachi, xx% SNCF Geodis, xx% Highly fragmented industry DHL Supply Chain with a global market share of xx% is the market leader Together with the rest of the top 10 players, they collectively account for just xx% of the total third party logistics market 5

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Saudi Economic Overview Saudi Arabia has a healthy economy with sound growth rate, low inflation, inexpensive labor and positive industrial outlook Key Macro Economic Parameters GDP by Sector Major Industrial & Urban Centers of Saudi Arabia xx% Agriculture GDP (current US ) USD 748.5 billion (2013) GDP Growth Rate (2013) yy% Industry zz% Services x% GDP per capita (current US ) Jubail Pop: 222,544 USD 25,962 (2013) Inflation Riyadh Pop: 5.7mn xx% Medina Pop: 1.2mn Labor Force by Sector xx% Labor Force xx million Unemployment About xx% of the labour force is non-national xx% Jeddah Pop: 3.4mn Agriculture yy% Industry Services zz% Saudi Arabia is the largest economy in the MENA region It has evolved from an underdeveloped desert kingdom to one of the wealthiest nations in the GCC region over a short period of time and has attracted global business interests from across industries It is centrally located between Europe and Asia and is home to wealthy consumers and inexpensive expatriate labor Saudi Arabia has large foreign reserves built over the past years, while reducing public debt to nearly zero Despite the declining global oil prices Saudi Arabia is expected to remain attractive to logistics providers RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 6 Dammam Pop: 744,321 Al Khobar Pop: 941,358

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Logistics & Warehousing Market Size in Saudi Arabia The logistics & warehousing market in Saudi Arabia is forecasted to have a steady growth rate beyond 2015 Logistics & Warehousing Market in Saudi Arabia Saudi Market Growth Forecast Road Transport Air Freight Sea Freight Freight Forwarding The transport and logistics market in Saudi Arabia encompassing road transport, air/sea freight, freight forwarding and warehousing grew at over xx% during 2008-12 The Saudi market is expected to be worth USD XX billion by the end of 2015 and is forecasted to grow at a relatively slower pace of x% The market will be driven by four key factors: Warehousing Economic Growth Despite the decline in global oil prices, the Saudi economy is expected to grow at over xx% y-o-y during 2014 till 2020 Relatively Lower Logistics Outsourcing The GCC/ MENA region currently has much lower levels of logistics outsourcing, compared to the global benchmarks. Gong forward this is expected to pick up and 3PL service providers will drive the sector Establishment of Regional Logistics & Warehousing Hubs Saudi Arabia and the larger GCC region are witnessing a slew of new logistics hubs. 2008 2009 2010 2011 RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 7 2020

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Logistics & Warehousing Market Size in Saudi Arabia Demand for new generation (built-to-suit) warehouses that can handle complex supply chains, will rise in Riyadh Riyadh: Warehousing Market Outlook Major Warehousing Hub Riyadh is the most populous city in Saudi Arabia. It has the highest GDP in the Kingdom and houses most of the large businesses in the country These factors have promoted investment in warehouses and supporting logistics facilities in Riyadh Majority of the city’s supply of warehouses is concentrated near the industrial hubs of First and Second Industrial City and logistics corridors of the Eastern and Southern Ring Road Network Type of Warehouses Riyadh’s warehouse supply mainly features conventional warehouses such as dry-storage, open yard and cold-storage New-generation logistics facilities and fully-integrated distribution centres are limited Most of Riyadh’s warehouse projects are developed by small-scale developers and individual investors Industrial Hubs and Warehouse Districts 1 As-Sulay 2 An-Nur 3 Al-Faisaliah 4 First Industrial City 5 Al-Kharj 6 Al-Masani 7 Al-Shifa 8 Second Industrial City Supply of Warehousing Facilities in Riyadh (Million Sq.M) Major Demand Sectors Currently, retailers, distributors, automotive/spare parts dealers and construction material companies account for the largest share of demand for warehouses in Riyadh New Additions Strong demand is anticipated for fully fledged integrated distribution centres that include logistics’ facilities, cold-storage, dry storage, and supporting retail facilities Demand for new-generation logistics facilities (Built-to-Suit) is expected to rise with the emergence of 3PL companies that handle stock distribution for companies with large and sophisticated supply chains RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved Existing Supply 2014 2015 8 2016 2017 2018

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Key Trends & Outlook Historically, Saudi Arabia has not been a very efficient logistics market in the GCC region; it ranks a distant 3rd Saudi Arabia’s Logistics Market Competitiveness Saudi Arabia is Significantly Behind the Leading Regional Logistics Markets In the GCC region, Saudi Arabia ranks third in terms of the overall competitiveness of its logistics sector However, Saudi Arabia has a long way to go when compared to the leading the markets in this region Bahrain Kuwait The Logistics Performance Index reflects the aggregate performance score of the logistics sector of based on the following parameters: Oman Efficiency of customs and border management clearance CUSTOMS Qatar Quality of trade and transport infrastructure Saudi Arabia ARRANGING SHIPMENTS United Arab Emirates SERVICE QUALITY INFRASTRUCTURE Ease of arranging competitively priced shipments Competence and quality of logistics services— trucking, forwarding, and customs brokerage Ability to track and trace consignments 2007 RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 2010 2012 TRACKING & TRACING Frequency with which shipments reach consignees within scheduled or expected delivery times 2014 9 TIMELINES

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Key Trends & Outlook Saudi Arabia has improved its infrastructure but compared to UAE it continues to lag in terms of service quality Logistics Performance of the GCC Region customs infrastructure 3.7 3.5 3.3 arranging shipments 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.1 3.2 3.3 2.9 3 3.1 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.3 2.1 2007 2010 2012 2.5 2014 service quality 2007 2010 2012 2014 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.9 2010 2012 Saudi Arabia RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 2014 UAE 2012 2014 3.5 3.3 2.5 2.6 2010 3.7 2.7 2.8 2014 3.9 2.9 3 2012 4.1 3.5 3.4 2010 4.3 3.7 3.6 2007 timeliness 3.9 2007 2.2 tracking & tracing 3.8 2.2 2.4 3.1 2.9 2007 2010 2012 Qatar Bahrain 10 2014 2.7 Kuwait 2007 Oman

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Table of contents I. Logistics & Supply Chain Market Overview II. Overview of Select End Markets Logistics & Warehousing Operations of Industries Telecom Industry IT Industry Pharmaceuticals Industry Power Generation/ Utilities & Automation Industry III. Competitive Landscape IV. Market Entry Strategy RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 11

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Logistics & Warehousing Operations of Industries Telecom Cos. tend to outsource warehousing operations and they have service requirements that are currently unmet Logistics & Warehousing Operations of Select Industries PARAMETER TREND Percentage of revenue spent on warehousing & logistics END MARKET POSITIONING TREND 0% 30% How is warehousing managed In-House Outsourced How is logistics managed In-House Outsourced Number of 3rd party vendors used for warehousing Single Multiple Number of 3rd party vendors used for logistics Single Multiple 1 Month 12 Months 1 Year 30 Years Overall satisfaction level with the vendor Low High Unmet logistics and warehousing needs Low High Unlikely Likely Duration of a 3rd party vendor contract Tenure of a 3rd party vendor contract Openness to changing existing vendor TELECOM RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved UTILITIES/ AUTOMATION 12 PHARMACEUTICALS

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Telecom Industry The Telecom sector is expected to grow at x% during 2014-19, requiring major investments in network infrastructure Saudi Telecom Industry: Outlook Saudi Arabia is the largest telecommunication market in the Middle East, consistently representing xx% of the total market share since 2008. In 2014, total mobile and fixed line telecom service revenue in the country reached SAR XX billion, a decline of x%, primarily due to increased spending by telecom operators on promotional activity, and reduced tariffs. The industry is expected to record an average annual growth of x% over the next 5 years to reach SAR XX billion by 2019, requiring substantial investments by operators for upgrading network infrastructure to handle the increasing data traffic. Saudi Telecom Company (STC), Mobily and Zain are the market leaders in the Saudi mobile market, with STC capturing the highest market share (XX%) of the total mobile subscribers in 2013. In 2014, total mobile subscriptions reached XX million, with penetration rate of xx%. At the same time, total fixed telephone subscriptions reached XX million with a tele-density of around xx%. The industry is expected to witness a host of developments with Mobile Virtual Network Operators (MVNOs) such as Virgin Mobile and Lebara entering the Saudi telecommunications industry. RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 13

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Telecom Industry Government spending and rising data usage will drive growth but lower tariffs and a saturated market are major inhibitors Saudi Telecom Industry: Key Market Determinants Drivers Challenges Investments Government regulations to create a competitive environment and plans to develop smart cities is expected to drive the Saudi telecom market Reduction in data prices has led to decline in industry revenue, thus inhibiting overall market growth. MVNOs entering the Saudi telecom market are also expected to drive growth in the average revenue per user, with their new promotions for voice and data services. Despite tighter industry regulations in Saudi Arabia, increasing popularity of data services over voice has led to decline in total revenue of telecom operators. Mobily, one of the leading players in the country plans to invest SAR XX billion during 2013-18, primarily in network and product development. A significant share of these investments would be used to develop high speed data networks. Rising smart phone usage and data consumption, primarily among young population will be a major engine of growth for the Saudi telecom industry. This demographic segment accounts for xx% of the total data consumed. Declining subscriber base due to crackdown on illegal immigration has resulted in declining number of mobile subscriptions (by xx%) in recent years. With high penetration rates (Saudi Arabian telecom market is closing towards saturation) growth estimates for the overall telecom market is down to low single digits RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 14 Overall spending in ICT sector in Saudi Arabia is expected to reach SAR XX billion in 2017. Telecom sector is expected to be the major contributor with spending of SAR XX billion.

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Telecom Industry Due to the high initial cost of setting up warehouses, telecom companies usually tie-up with multiple third party vendors Global Market Evolution Fragmented Global Market Typical Usage High Initial Investment Telecom companies currently utilize warehouses for storing a wide range of communication equipment such as modules, connectors, cables, oils, mobile phones etc. Warehousing projects involve high initial cost in the form of warehouse rent, machines, warehouse management systems, racks, facilities etc. In order to meet product specific storage needs, warehouses have different structural designs, cleaning and maintenance processes, and could be categorized as: Telecom companies strive to bring down this initial cost by evaluating different warehouse locations and their rents. ‒ Rack design for communication goods in boxes and pallets ‒ Stage design for RF goods. At times such warehouses are also used as workshops, resulting in lower efficiency levels Cost Basis Vendor Engagement Logistics vendors for telecom clients are primarily responsible for transporting goods from the customs, sea, airport to the warehouses. Based on their requirements, telecom companies usually tie-up with both local and international logistics providers. Telecom companies usually tie-up with multiple third party vendors for their warehousing requirements. Telecom companies also deploy their own teams to transport communication goods from warehouses to project sites. For this, they use their own fleet and rented trucks. However, this system is not very well organized. RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved Warehousing costs are determined on the basis of square meters of space occupied, which can be either booked in advance or charged on an real time usage basis. Cost also includes handling costs of labour for stacking and storing of goods in the warehouse. Logistics costs are determined on the basis of inbound and outbound transportation. Based on weight of the shipment and the season, transportation costs vary from SAR XX-XX per shipment, which also includes expedited cost. Expenditure by Telecom Cos. In House Logistics Management 15 Large telecom companies usually end up spending SAR XX million on the lower side to about SAR XX million on the higher side, annually on logistics and warehousing. This includes spend on salaries and annual maintenance contract of the machines, which is xx% of machine’s cost. The cost varies marginally across projects

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Telecom Industry Service quality is a major selection criteria; cos. would prefer warranty for products in transition to prevent losses End Market Satisfaction Level Vendor Selection Selection Process Overall Satisfaction Some of the key factors for a 3rd party logistics provider’s selection, have been mentioned below. These factors have been ordered as per their importance for a telecom company: ‒ Service Quality Pain Points & Unmet Needs ‒ Cost ‒ Capability ‒ Relevant Industry Experience Some of the telecom companies have faced issues around delivery timelines, weak internal management and damage to goods during transition. ‒ Service Network There is also an unmet need for warranty/guarantee of products to ensure safety from damage in transition, fire, accidents etc. ‒ Referrals Telecom operators believe that a self-supporting process for all logistics operations would be more helpful as it would save cost and provide greater control over the processes Process of selecting a new vendor is not very long, and takes somewhere between 2 weeks to 3 months. However, switching the vendor entirely may take significant time Engagement Period Typically telecom companies have yearly contracts with vendors, which are renewed annually. In case there are no major issues related to service quality, the engagements run over much longer period. RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 16 Some of the leading telecom companies operating in Saudi Arabia appear to be satisfied with the overall service levels of the third party logistics vendors.

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Table of contents I. Logistics & Supply Chain Market Overview II. Overview of Select End Markets III. Competitive Landscape IV. Market Entry Strategy Market Entry Options Key Success Factors for New Business Potential Return on Investment RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 17

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Market Entry Options Based on the end objective of investing in the logistics & warehousing market, the investors have the following options Entry Options Based on Short Term/ Long Term Goals Option Attractiveness Saudi Logistics & Warehousing Market Acquiring an Established Business Unit ENTRY OPTIONS 1 Number of market players that have the required infrastructure, existing client base, technical knowhow, sector specialization and an established name Some players could potentially have growth and expansion plans ready but are looking for investments Challenges Identifying a potential target and conducting due diligence to understand the value of the business and identify potential pitfalls Option Attractiveness 2 Setting Up a New Business Unit Starting a new Logistics & Warehousing business would be less expensive than buying an existing business. A new start up will not have any legacy issues and create a niche of its own, in terms of service capability Challenges Getting space (land) for warehouses, buying transport vehicles, hiring skilled manpower, getting the relevant licenses, acquiring clients and cash flow cycles are just some of the challenges that a business would have to face and resolve RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved 18

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Market Entry Options A new business must register before starting operations. The registration process takes a little over 3 business weeks Entry Options: Acquiring an Established Business Notarize AOA Chamber of Commerce Membership Pay the Chamber of Commerce membership fee at the Unified Center Document Submission Articles of Association (AOA), in line with a standard template provided by the UC Confirmation of the reservation of the company name Identification card The notary public reviews all the documents to make sure they are complete. Currently, the notary public reviews up to 15 companies per day. It is located within the Unified Center building The AOA must also be submitted in a soft copy on a CD (in practice) Application form DURATION: 1 Week Required documents that need to be submitted with the Unified Center include: Cover letter/Summary of the AOA DURATION: 1 Day Company Name Registration The name reservation is valid for 2 months and can be done online through the website of the Ministry of Commerce and Industry 1 DURATION: Less than 1 Day 2 3 4 6 5 7 8 DURATION: 1 Day Register with GOSI & Zakat Business owners must register for social security insurance and open a file with the General Organization for Social Insurance (GOSI). This will register the employer and the employee with the Pension Fund and the Industrial and illness Fund (Occupational Hazards Fund). Registration with the Department of Zakat is required. Zakat is a religious wealth tax and is assessed based on taxable income and certain assets. DURATION: 3 Days Registration Fee The registration fee can be paid at the Bank window within the same building of the Unified Center DURATION: 1 Day RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved Bank Account Submit Approved Documentation Business owners need to open a company bank account at a bank of choice. Submit the approved documentation, certificate of deposit and the articles of association at the Unified Center, together with 2 applications and one undertaking DURATION: 4 Days DURATION: 2 Days 19

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Potential Return on Investment Long term profitability estimates for the regional logistics & warehousing sector are higher than mature global markets Long Term Profitability Estimates Profit margins can increase in tandem with the complexity and level of sophistication of the logistics service However, even basic road transport services yield operating margins of approximately x% to xx% in the Middle East region, which is significantly higher than in mature markets such as the European Union where margins are typically about x% to x% Freight forwarding, which requires more sophisticated capabilities, typically yields a margin of x% to xx% in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region Finally, warehousing and contract logistics services offer margins of around x% or even x% in the case of comprehensive supply chain solutions Investment Attractiveness Warehousing/ 3rd Party Logistics Frieght Forwarding Sea Freight Maximum Margin RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved Air Freight Road Transport Minimum Margin 20 The overall logistics and warehousing market in Saudi Arabia has a positive outlook, with growth rate forecasted to be in the x% - x% range in the mid to long term. The select end markets that have been analyzed in this study are also forecasted to have mid single digit growth rates. These two factors put together make strong positive case for investing in the Saudi Logisitics and Warehousing market.

Sample – Disguised and Abridged Our Offices HEAD OFFICE Berkeley Square House Berkeley Square London W1J 6BD United Kingdom T: 44 20 8263 6034 E: info@rocsearch.com United States 77 Park Avenue #1515 Hoboken, NJ 07030 USA Phone: 1 64 6460 4846 India Office RocSearch India Private Limited A-16, Sector 16, Noida U. P. - 201301 India T: 91 120 4017100 E: info@rocsearch.com Hong Kong 28th Floor, Fortis Tower 77-79 Gloucester Road Wan chai, Hong Kong T: 852 5801 4643 South America Pedro Agrelo 865. Rosario, Santa Fe. Argentina S2005OPC T: 54 341 453 1088 Business Enquiries – sales@rocsearch.com General Enquiries – info@rocsearch.com Webpage – www.rocsearch.com RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved

Disclaimer This document is proprietary to RocSearch and the information contained herein is confidential. Not without prior written permission from RocSearch, may this document be reproduced, either in whole or in part, or disclosed to others outside your firm. Whilst care and attention has been exercised in the preparation of this document, RocSearch does not accept responsibility for any inaccuracy or error or any action taken in reliance on the information contained within. All warranties whether expressed or implied by statute, law or otherwise are hereby disclaimed and excluded to the extent permitted by law. In case of any questions on this document, please reply to the sender. About RocSearch Please visit www.rocsearch.com for more details on the company RocSearch Limited. All rights reserved

Saudi Market Growth Forecast The transport and logistics market in Saudi Arabia encompassing road transport, air/sea freight, freight forwarding and warehousing grew at over xx% during 2008-12 The Saudi market is expected to be worth USD XX billion by the end of 2015 and is forecasted to grow at a relatively slower pace of x%

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